PENSION FIBS

There are only three possibilities regarding these pension obligations. You agree to let them double your real estate taxes, government employees agree to take cuts or the States declare bankruptcy and default on their promises. Which do you think will happen?

Chart of the Day

IL, CA, NJ, TX and PA Worst at Keeping Pension Promises

September 12, 2014:  IL, CA, NJ, TX and PA are the five worst states at keeping their pension promises. These states continue to increase their pension debt instead of setting aside enough money to pay retired employees.

State

2012 Unfunded Pension Benefits Due

2013 Unfunded Pension Benefits Due

Illinois

$94.6B

$100.5B

California

$53.4B

$59.4B

New Jersey

$34.7B

$37.6B

Texas

$31.6B

$35.9B

Pennsylvania

$29.3B

$34.0B

 

·      These States promise their employees pensions but do not set enough money aside to pay them

·      Pensions should be fully funded yearly, since they are part of employee compensation.

·      Future taxpayers will be responsible for paying for these debts – for services they never received

 

Government accounting rules allow these states (and others) hide much of their pension funding problem from public view.  See Hidden Pension Debt: CA, IL, NJ, PA, TX 2009-2013  Check your state by selecting ‘Edit Chart Criteria’ below the chart, select your state, scroll down and ‘Generate Chart.’   READ MORE

SEE WHAT MILITARY EQUIPMENT YOUR COUNTY HAS RECEIVED FROM THE DHS

Now this is an eye opening link provided by Desertrat. You can enter your state and county and see what military equipment is now in the hands of your beloved police protectors.

http://www.freep.com/article/20140817/NEWS06/140726001/?appSession=882117151879513&cbSearchAgain=true&AppKey=36701000b255adcfe6ca4b13a8a4

I’m ecstatic that the copfuks in my county now have a $733,000 Mine Resistant Vehicle and a $245,000 Armored Personnel Carrier. I sure hope they will be able to clear all the land mines in my upper class suburban county. I really feel safe knowing the police have these vehicles.

Let’s hear what goodies the copfuks have in your Counties.

StateAscending County Item Name Quantity UI Value Ship Date
PA MONTGOMERY BINOCULAR 2 Each $342.00 3/10/2010
PA MONTGOMERY CARRIER,PERSONNEL,FULL TRACKED 1 Each $244,844.00 5/11/2012
PA MONTGOMERY MINE RESISTANT VEHICLE 1 Each $733,000.00 2/13/2014
PA MONTGOMERY PLYWOOD,CONSTRUCTIO 100 SH $31.91
PA MONTGOMERY PLYWOOD,CONSTRUCTIO 100 SH $31.91
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 4/11/2007
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 4/11/2007
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 9/11/2007
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 9/11/2007
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 9/11/2007
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 9/11/2007
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 9/11/2007
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 9/11/2007
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 1/8/2009
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,5.56 MILLIMETER 1 Each $499.00 1/8/2009
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,7.62 MILLIMETER 1 Each $138.00 3/17/2006
PA MONTGOMERY RIFLE,7.62 MILLIMETER 1 Each $138.00 3/17/2006
PA MONTGOMERY SIGHT,REFLEX 25 Each $328.00 4/1/2014
Records 1-18 of 18

CHRISTIE’S PLAN TO REVITALIZE ATLANTIC CITY WORKING TO PERFECTION

I sure hope Fat Boy Christie can work his crony capitalistic magic on the whole country as our next President Blimp. His brilliant plan to revive the putrid shithole of Atlantic City by taking taxpayer money and handing it to mega-corporation casinos has worked wonders. If his plan is any more successful there won’t be a casino left in Atlantic City by the end of 2015.

I love watching the union drones protesting the loss of their jobs as the Republican governor pisses away hundreds of millions on the $2.5 billion Revel albatross. It’s as if no one in New Jersey has any common sense, mathematical ability or balls to tell the truth. So I’ll do it.

PA and Delaware have opened dozens of casinos in the last five years. Why would someone from either of those states travel to the dangerous ghetto shithole of Atlantic City to lose their money when they can do it 15 minutes from their house? They stopped going to AC. Shockingly, this resulted in a plunge in AC gambling revenues and profits.

Then Christie and the politician bozos passed online gambling in New Jersey. You can go into debt by gambling away money you don’t have in the comfort of your own living room. Why take your life into your hands by entering the Atlantic City kill zone to lose your welfare paycheck? Shockingly, this has resulted in even less revenue for the gambling meccas in AC.

