QOTD: HOW MUCH FURTHER WILL THE STOCK MARKET FALL?

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EPIC CRASH AFTER 2022 SUPER BUBBLE (Stocks, RE, Bonds & Commodities) S&P 500 Down to 2,500! - YouTube

Stock Market Crash 2022 | Biggest crash ever?! - Brokerfind

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The stock market entered a bear market this week, with the S&P 500 down 22% from its all-time high. How much further do you think it will fall before it bottoms?

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60 Comments
BL
BL
June 15, 2022 11:17 am

In the long term, the Dow will be at 8,500. When and only when they are done vaporizing money through cryptos and smaller stock sell offs. I actually love to watch those wizards work.

If you thought these markets were real, you would believe “The Wizard of Oz” is a documentary.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  BL
June 15, 2022 1:08 pm

It was a documentary. Happy Ending only in the film.

BL
BL
  Anonymous
June 15, 2022 1:11 pm

The actual book was about gold and silver and government oppression, the movie was pure Hollywood.

ran t 7
ran t 7
  BL
June 15, 2022 1:48 pm

why 8500?

BL
BL
  ran t 7
June 15, 2022 2:02 pm

Why not 8500? Depends on population, see my comment below.

BL
BL
  BL
June 15, 2022 2:17 pm

What say you rant, what is your number for the bottom? You DO have a number, I’m sure you do?

ran t 7
ran t 7
  BL
June 15, 2022 2:21 pm

no I don’t, because it’s all manipulated.

BL
BL
  ran t 7
June 15, 2022 2:25 pm

NO WAY…..really??

ran t 7
ran t 7
  BL
June 15, 2022 2:34 pm

hey, I was just curious why you picked 8500, that’s all. if you have anything riding on the stock market, I can’t help you.

Dan
Dan
June 15, 2022 11:34 am

That’s sort of a trick question, since you’re pricing the market in terms of dollars which are losing “value” very quickly. So even if dollar prices stayed the same, stocks would be losing real value.

A more honest way to phrase it would be in terms of real money: gold. For example, right now the DJIA would be worth 30495/1824 = 16.7 troy ounces of gold. I would expect it to bottom at about 5 troy ounces or less, not that I have any special insight. What that will mean in dollars at that point I have no idea.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  Dan
June 15, 2022 11:38 am

We deal in nominal dollars here, buddy.

ran t 7
ran t 7
  Administrator
June 15, 2022 1:18 pm

since the gold price in dollars is manipulated, it’s not likely we’ll see that again.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  ran t 7
June 15, 2022 1:31 pm

I don’t think they’ll be able to rig it forever. Could the crash potentially ruin their game?

ran t 7
ran t 7
  Anonymous
June 15, 2022 1:50 pm

by the time they can’t rig it, you won’t know what the price is, because the entire system will be down. and their game is 1) we own it all, or 2) it’s all destroyed, so no, that doesn’t ruin their game, that’s just one intentional outcome of their game.

rhs jr
rhs jr
  ran t 7
June 16, 2022 12:34 pm

The normal price quoted for gold ( & silver) is the paper ETF price (which will go to zero like DOW paper during this Kondratieff Winter); ETFs are the play for big boys (and manipulation) and not the price for the real gold metal PMs like Eagles etc which is for us real folks; even then, there is the base price for the metal and the premium which is approaching the base price. I am certain that the cost for silver and gold coins will skyrocket soon like they did about 1981 and 2000. It’s like Klingon sex once every 20 years I guess.

splurge
splurge
June 15, 2022 11:35 am

All the way!…?

Georges S
Georges S
June 15, 2022 11:36 am

Not really on the subject but another food processing plant (this time is frozen pizza) went up in flamme in Portage County OH. Interesting on bottom of the article there is a list of all the plant that went bye-bye compiled by Breitbart
https://neonnettle.com/news/19343-another-us-food-processing-plant-bursts-into-flames-?

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  Georges S
June 15, 2022 11:40 am

No way. A pizza plant in central WI also just went up in flames. You know it’s commies behind it because it’s never a tofu factory.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  Georges S
June 15, 2022 3:37 pm

It was in WI TBP had a article earlier today.

m
m
June 15, 2022 11:53 am

Denninger has those numbers at the top of his site, at least since 2010:
DJI 2126.66 SPX 210.23 NDX 342.00

I think that’s a good first estimate, (real) inflation-adjusted.

BL
BL
  m
June 15, 2022 12:24 pm

Depends on the depopulation numbers also. If there is massive depop going forward, it really doesn’t matter what levels are in the markets. The remnant won’t be buying stocks or any other instruments of investment and the overlords will already have more money than god.

Pfizer may have killed the markets along with everything else. Gold will still be valuable.

ran t 7
ran t 7
  BL
June 15, 2022 1:20 pm

the raw population is increasing, but the productive citizens are being replaced by welfare predator packs.

BL
BL
  ran t 7
June 15, 2022 2:06 pm

So you do not believe any of the AIDS/CANCER/CARDIAC/BLOOD CLOT problems in the future with vax die off? I don’t believe much of anything that comes across the airwaves, but I know of a lot of folks that are not here anymore that were vaxxed or intubated.

Machinist
Machinist
  BL
June 15, 2022 2:50 pm

You might say that some were “ventilated”.

VOWG
VOWG
  Machinist
June 16, 2022 5:47 am

They assumed room temperature.

CCRider
CCRider
June 15, 2022 12:00 pm

Every action has an equal and opposite reaction. In other words; the market if fooked

Anonymous
Anonymous
June 15, 2022 12:09 pm

As far as blackrock, vanguard, banks, and the federal reserve want it to?
Or all the way?

