The Rising Danger of Putin’s Go-Slow Limited War

Guest Post by Paul Craig Roberts

Consider the conflict that seems to be shaping up.  The Russian offensive is on hold as the Kremlin went to war without sufficient soldiers and no reserves.  This passed the initiative to Ukraine fortified with Western weapons.

Ukraine launched two offensives. The one in the south failed.  Ukraine suffered heavy casualties in soldiers and equipment.  The one in the north succeeded in forcing a Russian pullback, but at heavy cost to Ukraine’s forces, not to Russia’s.

A month from now 300,000 Russian soldiers called up by the Kremlin will be deploying.  If these soldiers are well trained and equipped and motivated, Ukraine’s forces, ground down in unsuccessful offenses, are likely to be overwhelmed even if Putin continues his Goody Two Shoes behavior of doing little to prevent Kiev’s ability to conduct war.

Faced with Ukraine’s defeat, what will Washington do?

Will Washington have organized a “coalition of the willing,” as General David Petraeus suggests, and bring boots on the ground to Ukraine’s rescue?

Do we take seriously the statements of General John Lubas, deputy commander of the US 101 Airborne Division, that his forces are a “combat deployment” 3 miles from the Ukraine border and are “fully prepared” to cross into Ukraine at a moment’s notice to fight against Russia?  https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2022/10/26/us-101-airborne-division-on-combat-deployment-3-miles-from-ukraine-border/

What happens if they do? Normally, airborne troops lack the heavy weapons of infantry. The lightly armed airborne division would possibly be cut to pieces by the heavy armor of Russian heavy infantry.

If so, how does Washington react to such a defeat and loss of such a prestigious division as the “Screaming Eagles”?

I think we all know that the result would be escalation by Washington.

So, where is Putin’s “limited military operation” headed?  Armageddon seems the certain destination.  If ever a conflict needed to be ended quickly and decisively, it was Russia’s intervention in Donbass.  By trying to limit the conflict, Putin has greatly expanded it.

Consider other dangers with which the situation is fraught:

A false flag dirty bomb that the Western presstitutes pin on Russia, thus ginning up more outrage to support more war against Russia.

Ukraine destroys a dam that floods Kherson, and Russia responds by destroying a dam whose released waters deliver a large part of Ukraine into Russian hands.

A new more dangerous “Covid variant,” such as the one developed at Boston University, suddenly appears among the Russian troops, rendering them ineffective.

Despite all evidence, the Kremlin still seems to have naive expectations.  The Kremlin discovered Ukraine’s ability to produce a dirty bomb and alerted the West, asking the UN for an investigation.  Washington’s response is to accuse Russia of making a dirty bomb to use in a false flag operation in order to justify Russia escalating the war. It seems that there will be a dirty bomb blamed on Russia and used to harden opposition to any favorable outcome for Russia from the conflict.

On top of it all, the media in Finland report that the government places no limits on NATO’s presence in Finland, including nuclear weapons.  Clearly Russia cannot accept nuclear weapons deployed in Finland.

Notice that no one in the West is making any effort toward de-escalation of the conflict.  All movement is toward escalation.  In order to prevent Russia from reincorporating territory that is historically Russian, we are going to escalate right up to nuclear war, which means the extinction of life on Earth.  https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2022/10/24/fred-reed-indicates-what-nuclear-war-would-be-like-but-steven-starrs-comment-better-describes-the-death-of-the-planet/   

The beginning of End Times was 2014 when Washington overthrew the elected Ukrainian government and installed an anti-Russian puppet government.  The Kremlin let pass the opportunity to prevent the conflict which began in the Donbass by refusing Donbass’ request to be reincorporated into Russia like Crimea.  Russia then waited 8 years while a Ukrainian army was trained and equipped and poised to overthrow the Donbass republics.  When the Kremlin had to intervene, it did so in a limited, ineffective way that gave the West ample time to widen the war, making a mockery of Putin’s claim of a “limited military operation.”

What was required of Russia was a dramatic show of force and immediate end to the conflict, but the Kremlin failed to understand the situation and blundered into placing the initiative in Washington’s hands, which has resulted in an ever widening war that no one in the Western governments shows any desire to stop.

The road to Armageddon seems to be unobstructed and completely open.

People whine about global warming, while ignoring the threat of nuclear winter.  No discussion or even acknowledgment of the threat.  No peace movement. No voices calling attention to the extinction of mankind that stares us in the face.  Instead, we get reassurances that the US and Russian militaries won’t permit nuclear war.  What are these assurances based on?  Certainly not on the war doctrines of the two countries.  The US and Russian defense ministries have made no joint declaration that they will not engage in nuclear war.  If nuclear war is not on the table, what is the purpose of President Obama’s trillion dollar nuclear force modernization?  https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CHRG-114hhrg20822/html/CHRG-114hhrg20822.htm What is the purpose of the rushed upgrade of US nuclear bombs based in Europe?   https://sputniknews.com/20221027/us-could-deploy-upgraded-nuclear-bomb-in-eu-in-december-reports-say-1102752501.html 

How do we survive when vastly more political effort is directed at transgendering children and discrediting Trump than in de-escalating a conflict far more dangerous than the Cuban Missile Crisis?

