“If Russia mobilizes, there will be a war.” – Nicholas and Alexandria
I saw a billboard advertising clocks the other day – I guess it’s a sign of the times.
- Common violence. Organized violence is occurring monthly.
- Opposing sides develop governing/war structures. Just in case.
- Common violence that is generally deemed by governmental authorities as justified based on ideology.
- Open War.
The Clock O’Doom has dropped back. For now. The advice remains. Avoid crowds. Get out of cities. Now. A year too soon is better than one day too late.
In this issue: Front Matter – The Clock Retreats – Violence And Censorship Update – Updated Civil War 2.0 Index – The Hungry Days – Links
Front Matter
Welcome to the latest issue of the Civil War II Weather Report. These posts are different than the other posts at Wilder Wealthy and Wise and consist of smaller segments covering multiple topics around the single focus of Civil War 2.0, on the first or second Monday of every month. I’ve created a page (LINK) for links to all of the past issues. Also, subscribe because you’ll join nearly 650 other people and get every single Wilder post delivered to your inbox, M-W-F at 7:30AM Eastern, free of charge.
https://wilderwealthywise.com/civil-war-weather-report-previous-posts/
The Clock Retreats
February was on a pace to at least keep the pressure up.
- COVID was causing Canada to rip apart.
- The Department of Homeland Security decided that (see below) that anyone who put forward “misleading narratives which sow discord or undermine public trust in U.S. government institutions” was a threat.
- Truckers in the United States were getting ready to replicate the Canadian example in D.C.
- Biden was less popular than syphilis.
Then? Ukraine. It’s completely stopped the concern about COVID. Corona is . . . gone. All hail Putin – the man who cured COVID. The truckers are still on the side of freedom in the United States, but the press isn’t covering them at all.
From the Civil War 2.0 standpoint, though, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has completely sucked all the oxygen out of the room. It is the only thing being discussed. And public perception is moving quickly. When the invasion was first launched, only 26% of people (mainly Leftists) wanted to have any American action taken.
Last week, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a resolution 426-3 supporting Ukraine, up to and including troops. It’s a resolution, so it’s not a declaration of war. But the Congressmen think their voters support intervention. They’re right – 74% of people in the United States support a “no-fly” zone over Ukraine.
The only way to do that, of course, is for Americans to directly shoot down Russian planes. I don’t think the Russians would take that well at all. I don’t expect a no-fly zone because even Biden isn’t foolish enough to consider that. I hope.
Regardless, the focus of the American public has been distracted. They’ve stopped fighting each other (sort of) and for the moment, Civil War 2.0 is off the menu. This is only a short-term event. As we’ll cover down below (and in much more detail on Wednesday), this reprieve is only short term. The invasion carries the seeds of stress that will ultimately make Civil War 2.0, much more likely.
For now, though, I’m moving the clock back to 10 minutes to midnight.
Violence And Censorship Update
As mentioned above, at the beginning of February, stress was actively added to the system. First, the DHS decided that differing options counted as terrorism. I’m hoping that they don’t see me calling their little note a blatant violation of the First Amendment as being in violation. I mean, who wouldn’t trust a government that doesn’t want alternative views published?
See for yourself:
Certified Genius Adam Kinzinger (just kidding, I’m not sure he’s smart enough to spell his own name) said that “targeted assassinations” were coming if civil war breaks out. I’m just hoping someone finds a room where he can have his coloring books in peace.
TD Bank, in Canada, gave funds for the Canadian truckers to the courts. Why? Having a different opinion means you’re a target. The Emergencies Act gave them the right to do that. As well as cut anyone who supported them, even verbally, out of the modern economic system.
And never forget – the Left wants people who love freedom bankrupt so they can never have a voice again.
Updated Civil War II Index
The Civil War II graphs are an attempt to measure four factors that might make Civil War II more likely, in real time. They are broken up into Violence, Political Instability, Economic Outlook, and Illegal Alien Crossings. As each of these is difficult to measure, I’ve created for three of the four metrics some leading indicators that combine to become the index. On illegal aliens, I’m just using government figures.
