Tag: IBD poll

THIS IS NOT GOOD

This isn’t good. In 2016 when all the MSM polls had Hillary up by 10%, the IBD poll had it as a dead heat. Today is their first poll for the 2020 election. It has Biden up by 8.5%. It is a national poll, so you don’t get to see how close the swing states are. It’s also possible they are not picking up the silent Trump voters. Based on 2016, I expected this to be much closer. The left wing propaganda machine (MSM, Google, Twitter, Facebook) seems to be winning.

Via Investors Business Daily

From now through election day on Nov. 3, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll will post daily results of the race for the White House between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden.

Update: Joe Biden holds a solid 8.5-point lead over President Donald Trump, barely three weeks ahead of Election Day.

Each day, the IBD/TIPP Presidential Tracking Poll data will reflect a survey of 800-1,000 likely voters conducted over the prior five days.

As in prior years, TIPP — the polling arm of nationally recognized research firm TechnoMetrica —will conduct live telephone interviews. However, TIPP will supplement phone interviews with online surveys this time to better capture younger voters. (Scroll down for more on the IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll methodology.)

Continue reading “THIS IS NOT GOOD”

MOST HISTORICALLY ACCURATE POLLS SHOW TRUMP WIN

The final polls are in as of 6:00 am. The IBD poll has been the most accurate poll over the last three presidential elections. On the day before the 2012 election, the MSM polls showed a Romney victory. The IBD poll and LA Times poll showed a 3% Obama victory. They were right then and they’re right now, unless the establishment has rigged the results.

Final IBD/TIPP Poll Results

Trump Holds 2-Point Lead Over Clinton As Election Day Arrives: IBD/TIPP Poll

See Complete Day-By-Day IBD/TIPP Poll Results

Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not Sure
IBD/TIPP FINAL RESULTS (‘Not Sure’ Allocated) 43.4% 45.0% 7.6% 2.0% 2.0% –
‘Not Sure’ Shown
Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not sure
OVERALL 41.2% 42.7% 7.1% 1.9% 2.0% 5.0%

LA TIMES POLL


LOOK WHO’S SURGING DOWN THE STRETCH

Two weeks ago Clinton was ahead in the LA Times and IBD polls. Not anymore. Trump is surging in the LA Times poll and has pulled ahead for the first time in weeks in the IBD poll. These were the two most accurate polls during the 2012 presidential election. The liberal talking heads will be putting on a show this morning for the ignorant masses, trying to convince them Clinton is winning. She’s not.


MOST ACCURATE POLL IN 2012 SHOWS TRUMP UP BY 2.4%

The demographic data is fascinating and provides insight into how Civil War II will play out. Don’t expect to hear about this poll on any of the MSM propaganda channels. The LA Times poll also shows Trump ahead. 

Trump Expands Lead Over Clinton To 2 Points — IBD/TIPP Poll

poll_102216

Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not sure
OVERALL 39.7% 42.1% 7.3% 3.6% 2.2% 5.1%
Region
Northeast 47% 38% 6% 6% – 3%
Midwest 40% 37% 12% 4% 2% 5%
South 37% 50% 5% 2% 1% 5%
West 38% 37% 6% 5% 6% 7%
Age
18-44 37% 36% 15% 5% 3% 5%
45-64 38% 48% 4% 5% 1% 4%
65+ 46% 44% 2% 0% 2% 6%
Gender
Male 33% 46% 8% 6% 2% 5%
Female 45% 39% 6% 2% 3% 5%
Race
White 32% 51% 8% 3% 2% 4%
Black/Hispanic 61% 17% 9% 3% 2% 9%
Income
Under 30K 42% 39% 3% 4% 2% 11%
30K-50K 39% 42% 10% 4% 3% 2%
50-75K 38% 44% 8% 5% 0% 4%
75K+ 45% 40% 7% 3% 2% 3%
Education
High School 20% 60% 8% 1% 2% 9%
Some College 36% 46% 6% 2% 3% 7%
College Degree or more 47% 35% 8% 5% 2% 3%
Party
Democrats 77% 8% 4% 3% 2% 5%
Republicans 7% 84% 4% 1% 1% 3%
Ind./Other 28% 44% 13% 7% 4% 5%
Ideology
Conservative 19% 67% 4% 1% 3% 6%
Moderate 47% 32% 11% 4% 1% 5%
Liberal 72% 7% 7% 8% 3% 3%
Investor
Yes 44% 39% 5% 4% 2% 5%
No 35% 45% 10% 3% 2% 5%
Area Type
Urban 53% 29% 7% 5% 1% 4%
Suburban 41% 39% 8% 4% 3% 5%
Rural 27% 57% 7% 2% 1% 6%
Parental Status
Parents 33% 43% 10% 5% 3% 6%
Non-Parents 42% 42% 7% 3% 2% 5%
White
White men 26% 55% 9% 5% 1% 4%
White women 38% 47% 7% 2% 2% 4%
Black/Hispanic
Black 70% 14% 4% 3% 1% 8%
Hispanic 45% 22% 18% 2% 4% 9%
Women
Single women 50% 34% 8% 2% 2% 5%
Married women 42% 42% 5% 2% 3% 6%
Household Description
Upper/Upper Middle 42% 48% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Middle 40% 41% 9% 4% 2% 5%
Working 41% 35% 8% 4% 4% 8%
Lower 15% 71% 3% 3% – 8%
Religion
Protestant 36% 46% 8% 2% 3% 6%
Catholic 37% 47% 6% 3% 1% 5%
Other 40% 46% 4% 3% 1% 5%
None 52% 23% 12% 7% 3% 1%
Union Household
Yes 49% 33% 8% 4% 2% 4%
No 37% 44% 8% 3% 2% 5%
Two-candidate question Clinton Trump Other Not sure
OVERALL 41.7% 42.2% 4.7% 11.3%
Intensity of Support Strong Moderate
Clinton 59% 40%
Trump 68% 32%
Zeitgeist (Likely To Win) Clinton Trump Too Close
Overall 52% 20% 20%
Democrats 77% 6% 12%
Republicans 26% 37% 29%
Independents 46% 22% 21%
Results based on survey of 791 likely voters conducted from 10/16 – 10/21. Margin of error: +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party identification breakdown: (Unweighted) 250 Democrats/263 Republicans/260 Independents; (Weighted) 284/224/264. IBD’s polling partner TechnoMetrica uses “traditional” telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.