Guest Post by Batiushka
Introduction: The Story So Far
So far the US has carried out regime changes and created military conflicts in countries friendly to or important to Russia: Iraq, Serbia, Afghanistan, Iraq (again), Georgia, Syria, Libya. All this was to make Russia lose important interests or deploy its own forces. It has also staged PR events such as Litvinenko, Pussy Riot, MH17, Skripals, Navalny, Bucha, the destruction of Nordstream – in order to try and blame Russia and make it into a pariah state.
In particular, in 2014 in the Ukraine it carried out a $5 billion coup with the murder of and terror against Russian-speakers. It then installed a puppet government, promoted Nazism through racist indoctrination, besmirched the historic legacy through rewriting history and toppling memorials, terrorised and banned all opposition, set up US military biolabs, supplied and trained an army, made military threats against Russia, threatened the Crimea, and promised that the Ukraine could soon join the US-puppet NATO and install nuclear weapons.
A Message from Boris: Deaths and Sackings
When Boris Johnson turned up in Kiev a few days ago, you knew events would follow. He is after all the office boy for Biden. So last week came the resignation of Zelensky’s spinmaster, Alexey Arestovich, for telling the truth about the Ukrainian military – that it had killed civilians by destroying an apartment block in Dnepro in a military accident and could not win the war. The next day the interior minister Monastyrsky, a longtime aide of Zelensky, and his first deputy died in a helicopter crash in Kiev a week ago (‘caused by flying low in fog’). Strange, since the neo-Nazi militias operate through his ministry.
Then there was the murder of Denis Kireev, who was an important participant in the March peace talks with Russia. It is rumoured that he was too keen on peace – which the US and the UK are totally opposed to. He had to go, so the CIA/SBU (same thing) did the job. Next came a major purge on 24 January following corruption claims, involved a deputy prosecutor general, the deputy head of the president’s office, the deputy defence minister and five regional governors.
Interestingly, Poroshenko, last seen in a luxury hotel in London, living off his now very active cremation business in the Ukraine, promised peace with Russia in one week. Once in power he did not bring peace and lost the next election. He was replaced by Zelensky, who also promised a peace settlement with Russia in the Donbass, but instead prepared war and even sought nuclear weapons. The Ukrainian people are promised peace, but are not given it. Zelensky’s support base is small and there is a majority that wants peace. Is Zelensky the next to be purged?
Escalation: Germany Declares War on Russia Again
Germany is going to send Leopard tanks to the Kiev regime. For the third time since 1914 Germany is now, on paper at least, at war with Russia. The Russians have a choice: they can intervene in the Ukraine from the north-west (Belarus) and the south-west (the sea) and cut off the whole of the Ukraine from all its arms supplies, including several dozen German, American, British and other tanks – and it will take months for the promised tanks to arrive across the Polish border. Or else Russia can bomb anything that comes across the Polish border. It has already warned that anything coming across that border into the Ukraine will be destroyed. Thus, in any case, a barrier will be created. Western Europe must be cut off, for it has become the source of the evil, providing weapons to Neo-Nazis.
Otherwise, the Poles and their reservists too may intervene (in their Leopard tanks? Remember Tiger tanks?) to take over the west of the Ukraine. Is Russia really going to allow the division of the Ukraine into the Russian East and the Polish-led Western West, in other words, its Koreanisation or Vietnamisation? (And we know how those divisions ended). Otherwise, the Anti-Russia of the Ukraine will remain forever. Western Europe must be cut off. What began as a small operation to liberate the two Russian provinces of the Donbass, is now, as a result of Western (= US-led) escalation, an operation to liberate the whole of the Ukraine. Only total Russian victory can work. Only establishing a Russian-led Kiev Protectorate, like the situation in Belarus, can work. All those who disagree with that and have not yet fled for the West had better leave now.
