The End Of The Avdeevka Cauldron

Guest Post by Moon of Alabama

The Ukrainian defense of Avdeevka is falling apart.

Avdeevka – Feb 15, 2024

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Avdeevka – Feb 16, 2024 (Note: slightly different zoom scale than above)

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The small cauldron south of Avdeevka around the ‘Zenit’ fortification, as seen in the Feb 15 map, has fallen. The Ukrainian military who fled from it under fire through open fields had to leave their wounded behind:

Both Russian and Ukrainian media reported Ukrainian troops had evacuated the formidable fortification network first built in 2014 following the Kremlin’s first invasion of Ukraine and improved since then. Ukrainian troops forced to fight their way out of a near-total encirclement in a bid to reach friendly lines had to abandon wounded and suffered casualties as they retreated, reports from both sides said.

Viktor Bilyak, a member of 2nd Company, 1st Battalion, 110th Mechanized Infantry Brigade, the unit based at Zenit, in an Instagram post said higher command denied medical evacuation to wounded and six men of his 15-20 men section were abandoned to the Russians.

Another strong point, the Donetsk city water filtration plant east of Avdeevka has likewise fallen. Ukrainian troops retreated from it.

On Wednesday the 3rd separate assault brigade, an Azov neo-nazi unit, was ordered into the city. It found no prepared fortifications, was unprotected from artillery and aerial bombing and soon completely surrounded. After taking high losses in a short time frame the brigade command ordered to retreat from the central city:

The elite third Separate Assault Brigade, one of Ukraine’s most prominent fighting units, was deployed to the area in a bid to stabilise the situation.Andrii Biletskyi, the brigade’s commander, said: “Avdiivka is hell.”

He described the situation as “precarious and unstable”, with the Russians constantly deploying fresh troops and resources to the fight.

“Our fighters demonstrate unprecedented heroism,” the commander wrote on the Telegram messaging app. “We are forced to fight at 360 degrees against new brigades that the enemy is setting up.”

Russia has amassed some 50,000 troops on the front line between its forces and the Ukrainians defending Avdiivka, according to Dmytro Lykhoviy, the Ukrainian military spokesman.

“In Avdiivka, a manoeuvre is underway in some places to withdraw our units to more advantageous positions, in some places to force [the Russians] out of positions,” he added.

Units of the 3rd brigade filmed themselves leaving Avdeevka towards the west. Their U.S. made M113 ‘armored’ aluminum is driving at high speed and comes under fire. They are passing the ‘Welcome to Avdeevka’ sign which, in late December, was the background of Zelenski’s selfie stunt at the west entrance to Avdeevka.


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What is left of the 3rd brigade has moved out of the city and into the coke plant further north. However that place isn’t save either:

agitpapa @agitpapa – 12:33 UTC · Feb 16, 2024Suriyakmaps: Russian forces took the [Avdeevka coke plant] management building and adjoining complex (48.16201, 37.7054). The high-rise is a perfect observation and firing position that the Azovs would have never given up if they could.

What and whoever is left in Avdeevka and the coke plant is under deadly fire:

Russian artillery was dominant and with Ukrainian guns firing back only rarely, and Russian air strikes were unceasing, practically all accounts said. A social media post purportedly from a 25th Airborne Brigade trooper in the Avdiivka sector said:”They are raining down endlessly 24/7, there are no longer any trenches or dugouts from them. I am not calling anyone a traitor, but we we ask at least for some minimal anti-aircraft defenses. The (Russian) bombers are operating freely, we can fight everything they throw at us except this. We will stand as long as necessary…We have enough of everything, shortages of food, armored cars or something else is long in the past. (That we have). We need something of a different order of magnitude: Make it so that the enemy’s aircraft does not fly.”

