Stranger Things

Guest Post by Eric Peters

The strangest argument has been put forward in defense of Senate Republicans – who might as well be Senate Democrats – not rescinding the titanic federal subsidization of electric vehicles – i.e., the $7,500 an individual can deduct from his taxes (to be made up for by someone else’s taxes) as a reward/inducement for buying an EV.

The argument is that the car industry must not be rattled by “regulatory uncertainty.” It is used to the subsidization of electric cars; therefore, ending the subsidies would be as wrong as – well, let’s see – dialing back the ethanol mandate or making a bother about stoners buying sushi with their EBT cards.

They are after all, used to it, too.

The ethanol make-workers might have to find productive work. Stoner sushi-eaters might have to just work.

It’s horrible. Someone might be Triggered.

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From an editorial in Automotive News:

“… given the precarious state of the EV market, it could have been a big setback for the industry had earlier proposals to wipe out the EV tax credit made it into law.”

Well, first, there is no market for EVs. If there were a market – that is, demand – massive subsidies wouldn’t be necessary to jump-start supply.

EVs are being propped up by subsidies; without the subsidies, there would be very few EVs at all. They cost too much, rendering them uneconomical. They take comparatively forever to recharge, which makes them inconvenient. Hence, most people – most people- are not interested in them – especially without generous taxpayer-financed assistance.

How would be it be a “setback” for the industry to stop having to build cars it can’t sell unless they are propped up by subsidies? Isn’t that – pouring money into a product for which there is no natural market – the most precarious thing imaginable?

Or you could buy a $17k Corolla that goes 400 miles…

“The ultimate resolution should take into account the billions of dollars in auto industry investment that is at stake…”

In other words, continue to throw good money after bad – because hey, we’ve already wasted “x” amount of money. Therefore, waste more. The Defense Department works on exactly this reasoning.

EVs are a neon-backlit, textbook example of a malinvestment, if “investment” means putting dollars toward something that will return a profit. Whether one likes electric cars – or pyramids or $35 million-a-copy fighter aircraft – is an irrelevant consideration, insofar as economic considerations – which are the only considerations when it comes to an honest market driven by real supply and actual demand.

Otherwise, it’s just pyramid building. Cheops, phone home.

If the industry thought EVs could make them money, then EVs would be be made, abundantly. The idea that the industry wouldn’t invest in something profitable absent coercion and subsidization is right up there with the belief that you can leave your wallet on the seat of a New York City park bench and expect to find it (and your money) still sitting there the next day.

So why doesn’t the industry want to invest in EVs? That is, absent the subsidies and mandates? It’s the Question Which Must Never be Asked – right behind raising your hand about diversity being our strength.

Whoops.

“EVs represent a multibillion-dollar wager placed by auto executives into a technology that promises – eventually – to reduce harmful greenhouse gas emissions,” saith the writer for Automotive News.

Well, perhaps a wager of the kind described by Michael Corleone to his fiancee, Kate, in the original Godfather. He told the story of his father’s enforcer, Luca Brasi, holding a gun to the head of the band leader who had Johnny Fontaine under contract. Don Corleone wagered that either his signature or his brains would be on the contract.

Force, always force. And always euphemized by amen-corner, “embedded”-with-the- program press kit journalists such as those at Automotive News. (Historical aside: The  “embedding” of journalists was the invention and practice of none other than Joseph Goebbels, Propaganda Minister for the Third Reich. Just FYI.)

It is the job of a journalist to cut through the crap and explain things in plain English.

An “embedded” journalist… reporting all the truth you need to know.

But journalism has been replaced by almost North Korea-style incantations of whatever policy the government apparat is pushing, whether it is to rouse the public to support a war of terror or to ramrod EVs down its throat. This is why the use of plain language for the purpose of illuminating facts is rarely used by journalists today. Instead, they convey what the reader is meant to think by use of loaded terms – “wipe out” the electric tax credit, for instance; this is obviously a bad thing – and by statements of fact that are not – such as “harmful greenhouse gas emissions.”

In Stalin’s Russia, less-than-eager-acceptance of the Party Line was pathologized; the skeptic was actually ill in the head. That is probably next, here.

And why would auto executives give a tinker’s damn about a “technology that promises – eventually – to reduce harmful greenhouse gas emissions”?

Leaving aside the loaded/package-dealing/assertions-as-facts editorializing.

People forget that businesses exist to make a buck.

It’s considered in poor taste – almost like passing wind at the dinner table – to bring that up, of course. People have come to believe – via the incantations of journalists such as those at AN – that the primary reason for the existence of a business is to provide health care, promote diversity and, of course, roll itself around on the grass like a labrador retriever puppy whenever someone mentions “greenhouse gasses.”