-----------------------------------------------------
It is my sincere desire to provide readers of this site with the best unbiased information available, and a forum where it can be discussed openly, as our Founders intended. But it is not easy nor inexpensive to do so, especially when those who wish to prevent us from making the truth known, attack us without mercy on all fronts on a daily basis. So each time you visit the site, I would ask that you consider the value that you receive and have received from The Burning Platform and the community of which you are a vital part. I can't do it all alone, and I need your help and support to keep it alive. Please consider contributing an amount commensurate to the value that you receive from this site and community, or even by becoming a sustaining supporter through periodic contributions. [Burning Platform LLC - PO Box 1520 Kulpsville, PA 19443] or Paypal

-----------------------------------------------------
To donate via Stripe, click here.
-----------------------------------------------------
Use promo code ILMF2, and save up to 66% on all MyPillow purchases. (The Burning Platform benefits when you use this promo code.)
Click to visit the TBP Store for Great TBP Merchandise
Subscribe
Notify of
guest
8 Comments
bidenTouchesKids
bidenTouchesKids
October 28, 2022 7:13 am

what will Washington do?

When the Kremlin had to intervene, it did so in a limited, ineffective way

Destroying Ukraines army and infrastructure isn’t the definition of ineffective.

august
august
  bidenTouchesKids
October 28, 2022 1:06 pm

Somebody in the Kremlin, perhaps Putin himself, didn’t realize that the West’s ruling class, when faced with an existential crisis, is actually willing to see a large part of the world die so that their privileged position remains privileged.

Zulu Foxtrot Golf
Zulu Foxtrot Golf
October 28, 2022 7:28 am

The problem with executing military operations are the politicians.

Your goals in any fight are to maximize initiative, conserve fighting strength bypassing unnecessary objectives to the end goal and efficiently destroying your opponent.

Politicians are not interested in that because war is about the biggest paradox in life. They want to win with arbitrary rules about collateral damage.

Putin had a golden opportunity at the start of this but decided to ramp up like we did in the second Iraq goat fuck. Massing troops and blitzkrieg is effective as Germany proved in 39, but you never want to be bogged down in protacted war as the defense always ends up with the advantage.

This is why mercs operated with impunity at the start of gw2. It gets results in unrestricted warfare. You are going to be accused of war crimes regardless, so what? Commit yourself to complete victory or dont bother.

This was one of the most justified national actions ever and it has been muffed from day 1. Putin needed to make an example of what happens when the west finger fucks puppet countries.

I am moderately disappointed in the length of this war and neither side has impressed me at this point. But then again, we no longer have liveleak giving us real vids from the fronts. Man I miss that site lol.

ZFG, out.

P.S. never lose the advantage at any level be it strategic, operational or tactical. Tactical can go either way, but usually favors sound operational planning.

Trumpeter
Trumpeter
  Zulu Foxtrot Golf
October 28, 2022 11:28 am

What if Putin primary goal is not fighting a small operation in Ukrane, but instead is using events in Ukrane to fight a war against dollar hedgimony?

How is he doing so far?

flash
flash
October 28, 2022 7:30 am

“Goody Two Shoes behavior of doing little”
ha ha ha… World renowned military strategist and hero General Deep Shekels Roberts would have flattened the Kiev curve months ago, and took the victory lap, under undulating, thunderous applause from his millions of admirers , played on a continuous loop, in his ever delusional mind.

Someone please email this Deep Shekel pwnd idiot these two words ” attrition warfare” to Google .

RiNS
RiNS
October 28, 2022 9:52 am

The problem Paul Craig Roberts has is he overestimates the importance of the kinetic portion of the war that is going on.

This war is no different than any other. All Putin was trying to do this year was have Russia survive the initial onslaught, both economic and militarily. Papa Poo is using same tactics as Stalin did back when Germans invaded in June 1941. Russia has taken some lumps but the West have set themselves on fire.

comment image

The West started this adventure thinking they were going to a side of fries in this action, are now set for a nice sunset fishing trip..

comment image

comment image

Could this be sweet Manifest Destiny of the Globohomo Woke Hegemony.

And yeah maybe the Kremlin under estimated the West’s abilities to shoot themselves in both feet. Point taken!

But is it fair to blame Putin’s for incorrectly gauging the West’s insanity?

And as for PCR and his clamouring for moar argy bargy by Putin in Ukraine. Well, maybe Papa Poo is just channeling Sun Zhu to stir a porridge that it is not too hot and not too cold. Maybe the plan all along was for Goldilocks to have xirself another bowl.

comment image

Because this war is an information war where the silence is deafening. The West, by saying that Russia is losing, is doing Putin’s bidding?

A win….

Meanwhile back in Moscow the Generals plotting weakness and playing the victim appeal to the sensibilities of the woke NPC’s railing against the latest thing, even if it is only cognitive dissonance that it is triggering.

Another….

As for Putin’s use of the Goody Two Shoes approach. Well, it was done him well to gain favour in rest of the world. The feint in the early days and even now in Kherson was and is meant to give the enemy the impression of weakness.

It would have been terrible optics to go crashing into Kiev like a bull in a China Shop back in February. Those optics would have been contrary to the stated mission of Putin to create a Multi-polar world which implies that places like India, South Africa, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia are going to get a seat at the table. Those countries are now chattering that they think they have a place.

Yet another….

And as long as Putin can grace a stage at an international gathering as a victim of the Golden Billion he wins.

Enter Stage Right!

comment image

For the win, Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin…

Ghost
Ghost
October 28, 2022 1:59 pm

The ugly truth is USA is losing its grip on reality.

Ghost
Ghost
  Ghost
October 28, 2022 2:05 pm

Don’t skip this one…