CLARIFYING THE MIDDLE EAST POLITICAL SITUATION

Via Zero Hedge


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Stucky
Stucky
March 28, 2015 8:59 am

Complicated? Yes. OTOH, it’s easier to understand than some of those financial charts Admin posts. heh heh. Like this WTF chart;

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Stucky
Stucky
March 28, 2015 10:02 am

Hey … how ’bout some clarification about USA!USA!USA! poking the Russian Bear in Ukraine?

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NATO Is Marching Towards Russia, and They Have No Idea What Awaits Them

America is fully aware that the way to draw Russia into a conflict is to push forward towards Russia’s borders. In time, Russia will be forced to defend its right to exist, and when this happens, western powers will not know what hit them

By Stanislav Mishin
Russia Insider

March 28, 2015

This article originally appeared at Mat Rodina

American politicians in particular and European politicians in general are some of the most ignorant fools when the issue comes to anything outside their own borders. When it comes to Russia, it is an engima wrapped in a mystery… but only because, dear readers, no one has every bothered to try to understand Russians and the Russian world view.

One important historical fact about Russia is that Russia is a unique civilizational empire built upon defense not offense. What this means is that historically, Russia does not start the wars, or series of wars (though it may strike first in a confrontation that is punctuated by a series of wars). In Russian history, Russian leaders, since Russia’s baptism to Orthodoxy, have tried hard to avoid war with our neighbors, though just about every time this has failed. In parallel, as much as we do not like war, and in Orthodoxy killing in combat is still a sin as we do not have the heresy of Just War, we are very very good at killing and destroying. A paradox, but it is the reality.

This was so profound that in the summer of 1914, the Tsar Nicholas II, when war was eminent, even haulted mobilization to try and defuse the situation one more time and talk the Austrians and Germans out of what would become the great tragedy of early 20th century.

The problems with modern, and in truth historical, Western politicos is that these guys are absolute fools with no understanding of the Russian psyche and are sure to be the cause of WW3, be it intentional or accidental. They are projecting their psyche onto Russians.

What this means is that they are projecting a typical negative reinforcement mentality. Europe and the US are societies built on constant aggression towards neighbors. Aggression like that is staved by building up a credible large counter force of allies and blocks, which causes fear of defeat and deescalation…your typical European balance of forces approach.

Russia is a defensive empire, that is, most wars or series of wars were not started by Russians but by enemies attacking or massing on Russia’s borders. After 800 years of almost non-stop aggression by Europeans, Russia does not tolerate any enemy massing on her borders in what appears as a preparation for invasion or the creation of large scales basing areas as would be a US neo-con dominated Ukraine.This is also coupled with the Russian approach of not abandoning Russians (ethnic or cultural) and allies, as opposed to Anglo society where back stabbing allies when the opportunity to earn exists, is a prized skill.

As such, this is a spiral approach. Any escalation by the foreigners will lead to a direct escalation by Russia and not deescalation. Balance of power does not work when Russia feels her survival threatened. Enough of an enemy escalation in the hope of forcing Russia to back off will generate an exact opposite effect in generating a first strike and total war, as Russia feels her life and existence is threatened by the enemy.

Nothing like putting Russian society in a threatened siege mentality to force the individual chaotic Russian nature to crystallize into one direction: total destruction of the threat and the states that generate it.

Russia’s army may be only 1 million but the ready reserve is over 20 million with a follow capability of total mobilization of over 40 more million, and maybe more if one starts counting female combatants and one should.

Last time the factories were run by children, old people and women. Now with massive automation, even more of society is freed up to fight. Since Russian civilization is not just land but a cultural idea/philosophy it generates an absolute fanatical loyalty. This is a loyalty to a culture that allows the temporary surrender of land for time in the understanding that this will then be used, combined with non-stop partisan warfare, to grind down the invader and decimate him deep in the Russian interior, before marching on his cities and burning them to the ground in revenge.

