Beijing Under Partial Lock Down As Virus Death Toll Tops 900; More Than 40,000 Infected

Via ZeroHedge

Summary:

  • Virus death toll hits 902, vastly surpassing all of  SARS (813) in only three weeks
  • The number of global confirmed cases hits 40,553 in China (40,171) and offshore (382)
  • WHO Director-General warns “we may only be seeing the tip of the iceberg”
  • Exiled Chinese billionaire says true death toll closer to 50k, 1.5 million infected
  • New cases confirmed in UK, Spain, Singapore
  • Passengers aboard ‘Diamond Princess’ warn authorities aren’t doing enough to protect them – and others
  • Officials in Shenzen say they won’t block Foxxconn factory reopening
  • Cruise ship quarantined in Hong Kong allowed to leave after 4 days

* * *

Update (2240ET): And so the epidemic reaches China’s capital Beijing. As gnews reports, as the coronavirus spreads from Wuhan, China has been implementing “closed management” by putting 80 cities under lockdown, and on Monday, Beijing authorities also issued a “Strict Closed Management of Residential Communities” in an epidemic prevention and control announcement (link here). It is an official declaration that Beijing, the country’s capital city of China, is now under lockdown.

According to the notice, Beijing will further enforce “community closed management” in a strict manner. Outside vehicles and personnel are not allowed to enter the city. People arriving in Beijing must also report their health status and complete the registration of personal information.

Those, who have left the epidemic area or have physical contact with persons in the epidemic area within 14 days of their arrival at Beijing, shall be inspected or quarantined at home in accordance with the regulations. They should take the initiative to report their health conditions, and cooperate with relevant management services. They shall not go out. Anyone who refuses to accept epidemic prevention measures such as medical observation and home quarantine constitutes a violation of public security management and shall be severely punished by the public security bureau according to the law.

In addition, all public places in the Beijing community that are not essential for people’s living are closed. All agencies and enterprises must strictly strengthen body temperature monitoring. Housing agencies and landlords in Beijing must provide local government with information on rental houses and tenants. This is a measure for epidemic prevention.

* * *

Update (1900ET): The latest official “numbers” from China’s National Health Commission are out and they confirm that after a modest slowdown in the past few days, the number of new cases has once again rebounded.

Here’s what we know: the total number of mainland cases has risen from 37,198 to 40,171, with 97 new deaths overnight, the most yet in one day, bringing the total death tally in China to 908.

And, as has been the case for the past weeks, the number of cases remains within spitting distance of 3,000, rising from yesterday’s 2,652 to 2,973, however this number is largely irrelevant: as Dr. Scott Gottlieb   the increase in the number of confirmed cases is likely a function of China’s “testing reporting capacity”, which is roughly 3,000 per day . This means that every suspected case eventually becomes a confirmed cases, and only logistics limit how many new cases are actually being added any given day. As such, any change in the number of new cases is not only irrelevant but misleading for all those who actually trade on this as an indicator of whether the Coronavirus has peaked.

As for the now utterly meaningless death rate, one only wonders what goalseek model China is using ot keep the death rate within +/- 0.1% of 2.1% for the past two weeks.

And here we get into the part where China openly fabricates numbers. First, as discussed several days ago, the number of people receiving medial attention unexpectedly peaked at just under 190,000 after increasing by about 15,000-20,000 daily until then, in a truly mysterious “kink” on the chart below.

And finally, in the latest entrant to the “goalseeked” race, we have the number of suspects coronavirus cases, which after rising consistently by about 1,000-2,000 for the past two weeks, suddenly collapsed by over 5,000 overnight, resulting in a sharp drop in the total number of suspects cases from 28,942 to 23,589. On the surface this would be great, the only problem is that this violates virtually every aspect of viral epidemiology, and if anything only confirms how aggressively China is now fudging the data.

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30 Comments
Anonymous
Anonymous
February 10, 2020 7:09 am

Wow you mean the Chi-Coms are not being completely honest and open about the Coronavirus spread and are systematically playing down the effects and speed of the spread and of course the death toll !
Gee they really have learned a great deal from Washington DC insiders . Besides stealing any information about anything and making it their own they too have mastered the spin of creating a problem and claiming victimhood from it !

