Guest Post by Pat Buchanan
If Sanders, with cash on hand unmatched by any rival, save billionaire Bloomberg, wins the Granite State, he becomes the progressives’ champion over rival Elizabeth Warren and is in the race all the way to the convention.
By the end of February, the race for the Democratic nomination may have come down to a choice of one of three white men.
Two are well into their 70s, and either would be the oldest president ever inaugurated. The third is a 38-year-old gay in a same-sex marriage who would be our youngest president ever.
How is it possible, if not probable, that Bernie Sanders, Michael Bloomberg and Pete Buttigieg will be the last three Democrats standing?
Consider what the Iowa caucuses produced — after the Democrats figured out how to count votes.
Sanders won the popular vote on both the first and second ballots. As of Thursday, with 547 state delegates, he was only three shy of Buttigieg’s total. And the caucus yet to report is in Sanders country.
By week’s end, Sanders could be the declared winner of Iowa. And though he was denied the bounce he would have gotten if that news had been posted Monday night, Sanders raised $25 million in January and is running a clear first in the latest New Hampshire polls.
If Sanders, with cash on hand unmatched by any rival, save billionaire Bloomberg, wins the Granite State, he becomes the progressives’ champion over rival Elizabeth Warren and is in the race all the way to the convention.
Consider the prospects of Mayor Pete.
Even before the first returns were reported in Iowa, he declared his campaign “victorious” and left for New Hampshire. By Wednesday, after two-thirds of the ballots had been counted, he appeared to have won the battle for delegates.
By Thursday, in the latest polls of New Hampshire, Buttigieg had vaulted into second place. As of now, it looks like a Buttigieg-Sanders race in New Hampshire on Tuesday, with the big losers from Iowa — Warren, Joe Biden and Amy Klobuchar — the big losers again.
If the trends do not change and polls do not shift over the weekend, former Vice President Joe Biden appears headed for another “gut punch” like the one he says he suffered in Iowa.
And Biden may not get up off the canvas after this one.
Thursday, the Boston Globe/Suffolk and WHDH/Emerson polls both showed Sanders beating Biden like a drum, better than two-to-one.
Moreover, Biden’s fundraising has fallen off, and it is unlikely major donors are going to send cash to a candidate who just ran fourth in Iowa and could run fourth or fifth in New Hampshire.
Buttigieg is the candidate whose stock is rising. He has surged to second place, just six points and 10 points behind Sanders in the two latest New Hampshire polls, while Biden is lagging a distant 13 and 19 points behind Sanders.
Now, consider Klobuchar. As a senator from Minnesota, she was expected to do well, indeed, her personal best, in the neighboring state of Iowa. She ran fifth. And though she has the endorsement of the leading newspaper in New Hampshire, the Union-Leader, she, too, is trailing Sanders in the latest polls by more than three-to-one.
If Klobuchar runs fifth in Iowa and third, fourth or fifth in New Hampshire, in what state does she win her first primary? And as her fundraising has never matched that of the front-runners, where does she get the money to match Sanders or Bloomberg on Super Tuesday, now just three weeks off?
Klobuchar is now in the second tier in New Hampshire, behind Sanders and Buttigieg, but right alongside Biden and Warren. A third-, fourth- or fifth-place finish would be near-fatal for them all.
As for Warren, in her battle with Sanders to emerge as the champion of the progressive wing of the party, her third-place finish in Iowa, and her expected third-place finish in New Hampshire, at best, would seem to settle that issue for this election.
Sanders beat Warren in Iowa, raised far more money in January than she did, and is now beating her two-and-three-to one in the New Hampshire polls.
So, again, the same question is raised. Is what state does Elizabeth Warren beat her progressive rival?
There are two more lingering questions.
If Biden is thrashed in New Hampshire on Tuesday, as he was in Iowa, does he remain viable in South Carolina, where he was so strong before the New Year?
Will African American voters in South Carolina stick by Biden and his claim to be “the most electable” Democrat if he has been floored twice by Sanders and by Buttigieg, and can’t seem to win within his own party?
What I wrote before Iowa seems even more true today:
“If Bernie can beat Biden two or three times in the first four primary states in February, the last remaining roadblock on Bernie’s path to the nomination could be Mike Bloomberg’s billions.”
The Socialist vs. The Billionaire. Could either really beat The Donald?
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Don’t forget Nancy, who will never recover from allowing this impeachment debacle to occur. She will be infamous in the analysis of who did the most damage to our Constitutional Republic to get petty revenge and her own way.