Europe needs to find some German or Romanian veterans and ask them how much fun they had. Mamal Kurgan, the highest hill in Volgograd (Stalingrad) a 1,5 km sq area had 35,000 identifiable bodies on it, half of them German, after 4 months of fighting. That is more than both sides lost on the beaches of Normandy. In WW2 the Germans were on average having 1 soldier killed every 30 seconds. Figure 3-4 times as many wounded.

The present serving armies of NATO would be used up in 3-4 months. That would amount to almost a million and a half dead and wounded.

NATO would collapse. Greeks would refuse to fight. Serbs would be a war in the middle of all this. Cypriots would refuse to fight. Turkey would likely also refuse to die in a war they could only lose from. Bulgaria would probably have a revolution. Romania and Italy and Spain and Portugal would not long suffer heavy casualties before their unpopular governments were overthrown. France more than likely also. US couldn’t fully concentrate their army as they would have to release their grip on all other sectors which in turn would be blowing up.

As for a second front, that is, if America was to invade the Russian far east, well, outside of grabbing Sakhalin and Vladivastok and Khabarovsk, all of which will cost hundreds of thousands of corpses, a US invasion force would be faced with a march of 3,000 km, or about 1,800 miles to the nearest major oil fields and forced to cover a land area larger than the continental United States, in wilderness terrain, with Russian partisans and the very cold Siberian winter (8 months long) filling the corpse lists on a daily basis. In other words, outside of a temporary land grab, nothing to fear.

Also if things got bad China would step in knowing they are next on the hit list, and thus Siberia would be fairly safe from US forces.

The reality, Americans, Germans, and foolish Poles, is, Russians will fight and 152 million people will fight to the end, not because Putin sits in power, or because we fear the enemy, but because love of Russia, the very idea of Russia, will drive fanatical, well trained and armed with advanced weaponry resistance. Russians will fight regardless of who sits the throne, because we are not fighting for the leader but for Christ and for Russia, the land He gave us as the Third Rome. What exactly will you be fighting for?

Reprinted from Russia Insider.

NATO Is Marching Towards Russia

Stucky
Stucky
March 28, 2015 10:11 am

Clarification on Yemen ……….

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Another Week, Another War: The Iron Logic of America’s Middle East Madness

Another week, another war. And yet another American alliance with the forces of Islamic extremism. Washington is clearly the guiding force between the Saudi-led invasion of Yemen — a move that will almost certainly lead to a protracted and ruinous conflict, spilling over many borders and, as usual, creating fertile ground for more extremism. In other words, America’s war profiteers and military imperialists have given themselves another rich seam of loot and power. And in Yemen, as in Syria, the Yanks are fighting shoulder-to-shoulder with their old allies, al Qaeda, once again.

As usual, some of the best analysis of the latest berserk spasm of Potomac fever comes from the redoubtable As’ad AbuKhalil, the “Angry Arab.” Here’s an excerpt from one of his trenchant observations of the situation:

“This war is also an American war: it is a gift from the US to the GCC countries who didn’t like US policies in Egypt, Syria, and Yemen. The Saudi regime is now pursuing the Israeli option: that it will now be more clearly aligned with the Israeli interests in the region and that it will also be aggressive and violent in pursuing regime interests. … On every issue in Arab politics, the Saudi regime is aligned with Israel. Make no mistake about it: Israel is the secret member of the GCC coalition bombing Yemen.

“In the 1960s, the Saudi regime ignited a war in Yemen to thwart a progressive and republican alternative to the reactionary immamate regime (and Israel supplied weapons to the Saudi side in that war). In this war, the GCC countries are supporting a corrupt and reactionary puppet regime created by Saudi Arabia and the US. Saudi Arabia never allowed Yemen to enjoy independence. It saw in itself the legitimate heir to the British imperial power in peninsula. The Houthis (with whom I share absolutely nothing) are a bunch of reactionaries but were created due to the very policies and war pursued by the Saudi regime in Yemen and their then puppet, Ali Abdullah Salih. South Yemen had the only Marxist state in the Arab wo[r]ld and the experiment was sabotaged by the reactionary House of Saud.