The Russian air force is using glide bombs with a satellite based guidance kit that is the equivalent of the U.S. JDAM. These bombs are launched from a safe distance. They have only recently become available in large quantities (machine translation):

Ukrainian military publics call Russian FABs (guided aerial bombs) one of the main factors in the advance of the Russian Federation in Avdiivka.About 250 bombs were dropped in the city and district in 2.5 days, “Nikolaevsky Vanek” writes. As well as thousands of projectiles and hundreds of FPV drones.

Ukrainian military specialist in drones Sergey Flash Beskrestnov writes that “the fabs do not care what kind of assault unit you are from and whether you have completed the Q course of the MTR.”

He says that these 500 kg bombs “literally leveled us to the ground.”

The press officer of the 3rd Azov brigade, now in the coke plant, confirmed this:

“The enemy is starting to use phosphorus. The use of guided aerial bombs has increased. Those bombs are much worse than artillery …. We are talking about 50 or more such bombs per day. It’s a very large number of them for such a small foothold.

And now phosphorus is being used. We got the news about it the day before.”

“The invaders are using phosphorus shells, which cause fuel oil tanks to catch fire. Poisonous smog is spreading across the entire territory of the (coke plant – ed.).

This is now the new ‘home’ of the 3rd Assault Brigade. Doesn’t it remind you of something?

The Ukrainian leadership has ordered to hold onto Avdeevka as long as possible.

This is a repeat of the undue hold-out in Bakhmut. Instead of retreating to shorter straight defense lines thousands of Ukrainian troops will die in the city while trying to hold onto indefensible positions.

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45 Comments
YourAverageJoe
YourAverageJoe
February 16, 2024 3:03 pm

I wish Russia would quit fiddlefarting and just overrun Ukraine.
It sure would save Us a lot of money going forward and we wouldn’t have to hear about it anymore.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  YourAverageJoe
February 16, 2024 3:18 pm

judo + chess = Putin

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 16, 2024 3:35 pm

/s

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  YourAverageJoe
February 16, 2024 5:46 pm

We ginned up this war to “weaken Russia”. Instead they’re weakening us. No wonder they’re taking their time.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Iska Waran
February 16, 2024 6:49 pm

The scamdemic did more to weaken all of us than a dozen such wars ever could.

august
august
  Iska Waran
February 17, 2024 1:18 am

This is all Putin’s scheme to discredit President Biden, whom he greatly fears.

/s

Anonymous
Anonymous
  august
February 17, 2024 9:25 am

hahahahahaha

49%mfer
49%mfer
  YourAverageJoe
February 16, 2024 10:42 pm

Why would they bother? We’re doing a wonderful job of fucking everything up all on our own. Just sit back and continue to watch the self-immolation.

flash
flash
February 16, 2024 3:31 pm

“Units of the 3rd brigade filmed themselves leaving Avdeevka towards the west.”
Is that a US flag on the guy’s helmut in the foreground ?

Anonymous
Anonymous
  flash
February 16, 2024 4:17 pm

sure looked like it

pro stoae
pro stoae
  flash
February 16, 2024 8:59 pm

yup. sure is. These guys are rocking the exact same kit you’d be issued at Ranger Regiment or an SF Group. OPSCORs with Peltors, Multicam Crye, battle belts, plate carriers, and those even look like Patagonia cold weather shells.

Some money has been spent here. You’d be hard-pressed to get the same loadout in any US conventional unit.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  pro stoae
February 16, 2024 11:51 pm

Or just anyone who buys a bit of his own gear, which is anyone with a spare buck.

Or maybe Roman Abramovich bought it for him?

Anonymous
Anonymous
February 16, 2024 4:00 pm

“This is a repeat of the undue hold-out in Bakhmut.”
Bakhmut was a huge success for the West, if you look at all the Wagner fallout.

“Instead of retreating to shorter straight defense lines thousands of Ukrainian troops will die in the city while trying to hold onto indefensible positions.”
So? None of these people care. Just like none of them care how many Russians on the other side have to die to root them out.

