Coronavirus Just Inflicted This Devastating Blow on Social Security

From Birch Gold Group

social security virus

As if Social Security didn’t already have enough challenges ahead, we now have yet another complication. Not surprisingly, it’s a ripple effect from COVID-19.

Before coronavirus hit the scene, most experts agreed that if nothing was done, Social Security would be facing a 21% cut by 2035.

A chart from page 13 of the latest Trustees Report illustrates this prediction:

figure

As bad as this outlook is, it’s been getting worse and worse over the years. You can see a marked decline in just the past year – from 2019 to 2020 – in the following chart:

figure

And now that the virus is hitting the economy with full force, any of those forecasts could be generous at best. Here’s why…

Thanks to lockdown restrictions implemented across the country, official U.S. unemployment still sits at 13.3% (one of the highest since 1939). Some unemployment estimates are even higher.

Whatever statistic you choose to believe, there’s no arguing that the main revenue source for Social Security has been significantly reduced.

The newest Trustees Report did not factor in these impacts, either:

The projections and analysis in these reports do not reflect the potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Social Security and Medicare programs. Given the uncertainty associated with these impacts, the Trustees believe that it is not possible to adjust their estimates accurately at this time.

This could mean Social Security will face drastic cuts before 2034 if the trust fund follows the “worst case scenario”. According to the Independent Institute:

With U.S. unemployment now estimated to be “north of 20 percent,” Social Security is experiencing something much closer to its worst-case scenario, where its trust fund that provides money to boost the retirement income of millions of Americans will run out of money years sooner.

In fact, according to Bipartisan Policy, the trust fund that pays retirement benefits may experience drastic depletion eight years from now:

Our preliminary analysis finds that the Disability Insurance (DI) trust fund’s reserves may be depleted during the next presidential term, and the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund’s reserves may be depleted right around the time of the 2028 presidential election.

The main reasons for this rapid depletion of Social Security funds can be linked to (1) less workers paying into the fund and (2) older workers tapping funds earlier.

“The coronavirus pandemic has moved up Social Security’s day of reckoning,” according to the Independent Institute.

To put it succinctly, this is NOT good.

Tired Solutions to an Increasing Social Security Problem

To solve the Social Security conundrum, lawmakers present the same old solutions over and over again, each time hoping for a different result.

These tired solutions include:

  • Raising the payroll tax rate
  • Increasing the wages subject to Social Security taxes
  • Raising the full retirement age
  • Reducing the annual cost-of-living adjustments
  • Cutting benefits

Any of these solutions could work, at least temporarily. But do you want to bet your retirement on theoretical solutions that could work?

Don’t Let Their Debt “Games” Weigh Down Your Retirement

Whether Social Security runs out of money in 2028, 2034, or later, one thing is certain: the future is far from certain. Each expert has their own idea of what may happen, but who knows if and when any of it will come to pass?

What you can do right now is consider adding protection from instability to your retirement savings through diversification.

Whatever you decide to do, don’t wait for the lawmakers to outline your future. Take control for yourself, and prepare your savings for anything that may come.

With global tensions spiking, thousands of Americans are moving their IRA or 401(k) into an IRA backed by physical gold. Now, thanks to a little-known IRS Tax Law, you can too. Learn how with a free info kit on gold from Birch Gold Group. It reveals how physical precious metals can protect your savings, and how to open a Gold IRA. Click here to get your free Info Kit on Gold.

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24 Comments
Llpoh
Llpoh
June 25, 2020 5:07 pm

But…But….But…..I paid in! I deserves it!

Muscledawg
Muscledawg
  Llpoh
June 25, 2020 5:20 pm

#MeToo

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Llpoh
June 25, 2020 8:34 pm

Awwwwwwww, Llpoh! I know just how’s ya feel! Let’s take a break & see an action / western character’s answer 2 ur exclaimation (30 seconds):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4kjYk2CrQF8

And for all of us, let’s take a comedy break (3 mins) & consider this:

[You can ffwd to 0:53 then let it play thru 1:20 & thru 1:47 to deal w/subject of post]

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
June 25, 2020 5:19 pm

And the President wants a holiday on FICA taxes through the end of they year, putting SS further in the hole.

Will the Fed start buying the Special Treasury Notes to fund SS when Congress has to start redeeming them. This is what happens to all Ponzi schemes. Eventually, there are not enough new people paying in to continue paying to those who got in earlier.

Brian
Brian
  TN Patriot
June 25, 2020 5:43 pm

Maybe if people could utilize these monies instead of them being taken, there wouldn’t be a need for SoSo security on the scale it is now?

