David Stockman on America’s Stagflationary Mess

Guest Post by David Stockman

There can be no doubt that the US economy is struggling with a serious bout of stagflation (a period of high inflation rate and slow economic growth), and that’s notwithstanding the foul-ball GDP print for Q3 2023. Fully half of the reported 4.9% annualized real GDP gain was due to a huge inventory buildup (+1.32%), health care (+0.33%) and government spending (+0.79%). We’d suggest these items are neither stable from quarter to quarter nor the ingredients of what actually fuels rising living standards and societal wealth.

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US Consumer Prices Reaccelerate In May, Highest Since 1981

Via ZeroHedge

Having briefly slowed its inexorable rise in April – offering reawakened hope for the ‘transitory’ or ‘peak’ inflation camp – consumer prices were expected to continue accelerated in May (as energy costs soared). Consumer prices rose by a far larger than expected 1.0% MoM (significantly higher than the +0.3% MoM in April and the +0.7% Exp). That sent the YoY CPI to +8.6% – a new cycle high…

Source: Bloomberg

Headline CPI pushed to its highest since 1981 and has now risen for 24 straight months.

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