Silver Will Benefit From America’s Debt Crisis

Via International Man

The media hated them.

Big Business, numerous federal agencies, and politicians of all stripes hated them too.

Even Tiffany & Co., the famous jewelry company, vilified them in a full-page advertisement in The New York Times, calling them “unconscionable.”

The villains everyone loved to hate were the Hunt brothers. They were critics of the fiat money system and advocated for hard money based on commodities.

At the time, private ownership of most gold was illegal in the US. So the Hunt brothers turned to the next best thing: silver.

From the late 1970s to 1980, they stockpiled silver. And unlike other investors who settled their silver trades in cash, the Hunts took physical delivery. This often meant flying the silver to Switzerland for storage.

It squeezed the supply… and helped push the silver price up. Its price went from around $6 in the late ’70s to around $50 in 1980.

But were the Hunts really the bad guys everyone made them out to be?

They did nothing unethical. They just exchanged US dollars for silver from voluntary sellers. In fact, it was a response to the government’s unethical actions…

Longtime readers will recall President Nixon severed the US dollar’s last link to gold in 1971. Without the discipline of gold, there was nothing to stop the US government from printing as many dollars as it pleased. The dollar was now a purely fiat currency.

The Hunts bought silver because they figured the US government’s actions would lead to inflation. And they were right…

The ’70s saw the highest levels of inflation in living memory – even according to the government’s own crooked statistics. See for yourself:

You see, the silver market is tiny. It’s roughly one-tenth the size of the gold market. So it’s prone to crisis-driven upside explosions as money floods into it during periods of high inflation.

And today, the stage is set for an explosion in inflation. I expect it to kick off a crisis-driven mania into silver like what happened in 1980.

Adjusted for today’s prices, that means silver soaring above $160 an ounce… almost 10 times the current price.

So let’s look at why silver could be on the verge of a big rally…

The Next Crisis

The same kind of wrongheaded domestic and foreign policies that caused the panic into silver in the ’70s and early ’80s are not only present today, but stronger.

Let’s look at domestic ones first.

In the late ’60s and early ’70s, the US was still on a form of the gold standard that tied gold to the dollar at $35 an ounce.

But runaway deficit spending on welfare and the Vietnam War caused the US government to print more dollars than it could back with gold at the promised price.

By the late ’60s, the number of dollars circulating had drastically increased relative to the amount of gold backing them. This encouraged foreign countries to exchange their dollars for gold, draining the US gold supply at an alarming rate.

To plug the drain, President Nixon severed the dollar’s last link to gold in 1971. Recall this was the event that caused the Hunt brothers to become concerned about the value of the dollar and make their first moves in the silver market.

Today, the financial wastefulness is much worse.

Analysts expect the deficit to hit $1.5 trillion in 2019. And that figure assumes there’s no economic recession.

If there’s even a mild recession, a $2 trillion deficit is a real possibility. (A recession would reduce tax revenue and drive the deficit higher.)

Either way, trillion-dollar deficits are the new normal. That means an avalanche of new government debt to finance them. This will make the federal debt grow faster and faster. Even the government predicts that within 10 years, it will hit nearly $35 trillion, up from $22 trillion today.

Who will buy all this paper? The only entity with the appetite will be the Federal Reserve.

And how does the Federal Reserve pay for the US government debt securities it buys? The only way it can: by creating new currency out of thin air.

This will debase the dollar and lead to runaway inflation.

A Predictable Pattern

Once the dollar starts to lose its value in earnest – which I expect could be sometime before the 2020 election – the next “Hunt brothers” will emerge.

As the dollar is debased, people will panic into precious metals… just like they did in the ’70s and ’80s, but likely on a much bigger scale today.

And much of that money will make its way into the tiny silver market. This will cause the price to spike. It’s a predictable pattern…

Financial Wastefulness Currency Debasement A Panic Into Silver Price Spike

Bottom line, the stars are aligned for a silver price spike for the record books. And now is the perfect time to get in…

You can see below that silver is down by about 65% from its peak in 2011.

Silver is overdue for a bull market. And as silver prices head higher, select silver mining stocks could offer some of the best crisis investing returns in the months and years ahead.

Editor’s Note: The national debt continues to skyrocket, and an economic crisis is increasingly imminent. There’s an excellent chance a bull market in silver and other precious metals will follow, just as it has before.

However, there is a lesser-known precious metal that has the potential to offer even more explosive gains. This “victory metal” helped the US win World War II… and it’s still a crucial element in the military’s weapons today. In this urgent video, legendary speculator Doug Casey and his colleagues show how you can get positioned in this lesser-known precious metal before it’s too late. Click here to watch it now.

With global tensions spiking, thousands of Americans are moving their IRA or 401(k) into an IRA backed by physical gold. Now, thanks to a little-known IRS Tax Law, you can too. Learn how with a free info kit on gold from Birch Gold Group. It reveals how physical precious metals can protect your savings, and how to open a Gold IRA. Click here to get your free Info Kit on Gold.​​

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23 Comments
Speedy
Speedy
August 24, 2019 8:02 am

I will just hold onto my bars and rounds and see what happens.

We are just counting bean pods and treating root rot on the corn out here. They might get 60 pods to the bush, but the ears are a bit thin in the stalks.

In case Casey does not speak country accounting, that suggests the short bean crop is around 60%, while the corn need additional time to mature. An early frost will be disastrous possibly since the kernels cannot develop due to poor root systems.

