LIES, DAMNED LIES & STATISTICS

The government released their monthly CPI report this week. Even though it came in at an annualized rate of 3.6%, they and their mouthpieces in the corporate mainstream media dutifully downplayed the uptrend. They can’t let the plebs know the truth. That might upend their economic recovery storyline and put a crimp into their artificial free money, zero interest rate, stock market rally. If they were to admit inflation is rising, the Fed would be forced to raise rates. That is unacceptable in our rigged .01% economy. There are banker bonuses, CEO stock options, corporate stock buyback earnings per share goals and captured politician elections at stake.

The corporate MSM immediately shifted the focus to the annual CPI figure of 0.1%. That’s right. Your government keepers expect you to believe the prices you pay to live your everyday life have been essentially flat in the last year. Anyone who lives in the real world, not the BLS Bizarro world of models, seasonal adjustments, hedonic adjustments, and substitution adjustments, knows this is a lie. The original concept of CPI was to measure the true cost of maintaining a constant standard of living. It should reflect your true inflation of out of pocket costs to live a daily existence in this country.

Instead, it has become a manipulated statistic using academic theories as a cover to systematically under-report the true level of inflation. The purpose has been to cut annual cost of living adjustments to Social Security and other government benefits, while over-estimating the true level of GDP. Artificially low inflation figures allow the mega-corporations who control the country to keep wage increases to workers low. Under-reporting the true level of inflation also allows the Federal Reserve to keep their discount rate far lower than it would be in an honest free market. The Wall Street banks, who own and control the Federal Reserve, are free to charge 18% on credit card balances while paying .25% to savers. The manipulation of the CPI benefits the vested interests, impoverishes the masses, and slowly but surely contributes to the destruction of our economic system.

A deep dive into Table 2 from the BLS reveals some truth and uncovers more lies. Their weighting of everyday living expenditures is warped and purposefully misleading. Let’s look at the annual increases in some food items we might consume in the course of a month, living in this empire of lies:

  • Ground Beef – 10.1%
  • Roast Beef – 11.8%
  • Steak – 11.1%
  • Eggs – 21.8%
  • Chicken – 3.7%
  • Coffee – 3.4%
  • Sugar – 4.2%
  • Candy – 4.6%
  • Snacks – 3.5%
  • Salt & Seasonings – 5.3%
  • Food Away From Home – 3.0%

Continue reading “LIES, DAMNED LIES & STATISTICS”

WHICH ONE OF THESE IS NOT LIKE THE OTHER?

The BLS tells us that shelter inflation in the last year is only 2.7%. The shelter category includes rent and owners equivalent rent. It accounts for 32% of the entire CPI calculation. The BLS drones tell us that rents only went up 2.9%, while owners equivalent rent went up only 2.6%. It must be nice living in the world of models and assumptions. Too bad the rest of us live in the real world.

Monthly rental costs reached an all-time high today of $766 per month. This is up 6% versus one year ago. Rents were up 16% in the Northeast versus last year. How exactly does the BLS get off trying to convince the clueless public that rents only rose by 2.9%? Which figure do you believe?

Case Shiller came out with their home price data this morning based upon actual home sales. Home prices surged by 12.9% versus last year, with some cities seeing gains greater than 20%. If home prices have surged and mortgage rates have surged, how can owner’s equivalent rent only increase by 2.6%? Inquiring minds want to know.

 

So let me get this straight. Rents are increasing at 6%. Home prices are increasing at 13%. Gasoline prices are at 9 month highs, up by 13% since November. Natural gas is up 11% in the last month and 10% higher than one year ago. Beef prices are at all-time highs. Food prices are surging in general. Health insurance premiums are skyrocketing by 10% or more. Tuition increases are off the charts. And Janet Yellen is worried about deflation?????

It’s called the American Dream because you’d have to be asleep to believe it.