Guest Post by Ron Paul
The US government’s Consumer Price Index indicates prices have increased 7.9 percent in the last year. While this statistic shows the highest rate of increase in forty years, it still understates the amount prices have increased, in part because the statistic is manipulated to minimize reported price increases.
A stealth form of inflation is “shrinkflation.” Shrinkflation occurs when businesses reduce the size of a product so its price can stay the same. For example, Frito-Lay recently began putting fewer chips in a bag of Doritos, reducing the weight of a bag about five percent from 9.75 ounces to 9.25 ounces in the process. Of course, charging the same for less is a type of price increase.
This week the Federal Reserve increased the interest rate by .25 percent. This increase, it said, is a step in combating inflation. The Fed also announced that it plans to raise rates six more times this year. However, even if the Fed follows through on this plan, rates will only increase from near zero to around 1.9 percent. This is unlikely to effectively combat inflation. The Fed also indicated a commitment to reducing its almost nine trillion dollars balance sheet, although its official statement did not specify details such as when the Federal Reserve would start reducing holdings.
The Federal Reserve is facing a dilemma of its own making. Continuing to keep rates low will cause a dollar crisis. A dollar crisis then can lead to a major economic meltdown worse than the Great Depression. However, if the Fed were to increase rates to anything close to where they would be in a free market, that would dramatically increase the federal government’s debt payments burden.
The only reason Congress’s reckless spending and the Fed’s reckless monetary policy have not yet caused a major economic crisis is the dollar’s world reserve currency status. One of the pillars of the dollar’s status is the use of the dollar in the international oil market. The “petrodollar,” though, may soon be replaced. Saudi Arabia is considering selling some oil for Chinese yuan instead of US dollars. India is considering using Russian rubles and Indian Rupees instead of US dollars in trade with Russia, including for the purchase of Russian oil. This will help get around US sanctions. Concerns about the stability of the US economy, combined with increasing resentment of our foreign policy, will cause other countries to abandon the dollar.
Economic instability can lead to political instability, violence, and an increase in support for authoritarian movements. A way to avoid this is for those of us who know the truth to spread the ideas of liberty. When a critical mass of people demands fiscal responsibility and constitutionally limited government, the politicians will comply.
To put an end to the welfare-warfare state, Congress can drastically reduce the military budget, end all corporate welfare, and shut down all unconstitutional cabinet departments. The savings can be used to pay down debt and to support those truly dependent on government programs while responsibility for providing assistance returns to local institutions and private charities.
Congress should also restore a sound monetary policy by auditing, then ending, the Fed, as well as by repealing both legal tender laws and capital gains taxes on precious metals and cryptocurrencies. Ending the era of the welfare-warfare state and fiat currency can lead to a transition to a new era of liberty, peace, prosperity — and full bags of Doritos.
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My Dear Mr. Paul,
At least in my own mind, you have achieved ‘Sacred Cow’ status, I need to believe that things somehow would have been different had you been elected. I was really amazed at the support, at least locally, You enjoyed among the young. Not all ‘kids’ are idiots, comforting in its own right. Wrote you in before and after. Fortunately/Unfortunately, No longer an option, done.
“When a critical mass of people demands fiscal responsibility and constitutionally limited government, the politicians will comply”
Those Cows are never coming Home.
But please keep writing.
The sheep are a lost cause. If they lose their food supply they will cry out for MORE authoritarianism. Feed me daddy government!
A question. Increasing interest rates would impact U.S. debt service costs–but that would only apply to new issues, wouldn’t it? Yes, sale of existing bonds would be at a higher yield, but that would affect current bond holders. So if we stop borrowing money, we (the U.S.) are not really affected, right? I may be missing something here. Maybe every day we’re paying off maturing bonds with new bonds? And are we also borrowing every dollar we spend?
Dortitos are GMO corn.
Just sayin’.
Fuji- With an ample portion of MSG excitotoxin added in for your culinary pleasure. Yep, it’s bonafide crap.
Dear Dr. Paul,
Perhaps it is time to simply default.
Much, if not most, of the national debt is owed to entities, both here and abroad, who own, control, or are controlled by the international central banking cartel, i.e. those entities who conjured up our currencies from nothing into existence as debt instruments in the first place. Let both the lenders and the borrowers face the consequences of their corruption and/or stupidity. Folks like HSF will hardly notice one way or the other.