Why Billionaires Are Buying Gold

Guest Post by Mark Nestmann

In the last few days, gold has been on a losing streak. Last Tuesday, gold prices fell by $42 per ounce – 3.3% – the biggest single-day drop in value in nearly three years.

Does that mean gold has resumed its long-term downtrend since it reached its all-time high of $1,923.70 per ounce in 2011? Some analysts predict gold prices will fall another 20% or more before stabilizing.

That’s certainly what central banks and governments would like you to believe. But it’s not how the world’s richest investors and central banks themselves are investing.

Billionaire George Soros, for instance, recently sold stocks and instead bought gold and shares of gold mining companies. The world’s central banks are buying gold at the fastest pace in decades, adding nearly 500 tons of gold to their vaults in 2015. The pace increased in 2016; central bank demand in the first three months climbed 28% versus the previous year.

A big reason people are piling into gold is the lack of other good options.

Take bank accounts, for instance. When you deposit money into your bank account, from a legal point of view, it’s no longer your money. You become an unsecured creditor holding an IOU.

Not that long ago, you could earn 5% or more in accounts at US banks, which offset some of this risk. But no more. Today, you’re lucky to earn one-tenth that much. In some countries, money on deposit in a bank earns a negative interest rate.

That’s right. You turn over your money to a bank for safekeeping, lose legal ownership of it, and pay the bank for the right to keep it there.

But how safe is the money you have on deposit in a bank? Not very safe at all. In the US, the five largest banks have a capital ratio of only 6%. In effect, if depositors in these banks demand their money back, these banks could repay only six cents on the dollar before they ran out of money.

Sure, there’s always deposit insurance. In the US, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) guarantees bank deposits up to $250,000 from losses due to bank insolvency. But for every $100 on deposit, the FDIC has only $1.15 with which to back it.

Doesn’t that make you feel warm and fuzzy about the safety of your bank deposits?

Then there’s the “bail-in” phenomenon, which first emerged during the 2013 banking collapse in Cyprus. Some uninsured depositors got half of their money back, although at one bank, customers received nothing over the “insured” amount.

Billionaires and central banks, of course, also purchase bonds. These securities at least can’t be bailed in. But there’s a reason my colleague Doug Casey calls bonds “instruments of guaranteed confiscation.”

First, interest rates are the lowest they’ve ever been in at least 5,000 years. Indeed, more than $13 trillion in bonds with negative interest rates are now sloshing through the global financial system. Just a 0.1% increase in interest rates could lead to losses of $1 trillion in bond portfolios.

Second, the credit quality of bond issuers has declined sharply in recent years. That’s particularly true of government bonds. For instance, credit ratings firm Fitch has downgraded 15 nations in the first half of 2016. That compares with a previous high of 20 downgrades for all of 2011.

How about the stock market? While US stocks are trading at close to record levels, the biggest investors are fleeing stocks at the fastest pace in years. Investors have dumped more than $150 billion in mutual funds so far in 2016. That’s more than two times the amount in all of 2015 and the most in any year since 2008. As I mentioned above, billionaire Soros recently placed a huge bet on plummeting US stock prices.

That leaves physical assets – things like real estate, collectibles, and of course gold. All of these items have a place in your portfolio, if only because they have intrinsic value and can’t be bailed in.

Only gold has a 5,000-year track record of preserving wealth. Indeed, the very first Egyptian dynasty in 3100 BC referred to gold in its legal code. The Bible mentions gold more than 400 times and repeatedly refers to gold as money.

Today, there’s another important reason billionaires are turning to gold: privacy. Unlike most other financial assets, it’s possible to store gold privately – in some cases, even anonymously. And unlike foreign bank or securities accounts, US taxpayers can still store certain forms of gold offshore without needing to report it to Uncle Sam. That may be one reason that in the first six months of 2016, nearly 1,400 tons of gold, with a value of $40 billion, were imported into Switzerland.

In Austria, next door to Switzerland, you can actually store gold anonymously at two private vaults. By anonymous, I mean just that; you can begin a relationship at one of these vaults by identifying yourself as Wonder Woman, Jason Bourne, Morpheus, or any other name you choose. There’s no need to show a passport or provide any identification at all. You simply pay for your safe deposit box, choose a code word, and go. If you don’t want a paper trail of bills from the vault, you can pay up to five years in advance.

Even a small box at one of these vaults will hold well over $1 million in gold coins. If you’re a US citizen, you need not make an annual filing to report its existence – or the value it represents – to your friendly Big Brother, the IRS.

The fact that gold retains this key privacy advantage doesn’t please the powers that be. Last year, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF), which bills itself as developing and promoting policies to combat money laundering and terrorist financing, warned that gold was being used by criminals and terrorists to launder money.

Sadly, it’s probably just a matter of time before governments crack down on anonymous gold storage. But even if that occurs, gold will retain its intrinsic value and serve as an incredibly useful alternative to more mainstream investments. Best of all, you don’t need to be a billionaire to own it – even anonymously.

Protecting your assets (and yourself) against any threat – from the government, the IRS or a frivolous lawsuit – is something The Nestmann Group has helped more than 15,000 Americans do over the last 30 years.