And guess what? The dumbass middle and lower income clientele who dump their cash into slot machines have run out of cash. They have either no jobs or shit jobs, while their cost to feed, house, and warm themselves has skyrocketed. The dupes and suckers don’t have a pot to piss in as their extended unemployment benefits expire and food stamps get cut.

The signs of collapse are everywhere if your eyes are open. Maybe Fat Boy Christie will come to the rescue again with more New Jersey taxpayer cash to save a few mega-corps and their union drone employees.

PA and Delaware will experience the same thing in the near future. You can’t get a jackpot out of  a stone.  

 

Trump Plaza To Close In September As Atlantic City Implosion Claims Fourth Casino

Tyler Durden's picture

The Atlantic City casino industry implosion continues. Following the second, and final, bankruptcy of AC’s “state of the art” Revel Casino a month ago, as well as the shuttering of Atlantic Club hotel Casino and the Showboat hotel casino, the grim corporate reaper has come for one of the most prominent boardwalk casinos of all: Trump Plaza.

The casino which opened in 1984 as a JV between Donald Trump and Harrah’s AC, was for a long time the centerpiece of Donald Trump’s one-time Atlantic City empire, which however promptly escalated into a series of sequential bankruptcies, chipping away at Trump’s reputation and business model, as one after another of Trump’s properties sought Chapter 11 protection.

The final punch came in February 2013 when Trump Plaza was sold to a California company for $20 million – the cheapest ever transaction for an Atlantic City casino, and a fitting testament to the death of this one-time east coast gambling mecca. It was here, however, where a very bored Carl Icahn, once again spread his wrinkled activist wings when in April 2013, as senior lender for the mortgage, Icahn declined to approve the sale for the proposed price and the deal was put on hold.

Unfortunately for Icahn, this is one he may have let go, because as the Philadelphia Inquirer reports, Trump Plaza has decided not to bother with continuing the sale process and will instead shutter permanently. “Trump Plaza Hotel & Casino will shut its doors for good in mid-September, according to state officials who were briefed Friday by lawyers for the casino.

“I believe Sept. 16 is the targeted closure date that we were told,” said Assemblyman Vince Mazzeo (D., Atlantic). Mazzeo said he and State Sen. Jim Whelan (D., Atlantic) received a phone call late Friday afternoon from a Trump Plaza lawyer. Atlantic County officials also were briefed, he said.

 

Mazzeo said the attorney told him that Trump Plaza management plans to make a formal announcement and issue 60-day layoff notices to about 1,600 employees Monday.

 

“This is another blow to the casino industry here,” Mazzeo said. “With mid-September the timing of the closing, it will have a devastating impact on the local economy.”

The news will hardly come as a great surprise: there has been speculation for more than a year that Trump Plaza was on the verge of closing. “Like the Atlantic Club, Trump Plaza is one of the city’s smallest and oldest gambling halls – it opened May 26, 1984 – and had difficulty competing with the bigger casinos in town and in nearby states, including Pennsylvania.”

But while the creditors will be angry they have other sources of income; one group of people even more furious and with zero recourse are the unions. Bob McDevitt, president of Unite Here Local 54, the union that represents most casino workers, led a Boardwalk rally Wednesday to protest Showboat’s planned closing. McDevitt, who labeled Showboat’s closing “a criminal act” by Caesars Entertainment since the property was still profitable, could not be reached late Friday to comment on the latest casino to fall.

Meanwhile, the city is slowly but surely realizing that its business model is dead.

Whelan, a former Atlantic City mayor, expressed his displeasure Friday night. “I go from depressed and sad to being angry,” he said. “When these casinos close, people lose their jobs and their careers. It’s a very sad situation.”

 

Employees at Trump Plaza had not been notified Friday of the planned closure, but slot attendant Stan Jelesnianski, who said he has worked there for 21 years, said employees had been worried “for a long time.”

 

“Business has been slow,” he said.

 

According to May 2014 monthly revenues from the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement, the latest monthly data available, Trump Plaza ranked last among the 11 casinos in total revenue, making $5.2 million. Of that total, it generated about $4.6 million from slots, down 19.8 percent from May 2013. And it took in $660,666 from table games, a decrease of 45.6 percent from a year ago.

