Animation: Global Population by Region From 1950 to 2100

Courtesy of: Visual Capitalist

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According to the most recent projections by the United Nations, the global population will rise from 7.6 billion to 11.2 billion people by 2100.

At this macro level, the global population is growing considerably – but at the micro level, the numbers are all over the map. It’s expected that some countries like Nigeria will see population numbers quadruple by 2100, while other places like China will see a decline by almost 40%.

This raises the question: how different do the regions of the world look in 80 years, in terms of population?

The chart shows expansive population growth in Asia until about 2060, which is when the regional population will peak at roughly 5.3 billion. At this point, the continent will make up 51% of the global population.

In addition, Africa’s population is projected to continue to boom until 2100, at which point it will come close to passing Asia’s total. As we previously showed you, Africa will also be home to many of the world’s largest cities by this time.

Factors of Influence

Although 83 million people are being added to the global population every year, this population growth differs greatly by region. As a result, it’s worth looking at two major factors to see why this is the case.

The first is the fertility rate, which has obvious implications on population growth. On a global basis, this rate (measured in births per woman) is close to 2.5, and by 2100 it will have dropped to 2.0.

However, as you’ll see in this next chart, which shows projected fertility rates, Africa is the only region that will still have high amounts of child births 30 years from now. This will be one major driver of the continent’s population boom.

Total Fertility in 2050 (Live births per woman)

Global fertility in 2050

The second measure that plays a big role in these projections is life expectancy. For each new person born, how long are they expected to live?

Until recently, the only countries that had a life expectancy that exceeded 80 years were in Western Europe, North America, and Oceania, with the notable exception of Japan. However, in the coming decades, even the world’s least developed countries will all be closing in on that same benchmark:

Life Expectancy in 2100 (Years at birth)
Global fertility in 2050

The Next 30 Years

According to these same estimates, it is expected between 2017-2050 that half of all global population growth will be in just nine countries (in this order): India, Nigeria, DRC, Pakistan, Ethiopia, Tanzania, United States, Uganda, and Indonesia.

Over that duration of time, it’s also projected that the populations of 26 African countries will at least double.

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18 Comments
rocky raccoon
rocky raccoon
April 29, 2018 2:46 pm

Goodbye Europe, hello New Africa.

llpoh
llpoh
  rocky raccoon
April 29, 2018 7:34 pm

The world is gonna need one helluva big wall to surround Africa.

AC
AC
April 29, 2018 2:57 pm

What, or perhaps who, are the Asians and Africans going to eat? Neither region is capable of feeding their current population without outside help.

Where, exactly, is the food to support a population roughly four times their current population (by 2100) going to come from?

Anonymous
Anonymous
  AC
April 29, 2018 5:13 pm

Soylent Black, It’s whats for dinner. Maybe we should export Planned Parent(in the) hood and fund it.

Martel's Hammer
Martel's Hammer
  AC
April 29, 2018 5:57 pm

Africa can’t feed itself now and with the South African famers emigrating or being murdered its going to be even worse…..not going to be the population in Africa and Asia is likely to see some significant wars that “trim” the growth rate significantly. Malthus was wrong then and these fools with the exponential algorithms are also wrong. Out migration will explode but their population will not go over 4B!

kokoda the Deplorable Raccoon and I-LUV-CO2
kokoda the Deplorable Raccoon and I-LUV-CO2
April 29, 2018 3:19 pm

Africa will also be home to many of the world’s largest cities by this time (2100).

How about “world’s largest shitholes”
There is a bigger chance African slums will displace cities. Who will build cities once whites are murdered and farm land turned to dust.

NoneYaBiz
NoneYaBiz
April 29, 2018 3:21 pm

This article presupposes that the world population will not suffer a major die off due to a SHTF event between now and the year 2100. Hell earlier this month the stooge in chief of the USA almost brought on WWIII. From what I can see he isn’t finished rattling sabers yet!

I’ll believe pop climbing to 11 bill, if I live long enough to see it. I am 65 now. My grandfather made it to 92. So I might have a ways to go yet before I croak. However, I am doubtful such pop increase will occur.

bigfoot
bigfoot
April 29, 2018 3:23 pm

Looks like the tourism based corporations will be focused on Africa. Waikiki beach will turn black and the shops will stock their merchandise behind glass. Is that racist? Or just practical?

