Guest Post by Kurt Schlichter
When there is something that I really want to be true and things are leading me to believe that it is true, the lawyer and soldier in me both compel me to look for why I might be wrong. After all, confirmation bias exists – you want to believe that what you want is what actually is. Just look at Twitter. It’s a veritable orgy of liberal confirmation bias, though a gross, icky orgy like you might have seen at an after-party on a Bulwark cruise.
I really want President Donald Trump to be reelected. There are a lot of reasons, including my liking the Constitution, enjoying economic prosperity, and not wanting to be ruled by the sinister leftist Geppettos who are holding the strings that make their gropey, weird old Pinocchio dance. And I think Trump will win.
This is what makes me redouble my efforts to see if I am deluding myself, to see if I am skipping over unhelpful realities and emphasizing non-indicating indicators in order to wring out the result I want – another flood of tears issuing from the eyes of hordes of Democrat saps seeing their dream of a Nuevo Venezuela here in America pushed back a minimum of four more years.
I can’t convince myself I am wrong. I’ve tried. And I keep coming back to the same place. If I were a betting man, I’d put my money down on The Donald again.
Let’s review the evidence for a Grandpa Badfinger victory, because it does exist and we damn well best take it seriously if we don’t want to become serfs toiling away for the intersectional nimrods who make up the pierced and tatted-up thorax of the socialist insect that yearns to feed on the life of the People.
First, a basic fact: Either candidate of either party can always possibly win in any American election. Trump’s upset reaffirmed that truism good n’ hard. We have a two-party system – sorry members of the Libertarian Party, Green Party, and Brony Validation Party, but none of you matter and also, you’re all strange-os. A two-party system means each party is generally incentivized to maximize its appeal to obtain 50 percent + 1 vote. Almost all our elections are rather close, at least in the popular vote. The Electoral College – the only kind of college Democrats do not want to give your money to – skews the numbers, but generally, America is a nearly 50/50 split by design. Either nominee can win, so the question is who is always more likely to win.
Biden’s got a lot of money and the entire mainstream media flacking for him. Trump seems to have some organization problems in key states getting his ground game squared away, and those damn texts are ticking off the base (My sources in the know tell me the president is aware of this and is personally kicking tail to fix it – he better be if he wants to win). Of course, in Democrat areas, they are ramping up their ability to commit election fraud. But the factor that gets the attention is the polls.
According to the polls, Hoover Biden’s Daddy is walking away with this election. He’s beating Trump by five points, ten points, fifteen points, all of the points! That’s dispiriting, and I kind of think it’s meant to be. Am I saying that I think the mainstream media is intentionally skewing poll numbers so it can report that Trump is getting crushed and thereby demoralize us? Yeah.
This once would have been crazy talk, but if you look at all the lies both Trump and we have been subjected to since he dared defy the garbage establishment. This is the subject of my new book, The 21 Biggest Lies About Donald Trump (and You!), which you need to order immediately. You have to wonder where the speed bump is that will slow down the media’s drag race toward becoming total proggy propaganda. After a coordinated bogus Mt. Rushmore narrative – Dark! Divisive! Confederaaaaaaates! – that we could easily fact check simply by clicking a mouse and listening to what the president actually said for ourselves, why should we trust their reporting of something as opaque and easy to manipulate as a poll?
I don’t answer polls. I have a job – heck, jobs. So do you. And with everyone from PG&E linemen making the “OK” sign to Latin vegetable tycoons being canceled, is it so crazy to think some people might not reply to a total stranger, “Why yes, I do intend to vote for the guy a bunch of very prominent people insist is literally Hitler”? That’s Lie #5 in my new book, by the way.
And maybe I’m denying science again (That’s Lie #13), but if polls were so reliable the UK would be run by Jeremy Corbyn and we’d be playing “Hail to the Chief” to Felonia Milhous von Pantsuit, at least until some aggrieved sophomore with a degree in Collectivist Pottery from Goucher College declared the ditty “racist” and the Democrat administration scrambled to replace it with a mash-up of songs by The Chicks and Lady A. Not the black soul singer Lady A, but the singers of pallor currently squatting on the name because the word “Antebellum” sets stupid people to literally shaking.
