5 Complete Lies About America’s New $18 Trillion Debt Level

Submitted by Simon Black via Sovereign Man blog,

On October 22, 1981, the government of the United States of America accumulated an astounding $1 TRILLION in debt.

At that point, it had taken the country 74,984 days (more than 205 years) to accumulate its first trillion in debt.

It would take less than five years to accumulate its second trillion.

And as the US government just hit $18 trillion in debt on Friday afternoon, it has taken a measly 403 days to accumulate its most recent trillion.

There’s so much misinformation and propaganda about this; let’s examine some of the biggest lies out there about the US debt:

1) “They can get it under control.”

What a massive lie. Politicians have been saying for decades that they’re going to cut spending and get the debt under control.

FACT: The last time the US debt actually decreased from one fiscal year to the next was back in 1957 during the EISENHOWER administration.

FACT: For the last several years, the US government has been spending roughly 90% of its ENTIRE tax revenue just to pay for mandatory entitlement programs and interest on the debt.

This leaves almost nothing for practically everything else we think of as government.

2) “The debt doesn’t matter because we owe it to ourselves.”

This is probably the biggest lie of all. Two of the Social Security trust funds alone (OASI and DI) own $2.72 trillion of US debt.

The federal government owes this money to current and future beneficiaries of those trust funds, i.e. EVERY SINGLE US CITIZEN ALIVE.

I fail to see the silver lining here. How is it somehow ‘better’ if the government defaults on its citizens as opposed to, say, banks?

3) “They can always ‘selectively default’ on the debt”

Another lie. People think that the US government can pick and choose who it pays.

They could make a bing stink about China, for example, and then choose to default on the $2 trillion in debt that’s owed to the Chinese.

Nice try. But this would rock global financial markets and destroy whatever tiny shred of credibility the US still has.

Others have suggested that the government could selectively default on the Federal Reserve (which owns $2.46 trillion of US debt).

Again, possible. But given that the Fed (the issuer of the US dollar) would become immediately insolvent, the resulting currency crisis would be completely disastrous.

4) “It’s the NET debt that’s important”

Analysts often pay attention to a country’s “net debt” instead of its gross debt. If you have a million bucks in debt, and a million bucks in cash, then your ‘net debt’ is zero. It washes out.

Problem is, the US government doesn’t have any cash. The Treasury Department opened its business day on Friday morning with just $71.9 billion in cash, or just 0.39% of its total debt level.

Apple has more money than that.

5) “They can fix it by raising taxes”

No they can’t. Just look at the numbers. Since the end of World War II, US government tax revenue has consistently been roughly 17% of GDP.

They can raise tax rates, but it doesn’t move the needle in terms of revenue as a percentage of GDP.

In other words, the government’s ‘slice of the pie’ is pretty consistent.

You’d think with this obvious data that, rather than try to increase tax rates (ineffective), they’d do everything they can to help make a bigger pie.

Or better yet, just leave everyone the hell alone so we’re free to bake as much as we can.

But no. They have to regulate every aspect of people’s existence: How you are allowed to educate your children. What you can/cannot put in your body. How much interest you are entitled to receive on your savings.

All of this costs time, money, and efficiency. So do never-ending wars. The bombs. The drones. The airstrikes.

This isn’t about any single person or President. The problem is with the system itself.

History shows that every leading superpower from the past almost invariably fell to the same fate.

Great powers often feel that their wealth and success entitles them to spend recklessly and wage endless, arrogant wars. The Romans. The Ottoman Empire. The British.

History may not repeat but it certainly rhymes. And the lesson here is very clear: debt weakens a nation. It weakens a society.

Generations that will not even be born for decades will inherit these debts by complete accident of birth.

And the people in charge of the system have backed themselves into a corner where there is no way out other than to default– either on their creditors (creating a global financial crisis), the central bank (creating a currency crisis), or on the citizens themselves (creating an epic social crisis).

Bottom line: this is not a consequence-free environment. And while you can’t fix the debt problem, you can certainly reduce your own exposure to what happens next.

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11 Comments
BUCKHED
BUCKHED
December 2, 2014 4:55 pm

Hmmmm….based on Orlov’s article…..#1..fact 2 is Bullshit since the entitlements are paid for…..So which writer is right?

Golden Oxen
Golden Oxen
December 2, 2014 5:45 pm

Inflation is the way out, always was, always will be.

We could have a deflationary bust at anytime, but it would be and accident, like 2008, and we all witnessed their response.

Buy Gold, Buy Silver, History tells us they do well when the inflation gets going big time. Diversify with quality stocks owning tangible assets, real estate, farmland, etc.

Just my two centavos; not sure of anything, my money is where my mouth is.

ASIG
ASIG
December 2, 2014 5:53 pm

BUCKHED

“The entitlements are paid for”

Are you shitting me? You don’t really believe that do you?

If your grandmother was putting money in you piggy bank college fund for twenty years and your alcoholic uncle was taking all the money out and replacing it with IOU notes (oh by the way your uncle is bankrupt) are you going to claim you have an intact college fund?

Hint—- IT’S GONE!!!

yahsure
yahsure
December 2, 2014 6:29 pm

I thought they were going to mint a are metal coin worth 18 trillion and pay it off. Plus you could just print 18 trillion and pay it off.So see! There’s TWO WAYS!

