We have previously warned about a whopping food crisis and supply problems in the fertilizer market. Well, now is worse because that was BEFORE we had the natural gas crisis. Why is that important?
Natural gas is THE critical input into making fertilizer. Urea is essentially ammonia in solid state, the process of which entails reacting ammonia with CO2. And we all now know — thanks to the climate nazis — that CO2 is currently the devil. The problem of course is that with no natural gas there is no urea, and with no urea there is no fertilizer. And with no fertilizer… well, we will eat each other.
Here are the spot urea prices.
Something else that we had noted some time back (in Korea) but which now seems like a larger problem.
Here is an article about an Australian farmer who warns the urea supply crisis could halt normal life within weeks.
Here’s what he says:
‘Not only will we not be able to grow cattle and we will not be able to grow food and we will not be able to grow grain or anything like that, but even if we could, we can’t move it, because we can’t turn a wheel in a truck because we have no Adblue,’ [AdBlue is needed for diesel vehicles — half of all trucks on Australian roads run on diesel
As of February we might not have a truck on the road in Australia, we might not have a train on the tracks.
‘So quite literally the whole country comes to a standstill as of February.’
The farmer then, goes on to say:
‘Go and have a look in your cupboard and go and have a look in your fridge and I guarantee just about every single item there, at some point, urea has been used to produce that item, whether it’s a steak or a salad or a can of baked beans.
Moving to Europe, we have a full blown energy crisis unfolding there, made worse by increasingly more destructive policies by the pointy shoes (let’s produce more solar and wind when it’s proven to be both inadequate and massively costly) and a supply chain crisis.
Take a look at European energy prices.
So here we’re now witnessing the beginnings of what promises to be a storm. Think cold and hungry and you’ve got the right picture.
That electricity comes largely from natural gas, and that natural gas comes from those peaky Russkies.
European Gas Prices Surge Above 100 Euros With Eyes on Russia.
Europe’s benchmark natural gas price rose above 100 euros, or $190 per barrel of oil equivalent, ahead of a series of auctions for pipeline capacity that are seen as a test of Russia’s willingness to ease a supply crunch.
The day-ahead auctions for space on Ukrainian pipelines and capacity at Germany’s Mallnow compressor station will provide a strong signal for how serious Russia is about increasing flows to the west. While the region’s biggest supplier has said it aims to keep refilling European storage sites until the end of December, it hasn’t used short-term auctions to ship more fuel.
So right now we have this situation which is going to make your head spin. Europe is out of gas. They’ve spent the better part of the last decade getting rid of their own domestic energy, replacing it with baubles and toys, which, while scoring big on the woke scorecard, have proven abysmal at producing… well, electricity.
With Europeans now cold and very shortly hungry we are due for a war. Remember that historically, the spiraling food prices have caused civil unrest, revolutions, and wars. On the plus side, it has been known to also cure obesity, so there’s that.
Back to urea and food. You can’t make fertilizer without urea and natural gas. As the price of either of these goes higher (both are), it significantly impacts the price of fertilizer. The price of fertilizer impacts in turn the price of food. This is because fert is the second largest cost component of most agricultural production. The first being… you guessed it, diesel.
We now have a bull market not just in urea, but in natural gas, and to top it off in diesel too.
To expect food prices to remain stable when the ingredients to producing it are all rocketing higher impresses us as comically stupid.
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Starting into the ground rush stage… far to late to pull the cord now…
Come, should, might, maybe, ought to….I need more definitive information.
Stock up or starve is the lowest common denominator.
Fishing gear with one foot in the Gulf and one in the Ocean.
For one week after sprouting your crop? Piss on it! Problem solved.
Not really, but it might help.
https://www.medicinenet.com/is_urea_and_urine_the_same_thing/article.htm
I’ve heard of that before, wasn’t sure if it worked or not. One thing I do know is don’t overdo it or the plants will die.
Not directly on the plant, but the soil and only for a short time. However, once you do that other animals will want to piss there, so it is not really a great idea.
