The 2nd phase of the Russian SMO

Via Vineyard of the Saker

The 2nd phase of the Russian SMO + personal note

While there are not official confirmations (that I know of) from the Russian military, it appears that Lavrov is the first, and so far only, Russian official who declared that the 2nd phase of the operation has begun.  Truth be told, pretty much everybody else thinks likewise.  Considering the intensity of Russian bombings and artillery strikes overnight, which were reported by numerous sources, it certainly appears reasonable to me to conclude that this 2nd phase has indeeed begun.  For example, the Russian defense ministry reported on Tuesday morning that its troops had delivered artillery strikes at 1,260 Ukrainian military targets overnight, including 1,214 locations where Ukrainian troops amassed their forces.

How long this phase of the war will last is anybody’s guess.  Optimists think a week, pessimists a month, but in reality nobody really knows because the outcome will be determined not by maneuver like during the first phase, but by logistics, specifically fuel and ammunition, in other words by mobility and firepower.

I remind you that the Ukronazi forces in the eastern Ukraine have been in a de facto “cauldron” (as I explained, you can be physically surrounded or you can be “blocked by fire”) since over one month, and that the Ukrainians were not able to meaningfully resupply them while the Russian side has quasi limitless fuel and ammo (in spite of the Pentagon’s hallucinations).  Russia also has air supremacy and very heavy weapons, neither of which the Ukrainians have.

In other words, while the Nazi forces in the eastern Ukraine get slaughtered, the US administration in Kiev will have to change the narrative about “the glorious Ukrainian military is winning” to “Russians are killing babies” (without ever wondering WHY and HOW civilians and even kids ended up inside the Avtostal complex, assuming the recent photos of kids hiding there are real and not made in Kiev).

Nobody really knows how many Ukrainians are still in the Donbass cauldron, and neither do we know how their morale and determination to stand and fight to the end is.  For all these reasons giving even an approximate timeframe for this battle is impossible, at least for me.

This week is Passion Week for Orthodox Christians and I will be leaving tomorrow to attend the church services in our parish, about a 4 hour drive one way, so I will stay there until very late Sunday evening.  In other words, my presence at the blog for the next 6 days will be minimal, I will travel with a laptop, but I will mostly be busy with the preparations for, and the celebration of, Holy Paskha.

So I leave you in the tender care of my colleagues Amarynth and Herb who will continue to post guest posts and keep you informed.

For daily reports, I suggest you follow the (excellent) situation reports written by Nightvision.  Just please keep in mind that due to the nature of this second phase, there will be less maps of troop movements and that moving one or two kilometers against the very heavily and deep defenses of the Ukrainians might mean much more than moving 10 or 20 kilometers on open terrain.

By the way, the Empire of Hate and Lies knows the true score, and they are massively freaking out.

They are now even declaring war on old Russian musical instruments.  As for “Ze” – he has now become a UN National Hero:

Will these infantiles every grow up?

I doubt it, if anything, their antics “by infantiles – for infantiles” combined with the most massive exercise in world history to “cancel” any “wrong” information, show both how desperate and helpless these folks are.

As for the Nazis occupiers, they just passed a law allowing foreigners to work for the Ukrainian “intelligence” services.  What a surprise, at least for those who had not realized that the USA has been running the SBU, and everything else, in Nazi occupied Ukraine since the Euromaidan (and even before).

In conclusion, I just want to end with a reminder.  This is not a war between Russia and the Ukraine.  This is a war between Russia and the united West, the latest one is a series going back at least a thousand years.  Russia has been singled out for “cancellation” and we don’t want to be canceled.

While for eight years Russia did all she could NOT to get involved, the Empire of Hate and Lies did successfully force her into an open military intervention in the Ukraine, and now that Empire will do all it can to prolong that war and have it result in the maximal loss of human life and the total destruction of the Ukrainian civilian infrastructure, exactly the OPPOSITE of what the Kremlin wants: to disarm and denazify the Ukraine with the minimum of human loss of life and with as much of the civilian infrastructure preserved as possible.  These goals are as asymmetrical as can be, and it is much MUCH easier to destroy than to preserve.  Please keep that in mind when the next propaganda Tsunami hits.

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22 Comments
Obbledy
Obbledy
April 20, 2022 8:42 am

I always keep the salt handy,that being said the Saker seems to be way more informative…… apparently the corporate propagandists have been too comfy reporting from the hotel bar to ever get out DURING the fighting!
All I ever see is smoke from behind some building miles away………I am so tired the pure EVIL that eminates from DC and a good number of state government s as well……………..

Diogenese
Diogenese
  Obbledy
April 20, 2022 2:31 pm
Red River D
Red River D
  Diogenese
April 20, 2022 9:13 pm

Yes. This guy doesn’t look like it, but he has yams of titanium.

But why does he wear his helmet like Gilligan?

Ghost
Ghost
April 20, 2022 9:04 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MPGp8yLLqL

I’d been following Gonzola and sharing some of his videos and now he’s been silent for a few too many days. I hope he is just in hiding again and has not been captured by the Ukrainians.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  Ghost
April 20, 2022 10:17 am

Pro-Ukraine transsexual “journalist” and erstwhile unsuccessful city council candidate in Las Vegas

has been in Ukraine with their army and has been dunking on Lira and insinuated that Lira has been arrested. I just called “my” Senator Amy Klobuchar (known stooge for the US plot to use Ukraine to fight Russia) and asked that she contact her friends in the Zelensky regime and demand Lira’s safety – if it’s not already too late. I’m sure she’ll help. /sarc

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Iska Waran
April 20, 2022 6:23 pm

Report from Scott Ritter’s telegram channel is that Lira has been caught tortured and killed

Ghost
Ghost
  Anonymous
April 20, 2022 6:55 pm

Saw that too… is terrible if so.