She, in my opinion, epitomizes the “Banality of Evil.”
The prospect of any of them actually being elected president is terrifying… Chip
Kinda who cares, though. I mean its the murderous totalitarian communists, AND, its Iowa. I been to Iowa. It ain’t all that. A few commie/college towns mixed in with some liberal arts progressives and dumbasses that been “votin’ democrat” for generations. Fuck ’em. And the hogs they rode in on.
@ Bob – If you would have gotten out of the “commie/college towns mixed in with some liberal arts progressives” where all the dumbasses who can’t see the forest for the trees live and talked to some REAL Iowa folks you might have a different opinion. It’s actually a pretty conservative mindset out in the “sticks” as it might be put. Try not to choke on that bacon or sausage you eat for breakfast. LOL.
After 30 years in the meat business, there’s no way in hell I’d eat pork. That shit’ll kill ya.
bob,
After 30 years of beatin your meat, you’ve become a fuckin moron.
Sorry bout that.
An openly gay man cant win. Gotta keep it on the down low like obama did. No wsy he gets elected if people knew his wife thing was a tranny.
Pretty sure Petie is the catcher in that relationship.
So was obama……
Since they have a lock on both parties, they don’t care if a gay man is electable or not, just like Netflix doesn’t care about making a profit. The name of the game is debasing the culture and humiliating the white Christian families out there at whatever cost. That’s why Pete Buttplug is a great Democrat candidate.
The entire left side of the ledger is a train wreck of epic proportions. The entire 60’s class of activists are rolling their wheel chairs in circles screaming in pain as Biden keeps flopping and thrashing like a carp on a hot Mississippi deck at the lake. Fauxcahontas has told so many lies that once they began catching up with her she lost her mojo. Bernie has always been Bernie……an angry and dizzy clown who couldn’t find his ass with both hands and binoculars if life depended on it. Don’t forget his wife has a past with the Burlington College caper that disappeared quickly…life as a corpulent felon in training is a tough act to pull…….Buttigieg is a mayor of a college town in Indiana who’s military history is one of driving the boss around in an suv in a combat/hostile fire zone. Besides McKinsey there is nothing…zero zip nada. His laurels are his gayness…..just another identity political player in the tent. He is not qualified at all. The others aren’t much better.
Then please also look at the rest of the left in the equation……Pelosi went higher order and threw a traditional hissy fit when she needed to be on her best behavior and the House of Representatives as a whole was just gob smacked by the President and his lawyers. Remind me again why I would trust the future of this country in the hands of these classless clowns.
Don’t smirk republiclowns…….you’re not much better and are the lesser of two evils.
A terrific summation of the horrific.
Never underestimate the ability of the republicans to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory!
Just barely the lesser of two evils……….
How exactly does Michael Bloomberg have a chance? He’s campaigning as if he’s already the democratic nominee, but he hasn’t attended a single debate, didn’t show in Iowa and has zero backing to be the democratic nominee. He should be campaigning for the nomination, not the presidency.
A Billion bucks buys a lot of support when dealing with people entirely lacking in character or morals.
His goal is to stop Trump from gaining a second term, nothing else. His primary plank is to disarm America and that will not fly in flyover country. Too many hunters in PA, WI & MI for him to win those states and w/o them, he cannot win.
Bernie is a jew, not white (European). The jews label themselves as semites.
The communist left have assuredly worked double time since 2016 to put the fix in for 2020. Don’t think that Trump is an automatic win.
And we get a brokered Democratic convention and presto Hillary rides in to save the day. Excuse me while I go vomit/
Bernie Sanders is to the Democrats what Trump was to the ‘Never Trumper’s.’
Trump was the outside guy that they fought, but he won both the nomination of his party and the presidency.
If the Democrats screw Bernie out of it again they run the risk of him running on a third party like the Green Party and of adding Tulsi Gabbard to his ticket as VP.
Remember that she was a Bernie supporter in 2016.
Bernie took the bribe last time. He announced his million dollar book deal for a book he hadn’t even written the next day after announcing he would support Hillary.
He might take the money again and maybe not.
Even if he does sell out again, Tulsi is not as crooked and would take the nomination from the Green Party and take a lot of Bernie’s supporters with her.
By splitting the Democrats votes they assure The Donald gets re-elected.
It’s a foolish move by the Democrats, but it was a foolish move by the Never Trumper’s too.
And didn’t that work out well for them?
The illusion of choice in the Democrat clown show they are trying to present is just soooo terribly bad. I guess most people prefer to stay deluded than face the truth of the situation.