Joel Rayburn is a retired Colonel and current fellow at the New American Foundation. He has many medals on his uniform and is a combat hardened veteran. People who served under him swear that he is the most honest man in the military. You can trust his assessment, is what I’m saying.
He gave a rather long interview regrading the State of the War (see Source link below). For your benefit I am posting only KEY phrases. You will be stunned, I promise you that.
Listen, when new data is presented, an intelligent person will adjust their views! Will you?? As for me, I’m afraid that I must apologize for submitting articles these past two months espousing the Russia-Is-Winning mantra. While I still love Caucasian mother Russia, and want her to win … the sad fact is that Russia is losing. Deal with it. On a positive note, Ukraine is also Caucasian.
===========================
I think, over all, the campaign design was flawed from the start. It was an invasion force that was too small for the task, just in straight numbers—in the numbers of combat units, combat formations they were able to put on the battlefield.
But then they didn’t have sufficient logistics in place to support even that force.
What we can now see is that they simply do not have the institutional capacity to support offensive operations deep into enemy territory and aren’t able to give units supply and combat support of all kinds: artillery support, air support, air-defense support. With an already weak logistics base, it was an enormous mistake for them to chop their main offensive into four major axes that were widely geographically dispersed.
Then there’s the kind of equipment that’s showing up on the battlefield. . . . And then they’re showing up on the battlefield in the axis of advance toward Kharkiv and Chernihiv and Kyiv with Cold War-era, non-modernized, armored combat vehicles—both infantry vehicles and tanks.
It seems like one of the priorities for their modernization project was the air-defense systems, and also their precision-guided munitions—both aircraft-borne and surface-to-surface missiles—and ballistic missiles. But those all failed.
Yeah, of course that’s part of the story—and, listen, I’m not an expert on the preëxisting Russia-Ukraine conflict—but it does seem that the Ukrainians have been under attack from the Russians and Russian proxies since 2014.
I think everyone assumed that they were going to set Kyiv as their primary objective and their main effort. . . . But, if they were going to do it, I think the expectation was they were going to throw all their best equipment, their best units, and their logistics capabilities at Kyiv. And they obviously didn’t do that.
A bad army was ordered to do something stupid. They were sending armored units just ambling down the road with no infantry screen, no reconnaissance, no air cover. And then the Ukrainians just picked them off with anti-tank weapons. It’s not surprising.
They’re a poor-quality military with poor-quality leadership and poor logistics—and seemingly highly inclined to corruption.
Their losses have been astronomical. Their units have taken such a beating. Their logistics are weak. Their leadership is poor and their troops so poorly trained and motivated. I just don’t see how the kind of force that has been defeated in the north over the first six weeks of this war can suddenly transform itself into a force that’s going to be able to get done what they appear to want to get done, even in eastern Ukraine, southeastern Ukraine.
The units that got destroyed in the north, their remnants are not magically going to have been reorganized into effective units on the ride from Belarus down to the southeast.
What we’ve seen in action is a military machine on the Russian side that could not pull off a confrontation with any NATO power.
SOURCE: New Yorker
THE END
I’m not a big fiction fan, so only read the first paragraph.
Pussy!!
🙂
I am going to the George Carlin axiom with ANYONE connected to government here.
It’s all lies from them until proven otherwise.
Retarded cocksucker!!
(:
sorry guys I’m just out of Oxycodone so I enter here to troll
🙂
Stucky still thinks this shit happened
Robbie Parker CNN Interview
https://153news.net/watch_video.php?v=4OBM6149OANW
sorry guys, I have a Tourette syndrome, I always say Pussy (that word always reminds me of my mom)
I hate it when you make me laugh. F off /s
Hunter, is that you?
Really. Disinformation at the very least. Clearly metric numbers, gotta multiply ’em by .62 to get the true count. 3/5ths has also been popular, but that fell outta fashion ’cause it never added up nohow.
propaganda
https://t.me/beholdisraelchannel/9128
Elite units in the Ukrainian army refuse to fight, for fear of becoming cannon fodder.
Members of the 18th Marines’ Battalion today released a video to the public and government in Kiev, declaring that they refuse to go to the front against the Russian army.
(Guy Bechor)
…. but Sucky says otherwise, because reasons ….
you sir are a dumbass….or maybe you get Stucky?:/
Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy , has conceded that Kyiv’s forces are currently suffering up to 100 fatalities and 500 wounded every day.
