In less than a years’ time I will arrive at the wrong side of 40. Perhaps that gives me insight some may lack. My age co-hort doesn’t currently seem to have the “It’s all about us” mentality so much of the Boomer generation shows. Neither can we join our millennial and Gen Z brethren and join the chorus of “Lets Burn It All Down” so pervasive in the last few years. Yet.
I have watched the partisan-ing of Truth over the last 15 years so perhaps I was naïve.
But of all the suppositions that China-Flu has laid waste to, I find our ability to effectively communicate with each other in this nation to be the largest surprise.
I have watched this outbreak since the beginning. I google translated Weibo chats and Mandarin twitter feeds when China’s censor army couldn’t keep up. Then came the pictures and videos of people collapsing in the street. Full ER’s. Full Morgues. Doors of apartment buildings welded shut. The chilling skyline of Wuhan at night full of cries for help.
The communication at that time was clearly two sided. The truth of the people was in full opposition to lies of the PRC. But in the following weeks new narratives emerged. Iran happened. Italy began. It was now a certainty it would reach our shores, if there had been any doubt. And at the same time so many diverging thoughts on what to do. How deadly was it? Who is at risk? Many of the answers shouted at us, and between us, were completely opposite for the same question.
And so here we are today. I have friends protesting the shutdowns and friends protesting the lifting of lockdowns. These are all reasonable people. How have they come to these conclusions?
My purpose here is not to tell you the answers. I can’t say for sure my conclusions are correct, so to pass them off to you as truth is folly.
What I do want to make you aware of is some of the reasons we are diverging.
Today we tackle Normalcy Bias.
Lets say you bought a tiger cub from our current Netflix sensation. You take him to your home. You show him off to your friends. Every knows you as the person with a tiger.
Years go by. Some nights he sleeps in your bed with you. The Vet bills and raw meat rations are expensive, but you love him and he loves you.
A few years later your neighbor across the street calls 911 and in a panicked voice tells the operator there is a freaking tiger in her front yard. After animal welfare and the local zoo have captured your pet, the police come knocking to find out just what the hell you think you are doing letting a tiger roam. After getting no answer they enter from your unlocked back door to find you in bed at 3AM. With your windpipe removed. And completely mauled.
That’s Normalcy Bias. A bad thing has never happened before, or not in a very long time, so it can’t possibly happen. But it can. And depending on the event, it WILL.
Live in a multi-story brick building in Memphis?
Live below the River Control Structure in Simmesport LA?
Have a 110 year old oak tree shading your house?
Drop your house insurance in Norman OK?
The New Madrid will shake again.
The Mississippi River will change course.
That oak tree will fall.
An F4 tornado will reduce you dwelling to the foundation.
The only question is when.
This is not to say that you should live in fear of an unlikely possibility. But to deny its existence signs you up for even worse consequences.
If your place in Memphis starts to sway you have time to exit. But if you have no idea it’s a possibility or deny such, they will dig your body from the rubble, as opposed to Red Cross finding you a shelter for the night.
If the Army Corp of Engineers says the river is topping the levees but everything will probably be fine you can pack your family and dog and some clothes and cross the river and stay at the Comfort Inn in Zachary.
China Flu is highlighting how much of our society suffers this malady. As the ripples of this event cross continents and cross oceans these words should not cross your lips. “That would never happen”
Global Borders would never shut.
Airlines will never stop flying.
Hospitals will never run out of ventilators.
ER doctors will never die from a flu.
Meat packing plants will never stop.
(WE ARE HERE)
We would never have trouble finding rebuilding supplies during hurricane season.
I would never have to go without my CPAP machine because the power is out for a week.
I would never have to lose weight because I can’t my blood pressure meds.
The developing world will never face starvation.
An early May snowstorm would never lower crop yields in the US.
Solar Cycle 25 would never mean global cooling
We could never have new Maunder Minimum.
Bottom line look realistically at your risks and hedge appropriately.
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Just a little metaphor to chew on. I think everyone has seen the infamous gag in Charlie Brown where Charlie goes to kick the football only to have Lucy pull it away at the last second. The gov/media is Lucy and there are many Charlie Browns. No matter how many times Lucy fools old Charlie, Charlie is still dumb enough to believe he is going to kick that football as soon as that bitch sets it up for him.
Has the gov/media ever been honest? No, then why the hell would you believe them this time. If the Cerveza virus was really as bad as they claim they would not even mention it at all. Instead they would talk about football, and dancing with the stars.
I have asked this question of folks that are doing this. The answer has always been, “I just can’t believe they will do this”. In the five steps it is called denial. It is the one step most people will spend the longest time getting through.