Trump has the right idea in suspending “employment” taxes to boost the economy. The advocates of big government DO NOT want that to happen.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  Brian
June 25, 2020 5:47 pm

SS is wealth redistribution. It is taken from the workers and then given back at a later time, with those on the low end of contributions getting much more value than they put into the system. In recent years, the disability portion has grown out of control, with many people drawing from it and working cash jobs on the side.

I could have been a millionaire, if I had been able to keep and invest the SS taxes I and my employer paid in over my 50 years of “contributions”.

Llpoh
Llpoh
  TN Patriot
June 25, 2020 6:01 pm

You worked for fifty years and are not a millionaire? If so, the SS would not necessarily have made a difference to that.

I had employees that became millionaires who were not huge earners. They were dedicated to it.

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  Llpoh
June 25, 2020 6:16 pm

Don’t know the updated figures but “The Millionaire Next Door” said the average millionaire never made more than $60,000 per year. Another counterintuitive factoid is that the average guy making $200,000 never becomes a millionaire.

Llpoh
Llpoh
  Harrington Richardson
June 25, 2020 6:45 pm

Harrington – that is my point. If someone works fifty years and is not a millionaire, an extra $1000 a year less tax will be unlikely to change that. Those that save and invest, do. Those that don’t, don’t.

That said, I am against forced taking of anyone’s money.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  Llpoh
June 26, 2020 8:47 am

A couple of ex-wives took a lot of my savings. Life is about choices and I made quite a few bad ones.

The point I was trying to make is, I was able to put together a nice nest egg by contributing to my 401k for 20 years and had I been able to keep my own money, rather than “contribute” some of it to SS, I would have had enough that the government would not have had to worry about supporting me in my elder years.

SS was designed so they could support those who would not save anything for themselves

Llpoh
Llpoh
  Brian
June 25, 2020 5:58 pm

Brian – do not be so naive. The vast majority of folks would just buy a bigger TV and new igizmos if you gave them the money currently deducted from their paychecks.

Most people are incapable of delayed gratification.

Brian
Brian
  Llpoh
June 25, 2020 6:19 pm

Not trying to say there aren’t stupid people who will buy dumbshit. They’re everywhere. What I do know is that if I had access to those dollars decades ago I’d be better off. Perhaps one could bank up enough capital to drop out of the work force and become a work force creator quicker in life. Become self sufficient, not be a slave to bank loans, interest, etc….

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
  Llpoh
June 25, 2020 11:08 pm

@Lipoh said, “Most people are incapable of delayed gratification”

Funny… it takes one to know one!

Anonymous
Anonymous
  TN Patriot
June 26, 2020 1:40 am

Print moar money.

Articles of Confederation
Articles of Confederation
  TN Patriot
June 26, 2020 3:05 pm

Gen X and younger cohorts should not delude themselves that either SS or their 401(k)s will be relevant by 2024. Maybe sooner. It’s a pipe dream.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  Articles of Confederation
June 26, 2020 5:15 pm

My Econ 101 professor told us in ’72 that we would be lucky if we got a penny out of the Ponzi scheme. He also told us any individual who came up with such a system in private enterprise would be jailed for a very long time.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
June 25, 2020 7:50 pm

Awesome cover story, bro!

Glock-N-Load
Glock-N-Load
June 25, 2020 8:46 pm

comment image

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
June 25, 2020 10:59 pm

Social Security is doing just fine. The military budget will be cut before any Social Security cut. The only way Social Security dies is when the country dies.

BSHJ
BSHJ
June 26, 2020 9:11 am

If they would just invest the ‘funds’ that are currently in the ‘lock box’ in a few select stocks, all the future financial woes would be solved, probably this year. (well, stocks and bitcoin of course)

overthecliff
overthecliff
  BSHJ
June 26, 2020 9:58 am

“lock box) hahahahahahahahaha!

BSHJ
BSHJ
  overthecliff
June 26, 2020 10:06 am

yes, ‘lock box’ is right up there with ‘debt ceiling’

Anonymous
Anonymous
  BSHJ
June 26, 2020 2:30 pm

BSHI there is no lock box and never was ! That was an Al Gore idea that never got traction because as Carlin said those rich cocksuckers would not have been able to get their filthy dick beaters on the cash we and our employers were forced to pay allegedly on our behalf ! Then they pissed it away and pissed on us

Anonymous
Anonymous
June 26, 2020 2:15 pm

Save Social Security is easy just take what Congress stole from it out of government employee salaries and retirement that should even things up !
Oh wait , shit their accounts are really insolvent too “SHIT” now what ? BORROW BORROW , PRINT PRINT PRINT & TAX TAX TAX ! Oh wait everybody in the private sector is waiting for a stimulus rubber check ! Tell you what , I will write a check to pay my taxes from a deficit funded checking account and every time it’s over drawn I’ll add a couple bogus figures and some zeros and a decimal point !
Problem solved and all paid up !?
Vote for me no me no her no him