In an interview with the US Newsmax television channel that aired yesterday, Zelenskiy said:
The situation is very difficult; we’re losing 60-100 soldiers per day as killed in action and something around 500 people as wounded in action. So we are holding our defensive perimeters.
The most difficult situation is in the east of Ukraine and southern Donetsk and Luhansk, Zelenskiy added.
Stucky,
I love you, but you were wrong to do a 180 on this. This colonel is full of it. No, Russia is not losing and will not lose. This is wishful thinking by the same morons who brought us Iraq and Afghanistan. The good colonel may have a chest full of medals but that does not make him a veteran of the kind of war that is being fought in Ukraine.
The truth. Yes, the Russians stumbled somewhat in their initial attacks and Putin pulled his punches. He was hoping for the Zelensky regime to fall apart and save him the trouble of pulverizing the country. Unfortunately, our treasonous Neo-Con lunatics ordered Zelensky to fight a hopeless fight. The chickens are now coming home to roost.
The facts. The Russians are systematically destroying the Ukraine army and no amount of foreign military aid will change this, period. The Russians are using their traditional tactics, no more Mr. Nice Guy. They are locating and fixing in place Ukraine units and literally blowing them away. All the fake news and U.S. government propaganda has no effect whatsoever on this ugly reality. There is no possibility of any successful Ukraine counterattack, none.
Biden, the senile madman in the White House, has just authorized the sending of sophisticated U.S. missile systems to Ukraine. These will soon be targets and, then, scrap metal.
Russia is not the Soviet Union and Russian soldiers are not “Orcs”. Stop swallowing childish propaganda and face the facts. The same traitors we hate and who run our government, brought about this disaster. Let them drink it to the dregs.
After all these years I think I know Stucky’s true motives. He is trying to stir up a shitstorm by posting something from a left wing rag like The New Yorker. He doesn’t believe what he wrote.
He does…he’s a joo luver. ;0
Ummmm … ADMIN!
.
Before it’s all said and done, I think the chance of a nuclear exchange is considerably elevated.
You’ve been Stucked Sage.
Even so…
…the back-and-forth is good training for anti-psyop and anti-propaganda prowess!!!
Old School (traditionalist) New Jerseyans are too ornery to be susceptible to New Yorker-level propaganda — even when it comes from a fruit salad-decorated military authoritah.
I have no idea if he has a lot of medals, or actual combat experience, or what his underlings think of him. I just made all that shit up on the fly. You know, to build up my story.
I think that was obvious and why he was talking about appeals to authoritah.
Sure thing Sucky
Depends on which exit they take.
Thank you for speaking up. I’m almost ashamed to say I’m a Boomer but yet I too realize Russia has NOT been communist for nearly 40 years. Nor did I forget that JFK did exactly what Putin is doing today. I was 10 during the Cuban Missile Crises. Kennedy told Khrushchev get your fucking missiles out of Cuba or we go to war!! Exactly what Putin has told the ukraine scumbags for the LAST FIVE YEARS. NO NATO FORCES NO NATO weapons in Ukraine. Only difference Putin never threatened ukraine with Nuclear war but JFK had no choice but to to threaten a Nuke exchange if the USSR did not get the fuck out of Cuba
Stucky,
It constantly amazes me how your posts are both stupid and irritating.
Find a day job. I suggest toilet cleaner because of all the shit you stir.
Gee Whiz anoner… You must be a newbie. Stuckies role here is to post stoopid shit that he knows ain’t so, just so he can see posts like this lol. He roped me in couple three years or so ago with a “I changed my my mind, Global Warming is real” or something similar post. Had the iconic pic of the polar bear on a tiny chunk of ice, and other stupid shit. Wish I could find the post, searched TBP, but no luck.
I made one of my very first replies on this site after lurking since 2010 or so… Posted with a high and mighty attitude, with many factual rebuttals, complete with charts, graphs etc., topped off with a “I’m smart, you’re a dumbshit” frosting layer.
Took me more than half a day to realize, duh, Stuck got me lol
Thank you, I’ll consider it.
What a weak-assed insult!! Only 8 measly thumbs up. You would have gotten 30-40 up votes if you said I was ‘a total fucken moron’, or that I should ‘choke on a bag of dicks’. But, you blew it.
