The Ever-Widening War

Guest Post by Paul Craig Roberts

It was obvious from the beginning that the Kremlin’s “limited military operation” would result in an ever-widening war leading to a nuclear confrontation, and there is no doubt that the conflict has continued to widen.

The latest development brings us closer to the use of nuclear weapons. The F-16s, which Biden said would never be given to Ukraine, have now been given, as I said would happen. Moreover, they are being given in a recklessly gratuitous form. The first shipment of F-16s are aircraft that have modifications that allow them to be armed with nuclear weapons.

To understand how reckless this is, the Kremlin has no alternative to considering that the aircraft might be used to deliver tactical nuclear weapons on Russian troop concentrations. To ignore this possibility would be to risk disaster.

As I said would happen, this latest provocation is a substantial war-widener. The Kremlin is now considering attacks on the European air bases from which the F-16s will be operating. In other words, Putin is now being deprived of the pretense that the conflict is limited.

Gilbert Doctorow sees the situation as I do and regrets “our dismal progression on the way to Armageddon.” https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2023/06/19/tactical-nuclear-weapons-latest-news-from-russia/

I have been unable to come up with any intelligent reason for Putin to permit a war that should have ended quickly before the West could become involved to drag on for 16 months with no end in sight. It seems that Putin expects the West to come to its senses before it is too late. If so, it shows the success of American propaganda over the decades so that even today despite all the evidence Putin thinks that somewhere in the West there is a basic goodness that will assert itself in the West before the fatal step is taken.

The West’s lack of realization is even worse. During the 20th century Cold War the United States government and those of the NATO countries worked with the Soviet government to defuse tensions and to slow down and to halt the nuclear arms race.  The Cuban Missile Crisis, provoked by the positioning of US nuclear missiles in Turkey on Russia’s border and by the CIA/Joint Chiefs effort to overthrow Castro, brought realization to Washington and Moscow that Armageddon came near.  The deescalation process begun by Kennedy and Khrushchev was renewed under Nixon, for which the CIA punished him with “Watergate,” a hoax like “Russiagate,” and removed him from office.  But the process of deescalation continued.  Even the Committee on the Present Danger, of which I was a member, supported reduced tensions with the Soviets.

In 1963 there was the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty. The Outer Space Treaty that prevented the orbiting of nuclear weapons followed.  Then the Treaty on the Non-proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.  In the 1970s there were SALT 1 and SALT 2, the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, and the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention.  In the 1980s there was the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty.  In 1991 the Strategic Arms Reduction Talks were concluded that limited conventional arms deployment in Europe.  And other agreements since.

Today these accomplishments, which reduced tensions and the likelihood of nuclear war, are abandoned ruins.  With the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, the neoconservatives saw a chance for hegemony and regarded the accomplishments that put a leash on Armageddon as hindrances to the exercise of American power.  Washington’s insanity of unleashing nuclear war has brought NATO to Russia’s border, has resulted in the overthrow of governments of former Soviet territories and their use against Russia as in the case of Ukraine, and in a variety of provocative actions and war propaganda against Russia and her president.  The level of war propaganda against Russia today is as high as the propaganda against Germany and Japan during World War II.

Not satisfied with turning Russia into an enemy, Washington has done the same with China and Iran.

This is madness.  It can only end in the destruction of civilization.

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7 Comments
YourAverageJoe
YourAverageJoe
June 23, 2023 7:47 am

I will never raise a hand against Russia, and am unhappy as to how our gov relates to it.
I really would have liked to visit Moscow and St Petersburg to see the stunning architecture and see all the historic sites, but *They* have made them and most of the world view us as the boogyman America has become for decades.

m
m
June 23, 2023 7:52 am

“I have been unable to come up with any intelligent reason for Putin to permit a war that should have ended quickly before the West could become involved to drag on for 16 months with no end in sight. It seems that Putin expects the West to come to its senses before it is too late.”

Well, let me give you one:
Psychopaths you don’t show their limits and/or change their minds by a single big, splashy event [Hollywood style]. You do so by presenting a slow, grinding, inescapable path to their detriment – and then wait ’til they find some other evil goal.

Putin has been doing exactly that; and from the beginning [of it’s decay] it was going to be the US’ decision if this goes all-out nuclear, or they decide that maybe continuing to live as a multipolar power is preferable.

(And the Gilbert Doctorow post is all hyperbole on the thinnest “evidence”, without taking any maskirovka or second round effects into account.)

Credit
Credit
  m
June 24, 2023 9:25 am

The manufacturer China plays the slow game of invading Taiwan Semiconductor, while the antagonist Russia drains the arsenal of the United States of Oligarchs for the benefit of the Russia/China partnership to dethrone the hegemon, aided and abetted by the bribed and blackmailed, double- aneurysm addled dementia patient portraying the leader of a confederacy of psychopaths with high time preference. Destination, doom.

The Central Scrutinizer
The Central Scrutinizer
June 23, 2023 8:17 am

I’m sorry, Paul. What were you lying?

It was obvious from the beginning that the Kremlin’s “limited military operation” would result in an ever-widening war leading to a nuclear confrontation, and there is no doubt that the conflict has continued to widen.

No Shooting War in Ukraine – Dr. Paul Craig Roberts

When you can’t remember major policy predictions from year to year, it’s time to retire.

Jus’ sayin’…

B_MC
B_MC
June 23, 2023 9:54 am

The Greater Eurasia project: Building bridges and breaking barriers

Iran is now at the heart of all things multipolar. The recent discovery of a massive lithium field holding roughly 10 percent of the world’s reserves, coupled with the quite possible admission of Iran into the expanded BRICS – or BRICS+ – as early as this year, has bolstered scenarios of an upcoming BRICS currency backed by commodities: gold, oil, gas and – inevitably – lithium.

On July 4, at a New Delhi summit, Iran will finally become a full member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).

That will be one of the key decisions of the summit, held via video-conference, along with the signing of a memorandum on the path by Belarus to also become a member state.

In parallel, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexei Overchuk has confirmed that Iran and the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) should sign a free trade agreement (FTA) by the end of 2023.

The FTA will expand an interim deal that already lowers customs duties on hundreds of categories of goods.

Russia and Iran – two key poles of Eurasia integration – have been getting closer and closer geoeconomically since the west’s sanctions tsunami that followed Russia’s February 2022 Special Military Operation (SMO) in Ukraine.

The EAEU – as much as the SCO and BRICS – is on a roll: FTAs are expected to be clinched, from middle to long term, with Egypt, India, Indonesia, and the UAE…

In a parallel track, the members of the Asian Clearing Union (ACU), during a recent summit in Iran, decided to launch a new cross-border financial messaging system this month as a rival to the western-centric SWIFT.

The ACU comprises the Central Banks of India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Myanmar, and Iran: a healthy mix of West Asia, Southeast Asia, and South Asia.

It was the Central Bank of Iran – still under harsh sanctions – that developed the new bank messaging system, so new it’s not yet known by its own acronym.

https://thecradle.co/article-view/26288/the-greater-eurasia-project-building-bridges-and-breaking-barriers

Oldtoad of Green Acres
Oldtoad of Green Acres
June 24, 2023 5:38 am

Where exactly are these F-16’s supposed to take off or land?
Nowhere that will not be quickly bombed.
Soon coming to the USSA.