QUOTE OF THE DAY

“Administration and Main Stream Media (MSM) say ‘booming’, much faster GDP and jobs growth than previous decade, but the reality is an occasional 1 or 2 quarter surge but baseline 2% growth rate trends remain unchanged.

Only growth in the stock market, other Fed inflated assets, and debt. Maybe we should ask MSM what is ‘booming’. Official jobs numbers obscure 1/3 of labor force without jobs and not job seeking; job holders are a mix of full and part time; average hourly wages are rising because ‘supervisors’ (managers) wages are rising but flat for 90%.

Flawed startup jobs guesses (Birth Death Model) added to lift feeble jobs created. Payroll tax receipts are falling— could the tax receipts decline be explained by tax cuts?

Tax cuts have primarily assisted corporations. They have had a negligible effect on payrolls taxes. Weak withholding receipts reflects continuing rise in part time workers and low wage substituting for full time workers.

And keep in mind the little growth that did take place was debt driven. Despite all the ‘booming economy’ cheerleading, the data shows a flat trajectory for growth at around 2% for the last decade, despite mountains of ‘stimulus’.

A chart of the Dow looks rather different, suggesting all the stimulus went into the stock market instead.

The US economy is not booming. It has begun gradual slowdown. Housing and autos slump is just the most visible indicator of broad based downturn-“

Harold Malmgren

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2 Comments
Excommunicated
Excommunicated
November 2, 2018 6:46 am

Analagous to putting gas in a gas tank with a hole in it.

steve
steve
November 2, 2018 7:54 am

No, no, this guy is lying. The media has been telling me for over a year we’re busting at the seams with new jobs, our future is so bright I bought 2 pairs of Gucci sunglasses a mansion in the Bahamas and a 42 foot Chris Craft to get there. WTF????