Interestingly, we know that the Russian Black Sea Fleet with its landing craft left port last week. On 25 January Dmitry Medvedev wrote publicly that the Ukraine would have no need of submarines, as it would soon become landlocked. The day before, the President of Belarus, Lukashenko, rejected the offer of a Non-Aggression Pact from the Ukraine (= the US on behalf of Poland). Meanwhile, the somewhat senile Biden has blurted out that the US will support the Ukraine ‘for as long as it exists’. This is not what he used to say. Then it was ‘support to victory’. The only problem here is that the US never admits failure, it never admits that it backed the wrong horse at huge expense to the US taxpayer. How will it get out of this one?
The War
In the Ukraine the NATO war has killed and maimed hundreds of thousands in just the last eleven months is continuing with hundreds more victims today, the same as yesterday, and the same as tomorrow. The doomsaying pessimists with their conspiracy theories of nuclear Armageddon foretell that this war will continue for years, ‘perhaps even a decade’. Others, the optimists, are thinking that the Kiev regime may collapse within weeks, or in three or four months at most, or there will be a coup in Kiev with Kiev forces either surrendering en masse or else turning around and marching on their murderous US puppet-commanders in Kiev. It does sound like wishful thinking. With yet more NATO weaponry and tanks to be destroyed, I think it will all take longer. Not years, as those happy souls, the doomsaying pessimists with their conspiracy theories of nuclear Armageddon foretell, but another 15 months. But I really hope that I am wrong and that the wishful thinkers are right and that it will all be over very soon.
As the Saker in his penetrating analysis has pointed out, if the US cannot prevent a Ukronazi/NATO defeat, it can at least make the war as costly as possible for Russia. Find another attacker. Poland will do. Promise them the five provinces in the far west of the Ukraine, Volyn, Rivne, Lviv, Ternopil and Ivano-Frankivsk, and the Poles will do anything you tell them to. After all, there are Poles, and most of them seem to be part of its current incredibly stupid government, who still have a messianic complex, who still dream of glory, of ‘saving Europe from the barbarian Russian hordes’, of a ‘Poland stretching from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea’, and of becoming the most powerful country in Europe, dwarfing those nasty Germans ‘who are going to give us back trillions’. Well, there have always been fantasists. Hitler was one of them. And the American Empire has always known how to manipulate them for its own ends, whether in Argentina, Iran, Iraq, Nicaragua, Afghanistan, Venezuela, the Baltics, the Ukraine or Poland.
The fact is that the American Empire knows that it cannot defeat Russia in a straightforward war, so it has always used proxies. In 2008, it took the absurd step of using Georgia. This was far too small, far too weak and irrationally nationalistic. As a Georgian told me quite seriously just a few years ago: ‘God only speaks Georgian and does not understand any other language’. I was surprised to learn that God has such limited linguistic abilities, however, there are plenty of Ukrainians who believe much the same today, not to mention Poles.
And both the Ukraine and Poland are a lot bigger than Georgia. Hence the American choice. Once they are both defeated, the US will be turning to Germany – as they almost did in Churchill’s Operation Unthinkable plan to attack the Red Army on 1 July 1945, using British, American, Polish and German forces to destroy Russia (1). Or why not use Sweden, Turkey, Japan? Why not China? Why not just overthrow Putin with the ‘masses’ of Russians who do not like him? Such today are also the fantasies of ‘the crazies in the basement’ at the Pentagon. No wonder they get on with the Polish government. And don’t forget the biggest crazy in the US basement was Polish: Zbigniew Brzezinski.
For Russians, 2022 was simply a repeat of 1812 and 1941. The Third Great Patriotic War. The West doing its barbaric thing, as usual. The fact is that, though some historians deny it, history does repeat itself, simply because human pride, arrogance and hubris repeat themselves. German tanks with their black crosses trying to destroy Russia on the Ukrainian steppes? We Russians shrug our shoulders. We have seen it all before. The Anti-Russia of the Ukraine will simply never happen. Zelensky is on drugs and so is the Ukraine, addicted to Western transfusions of blood, money, mercenaries and arms.