Feel free to get in touch at [email protected] or call +1 (602) 688-7552 to learn how we can help you.

 


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7 Comments
Bea Lever
Bea Lever
October 13, 2016 4:46 pm

“Gold is a tail hedge” _________ Helicopter Ben

Are you hedged? Billionaires never seem to get squeezed by holding worthless paper.

IndenturedServant
IndenturedServant
October 13, 2016 5:48 pm

An acquaintance sold me five ounces of AU at spot last week on the very day it dropped. Dude suffers from “keepin up with the joneses” AND “consumerism for the sake of consumerism”. He has quite the collection of “stuff” and he seems happy. I’m happy too!

Anonymous
Anonymous
October 13, 2016 7:01 pm

There is a limited quantity of gold available, so if people and institutions were actually buying it in any large quantities it would be increasing in price the same as oil, pork bellies, pig iron or any other commodity that has more demand than supply.

But you see prices -both physical and paper- dropping, not going up, so I doubt there is an ongoing huge demand for it.

Rdawg
Rdawg
  Anonymous
October 13, 2016 8:04 pm

Here’s an article (one of dozens, if not hundreds) about how and why the price of gold is manipulated; via naked short selling. No physical gold needs to trade hands to exert price pressure.

The Hows and Whys of Gold Price Manipulation

General
General
October 13, 2016 8:50 pm

#1 The price of gold is massively rigged in multiple different ways.

#2. Gold (and silver) is money, everything else is credit. (Per JP Morgan himself)

#3 Please please read the Coinage Act of 1792 AND understand how we got from there to here.

Ragin
Ragin
October 14, 2016 1:43 pm

There is only one big fly in the ointment of anyone who stores their wealth in gold; Legal tender laws.
Unfortunately, due to these laws, “currency” is whatever the government says it is. How do they enforce this? Taxation at gun point.
Say I have a bunch of gold in my basement, I feel good that if financial Armageddon comes, I will be relatively safe. Unfortunately, when the crisis comes, you are at the mercy of those that have the biggest guns, that my friend is the US Government. If a financial crisis comes, inflation or deflation, the government will use the crisis to do something. Do you think if it were not for the 2007 – 08 crisis, the treasury would have the cover to ask congress for 750 billion dollars, and then no accountability, and actually get it? All they have to do is render gold exchange for currency illegal. Then all those gold bars you have are just heavy, pretty door stops. Or, say they simply just fix the exchange rate of gold like they did 70 or so years ago at some arbitrary figure they decide. Guess all that wealth just got halved or possibly worse.
Another argument is that if the central banks and billionaires are buying gold, then that means that they plan on using that as currency, and I will get a “leg up” by having it too. Wrong again. As we all know, there is two separate legal systems; one for ((them)) and one for the rest of us. Do you really think that if gold IS going to be the storage of choice for wealth in the future, that we the deplorables will be able to gain from that? If you question that, how many people have SDR’s and are actively able to use them to purchase a home or a car or pay their power bill, yet the central banks all utilize the SDR’s and credit’s in exchanges with other countries central banks and treasuries. If you walked in to a bank today and wanted to deposit some SDR’s in your account, they would probably have you arrested on suspicion of terrorist activity.
The only reasonably cogent argument that could be made for gold storage, is that if you purchased a lot of gold, hid it anonymously in another country (you better hope that the physical storage place does not pull an MF Global) and then left the US, you could still exchange that gold for another countries currency, or that country would allow direct purchase of goods / services with gold coins. Beyond that, I think that storage of dollars, or any other currency in a anonymous safe deposit box would be just as good, just keep it in small bills. Now if they outlaw physical currency completely, well then that presents a whole new set of problems. Not trying to rain on anyone’s parade, just food for thought when running through scenarios as we all watch this giant shitshow play out.

james the deplorable wanderer
james the deplorable wanderer
  Ragin
October 17, 2016 3:14 pm

You probably should not buy gold for the short term – you buy it for the long term, past the tremors and convulsions of a dying State trying desperately to stay relevant. You don’t care if the price of gold goes up $200 an ounce or down $200 an ounce this week – except inasmuch as you have enough fiat to buy an ounce at the lower price and don’t at the higher price.
Gold is the vehicle for generational wealth transfer – you might put away ounces for your child or even grandchildren. It may be valued in more or less fiat on any given day, week even decade – it doesn’t matter. What matters is setting aside as savings that don’t go to ZERO overnight.
When the day comes that an ounce of gold buys a ton of wheat, corn, dehydrated food, weapons, whatever – and fiat buys ZERO anything, then you will understand why this was mandatory. If your grandchild can start a business AFTER the State collapses because YOU set aside a few ounces – what will the price in fiat today matter?
PLAN. SAVE. Hide it if necessary, but do it – and tell NO ONE what you have done, until you are ready to give it away on your deathbed. You might also consider storing a little overseas, if you can find anyone to trust to keep it for you and return it when needed (after the Crunch). The State is not yet omnipotent, omniscient or omnipresent (though they would like you to think so). Act while you can as the ability occurs, and plan to survive so that you do.