Now, why am I optimistic?
Well, several reasons. Some are based on generalities, and some are kind of anecdotal.
Incumbents usually win. They just do. The economy, despite the Dems’ best efforts to turn the pangolin pandemic panic into The Great Depression 2: Back on the Bread Line, seems to be getting better. Biden is promising to raise taxes and cancel hundreds of thousands of fracking jobs in key states like Pennsylvania in order to please his urban climate cultist base. There’s also the fact that he has not gotten us into any new wars, much to the chagrin of the establishment. And he is getting us out of the pre-existing wars the establishment has spent decades losing. Finally, the whole chaos thing works better for him in terms of the kind of people who remember to vote. Defunding the police plays a lot better in a faculty lounge than a suburban cul-de-sac.
Oh, and there’s the fact that the basement-dwelling crustacean the Democrats are all set to nominate is manifestly senile. Notice how Trump is kind of holding fire on that little revelation until Biden accepts the nom and they can’t switch him out?
All those factors are in Trump’s favor.
Now, here’s the squishy thing I see that makes me optimistic in spite of myself. I know a significant number of folks who did not support Trump in 2016 but who are doing so now, especially since there is no Democrat alternative that doesn’t involve turning the White House into a commie freak show. But I know zero people who have told me, “Yeah, I voted for Trump in 2016, but his mean tweeting makes me want to flush America down the Ted Lieu.” In fact, I ran a Twitter poll and got over 3,100 responses in an hour with 92 percent sharing my experience.
And, as my pal Owen Brennan of ace political shop Madison-McQueen (Full Disclosure: I’ve done legal work for them) told me when I guest hosted for Hugh Hewitt recently, while the polls about personal preference support Biden, the polls of who people think will win supports Trump in a big way. That’s a screening test for the “Shy Trumpers.” And there is the wisdom of crowds factor – Republicans are largely convinced Trump will win in a walk.
Is it scientific? Nope. Is it objective? Nope. But is it correct? Will Trump win? I think so, and I can’t help it. Regardless, we need to play like we’re behind, redouble our efforts, and bring in this win. This is serious stuff. This is our country, and should Biden win, the people controlling that moldy muppet will hate our guts and want us disenfranchised, silenced, and enslaved, if not imprisoned or worse.
Let’s win this thing. It’s ours to lose.
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In a liberal democracy people vote only with their gut and their crotch. Maybe that’s the way it’s designed.
race actually
They will use any method that works; race, age, gender, sexual orientation, greed, religion, etc. The entire point of the exercise is to win office.
Trump was selected. So too will be the next person inaugurated next January. Will it be Trump? Maybe. Not Biden, for sure. He will be replaced by a dumbass to be named later, but that person may well be selected. Concentrate on the entertainment value of it, if that is your thing. If not, feel free to ignore the whole shebang. If you are in a diverse urban area, you are pretty much scrood no matter who the choose, so you might as well cut your losses and leave right now.
Today it is reported that Sen Grahaam will subpeona Mr. Mueller to testify in re Russiagte at some Senate hearing. And Ms. Maxwell will soon be arraigned, then deposed where she will rock the world with graphic testimony about world elites and criminal sexual assaault of children. Yeah, sure… that will happen. Who believes such claptrap? Kurt Schlichter?
How ’bout if Jizzlane has the goods on Trump and blows(pun intended) the election wide open. Stranger things have happened!
That would have already been released to get him to drop out. There is no dirt out there that has not already been released, except for any that has not been made up yet.
There is no dirt out there that has not already been released, except for any that has not been made up yet.
True and profound. Mainstream reality is created on the fly.
I don’t know. The Tom Hanks/Spielberg intel was pretty much well hidden…for a long time. Ah…but no consequences….yet.
That duo was hard for a hardened conspiracy theorist to square. Its gonna take a minute for the sheeple to wake enough to see titans fall.
Grahaam has been telling us for 2 years the questions he is going to ask TPTB when he calls them before his committee. He will continue telling us the questions he will ask, right up to handing over the gavel to DiFi in January.
I live in SC, never voted for Lindsey, did vote for Tim Scott!
