Question of the day, August 12

Today’s question is a contest, the winner gets a one year paid subscription to the5thEstate.Asia where they will enjoy 365 days of Robert S Finnegan hilarity. What will the Dow Jones average be on December 31, 2015?


Author: Back in PA Mike

Crotchety middle aged man with a hot younger wife dead set on saving this Country.

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22 Comments
Persnickety
Persnickety
August 12, 2015 9:08 pm

20,567 +/- 10

As measured in fiatscos (USD).

Another good question is what it will be measured in gold, oil, health services, etc… and also whether it will be legal for an individual to sell stocks, or if that will be a new crime. Easier to keep the stock market high if selling is illegal. Just ask China.

geo3
geo3
August 12, 2015 9:13 pm

It be on MSNBC, will let you know

EL Coyote
EL Coyote
August 12, 2015 9:15 pm

12,395 +/- 2

kokoda
kokoda
August 12, 2015 9:17 pm

It will still be an Average.

Tator
Tator
August 12, 2015 9:26 pm

19456

EL Coyote
EL Coyote
August 12, 2015 9:27 pm

Oops priced in gold? 10 Oz

Kill Bill
Kill Bill
August 12, 2015 10:10 pm

17,800

klyde
klyde
August 12, 2015 10:10 pm

17856 +or-10

And buffalo bills will be headed for the playoffs

Westcoaster
Westcoaster
August 12, 2015 10:28 pm

Going Down?

AC
AC
August 12, 2015 10:29 pm

8500 +/- 250

Wait, is that a prize or a punishment?

John Angelo
John Angelo
August 12, 2015 10:29 pm

13,400 (an average of 1,000 points down per month from August 2015 to May 2016). DOW 8,000 is my ultimate guess.

kokoda
kokoda
August 12, 2015 10:40 pm

My answer above can’t be beat, but I don’t want to win.

BamBam
BamBam
August 12, 2015 10:55 pm

25,000. They’ll blow this baby so high when it crashes in October using “Bail 2: the desolation of madame Smaug”. It won’t be organic, but it isn’t now so I doubt it’s worth pretending much longer.

bb
bb
August 13, 2015 12:19 am

Just heard on the David Webb show that the next 3 months is a good time to buy bank stocks. Don’t know . Probably don’t care but some of you could get RICH.Think about it.Just invest your whole life savings.

card802
card802
August 13, 2015 6:45 am

It will be whatever the wallstreet bankers want it to be, so my guess is close to where its at today,
17,400 +/- 500 adjusted for inflation or China or Europe or Greece (who will be on their fourth bailout) or Russia or black lives matter riots or……

IndenturedServant
IndenturedServant
August 13, 2015 7:57 am

Has anyone else noticed that the prizes around this place suck? The best prize we had was the chance to beat the living shit out of bb. Even that sucked because beating on the handicapped is not cool.

I’d like to see the DOW at a nice round number like 20,000 or 0. Zero would be preferable as I could take that as a sign that the game, at long last, is afoot!

IndenturedServant
IndenturedServant
August 13, 2015 8:24 am

Hey Mike, I’ve a question for your regular feature if you are so inclined.

“Who is going to take the fall for Hitlery’s dirty hard drive? Will this kill her campaign?”

Leobeer
Leobeer
August 13, 2015 9:27 am

What happened to the Robert S Finnigan post ?

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
August 13, 2015 10:38 am

15,000 +/- 1,000…if I’m wrong I’ll say like most economist say when they are wrong…I can’t be accurate past a length of time greater than 3 months .

Fiatman60
Fiatman60
August 13, 2015 11:48 am

Depends…… on a lot!! Now that the “smart” money came off the table, I suspect somewhere near the 15,000 mark. I don’t think it will be a crash, but a slow bleed off. if it’s just because were in a recession. However outside influences such as China, Eurozone, Russia et al, could cause major corrections down the road.

It’s important to note that a stock market does not make an economy, but if the FED wants more of the same, $ QE4 would be the ticket!!

dc.sunsets
dc.sunsets
August 13, 2015 12:01 pm

12,000 on its way, by June 2016, of about 8,000.

Then a rally to 12,000 from 6/16 to 6/17, followed by 4 years of stair-stepping downward until the ultimate low for the move, down a full 95% from last May’s high.

The latter slide coincides with an implosion in the banking system (bail-ins, bank holidays, capital controls) as the value of bonds of all sorts collapses (and interest rates spike ever higher.)

Ironically, the cause will be deemed “a shortage of money” (because credit will largely disappear and the US economy can’t function on banknote cash alone.)

All of this is, of course, hypothetical. I have no idea what the future will hold, other than that all things that have a beginning also have an end.

dc.sunsets
dc.sunsets
August 13, 2015 12:08 pm

Going to be Just Like housing in 2007…except this time (the 3rd time) is the charm.

I do not think we will see stocks (and bonds) up here in the stratosphere for decades once this finally does roll over (and I do think we may be one more new high in the SPX from that roll-over.)

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