Adveevka is important to the potential future safety of the city of Donetsk. But Donestk Oblast is larger than the state of Maryland, and even by his own map from last week they have taken what, 1 square mile?
2 at most? Is no one capable of looking at the bigger picture just a bit, metaphorically, but even just literally zooming out?
comment image

here is the site that he got that image from. Yes the events and links are from a western bias, I’m sure anyone with a brain can filter that.

https://liveuamap.com/en/2024/16-february-ukrainian-air-defense-shot-down-a-missile-over

`
`
  Anonymous
February 16, 2024 5:45 pm

I’m sure it is but a matter of days before the second Ukrainian counter-offensive starts to roll up those Ruskies, eh?

Anonymous
Anonymous
  `
February 16, 2024 6:46 pm

I never claimed any such thing

You know it is possible to look at something without picking a ‘side,’ right?

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 16, 2024 7:51 pm

are you really that fucking stupid? or just another cia bot stirring up crap? i wouldn’t even begin to respond to your fucking stupidity other than to call you a stupid cunt.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 16, 2024 8:06 pm

Pick a part and tell me why it is stupid.

edit: nvm, you’re the retard below who believes in a ‘jewish nazi army’

YourAverageJoe
YourAverageJoe
  Anonymous
February 16, 2024 10:08 pm

Two anomynous entities sparring points against each other is neat fun, but who do you agree or oppose?
Two farts in the wind.
Grow some Names guys, so we can get to know you and your character.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  YourAverageJoe
February 16, 2024 11:57 pm

I’d rather you judge the arguments, though I occasionally use a topical nom de guerre.

However, “ who do you agree or oppose” just sounds like following other people.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 17, 2024 9:29 am

You dropped your eye patch, you dirty worm!
Judge that then!

`
`
February 16, 2024 5:39 pm

How unexpected.

Anonymous
Anonymous
February 16, 2024 7:56 pm

this article was one of the most joyous ones i have read in quite some time. the jewish nazi army is being vaporized and i hope that the russians give them no quarter.

we are just hours away from listening to lectures about how immaterial avdeevka was and that the loss is negligible.

russians need to prepare for significant counter attacks. but as long as they keep the bombs falling, they provide some mitigation.

where is the next big assault? the russians are prepping to rollback the jewish cunt’s june offensive. and kherkov is probably in sight although numerous and many smaller battles must be fought, but i think that the russians are learning how to bypass certain strongholds. as long as they obliterate ukrainian air defense, this war could be over by next february.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 16, 2024 8:10 pm

“i hope that the russians give them no quarter.”
Putin himself basically said that Ukrainian soldiers are Russians in his interview the other day.

I hope you get to feel your own bloodthirst returned to you someday.

m
m
  Anonymous
February 17, 2024 2:50 am

This one is even better

Battle for Avdeevka: The view from Donetsk (Part 2) by Texas Bentley
“Most of the shelling of Donetsk civilian areas over the last ten years have come from Avdeevka, including the recent mass murder of 27 civilians at the Tekstilshchik Market, in my neighborhood, less than a month ago. Avdeevka was known as an ‘impregnable fortress’ of Nazi power, and yet I have lived to see it begin to fall. Many of my friends, both civilian and military, did not. But those of us who lived, swore a solemn oath on their blood that we would see it fall, or die like they did, trying. That’s why I say I feel this victory in my soul, because I know my friends feel it in theirs today, even from another world. And today, we kept that promise.