100% agree. It’s been my experience you get one of three reactions when questioning the official narrative:
1) outrage and ridicule
2) some level of agreement but at some point they begin talking about something that contradicts the previous topic(cognitive dissonance)
3) agreement
We are in the Eddy GSM already… There will be a weak Syzygy (siss-ah-ghee) (about a 1-2% increased pull on lava and plates) about 4July2020; and a stronger Syzygy about 14Feb2021 that could trigger The Big One. http://www.faustweb.net/solaris/
15 years of living in Boston has fucked my friend’s brain up, possibly beyond repair.
He used to be a well-adjusted small town NH guy, and now he’s a chicken little, whiny bitch, regurgitating MSNBC talking points, SJW mantras, and even defending the “jogger”.
At some point, I’m going to have to give up on him.
I look at the major effects of this based on Density, Demographics, underlying Disorders and vitamin D3.
The hardest hit areas are shithole cities jammed with non-Europeans that have poor hygiene, lack of sunlight, and live in bad-breath range of others of the same ilk.
The hardest hit demographic in areas with lower density are old people, who have lower immune functions to begin with, typically in long-term care facilities that are still packed tighter than average living conditions.
Underlying disorders allow this bug to latch on and hit harder, even in the low-density areas.
Vitamin D3 deficiency is high among the highly pigmented ccohort the media is currently whining about being adversely affected, because they didn’t evolve to live this far from the equator.
Everyone is going to get this, such is the nature of a highly transmissible virus.
The majority of people that are truly healthy, including not vitamin D-deficient, will pass through this with little problem.
The elders can and should be protected, including by measures that have been used for 60+ years that don’t make drug companies rich.
This whole continuing response is nowhere near what reality dictates. But the dictating continues, and the sheep are cowed.
It seems most people are fixated on numbers, without context on WHO is NOT getting hit hard even when “testing positive” with kits that may or may not be accurate.
I don’t want to get hit hard, as the long-term effects are still not known, just like re-infection is an unknown. I don’t even know if the “cold” I had for almost a month starting the third week in February was a cold with a mild URI or the Chinken Pox.
But I know that I won’t be hurt as hard as most will when the supply chain ruptures, and that’s why I’ve been letting my rancher neighbors know I’ve got their backs for security when the Citiots are released from their Golden cage.
you would do well to really pay attention to this video.
there IS a pathology, and “getting hit hard” is… nothing like the flu.
the more of a rural area you’re in, the more dangerous going to the hospital will be, as your staff will be completely inexperienced. Your chance of becoming an “Iatrogenic stastic” will be exponentially higher.
Listen to the doctor in Brooklyn. over a month and a half into this and they’re still very much in the weeds and haven’t actually figured out curative strategies, only treating the symptom.
it’s a very tricky disease that has no blanket treatments, everything must be individualized, which means quality of treatment decays rapidly with scale as inexperienced workers need to be put in positions they’re not truly ready for.
listen to when some of the doctors say “I Haven’t extubated patients yet”… in mid april. weeks and weeks of being sedated on a vent… ain’t the flu. ain’t no walk in the park, and you’ll kiss the ground you walk on if you ever breath fresh air and feel sunshine again.
the real issue right now is we still do not have a real test that reports viral load. which is kind of ludicrous.. the PCR has SO many problems with false results. so we truly have no way to accurately measure the R0 value of spread / transmission.
Obesity is the major marker for severity of symptoms. this whole “black people get it worse” thing is just racebait.
Hence the phrase “Everyone is going to get this, such is the nature of a highly transmissible virus.”
This is going to continue until it burns out.
Brooklyn is jammed with people whose cultures require close contact with others, and are paying the price for such.
i’m still not actually conviced that it’s a “highly transmissible virus”
you cannot trust the “positive cases” number AT ALL.
the PCR test, as it is now, is a joke.
http://theinfectiousmyth.com/book/CoronavirusPanic.pdf
Looks like fag on a bike boy that crazy rabbit lady was hyping.
I find myself commenting like never before because my own experience with this “pandemic” seems to be so different from those in the USA. I’m an elder (73 for two more months), have hiperglycemia (mild diabetes 2)and now and then smoke and drink alcohol. I should be shaking in my boots, right? Well, no. I’m all for appropriate hedging, mind, but within limits I’ve set for myself. I’m going to enjoy today and no one is going to tell me to do otherwise.
I have visited too many nursing homes and they are nothing more than a place holding dead people who are still breathing. I have told my wife and kids to NEVER take me to a nursing home. If I get too bad, drive me to Key West, point me in the direction of Cuba and send me into the ocean.
I’ve told my children the same, but for me it was the Pacific to the South Seas in a Klepper sea kayak with a sail kit. And then a chipper female voice reads the announcement with that breathless tone that is meant to convey sheer amazement. “Elderly man, 29 lbs, makes landfall in Tahiti, taken straight to nursing home”.
Maybe the sight of beautiful, scantily clad Tahitian women would send you over the edge, so you didn’t make it to the nursing home.
He would go over alright but not the edge…