 

Its year-to-date total casino revenue of $21.9 million was down 26.7 percent from the same period a year ago.

 

Charles Pinkett, a Boardwalk rolling-chair operator, said the casino has seemed to be on life support for a while. “The people have been talking about how there’s no room service,” he said.

The only good news perhaps is that yet another icon of the Trump “empire” – built entirely on other people’s money and junk bonds – is being dismantled. After this, there is just one more left…

Mark and Alice Aronson, dining outside, said they were surprised and saddened to hear another casino was on the way out. Alice Aronson, a local therapist, said she had clients from Showboat who were dealing with the pain of the likely layoffs.

 

“It’s a shame,” she said. “This is a good place. I heard Donald Trump is not involved anymore. I thought maybe he’d fight for it. It seems, one by one, they’re not taking care of their employees.”

 

Trump Plaza’s closing would leave one Trump-brand casino in Atlantic City – the Trump Taj Mahal, between Resorts Casino Atlantic City and the soon-to-close Showboat.

We give the Trump Taj 6-9 months before it too joins its peers in the liquidation docket, and the name Trump will no longer appear on the boardwalk for the first time in over three decades. In the meantime, those curious to track the demolition of the Atlantic City gaming empire in real time, can do so at the New Jersey WARN Notice website.

THEY’RE COMING FOR YOUR SUPERBOWL POOL MONEY

The Federal, State and local government leeches are in desperate need of more blood to fund their bloated bureaucracies, gold plated pensions, vote bribing entitlement schemes, and overall crony machinery. The State of PA is effectively insolvent if they used GAAP accounting . So is virtually every state and municipality in the country. The PA government pension liability alone will drive the state into bankruptcy. Rather than address the real problem with honesty and courage, the weasel politicians and bureaucrats solution is to defer, delay, tax and pretend. The weasels increase the gas tax, tolls, fees, and anything else they control to pay for their incompetence.

Earlier in the week, I heard another story about PA expanding gambling to fill their gaping budget hole. The Phila Inquirer described the situation:

As budget discussions unfold over the next few months, it is widely expected that the GOP-controlled House and Senate, along with the Corbett administration, will seriously consider a proposal to expand lottery gambling and, possibly, one to legalize online gambling. Both measures could mean hundreds of millions in annual tax revenue at a time when the state is in the red. The administration says Pennsylvania could be facing at least a $1.2 billion budget gap for the fiscal year that begins July 1.

These bozos already have a $1.2 billion budget shortage, COMPLETELY due to the mandatory government pension payments required to fund the retirements of government drones who retire at 50 years old. Instead of addressing that issue, they milk the cows for more revenue. The morons think they can generate another $200 million from keno and on-line gambling. Of course, all the other states have the same plan. You can’t get blood from a stone. The real people living in real houses across the state are making less real money than they did in 1989. But the clowns in Harrisburg think they can extract another $200 million per year from these people. None of these lowlife politicians mention the FACT that it is mostly senior citizens, the poor and the ignorant who are lonely, bored, and stupid enough to gamble. PA is taxing the poor and stupid to fund their pensions.

And now they are coming for your Superbowl pool. The Pennsylvania State Police are out to get you.

Two government drone politicians crafted Act 92 to, among other things, allow nonprofit clubs to run pools, as long as it is structured so any wager is an entry fee, not a bet on a specific outcome, with the house taking the other side. Wagers are capped at $20. But State Police Commissioner Frank Noonan said Act 92 specifically says it cannot conflict with federal law, and Noonan said placing any kind of wager on sports violates the federal Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act. State Police had its legal team review Act 92, and found the federal law doesn’t leave any wiggle room for Super Bowl or March Madness pools, Noonan said.

We are seeing the heavy hand of government getting heavier by the day. Every State and municipality will be growing increasingly desperate as their un-payable entitlement promises come due. Everyone is seeing gas taxes, sales taxes, income taxes, real estate taxes, car registration fees, sewer fees, water fees, utility fees, cell phone fees, cable fees, and tolls increased. Government is bleeding us to death. The time is coming when we say we’ve had enough.

Reduce your footprint. Drive less. Cancel services that are taxed. Work for cash under the table. Barter. Buy less stuff. Don’t ever participate in state sanctioned gambling. Starve the beast until it collapses.