And I feel it in my bones today, too, because today, instead of the steady rumble of Avdeevka artillery, there was silence. There hasn’t been any shelling of Donetsk today, at all. Today, the Nazis who have bombed us for almost a decade from Avdeevka are too busy running for their lives to target civilians or anyone else. My wife even commented today, ‘It’s been really quiet today.’ So far, from experience, we know that every time we have a significant military victory, the Nazis take it out on our civilians. The Nazis have HIMARS, CAESAR and TOCHKA-U, that can target Donetsk from far behind Avdeevka, and we know what kind of atrocities to expect in the coming days. But we are not going anywhere, we are ready to face whatever comes. We know there will be retribution by the nazis against civilians soon. But we stand fast, civilians and soldiers, ready to move forward, for the future of humanity.”
https://t.me/geopolitics_live/16492

Anonymous
Anonymous
  m
February 17, 2024 11:53 am

I’m not disagreeing with him in general, but he’s a literal Communist, and you have to kind of filter what he says through that.

m
m
  Anonymous
February 17, 2024 1:02 pm

A literal communist, like for example Xi Jinping?

That label is meaningless, without a bit background.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  m
February 17, 2024 1:36 pm

No, because he is a christian communist (not entirely sure what that is). I mean he is a true believer. That’s why you get the over-the-top nazi stuff from him.

m
m
  Anonymous
February 17, 2024 3:28 pm

REALITY.SYS corrupted.
Reboot universe? (Y/N)

Anonymous
Anonymous
  m
February 17, 2024 9:23 pm

I know you’re orthodox. But are you an ideological communist? If not, I’m sure you can at least roughly get an idea of what I mean.

m
m
  Anonymous
February 18, 2024 1:46 am

I don’t like to wildly guess, based on rubber terms.
I asked you for background [on what you mean by ‘communist’] and you still haven’t given any.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  m
February 18, 2024 8:42 pm

I mean the guy, who is from Murrica and speaks perfectly understandable English, talks about his Communism. I could guess at what kind, but I haven’t talked to western communists in 7 or 8 years so it’s only a guess.

ICE-9
ICE-9
February 16, 2024 8:05 pm

Looks like the resurrection of the Khazar Khaganate is not going as planned.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  ICE-9
February 16, 2024 8:14 pm

Until jewish oligarchs are getting droned or their yachts getting torpedoed on a daily basis, the Khazar Cohenate is alive and well.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
February 17, 2024 9:32 am

Maybe that bloodstain on the world map (israhell) should be the coffin lid for the dirty Zionists. Let it all explode.

Yahsure
Yahsure
February 16, 2024 9:46 pm

It’s the MIC of many countries milking this war for all its worth. Nobody making money wants this to end.

m
m
  Yahsure
February 17, 2024 2:54 am

Nobody looking to demilitarize NATO wants this to end soon.
FIFY

Not a republicrat
Not a republicrat
February 16, 2024 10:49 pm

It’s all a fake and gay war. Anyone who has even read one book on WWII can tell you that you surround the cities and strong points and starve them out. A couple weeks and it’s done. No need to have a months long direct assault like Stalingrad. Whatever the purpose of the “war” is, it’s not what they say it is- it never is. Just misdirection. If you spend anytime at all on this you are playig into their game.

Josey Wales
Josey Wales
February 16, 2024 11:41 pm

REPLAY OF STALINGRAD???

Dagobaz
Dagobaz
February 17, 2024 6:07 am

I hate the brother wars, but if you have one side imbued with implacable hatred, what alternative do you have but eradication? No one argues the moral connotations of killing cancer cells.

Who said that? No one you know!
Who said that? No one you know!
  Dagobaz
February 17, 2024 9:35 am

If the finger on your hand is rotting, it is best to remove it and save your hand. Pedukies are an evil to be cut and necessary.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Dagobaz
February 17, 2024 11:44 am

jew promoting eradication for a group of whites

whodathunk

lamont cranston
lamont cranston
February 17, 2024 9:52 am

At this rate the US will run out of ammo while defending Israel w/in 3 weeks.

zappalives
zappalives
February 17, 2024 10:12 am

A Ukie’s only chance of survival is to shoot their officers in the back of the head and surrender to the Russians.

Who said that? No one you know!
Who said that? No one you know!
  zappalives
February 17, 2024 10:22 am

Well said!