You will find more statistics at Statista
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Predicting the future is a precarious task, with or without a crystal ball. However, this shouldn’t stop people from preparing for what there is to come by all available means. Automation is here to stay and most experts predict that a big chunk of human work will soon be done by robots, because the economic system’s logic is built on cost cutting and efficiency.
Different researchers make differring predictions as to how many jobs could be at risk from automation. While professors and authors Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne quote pretty high figures in their publications, the Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) thinks far fewer jobs are at risk.
You will find more statistics at Statista
Close. It rhymes. Predicting the future is a nefarious task…on 2nd thought, nefarious is precarious. Prevaricarious, too. AGW – anthropogenic global wolfwarning.
I suggest watching the 2006 Mike Judge documentary, Idiocracy.
OK ladies…let’s get real for a second. As time goes by, every single job will be automated. Not one job will remain. You can make doilies in your rec room. You can make magic wands on your lathe. But you can’t get a job that pays a wage because every job is done by robots. That day is inevitable as night following day. So as the lawyers are replaced, and the doctors are replaced, and the ditch diggers are replaced the question will become more and more obvious. How will an economy based on people working for other people change once there is no longer a need for anybody to work? Everybody will be a freeloader. Your children, or perhaps your grandchildren, will all be card carrying members of the Free Shit Army. It’s going to happen so you had better think about what is going to change and prepare for it. Your kids are doing it right now. They don’t see the need for a license because they know that they will never be able to buy a car. They don’t worry about getting a house because they know that they will not get one. And that evolution is inevitable. Soon everyone will be living off of a basic income.
I think the monies classes will kill us off as they fight with themselves over every ounce of gold and inch of real estate. Basic income is but a dream of our overlords to maintain their current status perpetually. Yet they too will feel the downside of total automation. ( And yes, you professional will be replaced as well.)
No. It will collapse, and probably violently.
You can and should automate some things. Certain processes run better when they are automated; you WANT consistent, quality-stable and economic gasoline, and there’s no way to get it in five-gallon artisanal batches hand-crafted in a workshop. In general, automation SHOULD make widgets cheaper – and safer, stronger, etc. At the same time, some jobs like programmers, instrument techs and maintenance techs should open up, these things do go out of calibration, out of order and need fixing, by folks with some skills.
What has happened is that the whole shebang has been sent overseas by folks that have no loyalty to their customers – and their customers should recognize that, and reward it by buying from their competition. Or not buying at all, in some cases. Choose with your pocketbook, and punish those who would punish you.
So long as employees are, overall, self-entitled, lazy, irresponsible assholes, business will do whatever it takes to not have any. So automation is on the cards everywhere.
you talkin to me asswipe?
i think we need a union in this joint–
When HJ’s and BJ’s become automated, it’s over.
outside of the thread, i apologize.
TINA – (there is no alternative)
we can never go back. the ways of doing things, pre automation are gone.
they are never coming back. if our high tech industry collapses for any reason, we will be back to doing calculations and design long hand, on paper. i worked in the industry during the 70’s, 80’s and early 90’s. i worked thru the transition from manual machine tools and assembly methods to early automation. the machine tools of that era have either been scrapped or automated. before automation, it was a world of Dumb tools and skilled craftsmen. now it is skilled tools and Dumb craftsmen.
one example: i worked at Singer in San Leandro, Ca. Singer had bought the Frieden Calculator company. i was there when they were switching from the finest mechanical calculators to electronic calculators. they laid off (fired) thousands of machinists and sold of at scrap metal prices, thousands of machine tools. in the event of total collapse, we could not go back to the state of the art mechanical calculator. we might be able to come up with a Model T version, but state of the art? the learning curve would be quite long. it would take to long to build the machines or convert the electronically controlled ones. it would take too long to train new machinists. going backwards is theoretically possible, but i don’t think it will ever happen. calculators came from cash registers, which came from RPM counters on ships screw shafts . this was in the late 1800’s.
in my opinion, it is continued high tech and automation, or we are screwed. TINA
That’s a rather interesting opinion – will no one ever innovate again?
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Ship’s screw rotation counters were an innovation themselves at one time – the alternative being a strobe light and a stopwatch, I guess? Mechanical calculators were an innovation that resulted from that innovation – a way to do numbers, fast, accurately. Why were mechanical calculators used rather than, say, a system built on colored lights or precise sounds? If you assign BLUE to ZERO and RED to ONE, would you not be able to devise a calculator based on colors? Von Neumann did it with switches. Why not sounds?
Anyway, should we have to give up automation there’s always the Dune Mentat approach – train your mind to do the things you need a computer for. Just watch out for the Pieter de Vries types – they’re bad news.[img