I changed my mind on Graham after the SC nominee fiasco and his statements on the whole FISA stuff. Now, I am thinking he’s reverted back to talking big with no tangible results. Of course I will vote for him, the alternative here is another liberal idiot.
So back to being disappointed in Lindsey again!
It’s establishment puff pieces like this that has made me morph into the cynical old bastard that I have regrettably become. Please, two party system, anyone can win, is this guy on crack, or what?
What’s next? Oh, I know, let’s protest the results, but work within the system that’s been kicking our asses to promote “change.”
Good God in heaven, how clueless to you have to be to write lame articles about basically nothing, but perhaps suggesting that we could rearrange the deck chairs on the Titanic before we go down?
The country is about to be sucked down the drain and we’re still politely discussing election strategy and how the “polls” could be skewed. WTF?
Writers who are willing to expose the villianous Jewish oligarchy we need, but what we get is twiddle de or twiddle dum, who writes about which ass clown will occupy the White House for another wretched four years.
Good luck with that, Skippy, you’re going to need it.
Panzer.
Right.
Do what we always did. Get what we always got.
We’re 330 million Plasma donors to the Fish Mongers and we like it that way…. Yes I said we like it.
Here’s a solid article about fake religious, fake conservative federal agents praising and promoting openly gay Jewish federal agents. This is what America First, TPUSA, Groypers, the “conservative movement”, etc, etc has degenerated into in 2020.
http://dissident-mag.com/2020/07/07/america-first-fed-problem/
Fuentes lost me when he went all out Covid Believer.
Me too.
Thank you for writing that; saved me the effort. Hair-sniffing shabbos pedo missing entire parts of his brain vs the shabbos narcissist with consistent track record of betraying his most loyal supporters. I’ll take none of the above, Bob.
Panzerman says it all without beating on the same dead horse. Sure, there’s manipulation but his is a cry for leadership, an answer to the current situation rather than simply pointing this way and that like a broken compass.
We just got our ass handed to us with the pandemic and morons everywhere are pointing at Niggas and Jews like that is a solution; it’s not, it’s escapism. America is on the ropes. The economy is dead in the water. So the rich got oodles of government scrip and are buying huge yachts, big whiff. They can’t buy longevity. They can run but they can’t hide from corona.
They will have to back a leader who can solve corona. That is the unspoken campaign issue that you are clouding with your endless talk about race. Trump is trying to address corona but the media keeps touting BLM and broken statues.
Hybrid cat
The corona you love so much is a fukkin farce just like what poses as your brain. The reason we focus on the Gefilte Fish is because that is the head of the Hydra that gives the marching orders to the rest of the NWO handmaidens like yourself.
I’m just offering my 1/2 cents worth. I did not endorse a national shutdown or universal mask-wearing. I simply said the more serious issue is how to tackle corona medically not politically. The candidates are taking sides on the mask/no mask question. Simple solutions the public can support.
I thought Panzy was asking for a vision statement, something like a wall or an end to foreign wars. Trump would have to run against his record to push those agendas again. The Democrats propose to claw back the $trillions handed out since 2008. That sounds like bullshit too.
Meanwhile, nobody has a proposal on BLM. LGBTQ is going forward also and Sharia law is peering around the corner.
Cat.
I have made offers of solutions and offered to have a group discussion on other solutions as well as on replacement forms of government. I have sugested discussing going on the offensive Peaceful or otherwise for 3 years running. Quite a few times since the new year.
So far ZICLCH-ZERO-NADA. What I get is braindead bimbos who just repackage other peoples stuff telling me I offer nothing because I consider voting as nothing. I have posted links to people who are indeed doing things and still not a peep from anyone.
Holing up in a rural redoubt waiting for them is not a solution. TPTB spent 8 years experimenting in Nam on how to eliminate resisters hiding in the jungle. They just spent 20 more refining it and supersizing it.
We have to go on the offensive. And remember. The Grid is their friend, not ours.
I’m often not aware of your suggestions. When you and your cadre start talking shop, I tune out. I cannot comprehend those things. No offense intended. I do not understand any discussion over my 85 IQ. Sorry if I am asking questions you already answered.
Cat
Ask specific questions and I will answer them if I can.
Panzer and I believe that Trump and all Washington and BLM/Antifa are merely symptoms of the only real source of trouble at this time. We consider it playingg Whack A Mole to dwell on them and have our energy sapped.
