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Tag: Trump winning
MOST ACCURATE POLL IN 2012 SHOWS TRUMP UP BY 2.4%
The demographic data is fascinating and provides insight into how Civil War II will play out. Don’t expect to hear about this poll on any of the MSM propaganda channels. The LA Times poll also shows Trump ahead.
Trump Expands Lead Over Clinton To 2 Points — IBD/TIPP Poll
| Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Other | Not sure | |
| OVERALL | 39.7% | 42.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% |
| Region | ||||||
| Northeast | 47% | 38% | 6% | 6% | – | 3% |
| Midwest | 40% | 37% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
| South | 37% | 50% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| West | 38% | 37% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% |
| Age | ||||||
| 18-44 | 37% | 36% | 15% | 5% | 3% | 5% |
| 45-64 | 38% | 48% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| 65+ | 46% | 44% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 6% |
| Gender | ||||||
| Male | 33% | 46% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 5% |
| Female | 45% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Race | ||||||
| White | 32% | 51% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 4% |
| Black/Hispanic | 61% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 9% |
| Income | ||||||
| Under 30K | 42% | 39% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 11% |
| 30K-50K | 39% | 42% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| 50-75K | 38% | 44% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 4% |
| 75K+ | 45% | 40% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Education | ||||||
| High School | 20% | 60% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 9% |
| Some College | 36% | 46% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 7% |
| College Degree or more | 47% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 3% |
| Party | ||||||
| Democrats | 77% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Republicans | 7% | 84% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Ind./Other | 28% | 44% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Ideology | ||||||
| Conservative | 19% | 67% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 6% |
| Moderate | 47% | 32% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 5% |
| Liberal | 72% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 3% |
| Investor | ||||||
| Yes | 44% | 39% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
| No | 35% | 45% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Area Type | ||||||
| Urban | 53% | 29% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| Suburban | 41% | 39% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Rural | 27% | 57% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Parental Status | ||||||
| Parents | 33% | 43% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 6% |
| Non-Parents | 42% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| White | ||||||
| White men | 26% | 55% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| White women | 38% | 47% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Black/Hispanic | ||||||
| Black | 70% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
| Hispanic | 45% | 22% | 18% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
| Women | ||||||
| Single women | 50% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Married women | 42% | 42% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% |
| Household Description | ||||||
| Upper/Upper Middle | 42% | 48% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Middle | 40% | 41% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
| Working | 41% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
| Lower | 15% | 71% | 3% | 3% | – | 8% |
| Religion | ||||||
| Protestant | 36% | 46% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 6% |
| Catholic | 37% | 47% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| Other | 40% | 46% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| None | 52% | 23% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Union Household | ||||||
| Yes | 49% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| No | 37% | 44% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Two-candidate question | Clinton | Trump | Other | Not sure |
| OVERALL | 41.7% | 42.2% | 4.7% | 11.3% |
| Intensity of Support | Strong | Moderate |
| Clinton | 59% | 40% |
| Trump | 68% | 32% |
| Zeitgeist (Likely To Win) | Clinton | Trump | Too Close |
| Overall | 52% | 20% | 20% |
| Democrats | 77% | 6% | 12% |
| Republicans | 26% | 37% | 29% |
| Independents | 46% | 22% | 21% |
Results based on survey of 791 likely voters conducted from 10/16 – 10/21. Margin of error: +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party identification breakdown: (Unweighted) 250 Democrats/263 Republicans/260 Independents; (Weighted) 284/224/264. IBD’s polling partner TechnoMetrica uses “traditional” telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.