In the fifties I worked for a grocer who had two stores, one on the east side of town and the other on the west side. One side black and one side white. Shoplifters were a huge problem at one of the stores and a very small problem at the other. The guys in the meat department at one of the stores had to be extremely vigilant if they were to show any profit at all. The “lifters” wore coats with interior pockets and wore them even on warm days. Other folks commonly switched labels on the packages in order to get the cheaper price. Merchandise at the counters was minimized as gum and candy disappeared from inventory and never got rung up. Cigarettes were under lock and key. Racism? Don’t make me laugh. You couldn’t help but like most of the people, though. Friendly and warm. Not sure that is the case these days, though I’d bet a lot of older blacks are about the same as they once were, and I feel for them.

If I am reincarnated I hope to find myself in Oceana, or maybe as the future king of Iceland or maybe what was once northern Idaho. Someplace cold.

kokoda the Deplorable Raccoon and I-LUV-CO2
kokoda the Deplorable Raccoon and I-LUV-CO2
  bigfoot
April 29, 2018 4:07 pm

Those meat packages disappearing inside coats – I knew a guy that participated; he called it ‘boosting’.

Jack Lovett
Jack Lovett
April 29, 2018 3:29 pm

A not so pleasant fact is that the coming ice age (yes gore U read that right) will desimate food production globaly. Then we have the
“new world order gang” including the mass murderer billie boy gates and his ilk in their population reduction plan. Bring in the rottinfellars,rottinchilds et al with their poison pharma crap.
Does monsanto fit in this seneraio?

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
April 29, 2018 3:34 pm

The New Silk Road project will take care of that. As you well know life eats life to exist and all the dung as a bi-product of this eating activity fertilizes the soil so more food is produced. Life seems to be the only activity in the universe that goes against the second law of thermo-dynamics as the biosphere keeps growing and changing the crust of the earth.

The earth is self regulating. Those that say man is changing the weather and this is dangerous to life don’t see the larger picture. Man is part of the biosphere and so is influenced subconsciously by the self regulating process of the earth as well as the self regulating process of his body.

Many think they are doing when the truth is they are being done over by processes beyond their control or knowledge.

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
April 29, 2018 4:05 pm

We can speculate all we want but we don’t understand what is going on. We see many species of life disappearing yet we see other species of life appearing as insects and humans. So what does this mean? Only one thing… the biosphere is increasing. Just because it is not in the forms we saw in the past means life is changing; that is all.

What is evident in the human species is that we are seemingly becoming insane. This does tell us something. Perhaps that the human species may be on the verge of self destruction due to it’s many unnatural activities. So mother nature has to make a new place for us. Ever think of the populations of the ants? They far out number humans in population but what keeps them from overwhelming the biosphere is their size. As human populations grow in size perhaps mother nature doing her work to keep the balance will shrink the size of the human being down to the size of an ant? We don’t know or cannot even fathom that outcome yet anything is possible.

Right now in the United States we are experiencing problems that seem to have no solutions. And yet life goes on with no solutions in sight. In the thousands of years of human existence what have we found that justifies human purpose other than we are food for something else bigger than us. Today we call this something else the deep state. What will it be years from now when our current civilization dies and a new one emerges?

Ponder that

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Thunderbird
April 29, 2018 4:21 pm

What new species have appeared?

bigfoot
bigfoot
  Anonymous
April 29, 2018 5:17 pm

Lots of new races of birds. Some species have a half-dozen races with quite different body characteristics.

Same thing happens with some mammals like the coyote and wolf combining into the “coywolf.”

Of course, in human history, the dog jumped off the wolf train.

Tons of insects diverge and different populations can be seen in different locales. Speciation occurs after awhile, but it’s all can of worms as sometimes mating yields barren versions and so on.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  bigfoot
April 29, 2018 6:42 pm

When I said what new species I was wanting an answer naming them.

That shouldn’t be hard.

BTW, discovering a species that hasn’t been identified before is not a new species appearing, it is finding and identifying one that has been around for god knows how long before someone cataloged it.

Anonymous
Anonymous
April 29, 2018 5:17 pm

Hillary is the new spheces. Please excuse my lisp.

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
April 29, 2018 5:20 pm

Anon is one, Q is another. I already see the rats jumping ship. One rat is taking out the house priest before it goes.

Thunderbird
Thunderbird
April 29, 2018 7:32 pm

@Anonymous Evidently you never lived in a farming community or other places around the globe. You want names of new species like it is some type of game where they show up and ask to be named.

You must be city folk. Just look at all the new species showing up in Hollywood movies. Aren’t you satisfied with that?