Guest Post by Kurt Schlichter
Ron DeSantis and whoever the governor of East Dakota – or is it one of the other Dakotas? – is are now in the 2024 race and Trump has to deal with that. Not with the Dakota guy – he’s another joke of Asa-like proportions angling for a cabinet post – but with the governor of Florida, whose hardcore conservative record and $8.2 million first-day haul have the president nervous. You can tell RDS is causing Trump PTSD by the even more incoherent than usual Truth Social meltdowns and the insane ramblings of his dumber superfans. And DJT should be nervous – Ron DeSantis has a good chance of winning the nomination, but it’s no lock. Trump has name recognition and inertia and those superfans. He can win the nomination – some might say he is likely to, though I think it’s an uphill fight for him despite his current poll position. But it’s early and no one knows anything.
Well, except that the other candidates are treading water in a sea of mediocrity. This is a two-man race. Nikki, Mike, Tim, Vivek, and the rest of you are asterisks within footnotes. You are irrelevant. This is Trump v. DeSantis and only one man is coming out of the Octagon intact.
The most obvious course of events, though not necessarily most likely, is that this primary continues the way it has been going, with Trump on a glide path to victory. Distrust the polls all you want – and I want even when they tell me what I want to hear – but Trump’s lead is dominant right now in the pluralistic sense. He’s got about 50% of the GOP support and DeSantis has about 20%. That’s good for Trump’s chances in the primary, but in the macro sense, an ex-president with only half his party’s support is a disaster. Even that desiccated old pervert the Democrats are propping up is doing better with his own party, much better, though his sole competition is that ridiculous Kennedy retread who far too many alleged conservatives are fawning over because he went on Tucker. Still, Trump is in the lead today, and he might be in the lead tomorrow and the next day. The GOP base could certainly decide that it wants more Trump and it could nominate him and get him good and hard. In that case, the numbers don’t budge or Trump even moves ahead and by next fall this competition becomes a coronation.
I’m not so sure that’s going to happen. That’s because I’m not so sure many of the folks outside of us Very Online People have really started to care yet. Oh, if you are on conservative Twitter you have seen the pitched battles between Trumpies and DeSantites. It’s gotten ugly, but that’s kind of how elections go. They get ugly. Unfortunately, it’s also gotten stupid. There is a coherent case to be made for Donald Trump, and a lot of my good friends ably make it. I’ve made it. But it isn’t “DeSanctimonious is an establishment globalist neocon who loves George Soros, Paul Ryan and all the Bushes and also he’s disloyal and a meatball and here’s a meme where Trump is kicking him!” That’s just stupid and there’s no sugar-coating it and I won’t. The reality is that these two share most of the same general policies. DeSantis has his policy track record and Trump would govern with a nearly identical template should he win – the big questions really are 1) can Trump win the general election? 2) can he govern effectively if he does? and 3) do we want to put up with another four years of Rosie O’Donnell tweet wars?
Those three questions are the foundation of the DeSantis primary campaign’s attack on Trump – note that neither will bother with any of the other candidates because none of them really exist except as consultant fee-generation concepts. And since the substantive hits on DeSantis are so transcendently insubstantial, Trump’s attack on DeSantis really boils down to “He’s not me.” And that’s not unexpected – many of the people who want Trump as president want Trump, not the policies, but the man. Their goal is not to elect a Republican, much less a conservative. Their goal is to elect Donald Trump.
But do the rest of the GOP voters think that way? The other way this can go is that if the GOP electorate starts actually auditioning the candidates. Right now, Trump is the name at the tip of the tongues of the millions of Republican voters who have not really thought about the primaries yet. He’s got the advantage of being the default candidate. But what happens when the people start looking closely? What if they ask those three questions? If that happens, Trump will have to work for it. That takes money, and it’s not clear how much he will raise. That takes energy, and while he’s no decrepit weirdo like Biden, he’s old. He’s 76, and 76 may be the new 66 but that’s still 66. Plus, he might be in one or more trials, if not jail – the left is trying to frame him and while no American politician has suffered greater injustices and fraud than Donald Trump, this corrupt and scummy campaign will still be a huge drag on his ability to campaign.
The other way this goes is if the Republicans look at the candidates and answer the three questions – can he win, will he govern effectively, and can we tolerate his antics – “No,” “No,” and “No.” If they do, they have decided that Ron DeSantis is the answer. Trump has about a 47% general election ceiling – over half of America hates him too much to vote for him, no matter how awful Grandpa Badfinger is. We do not know what DeSantis is. We do know that RDS clearly governs effectively and doesn’t hire the Mooches, Omarosas, Wrays, and other losers that, with notable exceptions, Trump does. And RDS’s views of Rosie O’Donnell remain, mercifully, unclear.
