This isn’t good. In 2016 when all the MSM polls had Hillary up by 10%, the IBD poll had it as a dead heat. Today is their first poll for the 2020 election. It has Biden up by 8.5%. It is a national poll, so you don’t get to see how close the swing states are. It’s also possible they are not picking up the silent Trump voters. Based on 2016, I expected this to be much closer. The left wing propaganda machine (MSM, Google, Twitter, Facebook) seems to be winning.
From now through election day on Nov. 3, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll will post daily results of the race for the White House between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden.
Update: Joe Biden holds a solid 8.5-point lead over President Donald Trump, barely three weeks ahead of Election Day.
Each day, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll data will reflect a survey of 800-1,000 likely voters conducted over the prior five days.
As in prior years, TIPP — the polling arm of nationally recognized research firm TechnoMetrica —will conduct live telephone interviews. However, TIPP will supplement phone interviews with online surveys this time to better capture younger voters. (Scroll down for more on the IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll methodology.)
Trump Vs. Biden: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll
| Trump | Biden | Jorgensen | Hawkins | Other | Not sure | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | 43.4% | 51.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Region | ||||||
| Northeast | 35% | 61% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Midwest | 46% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| South | 50% | 46% | 3% | – | – | – |
| West | 36% | 57% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Age | ||||||
| 18-44 | 32% | 61% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| 45-64 | 51% | 46% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% |
| 65+ | 48% | 48% | 2% | 0% | – | 0% |
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 52% | 44% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Female | 36% | 59% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Race | ||||||
| White | 50% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Black/Hispanic | 23% | 71% | 3% | – | 2% | – |
| Income | ||||||
| Under $30K | 44% | 50% | 4% | 1% | 0% | – |
| $30K-$50K | 33% | 63% | 1% | – | – | 1% |
| $50-$75K | 40% | 55% | 1% | 3% | – | 1% |
| $75K+ | 44% | 52% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Education | ||||||
| High School | 60% | 38% | 3% | – | – | – |
| Some College | 37% | 61% | 1% | 0% | – | 0% |
| College Degree or more | 35% | 57% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Party | ||||||
| Democrats | 3% | 95% | 1% | 0% | – | – |
| Republicans | 90% | 9% | 0% | 0% | – | 1% |
| Ind./Other | 39% | 48% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Ideology | ||||||
| Conservative | 81% | 17% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Moderate | 25% | 67% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Liberal | 9% | 87% | 1% | 2% | 1% | – |
| Investor | ||||||
| Yes | 48% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| No | 37% | 57% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Area Type | ||||||
| Urban | 36% | 59% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% |
| Suburban | 40% | 57% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Rural | 57% | 37% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Parental Status | ||||||
| Parents | 44% | 49% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Non-Parents | 43% | 53% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| White | ||||||
| White men | 57% | 39% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| White women | 45% | 51% | 3% | 1% | – | 1% |
| Black/Hispanic | ||||||
| Black | 8% | 89% | – | – | 2% | – |
| Hispanic | 39% | 54% | 6% | – | 1% | – |
| Women | ||||||
| Single women | 28% | 66% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Married women | 46% | 50% | 3% | – | – | 0% |
| Household Description | ||||||
| Upper/Upper Middle | 49% | 50% | – | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Middle | 47% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Lower Middle | 25% | 67% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Lower | 46% | 49% | 1% | 3% | – | – |
| Religion | ||||||
| Protestant | 48% | 49% | 2% | 0% | – | 0% |
| Catholic | 46% | 48% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Other Christian | 54% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% |
| Other | 30% | 60% | 1% | 6% | 2% | – |
| None | 22% | 76% | 1% | 1% | – | – |
| Union Household | ||||||
| Yes | 34% | 62% | – | 1% | – | – |
| No | 45% | 50% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Results are based on a survey of 851 likely voters. The poll was conducted from 10/7 – 10/11. Credibility interval: +/- 3.5 percentage points.
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Hey, call me crazy but, I don’t believe polls any longer and haven’t for some time. I’ve never been contacted, I don’t know anyone that’s ever been contacted, and we know that basically anything submitted via MSM news outlets is mostly propaganda. It’s tough enough to parse through alternative media sources to find good information that is not merely click bait and monetized posts.
I’m getting contacted daily and I just hang up. They seem to know my name too.
I get this crap also. My mailbox is full of attack ads that get tossed immediately.
You must drive a semi
Polls?