The manufacturing of cars that people might wish to buy and which the company can make a buck selling to them is the unmentionable peripheral business which we don’t want to talk about – like changing Grampa’s Depends. It has to be done, but . . .

But, like it or not, business is about . . . business. If one wishes to stay in business. And the car business is no different. Where is the profit in “reducing harmful greenhouse gas emissions”?

It only takes half an hour to “refuel”!

This is idiocy of a piece with a Vegan restaurant investing in pork bellies.

Besides which, the extremely dubious presumptions (plural) taken as facts that these “gasses” – we are talking about carbon dioxide – are in fact harmful (ask a plant) and that EVs – which produce plenty of these gasses, just indirectly – will “reduce” them. In fact, if the “gas” you’re worried about is innocuous, inert carbon dioxide – as opposed to the actually harmful ones – electrical generation produces a great deal and possibly more, in the aggregate, than a gasoline engined car.

But to write or say this marks you as racist, sexist, a “denier”  . . .

“Congress was right to let the EV tax credits stand,” concludes Automotive News. In order to “… give these investments (there it is again) a chance to succeed.”

Why not let these “investments” succeed – or fail – on their merits? Automotive News does not bother to address this question, probably because it is leery of the public weighing the answer. The subsidies are “hardly a drain on the Treasury,” the AN writer adds.

As if that $7,500 per individual give-away factored over hundreds of thousands of such give-ways doesn’t necessarily involve counterbalancing tax extractions taken from the hides hundreds of thousands of others, whose taxes must be increased in proportion to make up the difference.

Farewell and adieu to you fair Spanish ladies . . .

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8 Comments
Brian Reilly
Brian Reilly
January 2, 2018 4:30 pm

Eric,
How much (in dollars, roughly) do you estimate is added to the cost of an average sedan (Accord, Fusion, Camry, etc.) by mandated “safety” or “efficiency” standards that you estimate people would be unlikely to purchase if they could choose not to? Back-up cameras, multiple airbags, electric steering, HID lights, data gatherers, and such?

Texas Patriot
Texas Patriot
  Brian Reilly
January 2, 2018 5:18 pm

Might get a faster answer from Eric if you post it at:

Stranger Things

Anonymous
Anonymous
January 2, 2018 5:47 pm

“”In Stalin’s Russia, less-than-eager-acceptance of the Party Line was pathologized; the skeptic was actually ill in the head. That is probably next, here.””

Already Here … A Legitimate DSM Malady …

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oppositional_defiant_disorder

You want lithium, Prozac, other?

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  Anonymous
January 2, 2018 6:09 pm

You just diagnosed me. Grassy ass.

jamesthedeplorablewanderer
jamesthedeplorablewanderer
January 2, 2018 6:16 pm

It’s also an aspect of Planned Economy -you know, just like the Five-Year Plans the old Soviet Union used to have. EVs are a Good Thing, so we should Plan on selling NN, NNN of them. Tesla, Toyota, you other car companies listen up: we need you to sell them for $XX,XXX apiece so an average consumer making $YY, YYY can afford them; we’ll have to subsidize them at $ZZ, ZZZ apiece because the car companies can’t make them and sell them at $XX, XXX at a profit so then …..
Nonsense of this kind led to epic screwups in Soviet times. Like the shoe factory that made a hundred thousand LEFT boots and no RIGHT boots. How can this happen, comrade?
“Well, the goal was to make a hundred thousand PAIRS, of course. The engineers told us that rather than switch back and forth, for efficiency we should make all the left boots first, then all the right boots. We made all the left boots as ordered, but ran out of leather at that point and no more was forthcoming, so we were forced to stop until some shows up …..”
Also, it led to “we pretend to work and they pretend to pay us!” and cynicism and stupidity led to screwup after screwup until failure ….

MMinLamesa
MMinLamesa
January 3, 2018 4:41 am

I see the bullshit is starting to catch up to Musk. I wonder how he’ll try and spin his way clear this time.

EP is a gem, love his game. His site is packed full of great auto info. Thanks for that heads up Jim.

Iconoclast421
Iconoclast421
January 3, 2018 8:16 am

They didnt even attempt to rolll back the subsidy. Why not decrease it by $500 per year? And I dont see why EV has to be more expensive in the first place. Hub motors are dirt cheap compared to a 4 stroke modern automobile engine. You get to eliminate the transmission entirely. You could replace all that junk with a cheap generator tuned to run at one speed very efficiently. Then you dont need more than a $2000 battery. But they stopped this type of series hybrid design, probably because of the stupid subsidy.

KaD
KaD
January 3, 2018 11:55 am