Afterword: Another Future
Famously, or rather infamously, the British Establishment figure who was the first NATO Secretary General boasted that the aim of NATO was ‘to keep the Soviet Union out, the Americans in, and the Germans down’ (2). As for us, we wish to see a renewal of Kennedy’s ‘Alliance for Progress’, a World Alliance of Sovereign Nations, a global version of the Gaullist spirit (though not the precise words) of ‘l’Europe des Patries’ (Europe of the Nations’). We wish to see a for now geriatric Europe reattached to its historic destiny with Russia and so with Eurasia, where it is all happening. Therefore, our aim is: ‘To keep Russia in, the Americans out and the Germans up’.
Some write that Russia can only win the war in the Ukraine as long as it can help the US to save face after its defeat and then the collapse of NATO and the EU. Remember Saigon? Remember Bush and his ‘Mission Accomplished’? (The world laughed at his farce, but plenty in the US were convinced by it). Remember Kabul? The US just left them and pretended to be in denial about them. Like the British at Dunkirk in 1940, who left their French allies in the lurch, they just ran away back to their island, declaring victory, though leaving lots of their equipment behind them. The Americans can also run away, saying: ‘Forget it. They are not worthy of us’.
Self-isolation would be such a good thing. Go back to the big island of Northern America. If you want, build Trump’s long-promised wall across the south to keep those nasty Latinos out. Lick your wounds and at last start trying to deal with the massive internal problems that you already have: great poverty, racial division, mass shootings, debt, social injustices, lack of healthcare, unemployment, exploitation, an education system that deliberately makes people stupid, drugs, crime and so mass imprisonment. Leave the Europeans to sort themselves out. No more Americans are going to die for or pay for those lazy Europeans. Just don’t tell the American people that this would make those same lazy Europeans only too happy. The only problem is that the US never admits failure, it never admits that it backed the wrong horse at huge expense to the US taxpayer. How will it get out of this one?
27 January 2023
Notes:
2. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/declassified_137930.htm
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The MSM narrative is that the Russians’ SMO was an “unprovoked attack”. In reality, it was the most provoked of all provoky provocations in the history of extra-provoked provoky provocations.
That recent Rand Corporation report advising the US to wind down this proxy war (so we can move on to the next one with China) has gotten some undies in DC in a bunch. What to do, what to do?
What to do? Redefine our objectives as whatever we’ve managed to do so far, declare victory, and arrange for a spontaneous Pride Parade in Kiev celebrating said victory.
“What to do?” Turn on the money spiggets to Lockheed, Raytheon, Boeing, Northrop…
Don’t forget plenty of money for some new tin cup dictator in another God forsaken shithole.
We already broke that handle off in the full open position.
War is a racket.
DJT was fucking up that racket.
Back to normal racketeering again, thank Baal.
yay.
DJT was an integral part of that racket. Lose sight of that fact at your peril.
Missiles sent on Syrian targets, SF base camps still there, oil being stolen and distributed on black markets.
Who benefits from this regional disruption? One guess.
Sometimes ya just gotta poke a bear with a stick ?
The USSA will fight the Russians to the last Ukie as long as there is sugar for the MIC involved and the kickbacks to the pols
Yep. That’s the reason for the empty promise of the M1 Abrams tank. Gotta feed the MIC.
Notice the HA and SEP versions of the M1A tanks aren’t being shipped and the promised versions sans armor packages won’t really be available for months.
The US pulled out of Afghanistan hastily leaving all that equipment, because it knew it was about to start a new war in Ukraine. In hindsight, it probably now wishes it would have taken some of that equipment, now that it is struggling to equip Ukraine.
The US and NATO greatly underestimated Russia, and thought this would be an easy victory and weaken Russia to the point they would be unable or unwilling to help China when the US pivoted to Taiwan. That was clearly a miscalculation.
In fact, the US has now overextended itself in Ukraine to the extent that its ability to supply missiles to the many islands and atolls’ it had planned to operate from is now no longer viable in the short term.