Violence:
Violence is flat. February isn’t (usually) a big month for violence, so that’s to be expected. I would expect the next few months to remain calm as well, perhaps turning back up in April.
Political Instability:
Up is more unstable, but instability fell in February. Short month, and the focus is now more outward.
Economic:
The drop in economic confidence turned around this month, mainly on lower unemployment. This is short term.
Illegal Aliens:
This data was at record levels for this time of year. All-time record levels. Again.
The Hungry Days
I’ve tried to model the way that people feel about the economy, politics, and violence above. One thing those models don’t do is predict. Here’s where a prediction is coming in, but it’s easier to predict what’s going to happen than predicting what will happen to a chocolate Easter bunny if you leave it alone in a room with a fat kid:
- Ukraine is a tremendous producer of food for the world.
- So is Russia.
- Ukraine produces a lot of fertilizer and exports it.
- So does Russia.
In the very best case, Ukrainian harvests will be far below normal. If the war continues, the harvests may be nearly zero. Ukraine may export no food – zero. Their industry for producing fertilizer might be wrecked beyond use, or the docks might be destroyed. Or the docks might be in Russian hands.
Russia, even if allowed to export, may choose to export food only to countries that don’t have sanctions against it. Would you choose to export to people that have cut you off, and might not even have a mechanism to pay you, to people who cut off your Netflix®?
What happens if wheat producers comprising nearly 26% of wheat exports in the world . . . stop selling to most people either because they can’t or don’t want to?
The world gets hungry. And if the millions of barrels of oil and billions of cubic feet of natural gas is off the market, the world gets poor.
So, we can end up in a world that is cold, hungry and poor. Quickly. And those are ideal conditions for Civil War 2.0.
LINKS
As usual, links this month are courtesy of Ricky. Thanks so much, Ricky!!
Bad Guys
https://twitter.com/The_Real_Fly/status/1490379402005393413
https://twitter.com/The_Real_Fly/status/1487927709456031749
https://twitter.com/i/status/1484612953672347648
https://twitter.com/i/status/1490144736732188677
https://twitter.com/The_Real_Fly/status/1489137527659319298
https://twitter.com/i/status/1491418120086454278
https://twitter.com/Networkinvegas/status/1489654175570874368
https://gab.com/DrPaulGosar/posts/107814488157277312
https://twitter.com/NY_Scoop/status/1493116710173429761
https://www.lamag.com/citythinkblog/how-bad-is-crime-in-l-a/
Good Guys
https://twitter.com/BettyKPIX/status/1494117970221547521
https://twitter.com/i/status/1494460147246067720
https://twitter.com/i/status/1494431313452941323
https://twitter.com/i/status/1490900444494712834
https://twitter.com/Orwells_Ghost_/status/1491944537299771400
https://roycewhite.substack.com/p/an-open-letter-to-the-black-bourgeoisie
One Guy
Body Counts
https://goodsciencing.com/covid/athletes-suffer-cardiac-arrest-die-after-covid-shot/
https://sf.gov/sites/default/files/2021-01/2021%2001_OCME%20Overdose%20Report.pdf
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10542549/More-Americans-killed-GUNS-car-crashes.html
Vote Counts
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1486032341210480645.html
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/feb/12/texas-voting-requirements-ballot-rejections
https://www.newsweek.com/film-claims-it-has-video-mules-stuffing-ballot-boxes-2020-election-1679583
https://heritageaction.com/toolkit/election-integrity-toolkit
Civil War…
https://rollcall.com/2022/02/03/civility-downhill-biden-poll/
https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/ross-douthats-civil-war-blame-game
https://bobschaffer-53068.medium.com/how-does-one-grasp-a-civil-war-5101af781ba2
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/13/opinion/january-6-civil-war.html
https://www.businessinsider.com/us-close-to-violent-conflict-book-how-civil-wars-start-2022-1
https://slate.com/culture/2022/01/stephen-marche-next-civil-war-review.html
https://www.newsweek.com/our-second-civil-war-opinion-1670408
https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/politics/story/2022-02-12/ucsd-prof-walter-civil-war
https://jacobinmag.com/2022/02/new-civil-war-apocalyptic-rhetoric-news-media-far-right-liberals
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/adam-kinzinger-civil-war-warning_n_62022630e4b0725faacec344
https://www.businessinsider.com/billionaire-investor-says-us-seemingly-on-path-civil-war-2022-2
…Is Not The Worst That Can Happen…
http://assets.realclear.com/files/2022/03/1969_NEWSCHELLINGMEMO.pdf
Internal strife on back burner?!
