Energy: We Need Everything. Now.

Guest Post from John Wilder

“No, Jonny. It consumes them. It eats energy:  sunlight, electricity, the energy in a living body.  Anything it can get.” – Jonny Quest

What do you do with a dead chemist?  Barium.

I remember way back in high school gym class when I was a freshman.  One day we showed up in the gym and saw a roughly six-foot diameter ball in the middle of the gym floor, as if a majestic bird the size of Alec Baldwin had left an egg for us.

That was new.

Coach said, “Welcome to Push Ball.  Wilder and Jones, you two are captains.  Pick your teams.”  Jones and I were on the football team together, so we divvied up the rest of the boys.  I think the girls were doing something like advanced couch-sitting that day.

Coach followed up:  “Here are the rules.  No rules.  If your team pushes the ball into the opposing team’s bleacher, you get a point.”  Technically, that was a rule, but I decided not to argue.

Pretty quickly I divined that part of the point of Push Ball was to burn up a lot of energy on a game that was very hard to win.  Probably “something, something teamwork blah blah blah”.

But then I looked at the ball.  It was filled with air, not Baldwin-DNA-soaked egg yolk, so it wasn’t all that heavy.  But it was way too big for any one person to grab.

It wasn’t entirely smooth, though.  There were laces.

These laces were like those on a football, except the gap between the laces was big – big enough to slip my fingers through.  I developed a plan.  I told my guys, “It’s gonna get easy – we’re gonna win.  When I say go, get in front of me and block.”

Alternate meme text:  “When the weather tells you to dress for the 100’s.”

As we played, I concentrated on rotating the laces towards me.  When they were right there about shoulder height, I slipped my fingers in the gaps between the laces, and got a good hold.

“Now!” I yelled.

With the leverage of the handhold, I could easily use the opposing team’s force to pop the ball back towards me, and up.  And with the ball gone, my guys got in front and blocked.  I ran, holding the absurdly large ball over my head with one hand and slammed it into the retracted bleachers causing the wood to reverberate under the mighty force, scoring the first point.

“THIS. IS. SPARTA!” I yelled.  Okay, no I didn’t, it sounds way cooler to pretend that I did.  And I sure as hell felt like Thor (not the fake Marvel® one) slamming his hammer and making the lightning crash.  Our team really did high five.

Coach blew his whistle.

“Okay, we now have a rule.  You can’t do that.”

We had a really good weightlifting facility.

Weirdly, this post is the second one about energy.  In one sense, our world is like that game of push ball.  We work to innovate and create breakthroughs to better use the energy we have.  The number of cars are up in the country, but the miles per gallon are way up, too.

Government would love to take credit for it, but it’s really not the case.  Sure the CAFE standards have led to higher mileage, but a lot of that is due to innovation that occurred outside of those standards.  When I read that the Trans Am® in Smokey and the Bandit only produced 200 horsepower, I realized that most of the cars I own have more power under the hood, and get better mileage.  I always wanted a car with a T-top like the Trans Am™ in high school, so my dates could have had more legroom.

I was considerate that way.

We have become more efficient at using energy, and that’s great.  But we find more uses for energy, too.  If I lived in the same house today in 1977, right now there would be zero power usage outside of the fridge and the freezer.  As it is, I’m watching a silly movie on a huge television while I type on a laptop with alarm clocks that don’t tick from springs winding down.  I’m happy for that, because if the alarm clock would go tic-tic-tic all night, it would keep The Mrs. awake and she’d want to toc.

Is my house using a lot of energy?  No, but there are a lot more devices in a home today using energy passively, like charging cell phones and security systems and “always on” televisions and computers and garage door openers on low power mode.

I drove up to my garage and saw someone had painted a “3” on it.  I thought, “That’s odd.”

Even industry is more efficient, generally, at using energy.  Modern manufacturing plants are expert at using what would have been waste heat in all sorts of ways to save energy, which in turn saves money.  I mean, don’t be an engineer if you’re not so hot in thermodynamics.

But at the base of all modern industry, energy is crucial.  It is the ultimate leverage.  One analyst noted that $20 billion in Russian natural gas was used by Germany to create $2 trillion in economic output.  That’s stuff made.  It’s amazing leverage – $1 in natural gas was the basis for creating $100 worth of added value.  Germany would like to start a war, but the rule is that it’s three Reichs, and you’re out.

Energy is that important.  And energy usage isn’t a linear progression – it has been exponential.  The problem is that energy usage is growing nearly exponentially.  If you look at any short-term graphs, it doesn’t quite show it, but here’s one that puts it in perspective.  I got it at Our World in Data (LINK) and it’s reused by CC (LINK).

If Ebola grew as fast as the world energy consumption, it would be called Hyperbola.

I think this one graph alone should be tattooed backward on the head of every Leftist who says BuT MUh ALtERnaTivE EneRgy.  Eliminate oil, coal, and natural gas, and you have a world that, roughly, has as much energy as 1920.

The world population right now is 7.97 billion people.  In 1920, the population was closer to 1.9 billion, which is roughly the number of people on a typical airplane nowadays.  In 1920 electricity was only in 35% of homes.  In the United States.  Most people in the world in 1920 had no electrical power usage at all, heated their homes with firewood or coal, and only saw electrical lights at the picture show.  Also, they were, sadly, almost sixty years too early to see Smokey and the Bandit.

Let’s go back to Germany (not the 1920 version) but today.  Just $20 billion in natural gas costs $2 trillion in value added.  Population is growing exponentially.  Energy use is growing exponentially.  We’re setting ridiculous ideas that we’ll be all-electric by 2030 by changing rules to limit innovation and declare winners.  It’s like Coach not allowing innovation in Push Ball, but this time with real-world consequences.

