Here’s Why Ignoring Spot Prices Might Be a Good Idea

Via Birch Gold Group

Ignoring Spot Price Might Be a Good Idea

Don’t most of us have better things to do than obsess over day-to-day price fluctuations? Photo by Ana Curcan

By Phillip Patrick

This weekend, I was rereading one of the greatest books on investment ever written: The Intelligent Investor, by Benjamin Graham. This time, one particular passage struck me more forcefully than ever before.

Graham sets up this analogy by saying you’ve purchased a $1,000 share of a private business. You’re now the owner of that asset. In a typical “private business” arrangement like this, there’s no public market for your asset (think Shark Tank). There’s no notion of your investment’s current value.

With all this in mind, Graham asks you to imagine you have a friend named Mr. Market…

Every day he tells you what he thinks your interest is worth and furthermore offers either to buy you out or to sell you an additional interest on that basis. Sometimes his idea of value appears plausible and justified by business developments and prospects as you know them. Often, on the other hand, Mr. Market lets his enthusiasm or his fears run away with him, and the value he proposes seems to you a little short of silly.

If you are a prudent investor or a sensible businessman, will you let Mr. Market’s daily communication determine your view of the value of a $1,000 interest in the enterprise?

In the days before CNBC and the Internet, market prices were published once daily – in the newspaper (remember those?). If you wanted an updated quote, you had to call your broker who had access to a Bloomberg terminal – or just wait until tomorrow.

Now, is that a bad thing? In other words, is having more information about prices helpful? Or the opposite?

Graham thinks most investors would be better off to ignore market prices most of the time:

Only in case you agree to sell out to him when he quotes you a ridiculously high price, and equally happy to buy from him when his price is low. But the rest of the time you will be wiser to form your own ideas of the value of your holdings.

I think this is especially relevant for Birch Gold Group customers, for several reasons:

  • Spot price isn’t representative of physical precious metals. You can’t buy gold or silver at spot price any more than you can pay Brent crude by-the-barrel prices to fill up your car. Spot prices are a financial derivative generated by the commodities markets, not an accurate reflection of the value of an asset.
  • Constant price updates encourage short-term thinking. To go back to Graham’s analogy, Mr. Market is always offering to buy you out. It’s always tempting to sell when his offer is a little more than you paid – and when his offer is a little less, too. Short-term thinking leads to more trading. And let’s not forget, as John Bogle famously said, “The more you trade, the less you make.”
  • Focusing on daily or even weekly prices defeats the purpose of diversifying with physical precious metals, at least for many of our customers. Most people we work with want to avoid the stress and worry of constantly monitoring markets and second-guessing themselves.

Physical precious metals are completely different. Our customers don’t buy gold and silver so they have one more data point to keep track of day-to-day. Rather, they diversify with physical precious metals so they can tune out the flood of market “news” and analysis. So they can sleep soundly through the next stock market meltdown.

An asset that has a centuries-long track record as a safe haven offers a great deal of peace-of-mind. As Steve Forbes said:

Gold maintains its intrinsic value better than anything else on Earth, and that’s for 4,000 years.

It’s hard to put a price tag on a good night’s sleep!

In my mind, that’s a huge and understated benefit of diversifying your savings with physical precious metals. I think we’d all be better off if we ignored the ravings of Mr. Market and follow Graham’s advice to, “form your own ideas of the value of your holdings.”

After 8 long years of ultra-loose monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, it’s no secret that inflation is primed to soar. If your IRA or 401(k) is exposed to this threat, it’s critical to act now! That’s why thousands of Americans are moving their retirement into a Gold IRA. Learn how you can too with a free info kit on gold from Birch Gold Group. It reveals the little-known IRS Tax Law to move your IRA or 401(k) into gold. Click here to get your free Info Kit on Gold.

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6 Comments
James
James
June 30, 2022 8:02 pm

“Gold maintains its intrinsic value better than anything else on Earth,”…….

Eh,I would argue food/water has a better value!

I am a firm believer in metals and have a fair amount,but…….,before I got into metals had a bunch of food stored/learning slowly to grow some/have alt water sources if needed,a few years minimum of clothes/footwear/tools ect.,you get the idea.

You have your basics covered and still have monies that could keep losing value then sure,add some metals.They MAY help in keeping up with inflation and you make it to the other side of whatever insanity hits might be a great thing.

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scott henson
scott henson
  James
June 30, 2022 10:24 pm

Yep, basic needs first. Food, water, shelter, and a way to defend it. And then silver and gold as an inflation hedge!

Steve Z.
Steve Z.
July 1, 2022 12:01 am

There is a time and place for everything. Commodities will be the next “in thing”. At some point it will be wise to divest from precious metals but not for another 10(?) Years.
Making several (3-5) stategic trades over a lifetime is all that’s needed to dramatically increase your nest egg vs hold for eternity. That applies to any major asset class such as real estate, stock/ bonds and precious metals.
Mike Maloney shows the unbelievable increases that can follow this simple strategy.

Pilot Doc
Pilot Doc
July 1, 2022 3:23 am

Horseshit. 10% diversification into metals 14 yrs ago.

Waste of fuching money. Fails in comparison to real estate investments. Spectalularly so. Should have bought another rental…they’re up 300% and have been cash flowing epically since day one.

Have not bought another coin since. Buy land and plant a garden.

NickelthroweR
NickelthroweR
  Pilot Doc
July 1, 2022 9:47 am

That sounds like normalcy bias to me. Land and a garden are great but unless you are 100% self sufficient in every way, you are going to have to trade with the outside world. As the dollar works its way to zero, PM’s will be that way to trade.

PM’s may also be that tree whose shade I never get to enjoy but at least I can hand off some wealth to loved ones.

Paleocon
Paleocon
July 1, 2022 5:14 am

An ounce of gold in ancient Rome bought a nice toga. An ounce of gold today buys a nice suit. You can’t eat It. It is what it is.