“In all the Yemeni wars, the Saudi regime always sponsored the option that guaranteed more longevity for war and destruction. This is no exception.”

Simon Tisdall in the Guardian notes how the Houthis were transformed from a peaceful movement preaching tolerance and cooperation to a militant sect of warriors. See if you can guess how that happened:

“The group was radicalised by the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq. Anti-American demonstrations brought the group into conflict with the government of the then president, Ali Abdullah Saleh. In 2004, it launched a fully-fledged insurgency. The group has sporadically battled both government forces, which have been backed in recent years by US special forces and drones, and Sunni Muslim extremists belonging to al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula, which set up bases in Yemen after being expelled from Afghanistan.”

For committing the heinous crime of protesting an act of aggressive war against an Arab nation, the Houthis were repressed by the Washington-backed Saleh. When they took up arms in response — just like the Washington-backed rebels in Libya and the Washington-backed rebels in Syria — the Americans joined in the crackdown with, as Tisdall notes, the usual round of death squads (aka “Special Forces”) and village-shredding, child-killing drones.

And now Peace Prize Laureate is back for more, “coordinating” operations for the Saudis, who have 150,000 troops massed on the border, and expecting more from several other nations — including Sudan, led by Omar al-Bashir, who, as Tisdall notes, just happens to be “wanted for genocide and war crimes.” Meanwhile the Saudi-led attack will give great succor to one of the Houthis’ main enemies — al Qaeda.

Just to recap: the President has lined up the United States shoulder-to-shoulder with a wanted war criminal, al Qaeda and, of course, the world’s primary supporter of violent Islamic extremism, Saudi Arabia.

This is taking place at the same time that Barack Obama is massively escalating U.S. military operations in Iraq, launching a bombing campaign in Tikrit, ostensibly in aid of the Iraqi government’s attempt to recapture the city from ISIS but more likely just to keep Iranian-led Iraqi Shiite militias from re-taking the town. (Alternatively, some have suggested, not entirely implausibly, that the bombing is actually a bid to save ISIS from defeat by the Iranians, and keep both sides embroiled in conflict; the same strategy followed by the U.S. in the Iran-Iraq War.) In any case, the American bombing campaign has had the entirely predictable — and no doubt desired — result of making the fiercely anti-American Shiite militias withdraw, at least temporarily, from the battle for Tikrit.

Obama’s intervention in Tikrit is so murderously stupid that even the New York Times — that ever-eager cheerleader for imperial violence — calls it “a dangerous escalation”: “President Obama has escalated America’s involvement in the fight against the Islamic State without providing a shred of evidence showing how it could advance American interests, or what happens once the bombs stop falling. The strikes are part of a campaign that from the outset has been waged without the authorization from Congress required by the Constitution.”

But in some ways, attempting any kind of rational analysis of the situation and its strategic ramifications is pointless. The burning hell that the United States has made of the region with its war of aggression against Iraq and its repeated violent interventions is beyond any sensible comprehension. Washington supported Islamic extremists in Libya — now its trying to combat those same extremists.

Washington fights with al Qaeda and ISIS in Syria, and against al Qaeda and ISIS in Iraq. Washington wages war against Iranian-backed militias in Yemen while fighting alongside Iranian-backed militias in Iraq. Washington backed and participated in Ethiopia’s aggressive war that destroyed Somalia’s first stable government in a generation — and now has spent years fighting the extremists who arose in the vacuum … while putting the leader it originally ousted back in power. Washington’s aggressive, repressive military-security apparatus has grown to gargantuan proportions for the ostensible reason of fighting Islamic extremism — while Washington is the strongest ally and chief weapon-supplier to the chief source of Islamic extremism in the world today, Saudi Arabia. Washington (belatedly) backed the overthrow of the military dictator Mubarak in Egypt and now supports the restoration of the Mubarak regime under another military dictator. Washington sanctions and condemns as a war criminal the leader of Sudan — and is now fighting alongside the war criminal leader of Sudan in Yemen.