Elections themselves are totally fake and not to be believed.
https://tinyurl.com/y3zkc5jo
22 you are like the recruit fresh out of basic training out on the town you know there is one girl in this town that will take you home and you don’t care how many times you get rejected you are going to keep asking each girl you meet till you find that one. Forgive me for assuming your sexual preferences you just change girl to guy and we’ll call it cool
I’ve had a few calls but I just don’t answer. That’s what called I.D. is for.
This poll is bullshit. You know how to tell? They broke down the demographics every which way except by the one and only way that matters – state by state.
It’s only state by state that counts. Trump has solid leads in TX, MI, OH, FL, AZ and many others. He will probably win PA, WI, IA, NH, MN. He should get over 300 electoral votes and win easily. He will win so decisively that the D’s cheating won’t even matter.
Inshallah.
AZ,TX is iffy. So many people from Ca. have moved here. They are so stupid they push the same thinking that made them leave CA.
Landslide.
I strongly suspect non-blue voters are practicing the time-honored tradition of STFU. Why let anyone know you are voting for Trump if it might bring you grief. Maybe your neighbors will give you shit, maybe your house will be vandalized, maybe your car will be keyed, or maybe your boss will send you to diversity training.
Keeping quite and voting is the safe course. And if that doesn’t work, stay armed and ready.
This is flawed math. They think most of us can’t see it, but I already see the patterns.
First off, the overall percentages aren’t based on 100%; add them up, it’s only 99.3%. I am aware that the polling process rarely brings back 100% of the numbers, because it’s based on Common Core math, apparently. Still, in a poll like this, 99.3% at ±3.5% is pretty remarkable. Red flag #1.
Second, if the over/under on this poll is 3.5%, that’s a pretty major swing. Add that .7% from the overall: 4.2%. Even splits on that, assuming it was split, would raise Trump’s share but actually lower Badfinger Joe’s, because of there only being 99.3% actually. So there’s your second flag.
Third, none of these percentages are 100%, some are 99 and 98 only. And there’s absolutely no way 67% Moderates are on Biden’s side, notwithstanding that out of the rest of that math line, notice Liberals are the only ones 100% represented. Strange? Flag #3.
Last, this whole poll was based on “likely” voters, not actual voters, or did you miss that?
God these people think we’re stupid.
This is going to be Bush/Dukakis all over again.
The Democrat ads remind me of Johnson vs Goldwater.
IBD was probably told to get with the program and not make the same mistake they made in 2016 of being truthful and accurate, or else.
the only education group 4 trump is no college–perfect illustration of how worthless advanced education is 4 most people–
Unless you’re going for a STEM degree, there’s no reason to attend college. No college or tech school is the best choice for others.
Please tell Donald to keep his mouth shut until election day. Each idiotic remark and action he makes is costing him 50,000 soccer mom votes as they’re driven negatively by his childish know-it-all personality instead of them paying attention to the larger ‘capitalism vs socialism’ issue, which is all that really matters.
And globo homo.
There are no more soccer moms because soccer has been cancelled.
Masked Karens?
I wonder how people would have voted and what people would have thought if this has been released in 2015;
Bonus;
http://dissident-mag.com/2020/08/21/trump-admin-approves-record-high-245000-green-cards/
Raise your hand if you skip 22’s posts except for down voting.
Psst…hey, buddy. The polls are faked. They’re fiction. They’re falsified. Just so you know.
What’s really not good is that we have Kushner and Harris to choose from. Either way, we lose.
The only polls for president that matter are the polls in the handful of swing states. The election will be decided on how the votes go, and/or how successful the election fraud is, in those states. I think Trump will win because he is the candidate that is preferred by the NWO (although Biden is acceptable). I will find out for sure after the selection who the preferred candidate is, because the winner will be whoever that is.
And along those lines, anyone in a non-swing state who votes for the candidate who will lose in that state, and they vote for that candidate because they consider that candidate to be the lesser of two evils, is truly an idiot, because that is truly a wasted vote. It would be far better for that person to vote for a third party candidate. A vote for a third party candidate is at least an effective protest vote, and if enough people did that then some of the third party candidates would actually start winning.
I pray the day after the election there aren’t memes of R’s crying or screaming at the sky. I don’t trust polls much but IBD is one of the few that does carry weight to me.
This is the setup for voter fraud. They’ll say “you seen the polls”…
It’s been four long years and just how much has IBD changed since then? Changes in management and of course staff. People is policy and they often do what they damn well please….
Look how faux has slid into the primal ooze……and how drudge gave up the ghost……
What should we believe? The polls or our own lying eyes? I’m in south jersey and people are flying Trump flags, yard signs are prevalent, even a Trump merchandise stand set up roadside with a line. I see Biden/Harris do a rally and no one shows. Probably busy staying at home mailing in their ballots.