Rossa
Rossa
April 20, 2022 9:07 am

Another good sitrep from Nightvision too. Mainly covers the Ukrainian claims to have hit the Moskva with missiles with photo of the ship and evidence of internal explosion so more likely sabotage.

Also an extensive look at the amount of ordinance being sent into Ukraine and how a conventional war between NATO and Russia may not be possible. Draining existing stockpiles is one thing, replacing it in a short time frame to be able to re-arm NATO forces is nearly impossible. The US no longer has the capacity to produce armaments which explains why Biden’s admin has been talking to 8 arms manufacturers. Whether they can or want to step up and can increase production significantly is up for debate.

Which leaves nukes as the only option on the table for the West. May be why there are reports suggesting various scenarios, particularly something like a dirty bomb at the annual Victory Parade in Moscow on 9 May, which is also the date Putin said this ‘war’ would be over. I’m sure there will be nuclear subs off the East and West Coast as a deterrent but whether that would stop anything or not we will have to wait and see.

http://thesaker.is/sitrep-operation-z-11/

samthere403
samthere403
  Rossa
April 20, 2022 11:40 am

Here’s a video describing how the US gov’t is dusting off and getting ready to refurbish ammo plants that were closed after WWII. I don’t know how accurate it is but if it’s accurate it seems to me they are preparing for a much larger war which probably includes China. Maybe us also.

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  samthere403
April 20, 2022 1:10 pm

The Rock Island Arsenal in Rock Island Illinois was home to the largest US ammo plant operated under contract by Remington. It was closed by the Clinton Regime amidst huge protesting by the military and others concerned this would be very much regretted at some point.
F’ing Clinton wanted to use tree hugger ammo with some kind of green crap replacing lead. The only source for the green crap was China which as we all know paid the Clintoons handsomely for their treason. Only a treasonous fool would outsource ammunition to a hostile gangster regime.

Shipping Person
Shipping Person
  Rossa
April 20, 2022 12:20 pm

@ Rossa,
“……evidence of internal explosion so more likely sabotage”.

No – Anti-ship missiles are specifically designed to explode – Inside – a ship. That way they cause maxium damage and may even set of stored ammo etc.

I would be suprised that “Nightvision” made such a claim as internal explosions show sabotage, as I thought he would know enougn to realise that is what anti-ship missiles are designed to do.

All evidence now points that the Moskva was indeed hit by missiles of some sort – it is just a matter of what type (ie ASM, ALATM, or even torpedo).

Rise Up
Rise Up
  Shipping Person
April 20, 2022 1:36 pm

“All evidence shows…”

No such evidence has been shown.

Ghost
Ghost
April 20, 2022 9:16 am

This is a Patrick Lancaster video… Mariupol’s road of death and it is pretty gruesome.

It is the road beside that steel plant where all the Ukrainian “soldiers” were holed up with all the “mercenaries.”

There are dead bodies here and there along the street and it is not difficult to imagine it happening here, sad to say.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  Ghost
April 20, 2022 10:21 am

American tranny “journalist”

has also said that Lancaster “must go”. So he’s in danger of being disappeared. Max Blumenthal of the Greyzone has an article about Zelensky regime crimes and is battling the American Intelligence Community narrative.

joghnsos
joghnsos
  Iska Waran
April 20, 2022 12:24 pm

Lancaster is protected by a Chechen security detail (asfasi), so good luck to any Uki trying to snatch him. He is of course at risk of a snipers bullet, but so is any other high-profile individual or senior officer.

Walt
Walt
April 20, 2022 10:27 am

Such a shame. The place is starting to look like a bomb hit it.
On the bright side, it’s a marvelous opportunity for the experts at Build Back Better Inc. to hone their skills.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  Walt
April 20, 2022 12:16 pm

Does Hillary Clinton still have any living brothers who could bring their Haiti reconstruction expertise to bear in Ukraine?

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
  Iska Waran
April 20, 2022 1:15 pm

James Biden with no background got contracts to build stuff in Iraq. You are automatically a construction wizard if you are related to a Democrat. One more reason they hate Trump. He actually knows what stuff costs to build and tells everyone when we are getting ripped off.

Harrington Richardson
Harrington Richardson
April 20, 2022 1:00 pm

Russia cancelled shipments of hundreds of millions of rounds of small arms ammo to US wholesalers that were sitting on docks to be loaded on ships. Regardless of who you believe, it is apparent that Russia has enough capacity to fight a war while manufacturing and selling ammo to foreign commercial markets.
They try to tell us Russia is short of fuel while printing articles about how Russia has cut back refining due to overproduction because of sanctions. Which is it?
It is my opinion the Russians have literally unlimited ammunition stores and lakes of diesel reserves that would blow your mind.

Rise Up
Rise Up
  Harrington Richardson
April 20, 2022 1:38 pm

I’ve fired hundreds of rounds of Russian Wolf and Bear ammo. Stuff works.

Rise Up
Rise Up
April 20, 2022 1:27 pm

Video digest of the Ukraine war. Some quite graphic.

https://www.bitchute.com/channel/nnwlaOOuDM1W/

donor
donor
April 20, 2022 6:17 pm

use bitcoin or monero to get donations, PoBox? grandpa please! and paypal is fs too!