China Plays Trade War “Hardball” With Yuan – 3 Ways Retirees Could Suffer

From Birch Gold Group

trade war yuan hurt retirees

The trade war between the U.S. and China has escalated once again. Except this time, China signaled its intention to weaponize the yuan to combat tariffs issued by POTUS.

According to a Forbes piece that detailed this signal, the stakes have been raised:

Yesterday China significantly raised the stakes in the trade war – basically warning that it’s willing to “weaponize” its currency by allowing the yuan to trade above the “magic line” of 7 yuan to the dollar. China also took the major step of suspending agricultural purchases and indicated that it’s prepared for a long protracted clash.

The currency war has gotten more tightly integrated with the trade war since last year. This signal from China could potentially have two primary effects that would impact retirees:

  1. It could jeopardize the status of the U.S. dollar. A weaker dollar means less buying power for retirees. And…
  2. If the U.S.-China trade war heats up, the economy may suffer another big recession.

The Dow responded on Monday with a 767-point drop, which according to MarketWatch was the “biggest one-day sell off in percentage terms since December 24, 2018.”

This followed last week’s nosedive of more than 500 points once POTUS announced additional tariffs of 10% on the remaining $300 billion in Chinese goods would be added in September.

So any investors who were trying to put off thinking about the trade war, perhaps in hopes of some sort of resolution, can’t put it off any longer:

‘The escalation of U.S.-China trade war puts us in a place where it’s almost impossible to calculate the collateral damage,’ Hogan said. That’s likely to continue to cast a cloud over the market unless there are signs of a de-escalation.

At the global level, the effect of this signal appears to be already developing, with three Asian central banks reacting to counter a “worsening global economy”:

Indeed, the three Asian central banks delivered surprise interest-rate decisions on Wednesday as central bankers not only took aggressive action to counter a worsening global economy, but are now frontrunning each other – and the Fed – in doing so.

So the “collateral damage” seems to be underway at the Dow and global level, but this escalation may have ripple effects that could impact the individual retiree.

Why Retirees May Feel the “Sting” of this Latest Escalation

With China signaling it will play “hardball,” and POTUS committing to a 10% tariff set to roll in September, this trade war may be escalating to the point of hitting you directly in the pocketbook.

To begin with, an article at the New York Times explained how this round of escalating tariffs is different from previous ones (emphasis ours):

Earlier rounds of tariffs mostly focused on industrial goods, but the 10 percent levy announced Thursday is directed squarely at consumer items like clothes, toys and footwear.

So consumer items imported from China could end up being more expensive. And if China does end up weaponizing the yuan in response, that may signal they are willing to wait until the next election cycle, which could trigger ripple effects.

The Forbes piece listed three possible ways retirees could be impacted:

  1. Lower interest rates (at least in the short term) as China buys US treasuries in order to put more of its currency into circulation (devaluing its currency).
  2. Other countries including the US also trying to devalue their currencies.
  3. Inflation (in the longer term) as more and more dollars are sloshing around. We have seen financial asset prices rise with quantitative easing.

We’ve covered before how rising inflation could reduce your retirement income, and we’ve covered how inflation may run hot. It’s not a good deal for retirees.

If other countries start to devalue their currencies, that puts your buying power and the cost of borrowing money into question.

Guard Your Retirement the Escalating Trade War

Now that China has signaled it wants to play hard ball, it’s more important than ever to guard your savings before things spiral out of control.

The trade war “roller coaster” appears to be speeding up, and things can only get more chaotic from here on out for retirees. If you’re unprepared, your portfolio could suffer the consequences. For example, if you have bonds in your retirement portfolio, billionaire investor Ray Dalio thinks you could get hit especially hard as the ripple effects from the trade war play out long-term.

Don’t let the trade war put your retirement at risk. Take control by diversifying into tangible assets that are known for preserving purchasing power and act as a hedge during times of uncertainty. Assets such as physical gold and silver.

Reduce the risk of taking a hit to your savings so you don’t have to suffer the consequences of the trade war.

With global tensions spiking, thousands of Americans are moving their IRA or 401(k) into an IRA backed by physical gold. Now, thanks to a little-known IRS Tax Law, you can too. Learn how with a free info kit on gold from Birch Gold Group. It reveals how physical precious metals can protect your savings, and how to open a Gold IRA. Click here to get your free Info Kit on Gold.​​

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10 Comments
Martel's Hammer
Martel's Hammer
August 10, 2019 9:58 am

China is desperate and America’s total victory is potentially quite close if somewhat hard to see. Devaluing their Yuan is a short-sighted short term strategy. Takes some of the pressure off on the costs of their export due to Tariffs at a great cost: It impoverishes their own people and promotes capital flight. The Chinese people will now have to work harder to make the same amount of Yuan from exporting and their Yuan will buy much less of imports! Ouch! Capital flight will accelerate as the Chinese buy more property in CA (semi-good).

In even worse news for the Chi-coms factories are indeed moving out, as the Dragon China replaces the Panda……once gone to Vietnam, Malaysia Mexico, they ain’t coming back ….China is going to be hollowed out just like Detroit!