But those electric cars.  They’re powered by . . . what, exactly?  Seriously, look at the chart.  What?  Nuclear we haven’t built?  Solar which is so small it can’t be seen?  Hydropower which is in decline because it can’t be built?  Wind?  I can’t see wind outside, and I also can barely see it on the chart.

Looks like the Green Energy Plan is free of charge.

Anyone, and I mean anyone who is not realizing that the Leftist energy pipe dream won’t lead to the greatest suffering that mankind has ever seen, even more than anything Global Warming® could ever cause, even more than both of the World Wars, combined, is deluded.

We need more innovation in energy, and we need it now, because the exponentials in energy use and population require investment to keep ahead of the game.  Exponentials are funny that way, you have to be like Alice’s Red Queen and run faster and faster just to stay in place.

The Leftists that want to bring it all down?  They deserve to be put into a Push Ball filled with Alec Baldwin’s DNA-soaked yolk.

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11 Comments
ICE-9
ICE-9
September 16, 2022 2:52 pm

Especially the Solarbanite. Release Plan 9 from Outer Space.

ICE-9
ICE-9
  ICE-9
September 16, 2022 4:33 pm
ICE-9
ICE-9
  ICE-9
September 16, 2022 4:39 pm
Trapped in Portlandia
Trapped in Portlandia
September 16, 2022 4:58 pm

We don’t need no stinkin’ fossil fuels. We got all the power we need from that outlet in the wall.

JimN
JimN
September 16, 2022 5:01 pm

They called it War Ball in my school and they rolled it out on the football field. I didn’t have gym that day – gladly – there were 3 0r 4 broken noses on the first go ’round and the “rules” were abruptly modified.

Mile4
Mile4
September 16, 2022 5:55 pm

I laughed, I cried, it became a part of me.

Thunder
Thunder
September 16, 2022 8:30 pm

In Australia they have a New Prime Minister, his name is Anthony Albanese.
He got in bed with the Greens to gain power. Never get into bed with the Greens ! It has devastating outcomes on the brain cells.
This is his take on the Green dream and future ….. OMG kill me now

fujigm
fujigm
September 16, 2022 8:40 pm

It’s OK, John.
When the world returns to 1920’s levels of energy,
it will revert to 1920’s level of population.
It’s a carrying capacity thing.
(Like you carrying the PushBall).
The cool part about about the die off will be even when it appears to level off and be sustainable, after a certain point it will be too late and the extinction event will occur.
And that’s called the Extinction Model ODE (Ordinary Differential Equation).

https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/322785/linear-birth-death-process-probability-of-extinction-by-time-t

But before then I imagine we’ll see the Predator-Prey Model ODE.

https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/533211/lotka-volterra-predator-prey-system

Just swap whites and dindus for Cheetahs and antelopes.
It’s all just maffs, really.

pyrrhuis
pyrrhuis
  fujigm
September 17, 2022 12:35 am

We will go well below the 1920s population as the cheap energy disappears…probably back to 1 billion or less in 100 years…

Anonymous
Anonymous
September 17, 2022 7:12 am

something which makes me no friends from either of the major camps on this issue,
is the reality that yes, the cheap abundant oil and coal reserves are depleted and we’ve been stepping down lower and lower to the poorer grade reserves, lower quality and higher costs, for quite some time now. There is no infinite free lunch anywhere and we will one way or another hit the limits, and no, this is not something that some magic technological fairy dust and unicorn farts will magically save anyone from. So the people who say there are no limits at all and we just need to drill more or ‘innovate’ more or whatever, i piss them off by pointing out that the limits are real.
but then there are the other people who in any case hate life, hate humanity, hate anything natural, and it isnt enough for them to rejoice and cheer when they see the machine’s fuel running down and sputtering out.. no no , they really want to kill people off , they really want to see humanity _suffer_ , they really want to get rid of most of us (not just the overlords but their retarded ideologue followers even more so!) , and they too believe in magic fairy dust and unicorn farts, just different sorts of magic dust and unicorns, i.e. their ‘green’ nonsense.. and of course i piss them off by pointing out that thats all at best a futile and failed dream and in reality is a cynical scam, and in any base it’s bullshit…
the reality is that we’re headed back to the middle ages technologically, modulo the enormous amount of scrap material which will be available for many centuries in the leftovers of the machine age – also modulo the enormous amount of pollution and environmental damage that’s been done in the machine age, everything from chemical contamination to radioactive waste to genetically modified frankenthings getting out into circulation, to platics and microplastics everywhere, to aquifer depletion or contamination, to even simply having bulldozed and paved over most of the best land in the last 100 years. the world will be _poorer_ than in the preindustrial age for a long time til those wounds are slowly healed, and we will have to be even smarter and even more disciplined about our management of the more meager resources left to us as time goes on.
definitely not a good idea to be wasting a drop of it on any more green bullshit, or on any more bankers, or on any more global scale empires, nor on any ‘online’ garbage or any technofantasy crap… really we ought to be putting all efforts into locally rejuvenating our soils, our water supplies, our built infrastructure of the kind that we’ll need in an age without machines… in the highest quality and longest lived hand tools we can manage.. stuff like that
all things we’re not doing, and things which there was a budding and growing trend towards emphasizing, popping up all over the world, leading right up to 2019 or so, when the machine empire figure it’d play its next big move in crashing the economy and population of us little people whom they think they dont need around anymore.

Putin it where it counts
Putin it where it counts
  Anonymous
September 17, 2022 11:24 am

Based and green pilled