Tapped
Tapped
June 15, 2022 12:16 pm

Last year I used the boat analogy… We are in a canoe in a river and the canoe is filling with water. Water is debt and the canoe is the dollar. The rim of the canoe above the waterline is the only purchasing power left in the dollar. People are happy and partying in the canoe like it’s a big hot tub. Some people have life rafts made with other things of value, but most are oblivious. Then we hear the sound of rushing water. Oh, no, it’s a waterfall!

Another… Some say when the tide goes out we will find out who has been swimming naked. I say we are all standing kneedeep in concrete blocks and the tide is coming in.

ran t 7
ran t 7
  Tapped
June 15, 2022 1:22 pm

“debt”

to who?

name them and it all comes clear.

The Orangutan
The Orangutan
June 15, 2022 12:19 pm

This isn’t the Question of the Day…its the Question of the Decade, maybe of the Millenium. If I had a researched answer I’d share it, and if I had the correct answer I’d never worry about money for the rest of my life. Unfortunately I don’t.

My guess is……..Dow 17k, S&P 2300 sometime within the next 2 years. Hope I’m wrong.

ran t 7
ran t 7
  The Orangutan
June 15, 2022 1:22 pm

you’re wrong. it’ll be lower. at least in real terms.

BL
BL
  ran t 7
June 15, 2022 2:20 pm

rant- Number please??? How much lower?

ran t 7
ran t 7
  BL
June 15, 2022 2:35 pm

hey, I was just curious why you picked 8500, that’s all. if you have anything riding on the stock market, I can’t help you.

ICE-9
ICE-9
June 15, 2022 12:39 pm

The Dow 30 would shoot to the moon if American corporations would only embrace more diversity and inclusion. Another round of experienced male employees purged from the management ranks replaced with 30 year old girls and H-1B Indians should pull tech invested elite boomers’ 401k out of the trough and support another 15 years of collective non-productivity. Just send the bill to the marginally employed GenX.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  ICE-9
June 15, 2022 1:13 pm

30 year old girls. 3 Free kittens and pallet of box wine signing bonus.

ran t 7
ran t 7
  ICE-9
June 15, 2022 1:23 pm

“The Dow 30 would shoot to the moon if American corporations would only embrace more diversity and inclusion”

if you mean by inflation, yes.

ran t 7
ran t 7
June 15, 2022 1:48 pm

“me and the boys going to get some gas tomorrow”

at least they HAD gas ….

Fielding Mellish
Fielding Mellish
June 15, 2022 2:13 pm

Until Joe Blithen poops his pants…oh…sorry…he already did that

BSHJ
BSHJ
June 15, 2022 2:28 pm

I am just glad my retirement funds are safe in a 401k
(in a diversified portfolio managed by stock market experts)

BL
BL
  BSHJ
June 15, 2022 4:44 pm

Complete with fees and sub rosa fees for extra experts and even more fees for who knows what. All that expert management over 50 years would decrease your retirement fund by 2/3. FTS

Defector
Defector
June 15, 2022 2:30 pm

Why discuss?
Ask-socrates.com answers well.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
June 15, 2022 3:37 pm

The fed raised the rates by 75 basis points and the market is up big league. You cannot make this stuff up.

ran t 7
ran t 7
  TN Patriot
June 15, 2022 3:41 pm

TINA

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Administrator
June 15, 2022 7:48 pm

Better make that “Fuck your 201Ks”

Machinist
Machinist
  Anonymous
June 16, 2022 12:21 am

Wouldn’t that be a 200.5K?

Stephanie Shepard
Stephanie Shepard
June 15, 2022 5:16 pm

I’m betting on a massive deflationary cycle. The energy sector has so much fraud it’d make the executives from Enron blush. They really took it too far this time.

ran t 7
ran t 7
  Stephanie Shepard
June 15, 2022 5:31 pm

“massive deflationary cycle”

yep. the dollar is debt – deflation is the end-game.

but lately I’ve been thinking the deflation cycle will last only a few days before going to, not a reduced volume of currency, but total flatline. not sure an expectation of deflation will produce any useful approach to its arrival.

m
m
  Stephanie Shepard
June 16, 2022 11:44 am

Deflationary when measured in Dollars?

ran t 7
ran t 7
  Administrator
June 15, 2022 5:26 pm

the people in that particular building are just employees. doing what the artist depicts won’t touch the ones responsible.

BL
BL
  ran t 7
June 15, 2022 5:38 pm

The longest journey starts with a single step.

Glock-N-Load
Glock-N-Load
  ran t 7
June 15, 2022 8:03 pm

Those people work for evil. What they got coming?

GoneWest
GoneWest
June 15, 2022 6:19 pm

That anyone thinks the stock market really matters in the big scheme of things amuses me.

You may have stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, REITS, MBS, …you name it.

Where will you get food, fuel, shelter, and security? That is what’s really at stake.

trump lost bigly
trump lost bigly
June 15, 2022 7:06 pm

The elite don’t want to end inflation because it increases the number values of their assets. Deflation helps those who hold cash. Now that precious metals are exchange traded those aren’t even a hedge against inflation anymore. Now they are just tools of the elite that inflate more. How do you know who buy physical gold unless you hold it? Traded gold is just as liquid as stock and as fake

Anonymous
Anonymous
June 15, 2022 11:12 pm

I just hope things don’t limp along until 2030

Machinist
Machinist
  Anonymous
June 16, 2022 12:33 am

So does Joe.

rhs jr
rhs jr
June 16, 2022 12:16 pm

I’ll buy when it hits 3000.