If they answer “No,” they believe it is time to move on. But going for DeSantis does not mean you hate Trump – I like Trump. It does mean that you prioritize winning the political/cultural war over vindicating his wounded ego. This is not about 2020; it’s about 2024 and not letting these perverts groom our kids.
We will know in a few months if the GOP base is going to hand Trump the baton or a gold watch. We will see DeSantis’s numbers rise, or they will stall, and we will know how this is going to go. If Trump is winning, look for the enemy to redouble its efforts to frame him to ensure he does not win in November. If Trump is losing, look for him finding a face-saving way to drop out of the race. Regardless, buckle up.
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I find it interesting that Schlichter never mentions Operation Warp Speed when he discusses Trump. And, he goes on quite a bit about the silliness of Trump’s attacks both verbally and on Twitter, his bad picks for his cabinet, and other foibles but, he still likes him. Kurt is a contradiction.
Just like everyone who votes for Trump…emotionally driven shipwrecks. All of them. That’s the fucking problem with humanity. All these emotions and no fucking clue what to do with them or about them.
Half the world is sobbing women…and 90% of the other half WANT TO BE!
Look around and tell me I’m wrong.
You are way fuckin’ wrong.
Your nom de guerre says otherwise.
That’s a good one CS. LOL
I think its time to send some rounds down range. 🙂
For 51 years I could walk out any door in my house and do just that. Now I have to pay for the privilege at a range…not that I have the opportunity.
All I got these days is skill and will.
You be a anti-Trump bullfrog going forward. Peeps be trying to gig you.
Sounds like a bunch of fags afraid of gettin’ dey hands dirty. When we wanted frogs we used a flashlight and our hands.
Somebody’s gotta tell the truth before it’s too late. I know it won’t make any difference, but at least my conscience won’t bother me at the end.
And NO ONE voting for Trump should be allowed a good night’s sleep. If revenge is all they have left? They’ve already lost…and more than just a fucking election, I would add.
Trump and his whole family is woke. Wait, Trump now says no one knows what woke is! Donald Trump knows not whether he is coming or going.
“They call him Flipper, Flipper…”
Wait, his supporters will say each of us changes his mind. Funny.
“so transcendently insubstantial”.
Someone supposedly is going to mention Operation Warp Speed.
“Win”, LMAO, peons that make up the electorate, the Common Joes ain’t gonna “win” crap as usual.
Trump shouldn’t even be a doorman at a cat house. But then, to get to their level being an inconsiderate asshole is requisite.
Trump’s former campaign manager (one of them) predicted on Watter’s World that Trump would drop out after the New Hampshire and Iowa primaries…having lost them both to DeSantis.
Finally! A ray of sunshine pokes through the blanket of insanity that’s been thrown over the world…however briefly.
The problem with DeSantis is that he will in fact win in November.
Thinking and voting do not go together. They never did.
Voting is what you do INSTEAD of thinking, not because of it.
America is headed to the dust bin of empires regardless of these two dicks. We might as well enjoy the faux cage fight. If DeSantis is selected I hope he can make the homo club squirm a little. If it’s Trump, I would like to see the establishment RINO’s bleed from their assholes a little. Either way folk’s, it’s all Bread and Circuses – Enjoy the show, it may be the last.
Who knows, we may never make it to the first act of this Grand American Shit Show at the rate of decline we’re decending at.
Happy Memorial Day – “Did we die in vain?”
-The Forgotten Soldier
Stop enlisting.
You’re miss reading me. It’s the ocean of death brought to you by your political overlords. Vote harder my friend. Uncle Sam is counting on you.
It isn’t like he is . . . “an establishment globalist neocon who loves George Soros, Paul Ryan and all the Bushes”
Well yes, it actually is! One of the early globalist billionaires said that he was getting behind DeSantis to tamp down the populism in the Republican base.
He just had a meeting with the billionaires who own him (don’t believe me, look at the size of the contributions) and explained that he would be running hard right and then switch to the middle after winning the primary.
RDS could have convinced me to switch from Trump, but turning to the globalist billionaires and Jeb! and Paul Ryan is a hard NO for me. I swallowed all the bull*** about voting for each other’s candidates in the party. I held my nose and voted for Ford, Bush the younger, Romney and McCain. NEVER again. If you don’t represent MY interests and the interests of the American people you don’t get my vote.
Rather the opposite, I will vote communist before I vote Cuck!