I thought mine was better…well like belly buttons… /s
One thing not mentioned about this war is that when Russia is finished consolidating its gains in eastern Ukraine it will have effectively annexed over 85% of Ukraine’s extensive coal reserves and a good percentage of its natural gas production. Like they say, possession is 9/10ths of the law.
I’d be more interested to hear what the good colonel has to say about the transgender parade that is now the US military. Or would his assessment be just as skewed?
Was this originally written for Children’s Highlights magazine?
If that guy was a commissioned officier, they should have commissioned him some English courses.
He is to military analysis what Mis Crimea is to beauty pageants.
I think I just threw up a little.
New mayor of Chicago?
doppelganger alert
Oh, you are truly evil. MARGE, BRING THE EYE BLEACH. QUICKLY!
Oh my……….. I’m glad I had a light lunch…………
Sigh… I’m living in a world where various forms of satire, parody, and irony are only rarely recognized.
Making comments on the brilliant Ukrainian strategy of putting as many as possible of their soldiers into 360 degree target rich environments to make more efficient use of ammunition and to provoke Russians to hit each other in a crossfire would no longer draw a few snickers but a long thread of armchair strategists debating the relative merits of such a strategy and some who’d repost it as proof of ‘Elensky’s brilliance as a strategist and leader.
Makes me wonder what the twitter responses would have been to Jonathan Swift after A Modest Proposal was published.
The broadsheets, periodicals and academic journals of the day came completely unhinged over A Modest Proposal
A good video if you have the time….
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UHIap72SViY
Really Stucky. When was the last time A North Atlantic Treaty Organization nation won a war? The First Gulf War in 1991 maybe. Russia has outperformed America in Syria. They are winning this war in the Ukraine. Most of Eastern Ukraine has fallen and the Russians have actually destroyed large segments of the Ukraine army. This is a more methodical war than the one western powers fight but, in the long run, more effective.
New Yorker
Stucks on a roll. Sorry, Troll.
Utter horseshit.
Jeez, the articles this author writes, or suggests… he bounces about more than ping pong ball. Now often this has been tongue in cheek but, fact is that far too many people have zero ability to assess any information. Their ‘assessment’ is based upon the speaker’s (or writer’s) persuasiveness or historical background which immediately creates a bias. This has nothing to do with an actual reassessment of the situation given there is no way to know what the real situation actually is as any an all ‘information’ is filtered through others that may (or may not) have their own inherent bias. We have seen many ‘decorated’ and supposedly honorable military men (Maddog) that have turned out to be on the payroll. If this author took a moment to look for actual podcasts done within countries by the average person, then it would be seen that Russian people do not seem to have any of the worries that are being perpetrated by the media.
Bullshit of a whole new magnitude.
Oh, ok, it’s from April 21st.
As otherwise one could only answer the colonel with “You know what? You gotta learn to lie better.”
“Mirror, mirror on the wall. Who is the fairest of them all?” asked the Colonel.
“Belosnezhka, you dumb bastard,” said the mirror, “and don’t you forget it.”
If the Bear can’t defeat Clown World Faggot, then all Christendom is lost.
“The most difficult situation is in the east of Ukraine and southern Donetsk and Luhansk. The situation is very difficult; we’re losing 60-100 soldiers per day as killed in action and something around 500 people as wounded in action. So we are holding our defensive perimeters.”
——- Zelenski, a few days ago in an interview with Newsmax
Zel HIMSELF admits to 600 casualties per day! That’s about 18,000 per month. And you know for damned sure he is LOW BALLING! More accurate estimates are the Ukies are being killed at about a 400 -500 clip per day.
This is further proof Russia is losing. The Russians are expending massive amounts of ammunition. They will probably run out of ammunition any day now. And once an army runs out of ammo … it’s GAME OVER.
With all of the emigration and cannon fodder this conflict reads like a clear the land of natives. Now who would want that?
The Russians beat the French, the Germans, held N. Korea and won in Vietnam; beat the Iraq terrorist and are winning in Ukraine; they won all the NATO war games I know about; any Colonel who thinks today’s NATO with female Sec of Defenses could beat them is FOS. I’ll just have to believe my lying eyes over the New Yorker.
Placing credence in the New Yorker is your first mistake. You will get a higher level of intelligent discourse from Dick and Jane. One example:
“but it does seem that the Ukrainians have been under attack from the Russians and Russian proxies since 2014.”