 

 

TAXING THE POOR & ELDERLY TO DEATH, TO PAY BLOATED GOVERNMENT UNION PENSIONS

The morons running the state capitol of Pennsylvania – Harrisburg – already had to file bankruptcy due to their incompetent management of city finances. Now the brain surgeons running the city of Scranton have decided that dramatically raising taxes and fees on the elderly, poor population of Scranton will solve their budget woes. The government pension obligations haven’t even really kicked in yet. The required pension payments for government workers will skyrocket in the next three years. The real unemployment rate in Scranton is north of 15%. Businesses have closed. The population has declined by 7.5% since 1990. It is a decaying, dying city with only the college supporting the few remaining residents. The government drones running Scranton and other towns across PA are delusional if they think they can raise taxes and fees on aging and unemployed people with no income to pay the bloated pensions of government workers. Math is hard for idiots. Scranton will declare bankruptcy. Book it Dano.

Scranton Residents Plead for Bankruptcy vs. Higher Taxes; Different Than Detroit

 

City officials in Scranton Pennsylvania have ignored pleas from residents pleading for bankruptcy.

Instead, the city raised property taxes and trash fees nearly 60% and tripled rental registration fees. The city’s school district, which faced a $4-million deficit, raised taxes 2.4%. The City Council, which in 2012 passed a 5% amusement tax on live entertainment, is now discussing a 10% drink tax.

As a result, taxpayer who can are fleeing the city.

The LA Times reports For Scranton residents, bankruptcy is an inviting option

When Detroit filed for bankruptcy, hundreds of residents took to the streets to protest what they saw as a drastic approach to fixing the city’s budget problems.

But in this hilly town of 76,000 in northeastern Pennsylvania, residents have a different view of Chapter 9: They want the city to declare bankruptcy. And soon.

“The silent majority would like to see bankruptcy,” said Bob “Ozzie” Quinn, president of the Scranton and Lackawanna County Taxpayers Assn. “Basically, it’s down to a point where people cannot afford to pay the taxes and are moving out of town.”

The City Council, which in 2012 passed a 5% amusement tax on live entertainment, is now discussing a 10% drink tax. The city’s parking authority is in receivership, and it recently privatized its parking meters: The company in charge upped rates and extended meter hours to 6 p.m., which bar owner Mert Gavin says has motivated workers to skip happy hour and head home to the suburbs straight after work.

“I am one of the last two bars that’s still downtown. Tink’s is gone. Whistle’s is gone, Banshee’s is gone, Molly Brannigan’s is gone,” said Gavin, who runs Mert’s. “Do they expect I’m going to bail the city of Scranton out myself?”

The taxes are especially egregious to some because so many of the city’s residents are elderly and living on fixed incomes. The median household income in Scranton is $37,000, and nearly one-fifth of residents live below the poverty line.

The city’s financial problems were accelerated by a 2011 Pennsylvania Supreme Court decision that found that the city owed its police and firefighters unions back pay — about $21 million. The settlement money became due in 2013, but the city bickered over how to come up with the funds for so long that Moody’s warned in November that Scranton faced the threat of default.

“It’s been nonstop. They raised the water fees, the electric, the gas,” said Richard Laytos, a Scranton native who moved back to the city to retire in 1997 after 44 years in New Jersey.

Gary Lewis, who once ran a blog, scrantonisbroke, that urged city leaders to consider bankruptcy, took a drastic step when they failed to do so: He moved out of the city where he’d spent his whole life.

“I did the math — realized how much it was costing me to live in the city,” said Lewis, who now lives in Indiana, where he says he makes $2,500 more a year because of lower taxes. “That’s the story of my generation. There’s a lot of kids like me, who grew up, went to college at Scranton, but they turn 22 and move out of the city, and they don’t move back because it’s not a financially attractive proposition.”

bankruptcy won’t solve the city’s financial woes, said John Judge, president of the local firefighters union. “It’s a horrible idea — you take local control out of the hands of policymakers, and put it in some judge’s hand,” he said.

Neither the city’s new mayor nor his predecessor, Chris Doherty, returned calls for comment, but former City Council President Janet Evans said she and Doherty had been determined to avoid bankruptcy.

“We are in a different situation than Detroit,” she said. “We were willing and able to do everything within the scope of our authority to continue the recovery of the city of Scranton until it sits once again on sound financial ground.”

My Thoughts

Officials in city hall are either complete financial-morons, beholden to the unions, or beholden to their own pension plans that would take a hit if the city declared bankruptcy.