That silver is safe and sound in the ground. Sealed.

James
James
August 24, 2019 8:03 am

You have your bills covered/items to weather a long storm whether personal or worldwide ect.,metals in hand a good part of a egg basket,note I said part.

Speedy
Speedy
  James
August 24, 2019 8:22 am

The Fiat dollars are sealed too

Vote Harder
Vote Harder
August 24, 2019 9:54 am

The thing I think the author is leaving out is that back in the 70’s and 80’s the price of PM’s were set in the physical market. Today the price is set in the paper market. As long as this is true then the price can be manipulated forever by naked short selling and other methods.

javelin
javelin
  Vote Harder
August 24, 2019 10:58 am

+100%… PM’s should already be over $2000 and $50. You can watch the naked shorts being done to manipulate prices– and they hide it somewhat well too. You can wake up and silver is at $17.41… by the time the market opens it’s at $17.25 and then the ticker tells you it dropped by noon to 17.04 but lists it as a -.21c drop? Invisible drops happen overnight quite often too…

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  javelin
August 24, 2019 11:29 am

Javelin..
Right. They are spending 5 trillion a year to keep those shorts going. At silvers peak in 1980 it took 24 ounces of silver to buy a Dow share. Today it cost 1,635 ounces.

Prof. Madelbrot
Prof. Madelbrot
  javelin
August 26, 2019 9:54 am

If you looked at the chains of options that have cancelled orders you will find a correlation of major manipulation of the exact same culprits making 99% of all cancelled orders as well as correlation of uptick in cancellations on days where pm would run up. They are not too concerned with pm down days as much

e.d. ott
e.d. ott
  Vote Harder
August 24, 2019 11:15 am

I agree.
Naked shorts need punched in the nose and one way to do so is remove physical from the market. The Hunt Brothers were clever, but stupidly greedy. They pushed the silver futures too hard.
In my opinion physical AG will have its day in the sun again and I’m betting soon.

Lebowski
Lebowski
  e.d. ott
August 25, 2019 6:49 am

Agree It’s WAY undervalued compared to just about everything No brainer to hold physical silver

Prof. Madelbrot
Prof. Madelbrot
  Vote Harder
August 26, 2019 9:52 am

You mean naked short selling option contracts that are cancelled before they can be executed so it screws with the options market open pricing. Its as fraudulent as they come and the govt is the on doing it by allowing if not forcing the big banks and wirehouse to collusively this.

daddysteve
daddysteve
August 24, 2019 12:45 pm

I agree with everything that was said but I also firmly believe “they” will never again allow real money. The future is paper and/or electrons. Weighted heavily towards plastic as a control mechanism.

Lebowski
Lebowski
  daddysteve
August 25, 2019 6:50 am

You mean (((they))) right?

youknowwhoIam
youknowwhoIam
August 24, 2019 5:07 pm

Silver crashed (for almost a year) along with stocks during the 2008 market crash. So does one purchase now or wait for the next crash and buy it when the bottom falls out again?

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  youknowwhoIam
August 24, 2019 6:25 pm

youknw.
A year later it had doubled and 2 years later it had tripled. Then the banksters came in with uncovered (illegal naked) short selling and forced it down to 15 dollars 5 years later. Now they are desperately trying to keep it down but demand is too high. At some point it will not be for sale at any price because the offers to sell will dry up.

mark
mark
  youknowwhoIam
August 24, 2019 8:01 pm

youknowwhoIam,

I remember that crash well put some serious money into silver during it. It paid off well.

I have never gotten the ‘timing’ exactly right on buying PMs, but going LONG in a world with a short fuse…that is already lit…is a gritty Y.A. Tittle pass during a Globalist Blitz.

Just the fact you are aware of ‘silver’ puts you (and me) outside the herd and away from the coming stampede and the cliff they are being driven to.

Riddle this…how long did the 2008 crash last?

How much time do you have?

How close is the fuse to the Everything Bubble?

Lebowski
Lebowski
  mark
August 25, 2019 6:52 am

Close REAL close

M G
M G
  mark
August 25, 2019 10:08 am

We did everything too soon. Barely in time.

Same thing when SHTF.

Lebowski
Lebowski
  youknowwhoIam
August 25, 2019 6:51 am

Great question I’m hedged and will buy more if that happens like in 2009

mark
mark
  Lebowski
August 25, 2019 9:34 am

ME TOO!

I have no doubt the Banksters will try and shake out the faint of heart and the speculators in over their head…unless they lose complete control.

Go long and don’t bet the farm…when profits are clear (don’t get greedy) flip it into other hard assets.

I have bought in stages and will sell the same way.

Many stackers make a religion out of PMs and many always hold too long waiting for the perfect top, terrified on leaving money on the table.

There is no such thing as bad profit.

ottomatik
ottomatik
August 24, 2019 7:32 pm

The author continuously referenced printing by the government, it was hard to read, the government doesn’t print money. Period.
Still, I like silver. I predict crypto will see much bigger gains though.

e.d. ott
e.d. ott
  ottomatik
August 24, 2019 7:53 pm
Lebowski
Lebowski
  e.d. ott
August 25, 2019 6:54 am

He’s pushing crypto’s for his overlords just as ordered I’m NOT buying it More Silver please

mark
mark
  Lebowski
August 25, 2019 12:42 pm