Myrtle Beach, SC, has a Trump store for buying Trump merchandise as well. First one I’ve seen.
This is what the MSM want’s to project. Who knows if it is true or not. The basic thing is that the anecdotal evidence right before our eyes is predicting a huge Trump win on election day. Biden can’t even fill bleachers in a school field while Trump is filling up stadiums. On election day Trump’s victory will be huge and unprecedented because of the most dominant block in America. The White male vote. We are sick of this BS and are ready to take back our country. The Dims know they are sunk and that is why they have so many contingency plans including a flood of mail in ballots. In the end Trump will stay in the WH and the fight will be on in earnest.
The fact that there is not much enthusiasm for Biden means absolutely nothing. Most of the Democrat voters don’t care much for Biden, certainly not enough to attend a rally, but they will vote for him anyway because they hate Trump with a passion.
However, I agree that Trump will probably win (as I have said in other comments) but it won’t be a landslide. If he wins he will squeak by, with less of the popular vote than Biden, just as in 2016 (with Hillary). One reason for that is that the NWO wants to make sure that the Left is very angry after the election so that they will riot even more than they were a few months ago. So your final sentence “In the end Trump will stay in the WH and the fight will be on in earnest.” is correct. The fight will definitely be on in earnest after the election.
This is not good.
It’s great.
Bring on the second coming.
Faster.
http://truedollarjournal.blogspot.com/2020/06/well-it-is-election-time-again-and-fake.html
So for the USA Today’s survey, to be scientific and to hit their claimed goal of a margin of error of ±3% at the 95% confidence level, the fake news liars at the USA Today would have needed to survey 65,424 people! Those people could not be merely anyone. They would need to be qualified as likely voters by a method, say, registered since the last election.
So the USA Today is short only by 64,424 completed surveys!
The entire purpose of these fake polls by fake news is to give a fake context upon which to write a story praising and promoting the favored candidate, in this case, Joe Biden, while discouraging the would-be voters of the candidate not wanted by the backers of the fake news, the globalist billionaires. After all, if your preferred candidate is losing, why would you bother to show up to vote?
These kinds of deceptive practices by fake news ought to be criminally illegal and land people in prison to serve lengthy prison sentences.
Here’s the DEAL…..
China/Iran won an economic war and are threatening military force unless unconditional surrender is achieved. Terms by Iran include the submission masks as a visual/
Pu**y yanks have all bent over. Australia and New Zealand fully surrendered.
BLM and “antifa” ARE foreign agent funded and monkey brains think they are fighting for social justice.
Get ready for THE biggest fight of the century that we will win decisively
Now you know how the Jewish people just walked on into the “showers”.
Go along to get along.
Iran used the 1.7 Billion in CASH that Obama and Clinton provided them as a weapon. Brought back into The United States it allowed purchases of unprecedented amounts of real estate along with completely debasing the M2 money supply .
M1, M2 and M3 are measurements of the United States money supply, known as the money aggregates. M1 includes money in circulation plus checkable deposits in banks. M2 includes M1 plus savings deposits (less than $100,000) and money market mutual funds. M3 includes M2 plus large time deposits in banks.
Numerically illiterate. Even if your claim were true, $1.7b is insufficient to “completely debas[e] the M2 money supply.” You’re off by 2 or 3 orders of magnitude, dumbass.
Was Obama’s $1.7 billion cash deal with Iran prohibited by U.S. law?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2018/03/01/was-obamas-1-7-billion-cash-deal-with-iran-prohibited-by-u-s-law/
There is a total of about $1.5 trillion in U.S. physical currency in circulation. Roughly 80% of this value comes from the 11.5 billion $100 notes. Each year, 70% of new bills are used to replace older notes going out of circulation
Put on your mask in the store….
1.7 billion is a rounding error right now on FED balance sheet
If this poll is even partially true, White women voters are effectively cancelling out the political will of White men. If even most married White women favor a sleazy corrupt race traitor like Bidden, then there is little hope that more than a remnant of the White race will survive these times.
Anrew Anglin is right. Most White woman are traitors to their race. And I say this, knowing that my own sisters are in this category and that weak White men are part of the problem.
Thank you sir.
May I have another?
These guys haven’t figured out that MAGA stands for “Make America Gay Again”
This latest pronouncement won’t help…
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/latest-teleblooper-biden-calls-15000000-minimum-wage
Where are the Biden Motorcades? Can anyone who watches TV tell me if they have seen any 1000+ car Biden trains?
Based on this poll, the Southeast is the best to live if you want like-minded people.