The bad news is that China does have $1T of US Treasury bonds which is their last “move”….but liquidating those to hurt the US also is a big “realized” loss for them on the sale……..but it would raise US interest rates.

Look at Little Kim……he has been popping off missiles the last 10 days……I am sure China is telling him to do so…and nobody gives a shit….like a boxing match in the later rounds where the fighter who is losing, his punches just no longer have any power, ineffectual. Trump has effectively neutralized NORKs as a tool for China.

Trump has a new set of trading partnerships ready to go with USMCA (Canada and Mex), Japan, other southeast Asian countries and well he has things cooking with the UK.

Even the Iranian clusterfuck is driving the EU back to us……little bitches, they love to hate us until they need us and they always need us because you can’t run a welfare state and have a military.

So what happens now?

China will try to hang on and hope a traitor Dem gets elected and then things go back to normal is the most likely strategy.

If it looks like Trump is back in…..well things could get very sporty but the Commies in Charge want to stay in charge…..and they realize that starting a war with us means they are fucked.

So I doubt hostilities break out (though trade wars often lead to shooting wars) but if cornered China will get hyper-aggressive on trying to new currency block with Russia, Iran, some of the Belt and Road victims and it will be a disruptive but doomed effort. They will have a massive crackdown on Hong Kong and other internal dissent and just be more of a visible “Dragon”…..then let the leftist defend buying Apple products from a despotic genocidal regime! LOL.

No winning there for China either, nobody wants to invest with a tyrant.

So expect Trump to roll the pressure on…..realizing that better a vicious all-out trade war where we have an expectation of victory (even though there will be lots of economic pain) vs. an uncertain shooting war where we are weakened and there will be plenty of death.

5G I think was the final straw here…..we simply could not let Huawei embed their spy devices (5g Cell sites) and Chinese military operating system across the western world……Huawei is the Chinese “State” and military…..just ask Cisco how many of their products have been ripped off and the Huawei folks didn’t even take Cisco off the fucking manual.

So things are still hazy “fog of battle” but I think Trump may have pulled this off…..the Currency devaluation is a move of utter weakness and says to me that China is just like Russia more of a paper Dragon than a fire breathing GOT level monster!

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
  Martel's Hammer
August 10, 2019 11:44 am

China has fucked themselves by trading economic prosperity for ecological catastrophe .

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
August 10, 2019 11:41 am

Can’t say that I blame Trumpster for playing hardball with the Chinks . Has everyone forgotten their “China 2025 ” ?

China like any country wants power..they want to be #1 . The question with all of this who will outlast who. If the US devalues the dollar it will be game over for the US .

Dirtperson Steve
Dirtperson Steve
August 10, 2019 12:47 pm

As I understand this, China will now import currency inflation at the expense of price stability in the United States. That currency inflation, what was $5 before is now $7 because of their currency manipulation, comes right at the same time they are intentionally creating a food scarcity as well as lowered industrial output.

On the United States end, prices on imports shouldn’t rise because they are eating the increased cost via currency manipulation.

Martel's Hammer
Martel's Hammer
  Dirtperson Steve
August 10, 2019 1:44 pm

You got it…which is why it is not sustainable for China…and Trump ain’t backing down. So the Chi-coms hope to hang on until a Dem gets in the WH and they pay them off like Feinstein, Pelosi, etc.

Assuming Trump stays in office the are well and truly fucked and they could collapse like the USSR faster than many realize…..that’s the worst case for them, the middle case is they go back to being much poorer as global trade shifts elsewhere as the Chicoms double-crossed the globalists and payback is a bitch. The world will buy commodities from a dictatorial regime….finished goods built with slave labor by tyrants with the worst environmental/civil rights record on the planet…..not going to happen.

Fleabaggs
Fleabaggs
  Martel's Hammer
August 10, 2019 2:14 pm

Martell. Pure wishfull thinking and we have been buying products made child slave labor and from polluters for decades. Why would we stop now?

BUCKHED
BUCKHED
  Fleabaggs
August 11, 2019 12:22 am

Martel….Looks like I may need to buy “World Made By Hand ” . It could come to that one day .

Martel's Hammer
Martel's Hammer
  BUCKHED
August 11, 2019 12:36 am

I like tech and hope that we explore the stars much like our forebearers took to the oceans. I pity the small-minded who want to rule this small rocky planet in a backwater of a spiral arm galaxy…..and we are way out on one of the arms….there is so much more to see. I won’t get there but my DNA in future generations will. Freedom is the true luxury and the ultimate gift from our creator. Embrace freedom and grow.

Anonymous
Anonymous
August 10, 2019 11:44 pm

Oh no! The cost of cheap, useless, un-needed junk from China is going to go up and ruin the lives of retirees. Better worry more about the cost of basic necessities like food and learn how to produce some yourselves.

Lebowski
Lebowski
August 11, 2019 8:45 am

I’m retired and buying metals to add to what I already own The dollar is on life support