Thanks for the tip. I’m sorta new to gardening, and so I’m leary about trusting oddball theories
Directing fresh piss on a plant will kill a plant. Aged piss makes great fertilizer. The farmers will have to go back to using manure and piss on their fields. Modern fertilizers deplete the soil, aged piss and poo enrich the soil. Just don’t run barefoot across those freshly fertilized fields.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sEWgKmC3dC8
Remember those old wine commercials with Orson Welles? I visualize him saying “we’ll sell no piss, unless it’s urine.”
Something to check out if it’s right for you.
Agrowinn-Minerals Rock Dust (CDFA Registered)
https://www.fertilizeronline.com/rockdust.php
I amend my garden soil with this volcanic dust.
Do not let squirrels piss on your weed plants, it will kill them.
Cats will keep the squirrels away, Bubbles will lend you some.
I use 32-0-0 fertilizer on my pastures but my supply store ran out this Fall and there isn’t any more anywhere; so I had to use 25-5-10 which costs a bit more. For me it’s like the Australian rancher said: no fertilizer, no pasture, no cattle (well a couple for me but not a herd for thee). Gonna be hunger hell for city slickers when we run out of fertilizer, diesel, workers, trucking, etc, for row crops. PS: That crap where NYC Cops are throwing even kids out of restaurants, and stopping people from buying groceries if they are not Vaxxed is the kind of Australian and EU stupid that will not fly in the South or West. TPTB are pushing so hard because the Vaxxed are starting to drop dead on them. Y’all try pushing that kind of stupid shit again as Federal Laws or Court Rulings and you got yourselves another Civil War (ie, Fascist Communism Phase II vs Counter-Revolution), you betcha stinking stupid NWO liberal asses; and there probably won’t be another Anderson Prison (or any prison of war camps for communist for that matter because traditionally communist rarely ever take and hold prisoners humanly and it will be tit for tat, “Red” vs Blue). Boohoo, Bye-Bye Blue but it doesn’t have to be if y’all liberals will stop and think sanely for about 5 seconds.
I have built some raised beds from rabbit manure and discarded straw and the production is amazing, even now. We are having unseasonably mild weather and the lettuce and kale are thriving.
Same problem with fertilizer here in Missouri. There will be some natural farms (like those out here still rotating their herds and cropland) and not committed to the huge corporate farm owners and associated businesses/banks. Those will produce well for the local area, but if the new regime tries to centralize and collectivize, it will mean war, I think.
Holy Jesus, yesterday (28Dec2021) I went to the supply store to get 20 fence boards and they were up to $ 400 and the fertilizer was $1,000/ton! Last year it was $400/ton, this Spring it was $600/ton! No way do I expect to be able to make $1,000/ton back on my cattle which are still about $500/head same as two years ago. Hay has gone way up, feed has more than doubled, rye seed has tripled, etc. I will be culling the chickens, not buying fertilizer, not buying more cows. seed, etc. I will be planting more non-GMO beans; I think we will have to become beaners ourselves.
For the smaller producers, pasture rotation and diversity accomplish everything, but you can’t factory farm without real factories to support it.
You may need to get really serious about growing your own. My grandfather was a sharecropper who farmed with horses and mules. No electricity and no chemical fertilizer, just loads of manure. A horse can poop up to fifty pounds in one day, ditto for a cow. A Holstein cow weighing 1,500 pounds can crap out almost 115 pounds a day. Dairies and feedlots are awash in the stuff. It has to be aged but it replenishes the soil and works better than chemical fertilizer.
If you have no animals, fret not, you can produce a few pounds a day all by yourself…Politicians produce tons of the stuff, mostly with their mouths.
If it comes from a Politician, it is poisonous hazardous garbage lies, don’t consume any of it.
Funny you mention your G-father, MG…M.it was my Dad who worked behind a threshing machine all day, or behind a team of mules breaking a field. When he got dementia he was always wanting to head out to hook up a team for a day’s work.