Its plan to bleed Russia dry, with its proxy war has backfired and is instead bleeding US and NATO stockpiles while the Russians with the cushion of a million artillery shells acquired from N Korea are able to pound Ukrainian positions mercilessly. Russia is also running its sizable war manufacturing facilities 24/7 pumping out arms at a pace that ensures it has antiquate supplies to carry on as long as needed.
The economic war the west has waged on Russia and anyone who shows any support for them has not gone unnoticed by the rest of the world, especially by those who are not always aligned with the US.
It has prompted a worldwide movement away from the dollar as country after country begins plans to conduct trade in alternative currencies that would protect their asset should the US decide they did not like their political position.
The US is now under pressure to move on Taiwan, as time is not on their side with China expanding its military might faster than the US can match. Within a few short years, the window for anything close to a favorable outcome will close. Being bogged down in Ukraine is complicating, and possibly putting their agenda in danger of being unfeasible.
In conclusion, it appears that the US and NATO are in a closing vice of their own making, with economic and military problems that do not seem to have any realistic solutions.
That window closed a while ago, once the Chinese developed ‘carrier killers’. All US simulations of a Taiwan conflict end with the US losing a couple of carriers and hundreds of aircraft. China takes a beating too, but always comes out victorious. Except for one time, when the US General leading the “China side” was ordered to lose. The mentality of those in charge who would run a simulation to try to predict the future, then cheat? Not rational. Not sane. Not smart.
We can’t win when our adversary gets phone calls ahead of time.
We wouldn’t have won back during the intervening years from 1945 to 1989, either.
The Russian numerical superiority necessitated use of nuclear weapons and their intel/counter-intel capabilities would’ve cost NATO dearly. They had two big intel aces up their Commie sleeves with Robert Hanssen and the Walker family selling crypto codes.
It’s a big game where no one really wins, but getting rich is the real prize.
“the cushion of a million artillery shells acquired from N Korea”
Utter Western propaganda bullshit detected.
The next escalation will be when Dementia Joe sanctions borscht.
At that point Putin will nuke D.C. Never, ever, fuck with a Russian’s borscht!
Uh, does this guy really think that TPTB in D.C. consider those things to be “problems”? They’re features, not bugs. And all created or facilitated by TPTB in D.C.
Makes me wonder about his other conclusions:
1. The fact is that the American Empire knows that it cannot defeat Russia in a straightforward war
2. Only total Russian victory can work. Only establishing a Russian-led Kiev Protectorate, like the situation in Belarus, can work.
3. Not years, as those happy souls, the doomsaying pessimists with their conspiracy theories of nuclear Armageddon foretell, but another 15 months.
I think he was being facetious trying to point out that we have enough problems, but to be objective, some are media caused.
Bullshit! It was the incompetent French military that left the British in the lurch. The British were left with the options of either escape or lose an army. They may have celebrated saving their army, without equipment, but they did not declare victory. The author may not like the present British government (and with reason), but he should not malign an earlier generation.
Are China and America really enemies? They seem to have worked closely together thru the covid era despite a bit of meaningless finger pointing. We seemed to slavishly follow their covid strategy of lockdowns testing and restrictions on movement. We know now the agenda for both countries was never about fighting covid. Doesn’t the fake antagonism between them suit both governments and give each more power over their respective citizens? The US sails its fleets off the chinese coast in deliberate provocation and the chinese govt declare they are being threatened and will protect its citizens. In the US politicians blame china for damaging the US economy while in fact it is the US politicians. And hasn’t the Chinese govt been directing billions to American politicians who continue to favour chinese imports over domestic production? Don’t the chinese keep buying US treasuries?
I hope Putin is actually at war with the Ukraine and the whole thing is not being staged. It seems to be the case, but the way the world is I can’t believe anything. What better than another pan-european land war and maybe even a limited nuclear exchange to reset the world political landscape?
If you have zero idea what to believe anymore, the evil forces have won.