Sorry, just the opposite. After the Maidan coup conducted by the U.S. in 2014 and the installation of the clown Zelensky; Ukraine started a genocide campaign against its own citizens in the Donbas region killing 14,000 or so. The rescue of the remainder of these Russian speakers is why Russia invaded.
Also, doesn’t it seem strange that Ukraine, after “rescuing” all its AZOV NAZI warriors from Mariupol, would send them all to Russia to be looked after?
It also seems strange that key worldwide players are starting to talk about the partitioning of Ukraine as a way to end the conflict.
Ukraine sure has a strange way of winning.
I will file this right next to Colin Powell’s report on weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.
Mission Accomplished
You’re making a fool of yourself. It’s sad to watch.
If some of you guys would just scan the replies first before you comment you would look a lot smarter. As it is your looking pretty stupid.
It’s not dispositive, but when every lying sack of crap f*ckhead in the world is on the same side as you…you just might want to rethink.
Come on Ol’ Stucky, this is obvious propaganda. One (allegedly) retired spook working for a laughable globalist front .org is enough to turn your head? Are they holding one of your kids hostage?
Anyone who seriously thinks Russia is losing the war is suffering from extreme cognitive dissonance. That or they have their head so far up their ass they cannot relate to reality in any way, shape, or form…..
You have been Stucked …. ya big dummy.
Let’s see, article published by known disinformation agency (New Yorker Mag), check.
Authored by a no-one military “expert, check.
Published here by the stupidest poster anyone has ever seen (sucky), check.
Total BS.
Wish in one hand and shit in the other.. The Ukraine is on their knees and their “leader” is living la vida loca with US spec ops security and billions in off shore accounts… The USA is a destroyed Republic because of twats like you. I can only hope I’m the one to deal with you when the time comes. You fuck wad.
You have been Stucked …. ya fukstick dumbass.
Source: New Yorker … ‘Nuff Said … 😉
I’m pretty sure Stuck is just fucking with us. As he is wont to do. I got caught in one of these a long time ago. Even got Jim involved. Not this time Stuck!
“What we’ve seen in action is a military machine on the Russian side that could not pull off a confrontation with any NATO power.”
Which couldn’t possibly be the point of it.
It’s 8:15 and people still being deeked out by this satire. Reading even a few comments you would have seen Stucky is funnin wid yuze gyze. The IQ of this joint has dropped 100 points.
Truly. Fucking. Amazing!
Could anyone blame God for performing a mercy killing on this mess of a country?
Can we blame him for not getting the f’n job done already?
The Ruusians were and are only interested in 2 things: The eastern Donbas and southern coast of Ukraine, and eliminating US sponsored bio-labs. They sent units into the Kyiv area and the western section of Ukraine to tie-down forces that might otherwise have opposed their objectives. They will eventually encircle Ukranian forces in the east, secure all of the country’s southern coastal ports and that’ll be that. Putin said it at the outset – Russia doesn’t want the entire country. All they need is to control Ukraine’s access to ports and charge for the shipping rights to move resources out of the country. That and ensure Ukraine never joins NATO.
Horseshit. Adios.
Don’t know don’t care.
Estimates on total deaths are under 10,000. Chicago is more dangerous than what is happening in Ukraine.
I am surprised that whatever Russia is going to do hasn’t yet happened. I figured that it would be over in a day or two. My guess is they are trying to limit body count for both sides.
saw this today on teevee ….. man protecting his dogs dukes it out with a ‘roo ………….. IS THAT YOU???
Big roo. Dangerous. Guy could have been killed. I know that area well.
My dogs would have made short work of that big bastard, though.
Thanks for posting it.
It might could be LLPOH indeed. Those dogs look like Boerboels.
Those are staffies. Around 30 pounds normally. Nice dogs but gotta watch them around kids. Mine are around 150. Jaws that open like a croc’s. Had a basketball in the yard – big male chomped it. Large, fast, agile. Roo would have been boerboel crap very quickly.
This may be typical Stucky idiotic humor…but the fact is if Russia loses or is even close to losing I will eat his shorts. Idiot. Put your mask on dude.
BLOW ME, ASSHOLE.
HHeHe…ssshhh.
This is pretty solid evidence that the Stuckmaster is an idiot and that the readers here exceed him in intelligence by leaps and bounds!
Pretty solid evidence Fielding Mellish is a total numbskull.
New Yorker. Nuff said.