Driving up the price of inputs is just another way to steal from one of the few producers of human wealth on the planet – the farmer. You could say this also robs from the production of other labor, but corporations and their owners have had that segment on fully siphoned and vertically integrated automated theft for a long time.
Here is something that no one is talking about when they discuss the shipping industry bottlenecks – there aren’t enough ships in compliance with IMO 2020.
https://www.imo.org/en/MediaCentre/HotTopics/Pages/Sulphur-2020.aspx
Back in 2015 the offshore oil industry that employed FPSOs (Floating Production, Storage, and Offloading facilities) was not even preparing for this and I can bet neither was the shipping industry. We figured we’d just mothball these older vessels when oil production went sub-economic and deal with the IMO with newbuilds that came on stream. But then the oil crash of August 2014 hit and there were no new newbuilds save for a handful in Guyana. I bet this is why shipping rates have gone through the roof – they can’t find IMO compliant ships, and this is why California is such a bottleneck as trucks passing through I-10 / I-15 and I-80 / I-5 all must comply with Utopia’s emissions limits which is less that 40% of the US truck fleet.
And what is nuts about this “energy crisis” is the world is literally awash in natural gas – we could run 5% of the country on what is flared from Permian Basin but no one dare build a pipeline now. Not to mention the world has over 100 years of coal reserves still to be exploited from KNOWN deposits. Oil companies are replacing execs with women who will go along to get along with the Wall Street / Fed owners so you can kiss any energy innovation goodbye for the time being – it will be paralyzed with process administration, diversity goals, virtue signalling, and feminine indecision. Oil biz will roll over and fold as it drinks from the same NYC well that all other industries drink from.
It’s all political sand in the gearbox and part of this bullshit great reset nonsense.
You will eat nothing… and you will be happy.
Am perusing this old post and came upon this one… laughed.
Farmers, Truckers STOPPED as Food Supply Collapses
flash, if you are still watching this for notifications, I am watching it again now, rethinking everything that happened regarding trucking, food supply and WAR.
Hunger causes people to do things they would not normally do, I’ve heard. Then, the problem becomes the fact that rationalization of criminal behavior for hunger normalizes the behavior. Committing a crime to feed oneself makes the next crime easier to commit to clothe oneself.
In hindsight, the Canadian Truckers Convoy, if more people were aware and the story hadn’t been censored by MSM, could have inspired a lot more community building and food preparedness. Not only do they control what is said but they also control who hears.
We are in the Food-Chain shortage part of it now, but distracted still by COVID lockdowns…
Look over there. Squirrel.
Anyway… this guy makes a lot of sense and at the 11 minute part discusses what people need to do. There is still some time.
I doubt this will help….
Truckers frustrated by looming Biden vaccine mandate for cross-border Canada shipments
Starting Jan. 15, 2022, Canada will require all “essential service providers, including truck drivers,” to be fully vaccinated upon entry into the country. Similarly, all truck drivers will also be required to be fully vaccinated to enter the U.S. one week later on Jan. 22.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/truckers-face-looming-vaccine-mandate-for-cross-border-canada-shipments
FYI, AdBlue® is a brand name for Diesel Exhaust Fluid (“DEF”). The only diesel that doesn’t need it is the VW Group’s 2.0L Turbo (as of 2014, might require it now).
All diesels shut down automatically when DEF levels decrdsase to 10% or so of capacity.
The DEF system can be disconnected and the truck goes merrily on it’s way. It’s illegal of course, with huge fines if caught, so don’t ask this trucker how I know.
Every monitoring system is developed by someone who knows how to avoid it and it is simply a matter of thinking like them.
Both of our vehicles are diesel. A quick flash of software eliminates the EPA. It may become necessary as I’m hearing stories about urea getting difficult to find. Rotella T6 5W-40 is also quite scarce because they are having trouble sourcing some of the additives.