What does this damn election turn on? Sure, it means zilch but it will affect the mood of many in November. Wars have been fought over less important stuff than the changing of an empty suit in the White House.
On the liberal sided there is a conspiracy to blur the race lines so that anybody not on the white side of the racial divide is a person of color, a negro. Anybody not on the conservative side politically is assumed to be a proponent of LGBTQ.
We beaners are being herded into this great BLM/LGBTQ orgy because of our color. We are losing our freedom to choose. If we have no true freedom of speech; freedom of choice, what is the point of freedom to bear arms?
On the conservative side, we can’t admit there is a biological weapon released in our midst. No doubt it is meant to soften the population and facilitate control measures for an eventual occupation. By simply admitting that, I am called a liberal and a covid conspiracy nut.
Kurt, go lick Netanyahu’s boots and give Commie president-for-life Putin a kiss.
(March 2016)
Trump didn’t even bother to show at this year’s conference. No need given his record.
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/435958-trump-is-absent-star-of-show-at-aipac
.22
Right.
The Trioka of Donny, Jerry, and the JAP Ivanka will be given a Star in the sidewalk of Main Street in the New Jewrusalem.
“Incumbents usually win. They just do.”
JFK
LBJ
Ford
Carter
GHWB
Incumbents are selected. They just are!
Flea- I’ve noticed that time after time of attempting to provide some illumination on the path that leads to vital, essential knowledge of our current situation, some would rather blow out the candle and stumble into the ditch………….over and over and over…………..again and again. Many are called, but few are chosen.
Panzer.
Right. It would be tolerable if they just wanted to stumble into the ditch by themselves. They seem hell bent on preventing anyone else from being red pilled.
To me, that’s far worse than some mental case posing as a Libtard spreading lies. Everyone knows that’s what libs do.
So, brave warrior, what stops you from taking up the sword and leading the revolution? What prevents you or a proxy you from getting out there and getting it going? Those stupid Bimbos who call you out? Ignore them, instead, get out there and lead, lead the team, start the insurrection going, lead that guerilla war.
As to illuminating our current situation? Does the phrase ‘beating a dead horse’ resonate with you all? Armchair warriors are a dime a dozen and the problems have been pointed out and pontificated on ad nauseum. If this is an exercise in keyboard warrioring then have at it, other wise either walk the walk or shut up.
I’ve explained what Im doing several times now despite the fact that I can barely get in my truck. I still go out each day to do it.
You’re too stupid and dull to get it so of course you can only stay home and hope trump saves you.
You should lance that boil on your brain. That puss is stinking up your head.
The only thing you do is run around spewing the same bullshit over and over while claiming that the jews and ONLY the jews are behind….everything.
Please, go get in your truck and foment that rebellion. Nothing says winning over converts better than incessant jew-bashing and telling folk how stupid they are because they don’t pick up arms and follow you over a cliff. Perhaps folks realize that you’d adroitly side step while they ran over the cliff.
For some strange reason, I have a feeling that you are an infiltrator, you act like one, always pushing a certain agenda, never broaching any questions, quick to attack anyone who calls you out. What agency do you work for? Oh, spare me your histrionics BTW, methinks yon Cassius doth protest too much.
Um, JFK was assassinated, one term, does that count? LBJ only made it because JFK was assassinated, does that count too? Ford lost to Carter after one term, does that count? Carter served one term, but incumbents are selected, right?
Is he actually going to fulfill his campaign promises from 2016 this time? Or will we get a big pile of bullshit, followed up with a big nothing – as in 2016?
Not sure why I should care if he wins or not.
You’re not sure if you should care if Biden or Trump wins?
Are you out of your f-ing mind? What are you even doing here then?
Go read the comment section of a liberal blog or a Yahoo message board. The Leftists NEVER talk like that. NEVER.
Get your head out of your ass and get in the fight.
We are fighting for our very lives and the future of America and therefore for the future of humanity. There is no alternative. We have to fight and we have to win…and we have to fight and win with what we have, not some imaginary dream team of ideologically pure politicians that don’t exist now or ever.
Stop complaining and get in the fight in any way you can.