The one certain thing you can say about this bizarre goulash of iron and blood is that it doesn’t make any rational sense. At least, not in the terms usually used to discuss policy goals, geopolitical concerns and the national interest. Nor in the terms used by the policymakers themselves for their aims: fighting terrorism, national security, advancing democracy, establishing peace and stability, etc. Look at the situation in the region before the “War on Terror” and look at it today: Libya, Syria, Iraq, Somalia and Yemen torn by war and chaos, extremist militias controlling cites and whole regions, the armed forces of many nations on the attack, millions of people displaced, atrocities on every side. The present horror far surpasses the worst case scenarios of those who warned of the wide-ranging disasters sure to come from the invasion of Iraq.

There is no rational way to reconcile the stated goals with the policy outcomes of the War on Terror (or whatever one wants to call the incessant, ever-expanding military campaigns of the United States and its extremist, repressive allies). The War on Terror began as a monstrous hybrid of imperialist adventurism, blood-money boondoggle and psycho-sexual power trip for the stunted, blunted second-rate souls who hold sway in our corrupt system. Its only real purpose is to perpetuate itself in any way it can, both wittingly and unwittingly. It has become the system, it is now the organizing principle of the American state and its relations to other countries.

Seen in this light — not the light of reason or coherence or consistency, but the shooting flames of a drone-bombed house — American policy makes perfect sense.

Stucky
Stucky
March 28, 2015 1:07 pm

Yemen Fun Facts

Most of the country gets less than two inches of rain per year. 25 million people live there. How the fuck this is possible I do not know.

Yemen looks like the moon … only the moon has more water.
[img]https://encrypted-tbn1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcR6OU6iz5gGYA8GxOuCLOWIJxfgC7uIljR97Q4UJOabAAMMSSwT[/img]

It appears only about 20 women live in Yemen (not shown). Much like our own Neegrows, Yemeni men don’t do shit, are perpetually pissed off, and carry guns.
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Wiki states — “Most Yemenis are employed in agriculture.” Then they talked about Yemi coffee plantations. Then wiki showed a picture of a Yemi coffee plantation. This is it.
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hahaha. You see what I did there? I made a funny without even trying to be funny.

One last thing. Yemen has a tree. It’s called “the bb” tree. This is it.
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It’s a pathetic, sad and lonely fucker. See what I did there?

EL Coyote
EL Coyote
March 28, 2015 1:23 pm

Stucky says: Yemeni men.., are perpetually pissed off, and carry guns.

Reminds me of our lovable Inveterate Sphincter.

Westcoaster
Westcoaster
March 28, 2015 3:00 pm

Thanks for clearing that up for us, Admin. Actually I think they have a big wheel in the state dept that they spin each day to decide who is friend or foe. If not, they might consider it as a superior solution. Or just stay home and mind our own business.

Overthecliff
Overthecliff
March 28, 2015 4:35 pm

Those pissants are not in NATO to protect the west from Russian Invasion . They are in NATO for the USA to protect them. Germany, France Italy,Poland all of them will not go on the offensive. It is to easy to hide behind American skirts. They are pussies that only engage in military adventurism in 3 rd world countries far away who cannot hit back.

They ain’t messin with the Russians. The price would be to high.

Sensetti
Sensetti
March 28, 2015 11:04 pm

Who’s driving the car? Oh that’s right, it’s OBONGO.

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cantbaretowatch
cantbaretowatch
March 29, 2015 10:09 am

Deciphering the diagram was not the problem, the issue I have is the key to it. What or who is the friend? Are they the friend of the FED (dollar monkeys), CIA (puppet governments) or friends of the MIC (let’s build planes and bombs to blow up these places and report the sales to our share holders)?