Ouch. I’d say Rotella has 40-50% market share. Beat my head againt the wall 30+ yrs. ago trying to peddle Exxon XD-3 to truckers . I have to use Mobil 1 5W-30 EFS in the MB Sprinter & Cayenne Diesel so should stock up. Already have w/ Vaporex™ DEF (I distribute it).
Guns, grub, gold, and God. Good luck ya’ll.
Bullets, beans, bullion and Bibles right back at ya!
Interesting read and something to think about. The fertilizer shortage is real, farmers are getting nervous because planning for next year’s crop is coming up fast. I live in a big farming region in Eastern NC with hundreds of thousands of acres planted. A lot of fuel just to plow.
https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/china-panic-hoards-half-worlds-grain-supply-amid-threats-global-collapse
Ready to die and face judgement from the Lord, question is, how many are coming with me?
Patience, there are a lot of Blue POS liberals gotta go first…
I was talking to the farmer where I keep a good amount of my bees. He is quite concerned. He has a good amount of liquid nitrogen left from last year but if prices hold he may not plant some fields this year since it will be almost impossible to operate at a profit.
If it comes to that he will be planting cover crops on his productive land and letting it go fallow this coming year. We did discuss crimson clover between rows of corn which is super ideal for my hives and would provide the nitrogen he needs but that would be learning on the fly and he would be staking his livelihood on an experiment.
I forgot to add…Chicken manure from the chicken houses is turning into gold. He said the chicken barns have already started auctioning off their manure.
I may start bagging rabbit poop for gifts.
I buy composted cow manure in 50 lbs bags from the farm where we get our milk and where we see the cows outside grazing all summer long. ($7 per bag)
Always buy extra bags in the fall to keep for next year, since you never know, and I like to start March with enough seeds and compost for the whole year.
Paying for shit? Real actual literal shit?
This is a mystery beyond understanding for a city boy like me.
A farmer is always one year away from foreclosure.
Happy New Year to you as well.
Beware planting any clover (which is about $80/50#) if there are any deer that can get on and off the fields unseen; they will eat every leaf that pops out of the ground..
Just a note of interest, China has been stockpiling GRAIN for a couple of years now…what might they know that we aren’t privy to?????
People eat food?
Define “food.”
Every single day we concern ourselves with food. There are the chores- feeding the livestock, making sure the flocks are watered, the cattle have fresh hay, the sheep get their grain, the hogs are content with their share, the dogs get their bones and scraps, the barn cat has it’s bowl replenished and then we make ourselves breakfast.
Then it is either slaughter- a weekly task throughout the Fall and Winter- or the breakdown of the various primal cuts, the curing, grinding, mixing, smoking, packaging and freezing. Often when we are making either sausages or some other product we’ll cook samples in a cast iron pan on the woodstove, add a pinch of salt and pepper and enjoy a few bites rather than sit down to a lunch and continue on with the various tasks. I usually spend about 7 or 8 hours at this every day unless there is some other emergency or project that requires my efforts. I listen to either podcasts or stream music- Pat Metheny is my favorite for that kind of work because it just goes on forever with no real beginning or end to it- and my sons stop in between their various responsibilities and visit for a few moments or pitch in if they’re all caught up. We also press apples and press the sweet juice into ciders. We chop cabbages and root vegetables and make kimchi and sauerkrauts in large crocks that continually bubble ferment until it’s time to jar them up. Usually a customer or two a day will stop by and ask what we have available and the smell of smoking bacon or the sight of fresh ground pork sausage being mixed with herbs and spices will catch their attention and we’ll fill their boxes or bags up and send them on their way with load to fill up their pantry or freezer.
This is our life. Food, people, hearth, home. The seasons spin by day by day as the Sun either rises in the sky or declines to the south in its circuit. There is snow outdoors now, but shortly, in just a few weeks really, we’ll be back to tapping the maples and then behind the furnace door evaporating the sap and turning it into sweet syrup. It never gets old, never feels like a burden or a drudge. Some days I leave the farm either to run an errand or to help a friend with a project, but most days are spent within a couple of hundred yards of where we sleep in our beds. While I certainly feel the passing of time, understand the decline of my own body as I move into the back forty of life, each day brings me closer to some kind of deep peace I never knew in my past life. Whenever my wife passes near me we come together in a short embrace, giving and receiving the affirmation of our love for each other and then continue on about our day.