Hyperborean
Hyperborean
  Anonymous
February 10, 2020 8:28 am

I still haven’t figured out how the chinks managed to domicile US $700 bln in foreign debt within the little 4,100 person company I used to work for (Sinopec International). This company’s largest acquisition was about USD $7.6 bln and combined annual capex spend was no more than US $10 bln – the math doesn’t and never added up. If they can manufacture numbers like this for a little 4,100 person company I can only imagine what they would do in a SHTF situation.

Asian accounting is truly different.

gman
gman
  Hyperborean
February 10, 2020 12:11 pm

perhaps its business model is to buy any other company’s bad debt, in exchange for bribes to the stock holders.

Thaisleeze
Thaisleeze
  Anonymous
February 10, 2020 10:35 am

From the front; here in Thailand we know little, like everywhere else. The first cases here were in two locations, Bangkok and Hua Hin, which is 20 miles from our little fishing town. Yesterday the authorities announced a snafu, out of the blue they say over 600 suspected cases are now being checked. The math says 300 could be just up the road from me, 62, sole carer to my 11 year old son. We are told little of importance.

Are we scared? Yes. We have provisions for one month and could be going into voluntary lock down soon.

Will keep you briefed.

Mygirl...maybe
Mygirl...maybe
  Thaisleeze
February 10, 2020 4:03 pm

Thank you Thaisleeze

RiNS
RiNS
February 10, 2020 7:40 am

comment image

Martel's Hammer
Martel's Hammer
  RiNS
February 10, 2020 8:37 am

+1,000,000!

Ginger
Ginger
February 10, 2020 8:05 am

Wonder how many barrels of that radioactive water from Fukushima could be stored on the Diamond Princess?

Martel's Hammer
Martel's Hammer
February 10, 2020 8:43 am

OK I will jump in……I am not saying it is time to panic….but it is time to panic! Well not actually but implement your carefully thought out plan to Run to the Hills, Run For Your Life!

comment image

James
James
  Martel's Hammer
February 10, 2020 8:52 am

Julie Andrews singing Iron Maiden,that is something you don’t see every day!

Joey Joe Joe Shabadoo
Joey Joe Joe Shabadoo
February 10, 2020 10:47 am

“As for the now utterly meaningless death rate, one only wonders what goalseek model China is using ot keep the death rate within +/- 0.1% of 2.1% for the past two weeks.”

I envision that the Chinese authorities have something akin to Bernie Madoff’s 17th floor to ‘massage’ the stats to make circumstances look better than they are, no?

ASIG
ASIG
February 10, 2020 11:32 am

We are truly fucked.
Take a look at the CDCs criteria as to when to test for the Coronavirus and see if you can see what the problem is.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/identify-assess-flowchart.html

Anonymous
Anonymous
  ASIG
February 10, 2020 2:24 pm

Trump is solving that pesky social security problem without stepping on the third rail.

gman
gman
February 10, 2020 12:09 pm

I did the math. china has about 45,000 people dying every day from one thing or another. I doubt the corona virus plague holocaust apocalypse even matches the deaths from food poisoning in the same time period.

SaxonWrath
SaxonWrath
  gman
February 10, 2020 1:12 pm

That is, if you believe official reports; from communists.

gman
gman
  SaxonWrath
February 10, 2020 1:47 pm

of course never believe communists. but the numbers outside of china are considerably less than what even the chinese are saying.

AC
AC
  gman
February 10, 2020 1:28 pm

Food poisoning isn’t contagious.

gman
gman
  AC
February 10, 2020 1:48 pm

exactly. a contagious disease that is less widespread and less fatal than a non-contagious medical event does not qualify as the apocalypse.

AC
AC
  gman
February 10, 2020 1:55 pm

Food poisoning also lacks a reproductive coefficient.

You don’t understand this situation at all.

gman
gman
  AC
February 10, 2020 4:39 pm

“You don’t understand this situation at all.”

heh. you can tell me that again in a few months when I link back to this post to remind everyone of how we were all gonna die.

AC
AC
  gman
February 10, 2020 6:15 pm

I never said we’re all going to die. At worst, only about 85% of us will likely die – it probably won’t be anywhere this bad, but we don’t know yet. We must wait to find out.