How about simply realizing that at this stage in the crumbling empire, voting is completely retarded.
We have to try /s
This time Charlie Brown the football will actually be inflated should Lucy not pull it out from under you, dumbass.
Well bless your heart! You think voting matters in “The current day”. LOL
Retarded or not, it has been rendered ineffective through election theft.
Exactly. It’s nothing now but an exercise in pushing rope.
Do you think it really matters who you give your “vote” to, Mr. Self-Important?
Did you pay attention to the last two rigged “elections?”
I’m reasonably certain that you’ve been voting Cuck Commie your entire fuckin life. You’re just too stupid to see it.
It’s most important to show support for Trump and Kennedy because neither will be allowed to win another fake election.
Large rallies delegitimizes the fraud that will be certain.
A delegitimized government will have problems with the War and digital currency.
The GOV de-legitimized itself a long time ago.
I HAVE no support to give either of those two pieces of work.
Holy shit TBP why did you redirect your comment section for this article to the MSNBC site? You realize that’s what all you TDS people sound like, don’t you?
TBPer: I hate Trump
MSNBCer: Me too!
TBPer: I wouldn’t vote for him as dog catcher
MSNBCer: Me too!!
TBPer: Any bad news about Trump is good news!!
MSNBCer:I can see we agree on everything. We’re having a cookout tonight. Would you like to join us?
To maintain at least the illusion of fair and balanced debate?
You fuckers are exactly the same in the opposite direction. Don’t humiliate yourself further by denying it.
You keep defending the lesser of two evils if you want. He just got done trying to poison the entire fucking planet, but hey…”he’s not as ebil as de uddah guy” !
“He got picked on!”
SO F’ing what?!? Ever heard of Andrew Jackson? You and the Donald need to grow the fuck up! Although in his case it is already too late. That train has left the station, which brings me back to my main complaint about him…he is nothing more than a petulant child playing grown up. Always was. Always will be.
Trump is not leadership material. He is just another bad example of what America has become.
Here’s some interesting background on Trump and his associates (6 parts):
We have to try /s
Well bless your heart some more. You think posting the same thing several times will convince us that elections make a difference. LOL, if they made a difference they would not let you do it! But you keep on tryin’
For the record, I’m not pushing any GOP candidates over another. If we still have a country by then, I’ll vote for one of the republicans in the primary and then vote for the republican winner of the primary. Period. My only hope is these folks (and their backers and the thousands in the peanut gallery) can come together in the general and support the republican winner of the primary. Then again, that’s probably like hoping Target gets its act together…..wishful thinking.
may the best fortified candidate win!
It’s not who votes, but who counts the votes, Kurt. If the honest people are counting, this is not even close.
Rhonda Santis is too short to be president. Also, her voice is annoying.
Didn’t think of Schlichter as a silly man. Enjoyed his writing. The headline nearly persuaded me to comment before reading the post.
Primary? Who’s the candidate? The candidates? What fucking difference does THAT make?
How is it that supposedly tuned in, sharp people simply forget the sham 2020 elections and the even shammier 2022 elections, and prattle on about ‘the campaign’ ‘the primary’ ‘the polling’ ‘the race’ ‘positions’ ‘likability’ ‘war chest’ and all the other clutter around the obviously permanently extinguished idea that we ‘elect’ our ‘leaders’.
Certainly, vote. Certainly, vote as many times as you can get away with.
So what.
If nominated,
Trump will lose in a landslide with perhaps half a billion ballots counted, more in reserve if needed. DeSantis will lose by a respectable few points in a hotly contested race against WHOMEVER THEY PUT UP, including the walking dead that currently infests the office.
Goal, twenty ballots, stretch goal, fifty.
Yay!
Silly.
Most accurate prediction there. I second it.
DeSantis will very likely win the presidency in 2024.
Think of Ron as being the FUSA’s ‘Kerensky’. Whether or not the FUSA sees mass violence, a marked decline in local living standards is in the cards. TPTB want to ensure that “both parties” (i.e. the entire spectrum of reasonable political opinion) are perceived as blame-worthy, and that the core of the financial system remains above it all, unquestioned.
I suggest Trump and DiSantis get locked in a cage with two knives and a single yarmulke, live on pay-per-view. The one wearing the yarmulke at the end, wins the nomination.
I’d only care to see the two wearing 8 oz gloves. Both would be gassed after about 30 seconds but my money would be on DeSantis.
“ridiculous Kennedy retread”
How is Kennedy any more ridiculous than President “Warp Speed” claiming his beautiful vaccine saved millions of lives?