I don’t know where we got out of sync with our purpose in life or why we grew accustomed to doing things we hate in order to obtain things we don’t need. We agreed to submit to a life absent purpose in order to avoid labor with real value and never did the math required to determine if it was a fair trade.
Food is central to our existence and our life should be built around those things that we require daily to have a purpose.
Geez, man. Them’s simple truths that just make a lot of sense. To me, at least.
I wish I lived closer to you.
I’d visit you for a spell, if you’d have me, just for the experience, and to see if this reasonably intelligent, yet slightly rickety 61 y/o blue collar, tool knowledgeable city boy could contribute in some way, shape or form, before closing out the 4th quarter in my game of life.
Alas, the wanderlust from younger years is not as compelling as it once was.
Two points.
1. Do you sell and ship your kimchi?
2. I remember you once said you had a comedy gig at the Holly Hotel in my state.
I was in the lower level of that place about a month ago, at a restored small venue holding about 40-50 people maximum.
Caught an old blues harp player named Harmonica Shah, backed up with and old guitarist whose name I can’t tember, who looked like Gandalf.
Had a 72 y/o white bass player to round out the trio.
Thought of you.
Stay the course M.M.
Cheers.
Here’s his contact info if he doesn’t circle back here to reply to you:
[email protected]
Put it in CRP program , get paid, buy a new pickup , don’t plant squat . Hell just rent farm it 50/50 , let it be someone else’s ass ache. Buy your map dap and potash ahead and lock in price . Plot grid map soil samples and only put the fertilizer where it is needed . There are solutions . Besides , everybody knows there will be subsidies to offset increased input costs for farmers , don’t we ?
You must be a Black Farmer.
I don’t know if that was a keyboard right hook or a left jab but all I felt was a whiff of air that failed to connect . But nope , I am not a Daquvarius Hakeem Jackson , “King of Collards” farmer . Nor am I a midwestern , “wait my turn until the ‘Ol Man dies ‘ ” person to have a farm , leveraged to the hilt , drop in my lap by the vagina lottery. But I will say I am a living rurally combat veteran living amongst many of them . Nope I am of a lineage of scots irish persons with a lineage very common to many starting in Virginia , traversing to Tennessee , to find themselves , in the southern Mo county known as “Booger” Douglas County Missouri . I find myself in a region north of that by happenstance of marriage post-military retirement where some of the biggest players are also the biggest “pigs at the trough” of gov’t handouts via the USDA . Kids here get on the honor roll by taking , AG , football , shop, FFA ,etc by having the right last name . While kids like my son busted their ass taking AP classes and make it through to make the Navy nuke program , and get a car by working summers in muck boots wading in pig shit cutting bales of corn stalk bedding off the forks off a front load tractor. Yeah , in spite of owning a 5 acre plot , and having a sock drawer full of medals , I am still just “the white trash down the road” . So you Sir , can kindly kiss my big fat white redneck ass .
Nice to see you there in Douglas County… I was born and raised in the black gumbo muck of Stoddard near Scott, on a small one-family farm with two woodlots in a sea of large farms which mostly became corporate farmlands in the 1980s and are now Roundup Ready and Monsanto’s Minions.
I am now in the low hills of the Ozarks in Bollinger, closer to the Castor River than Ole Miss.
We are retired USAF and have a bunch of ribbons on racks around here too. Oh, and we visit the Poplar Bluff Veterans Hospital occasionally, but are most grateful for Trump’s “Veterans Choice” policy, which allows us to NOT go to Veterans doctors.
I had enough military medical care to kill several people and managed to survive, somehow. God must have something He wants me to do.