I see with the whole euro bullshit and the costs on our economy seems closer then ever!
Pic out your civil war(in minecraft of course!) personality from this list!
I see myself as 10% incompetent retard/80% psycho/10% average Joe!
I would be 80% average Joe and 20% war criminal. The % could switch, depending on circumstances, especially concerning the little ones.
TN,I started out 80% average Joe with 20 % retard,when things got hot picked up some new skills without dying and thus 10% retard drop.The insanity of the whole situation and the horrors seen turned me from normal average Joe to insane psycho that got addicted to the insanity.
James – Just based upon your posts, I do not think you have 1% retard in your being. You come across as an Average Joe with something a bit more hostile hidden and currently under control.
If we are pushed into fighting these evil beings, I pray to God that I will make a good accounting of myself. If for no other reason than the grandkids and great grandkids. 7 decades and counting is a good life while they have their whole lives before them.
If something happened to one of them, then the war criminal in me would surface and the old me would be gone forever.
There be more than a few of us in that boat… Rubicon comes to mind… committed and paddling hard to get to shore and get engaged…
Well,enjoy the paddle,I will cross with a high mount breather tube in me sturdy CJ with /383 stroker motor/built frame/suspension ect.!
No worries though,when you make the crossing have booze and smokes as participation prizes loaded in CJ before the final assault……
Good times!
I am so buying/building a CJ,then,just for shits and grins,perhaps another FJ-40 Landcruiser!
THAT is a bitchin ride.
I had the factory model in college.
Slate Blue.
Saw this on a Rubicon:
If I had wanted a Hummer, I would have called your sister.
War criminal,nope,those are rapists/murderers of innocents ect.
Fighting for your kids/grand kids and any who harmed them still average Joe with a bit of psycho thrown in,which in that case perfectly reasonable.
As for my personal retard,tis the psycho just under control thus screwing up basic ops skills/aoo defense ect.,tis why I am paired up with better thinking folks.
The demons from me childhood in control…….,till needed in fore front.
I was thinking more along the lines of being a war criminal by stalking and apply justice to certain authorities responsible for the atrocities. Maybe monkeying around with some of the infrastructure.
I guess that would make me more of an ungovernable insurgent.
Everyone is a potential “war criminal” when everything has been taken from him.
A lesson the Schwabs of the world have forgotten, but will be reminded of
in due time. See Caucescu for what is in store for these “untouchables”
when the pitchforks come out.
I see myself as a blend of all of those, unfortunately. I have definitely worn all those hats.
Just had this conversation with someone yesterday. Food prices have yet to catch up to the rising cost of gas/diesel, coming shortage of fertilizer, or even inflation. I always go back to the story of Weimar Germany and the cost of a loaf of bread. They used to say it took “a wheelbarrow full of marks to buy a loaf of bread”. That may be stretching the truth a little, but it is more of the point of what happens with an economy that has crashed and burned. Soon it will cost us a “wheelbarrow full of dollars” to buy some bread.
Good thing I have a hundred pounds of flour stored and can make my own bread!
Can we store wheat flour for so long?
I store garbanzo beans which are more nutritious.
Better off storing whole wheat. I have a wheat mill, but no wheat. Living in the northeast its not something I have ever grown. The flour I have is sealed well in 5 gallon buckets (roughly 10lbs per bucket). I store a lot of beans too. I have a ton of that black bean burger mix in #10 cans. I make fun of the vegans for eating it, but for long term storage and nutritional value, they are perfect.
