Government Pension Debt A Danger To Taxpayers

From Birch Gold Group

pension debt danger to taxpayers

According to Pension Tracker, as of 2017 there is $5.184 trillion worth of market-based public pension debt across all 50 states.

If you’re a taxpayer, Forbes says you’re exposed to significant risk:

While the healthy economy and rising stock market has lifted pension fund investments around the nation, most pension funds assume unrealistically high returns and expose taxpayers to significant risk if their investment decisions don’t return projected earnings.

The same Forbes piece highlights the four ways public pensions are funded as “deductions from an employee’s paycheck, contributions from the employer, investment earnings from the pension fund, and taxpayers.”

There are already risks currently present for taxpayers, and the map below highlights their dire debt situation:

pension debt danger for taxpayers

According to data provided by Pension Tracker, 40% of U.S. States have at least $40,000 in market-based unfunded pension liabilities per household. The U.S. average is $28,807 per household.

In theory, increasing contributions and proper risk management should account for public pension shortfalls. In the real world, it doesn’t quite work out that way.

During sound economies, public pension programs can be made to “look good” through investment income. Public pensioners (including politicians) typically don’t feel the need to put money towards their pension “nest egg.”

Then markets crash or recessions happen, and the economic outlook isn’t so good. Investment income doesn’t flow into public pension programs, and once-positive returns go into the “red.” Most don’t see this because politicians use “sleight of hand” by reporting long-term earnings potential at rates of 7% or more.

The average assumed rate of return for public funds is 7.3%, according to a survey by the National Association of Retirement Administrators. Pensions rely on those returns to determine how much governments and their employees need to pay into the funds each year.

The illusion dissipates as soon as public pension programs fall short of expectations, but by then it’s too late.

Public Pension Corruption May Hit Taxpayers in the Pocket

Aside from states like Illinois and New Jersey with their desperate pension money grabs, corruption could potentially be the “train wreck” that ends public pensions altogether. And taxpayers won’t like the result, either.

One high-profile example is CalPERS. Charles Valdes, a former Chair for the investment committee that decides how pension funds are invested, was a fairly “unethical actor in the system.” City Journal reported (emphasis ours):

Valdes left the board in 2010 and now faces scrutiny for accepting gifts from another former board member, Alfred Villalobos—who, the state alleges, spent tens of thousands of dollars trying to influence how the fund invested its assets. Questioned by investigators about his dealings with Villalobos, Valdes invoked the Fifth Amendment 126 times.

Since board members benefit from having “plumped up” pensions, they looked the other way as Valdes did his job:

CalPERS’s members, who elect representatives to the fund’s board of directors, ignored concerns over Valdes’s suitability because they liked how he fought for those plusher benefits.

The fund has lost hundreds of millions of dollars in investments. It piled on huge amounts of public pension debt from lack of funding, and is weighing down state and local budgets.

If they get their way, CalPERS could potentially gain the benefit of some form of taxpayer bailout to “save” the program from doom. The impact from this could span multiple generations. It begs the question…

What other State-funded pension programs have similar “ethics”? The answer could impact taxpayers nationwide for quite a while.

Save Your Retirement From this Pension “Train Wreck”

It looks like public pensions are set to “run off the track,” but states aren’t going to just sit idle and wither out. It’s likely they’ll attempt extreme measures to recover losses.

As more state pensions go bust, you’ll need to do your own “retirement check up” and find ways to protect your hard earned savings. After all, you don’t want your wealth to be confiscated by some desperate lawmaker’s plan.

Start examining ways to protect your financial future when lawmakers begin deciding where your tax dollars are going. (Much like they did with the “bailout” after the last recession.)

A good place to start is by taking back control of your retirement.

Consider putting your financial assets where they can go to work for you, and not toward failing pension programs. Physical assets such as gold and silver are known for their growth potential and security during times of uncertainty. Just because pensions may be a train wreck doesn’t mean your retirement has to be on the same track.

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10 Comments
Oleaginous Outrager
Oleaginous Outrager
June 20, 2019 6:50 am

Consider putting your financial assets where they can go to work for you, and not toward failing pension programs. Physical assets such as gold and silver are known for their growth potential and security during times of uncertainty. Just because pensions may be a train wreck doesn’t mean your retirement has to be on the same track.

Never heard of Executive Order 6102?

Mygirl...maybe
Mygirl...maybe
  Oleaginous Outrager
June 20, 2019 11:57 am

Government is a menace to taxpayers on just about everything….let alone pensions….

old white guy
old white guy
June 20, 2019 7:13 am

McDonald’s employees are going to have a difficult time funding the government and the pensions.

Dutchman
Dutchman
  old white guy
June 20, 2019 8:22 am

Don’t worry – there’s also Taco Bell and Burger Kangz.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
June 20, 2019 9:44 am

Simple solution: cut pension payouts by half.

Anonymous
Anonymous
June 20, 2019 10:31 am

Considering the massive shortfalls of most if not all public pensions and the long reach of the tentacles of organized government tax theft what real plan is even remotely possible for average working people in America to avoid confiscation of assets ?
Answer : NONE !
If any American citizen owns property or has a savings account a 401k an IRA the socialist supporters of government can and will take it from you ! Armed government minions and the circle jerk members can and will put you your family elders and children in the street and confiscate any and all assets should you find yourself in a situation where their demands on tribute are so high you cannot meet them and survive .
See how the “THEY” in the employ of government can and will take everything you ever worked for to fund their benefits and pensions in their mid 50’s up to and including your life .
Don’t pay the property tax (rent to government for what you think you own) because you paid for food or healthcare and just doing my job armed minions will evict you at the point of a gun to preserve their 20 and out retirement ! Sorry man but fuck you anyway ! Now move along !
Nuremberg justice could be just a gun shot or hangman’s noose away for government employees and representatives not if but when this scenario plays out in greater numbers across the US !

Trapped in Portlandia
Trapped in Portlandia
June 20, 2019 11:16 am

The government pension issue, my friends, is the trigger that creates economic armageddon in a few years. The sequence of events is:

1) We have a recession that even Uncle Sam can’t deny
2) The stock market tanks
3) Public pensions that are almost all into risky investments see their returns go double-digit negative and they start to default
4) Public employees and unions cry like Golden State fans last week and demand their pensions be paid
5) The Federal government bails out the state pension funds causing the deficit to enter multi-trillion dollar territory
6) Confidence in the dollar starts to wobble with people and countries moving into other currencies and hard assets
7) Game over

Donkey Balls
Donkey Balls
June 20, 2019 2:32 pm

Waiting for the debt to cause “something” is like waiting for the second coming of Christ.

Bad Brad
Bad Brad
June 20, 2019 8:06 pm

I have been telling people for a decade about the insane government pensions
at all levels- city, county, state, federal. The governments have promised their
employees the Moon and will deliver to them the basement of the Outhouse.
The numbers are not there. The stock market is for getting rich people richer.
They eat little fish!
Many government employees have put little to nothing into their retirement and
they look to be multi-millionaires on paper. Not going to happen. Good old
government will re-negotiate their deal with you. And you will not be invited
to the meeting. Same for taxpayers. Look at the above map. You might want
to move will the getting is good.