I suspect a combination.

Different Than Detroit

“We are in a different situation than Detroit,” says former City Council President Janet Evans.

Indeed.

Detroit is better off.

In bankruptcy, Detroit has a chance to dump union contracts and onerous pension promises. Detroit may have hit bottom.

The economic-jackasses in Scranton are going to extract every ounce of blood they can from taxpayers, then eventually declare bankruptcy anyway.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com


Read more at http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/#haqG652sif7qBjSY.99

OBAMA, GOV’T UNIONS & THE SHRILL LIBERAL MSM LOSE AGAIN

They’ve used every liberal fear mongering tactic in the book. Obama has bashed Governor Walker. The weasel Democratic legislators fled the state to avoid doing their jobs. MSNBC and their flock of screeching talking heads have called Walker a tyrant who is killing babies with his heartless policy of balancing the state budget without increasing taxes or firing thousands of government drones. Even the old Democratic cigar lover, Bill Clinton, has been rolled out.

And guess what? The people of Wisconsin are going to keep Governor Walker. This proves there are millions of people who can see through the Democratic bullshit and realize that government unions are the problem, not the solution. The free shit needs to come to an end.

It’s the same old shit from the same old liberals. Walker was left with a $3.6 billion budget deficit by the Democrat that had been in office for 8 years. He has taken the actions he needed to take without increasing tax on the citizens. The exact same thing happened in Pennsylvania. Governor Corbett was left with a huge budget deficit by the Democrat standard bearer – Fast Eddie Rendell, who destroyed the finances of the state in 8 short years. He has taken the same corrective action of reducing spending and not increasing taxes on the citizens. The liberal rag – Phila Inquirer – is accusing him of throwing the poor children under the bus. They never address how the state got into this situation – Democratic nanny state spending.

Play it again Sam. Governor Christie inherited one of the largest state deficits in the country. Guess who destroyed the finances of the state of New Jersey before he destroyed MF Global and the lives of thousands of farmers? That’s right – Democratic torchbearer and top fund raiser for Barack Obama – Jon Corzine. Christie comes in and kicks the shit out of government unions and every Democratic legislator in the state in order to fix the budget and the shrill liberal press brands him a bully and thug.

Do you recognize a theme? Democratic governors fuck up the state and the new Republican guy has to fix it. The liberal MSM calls him a tyrant and heartless. Yawn.

The gig is up for the liberal nanny state. The money is gone. The people are tired of getting taxed into oblivion to pay for the gold plated pension and health benefits of government drones.

The libs are losing. Krugman is so sad. 

Wisconsin recall: Did Tom Barrett close gap with Scott Walker in debate?

Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D) took an aggressive tone toward Gov. Scott Walker (R) in the last debate before Tuesday’s recall election. Polls give Walker a seven-point lead over Barrett.

By         Mark Guarino
posted June 1, 2012 at 11:38 am EDT

Milwaukee, Wis.Tom Barrett, the Democratic challenger to Gov. Scott Walker (R) of Wisconsin, took a chance in Thursday night’s televised debate, and came out swinging. It was without doubt his last big opportunity to persuade Wisconsin voters that kicking the incumbent governor out of office halfway through his term represents the best end to a bitter partisan battle that has engulfed the state for the past two years.

Down in the latest polls, Mr. Barrett, whose groomed image some political observers describe as “bland nice guy,” adopted a confrontational posture toward Governor Walker, accusing him of divide-and-conquer governance and repeatedly reminding voters of an investigation stemming from Walker’s tenure while Milwaukee County executive.

Whether it was effective won’t be known until Tuesday, when voters go to the polls in the denouement of Wisconsin’s long-running political saga. But Barrett’s strategy was not without peril.

Barrett, who is mayor of Milwaukee, took a risk in adopting the more antagonistic tone because it runs counter to his image as a unifier, says John McAdams, a political scientist at Marquette University here. “When he starts looking harsh or aggressive, that could hurt him,” Mr. McAdams says. “An aggressive tone works for someone like [New Jersey Gov.] Chris Christie, but it’s a risky thing for Barrett.”

The debate’s fiery tone is likely to light up the respective political bases for both candidates, even if both men’s performances were ultimately “a reiteration of well-known talking points,” McAdams says.