Flour will go rancid quickly if not stored properly. Whole grains are better for storing and you can buy wheat. You’d just need a mill to make flour…
Correct. The flour is part of my “long term, short term” supply. Use that within the first year or so. It is well sealed, so no concerns with it going bad and I expect to use it sooner than later with the rate things are going. I have a mill, just no wheat.
That’s tomorrow’s post . . . .
LOL. Move the clock up, down, all around…nobody knows what’s going on (except HSF). Is there even a war really happening? Probably not.
Gasoline at $10/gal and hamburger at $15/lb will cause lots of stress in the system. But things will really ignite when the brothers in the hood can’t even afford potato chips with their SNAP cards.
I can smell the smoke already–before years end.
Diesel is up 50% since the first of the year and rising daily. Everything we consume is delivered by truck.
In my neck of the woods diesel has risen $1.1o a gallon in under 10 days. The biggest jump was .40 cents in one night.
Grocery costs are going to follow in price hikes in the very near days… Theres gonna be more than a few upset and shocked people…
Don’t be one of those people folks,keep prepping!
Keep working on local groups!
I love the twitface posts all saying take the trucks away… Oh please pleaaase do this…
Once all the trucks have been confiscated that will surely learn them ignorant dumb ass truckers a lesson they’ll never want to repeat…
wait wut!?!? You are all out of my fav soy latte, how does this happen???
No problems Brian.I will deliver you soy latte fans your beverage in,well……,a CJ5 of course with a 383 stroker engine and a built up suspension!
No worries,got you soy boys covered!
brother while the sentiment is nice we don’t want the soi boyz having their double frapacheno… so nix the deliveries… Thx any rate…
Edited: But if you want to come and watch them melt down and aid a little in the ridiculing the man bun warriors, I’d certainly be up with that…
Hmmmm…….,I suppose could deliver other items!
In trying times feel booze and smokes a nice thing,thus……,booze and smokes it is!
Just had a conversation with the contractor that did the handicap ramp into the house. He’s going on about Russia losing this ‘war’ and people getting desperate and likely to start a civil war within Russia. The typical russia russia russia… bad russia…
His talking points, things will get bad here but more so in Russia because people won’t have food, can’t access their money, they’ll be destitute. So my reply… The USA and canukistan to a large degree, have discouraged people from growing gardens, mostly in urban areas, and to be dependent on grocery stores. Whereas Russia, has been encouraging their citizens to grow their own foods and be more self sufficient, for years.
Russia and china have their own payment system so people can still access and spend their money. Plus Russia is going to demand that all oil sales will no longer be in the US petro dollar… but in gold. So who exactly will be affected most by this fiasco?!?!? Won’t be the Russians…
He left with him saying I was mostly right but owed him a beer for saying Putin won’t invade the Ukraine… Which I figured Zelensky would hold out for the big bribes and then sell off some of the weaponry given to him, and signing a peace deal with Russia. I didn’t know at the time Zelensky was a 100% cia puppet… so the contractor will return for his beer and we’ll have some interesting conversations…
Fucking patheticly ignorant retards do not know that Russia makes all of its own things and food, like America used to do, back when it was America.
Exactly! Tomorrow’s post covers this.
Takes awhile to go through all those sites at the end of your article, but always find some real interesting stuff.
A tip of the hat to you all for the work that is put into it.
There will not be a “civil war” in the USA until white people find their identity. Thankfully, we are being forced into that. And war is an option only when no moral options are left.
Ken,while agree,rather other options.
When no other options.
Well then,solutions.
OK,seems Humpday Tunage is still on hold.
So,going to try and keep at bit a tradition alive by offering a Wednesday song,am I holding a dead tradition?!
I posted this awhile back but still seems a fitting song in todays age:
Good song and video in todays time:
Hope you enjoy!
The hell with it!
Going to keep going with the rock!!
While decades newer saw this song in the 70’s!
Have to keep this stuff alive!
Enjoy!
Eh,…..seems Wednesday on sleep mode,lets add Jethro Tull Rainbow Blues live
Another good song on another good day!
I had a Jeep CJ would be a good first tune!
Sigh…..,lets try again:
I wanted to make sure this one got included by Ricky, if not already…