Watch the cruise ships.

From one infected to 135 infected in a week. Even in close quarters, this is a bad sign that the R-0 is quite high.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-10/coronavirus-diamond-princess-new-cases-japan-cruise-ship/11951058

In two to four weeks we should have a pretty good idea what the mortality rate is.

Hardscrabble Farmer
Hardscrabble Farmer
  gman
February 10, 2020 1:32 pm

Then something else must be going on, huh?

gman
gman
  Hardscrabble Farmer
February 10, 2020 1:51 pm

sure. population control exercise, opportunity to test dissident elimination, whatever. but I think it’s mostly just bureaucratic ass-covering and funding increase justification.

ASIG
ASIG
February 10, 2020 2:25 pm

You’re not going to see very many more confirmed cases of the Coronavirus in the US because they won’t be testing for it. They are only going to test individuals that have been to China or had contact with someone from China. So if you don’t meet that criteria you don’t need to be tested. If no one is tested there won’t be any “confirmed” cases.

Problem solved.

https://ww.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/identify-assess-flowchart.html

Hardscrabble Farmer
Hardscrabble Farmer
February 10, 2020 2:38 pm
Existential Crisis (EC)
Existential Crisis (EC)
  Hardscrabble Farmer
February 10, 2020 3:48 pm

Speaking of gaslighting, do you recall the video of a person lying on the street with a pool of blood around his head? The narrative said they would leak blood from their lungs, that seemed odd because if you had that much blood in your lungs, you would not be out and about, in the street.

Now, we don’t hear much about that blood. (I speculated that was a shooting victim). Today, it’s fever and trouble breathing. We don’t hear about the virus lab. We don’t hear about the seafood market. It’s just a pandemic out of nowhere with valiant doctors working 12 hours a day – going without food and water and bathroom breaks the entire period. How long can a human keep that up? How long after the doctor is himself infected can he keep that up? How long can security forces wearing nothing but face masks keep picking up people without getting infected?

How convenient is it for a virus outbreak to occur when the mainland is having trouble with a particular city? How useful would such a pandemic be to cash-strapped economies? Cui bono besides those who want to kill millions of people so they can establish a new conservative heaven on earth? Was this a Trojan Horse virus sent to China to derail their economy and help the western economies?

(EC)
(EC)
February 10, 2020 3:30 pm

Grandma Got Infected by a Virus
Elmo & Patsy
Grandma got infected by a virus
Coming home from China New Year’s Eve
You can say there’s no such thing a pandemic
But as for me and grandpa we believe
She’d been sipping too much bat soup
And we begged her not to go
But she forgot to wear her face mask
And she staggered out the door into the snow
When we found her New Year’s morning
At the scene of the collapse
She had laser-prints upon her forehead
And incriminating foot prints ‘round her back
Grandma got infected by a virus
Coming home from China New Year’s Eve
You can say there’s no such thing as a pandemic
But as for me and grandpa we believe
Now we’re all so scared for grandpa
He’s been incubating for a spell
See him in there feeling feeble
Running a fever and breathing all shot to hell
It’s not Christmas without Grandma
All the family’s dressed in black
And we just can’t help but wonder
Should we stash her things
Or throw them out (throw them out)
Grandma got infected by a virus
Coming home from China New Year’s Eve
You can say there’s no such thing as a pandemic
But as for me and grandpa we believe
Now the virus is on the table
And the pudding from the pig
And the blue and silver candles
That would just have matched the hair on grandma’s wig
I’ve warned all my friends and neighbors
Better watch out for yourselves
They should never give a listen
To gman who likes to slay
And prays for hell
Grandma got infected by a virus
Coming home from China New Year’s Eve
You can say there’s no such thing as a pandemic
But as for me and grandpa we believe
Singin’ grandpa
Grandma got infected by a virus
Coming home from China New Year’s Eve
You can say there’s no such thing as a pandemic
But as for me and grandpa we believe
Scary New Year

M G
M G
  (EC)
February 10, 2020 3:44 pm

At least it isn’t blankets soaked in smallpox.

gman
gman
  (EC)
February 10, 2020 4:40 pm

dude, that’s awesome.