The recall election has drawn national – and even international – attention. Minutes before the debate began Thursday, the producer stepped in to inform the audience gathered at Marquette Law School that television affiliates throughout the state would broadcast the next hour live, national cable networks would periodically check in, and that the feed would be carried in real time from as far away as Japan.

Some of the far-flung interest is explained by the fact that only three sitting governors have been unseated through recalls in all of US history. And there’s no denying that the stakes are high for both sides in the national arena. Republican interest groups across the US have rallied to Walker’s defense, seeing his anti-union, government-shrinking policies as a bold blueprint that other governors and Congress should heed, even as labor groups have dedicated their resources behind ousting him. Wisconsin is also a battleground state in for the presidential election in the fall.

The latest poll, released Wednesday, showed Walker moving ahead – and raised the debate stakes for Barrett. The poll from Marquette Law School showed Walker at 52 percent to Barrett’s 45 percent among likely voters.

One problem for Barrett is that some voters may cast their vote for Walker simply to show their distaste for the recall process itself and to signal that, despite any problems they may have with Walker’s policies, Democrats overreached.

Jim Kramers of Kenosha, Wis., says he is voting for Walker not because he is “against Barrett” but because the recall has had “a very negative impact on the state locally and nationally.” “We’ve become a laughingstock,” Mr. Kramers says of his state.

For Jeff Krien, a customer service representative in the suburb of South Milwaukee, “the recall should never have happened to begin with.” Mr. Krien says the protests that began in February 2011 “started out about [preserving] collective bargaining [rights for public-sector unions], but that hasn’t been talked about for months.”

During Thursday’s debate, Barrett did not dwell on the perceived damage of eliminating collective bargaining rights, but instead framed the issue as an example of Walker’s “divide and conquer strategy” in trying to transform Wisconsin into the “capital” of the tea party movement.

“You wanted to pit people against each other because that’s the way you operate, and you wanted to use a crisis [involving collective bargaining] to do that,” he told Walker.

Walker insisted, as he has in the past, that reforms were needed to address the state’s $3.6 billion budget deficit he inherited, and that he did it without raising taxes or wholesale job cuts.

“The mayor has a moral obligation to tell people what exactly he would have done differently … the mayor doesn’t have a plan and all he has is attacking me,” Walker said.

Barrett often addressed Walker directly, and he returned frequently to an ongoing investigation into Walker’s previous tenure as the Milwaukee County executive, involving allegations that workers campaigned on county time and embezzled money from veterans groups. The so-called “John Doe” ethics investigation has not targeted Walker for wrongdoing, but he has transferred about $160,000 from his campaign to a legal defense fund, which, according to state law, is lawful only if the campaign gets prior approval from donors.

Walker has so far declined to say which contributors gave their blessing.

“This is all about trust,” Barrett said before turning to Walker: “Tell us who is paying your legal defense fund … you owe it to the people of this state.”

Later, Barrett hammered Walker for a television commercial that shows a blurred image of a 2-year-old who spent almost a week in intensive care after being severely beaten. The aim of the ad was to criticize Milwaukee’s track record on preventing violent crime.

“He is running a commercial showing a picture of a dead baby. This is Willie Horton stuff,” Barrett said to Walker, referring to a crime-related ad in the 1988 presidential campaign, widely seen as inflammatory, that proved devastating to Democrat Michael Dukakis. “The person who killed that baby was arrested by Milwaukee police.… You should be ashamed,” he said.

Walker defended the ad, saying Barrett campaigned in the primary on his work to reduce the violent crime rate. “I think if it was worth to say that people should vote for you in the primary because it had gone down, the same question is completely legitimate in reverse. Violent crime has gone up, sadly,” Walker said.

The Marquette poll that shows Walker up by seven percentage points was conducted May 23-26, before the first gubernatorial debate. However, “if the Marquette poll is accurate, it’s going to be tough for Barrett,” McAdams says.

“There’s a very small number of undecided voters, so there’s not a lot of people out there to be moved,” he says.

One such resolute voter is Karen Stardy, a farmer from Union Grove. Earlier in the day, while manning her booth at a farmer’s market in South Milwaukee, Ms. Stardy said her disgust was not necessarily with Barrett but with how the recall election is dividing her community but not offering real solutions to turning the economy around.

“There’s arguments all over the place. It’s like, nobody’s really right and nobody’s really wrong,” she said. “I’d rather not see people arguing over politics. We have to tough it out. There’s no instant solution to the problems that we’ve got.”