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
December 2, 2014 8:51 pm

ASIG…a quote from Orlov’s article….The 5 Lies About The Debt :

“Some people criticized my claim about the Tea Party’s reason for shutting down the government: “They thought that the welfare system is bankrupting the country. This is a laughable claim, because welfare spending looks negligible when compared to military spending.”

They pointed to the $850 billion social security program, the $821 billion Medicaid and Medicare program, and the $521 billion in other mandatory programs, calling them “welfare.” There is just one problem with this critique: none of these programs are funded using the income tax. They are called entitlements, and the way you entitle yourself to them is by paying into them using a special payroll tax. Same goes for unemployment insurance, by the way. All of these are funded using something that is called a tax, but in essence they are joint savings accounts that you hold in common with many other people, with some rules on how the money is then spent on those who have payed into them”

No I don’t buy into that the money is there ( Social Security )…I know it’s gone because like you stated the money goes into the General Fund and the Social Security fund is given an IOU.

However one article makes the argument that entitlements aren’t a big deal ( Orlov’s )and one article claims they are ( the one above ) and they both can’t be right based on their arguments .

Westcoaster
Westcoaster
December 2, 2014 10:01 pm

At some point the bubble will burst, all the Wall St bullshit will crash and default, and shortly thereafter WWIII will begin, if it hasn’t already. You’ll still get your SS check, only it will be worthless because it’s in Dollars.
Even though the central banks will be in flames, you’ll still owe that car note to GMAC. No relief for the sheeple.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
December 2, 2014 11:19 pm

We’ll see how it ends in Japan. That’ll tell us how it ends here. The problem with just printing our way out of it is that doing so would push interest rates sky high, making servicing the debt even harder. They’ll probably try that, then default. Make no mistake, though, defaulting on treasuries would hit everyone instantly. Total economic reset. One problem I have with the $18 trillion figure, though, is that it is part of maintaining the fiction that there is a Social Security “trust fund”. There is no trust fund. That’s just an accounting gimmick. Social Security is welfare funded by taxes. It’s just another unfunded pension liability like all the others. Our actual debt, then, is $13 trillion. Plus another $100 trillion or so of bullshit “promises” that will never be honored. Like a Detroit pension.

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
December 3, 2014 10:13 am

Iska…you’re on the money at to the unfuned liabilities of SSI etc…..however I believe the figure is closer to 200 trillion.

dc.sunsets
dc.sunsets
December 3, 2014 10:41 am

What is all of this but a pile of IOU’s?

IOU social security payments in future years.
IOU bond coupon payments and return of principal at maturity.
IOU medical payments for future medical services.
Etc.,
Etc.,
RIGHT?

So….what does this mean? SOMEONE is supposed to be producing whatever is needed in the FUTURE to “make money good” on those IOU’s, right?

The definition of a Ponzi scheme is that the escalating promises eventually cannot be funded because they far outstrip new entrants and/or their ability to pay.

The most basic reason most defenders of this system hold their positions is that the central state can do two things: tax up to 100% of everything visible and print up currency (debase the monetary system) to “make good” on the IOU’s.

This is absurd.

The “dollar” unit of account is not food, fuel, housing, or the endless frivolities to which people have become accustomed. The central state CANNOT CREATE ANY OF THIS. It can, however, appear to be able to create “wealth” out of thin air by issuing oceans of IOU’s (which are deemed “wealth” right up until the day the herd realizes there’s no “there” there.)

This massive rationalization has only two effects: It allows people to Party Like It’s 1999 (burn the seed corn, the capital upon which future production depends) in the mistaken belief we can have our cake and eat it too, and it allows the Ponzi to run longer and dig the hole deeper than any other system could allow before reversal.

Our future promises impoverishment NOT because future taxpayers will be robbed blind, it promises crushing poverty & social violence because the actual product of the future will be a fraction of today’s because the capital structure of production is being dismantled right before our eyes.

This includes turning an ever larger share of the human populace into pets and dependent, useless, dangerous animals. A world with a demanding, politically-potent mob is tantamount to burning down entire cities of the future, leveling their factories, poisoning their farms and razing their housing stock.

Oh, and if you accept Prechter’s figure, the total IOU’s now denominated in US dollars is at least $1,000,000,000,000,000 (one quadrillion dollars).

That’s a lot of promises.

http://www.elliottwave.com/freeupdates/archives/2014/11/26/Colossal-Debt-Levels-Scream-Deflationary-Depression.aspx#axzz3KqkBcn00

Anonymous
Anonymous
December 4, 2014 2:26 pm

Not one comment on the FACT that federal and state pensions DWARF Social Security.

The promises made to government employees plus interest (especially when it returns to a historically normal level) is MORE than they take in.

More than half of everything we see is being funded by WDC.

How can ANYONE think this can continue in perpetuity?

It cannot.

BUT, I do know that before ONE retired fed has to take a cut to pay or benefits that the ENTIRE disability and SS population will be starving.

WDC (and most state capitals too) has proven time and time again. THEY will ALWAYS get the first cut.

Maybe, if very lucky, our children will get some of their scraps.

Or, maybe, if lucky, they can be sharecroppers and have enough left over to pay their tributes to their owners in China and DC.

Olga
Olga
December 4, 2014 3:19 pm

The way the entitlements get sucked out of my paycheck makes them look pretty well-funded to me. [/s]