Decaying into a Police State

i wrote this before cop violence visited my home town. the cop who sprayed chemicals into the faces of students at UC Davis occurred within several hundred feet of where i stood in May 1970, in protest against the murders at Kent State. i’ll have plenty to say about the davis incident later. but for now, my latest blog entry.

If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face – forever.

~George Orwell, 1984


The process is sadly well under way.  And I am throwing in the towel on the American people for ushering in the police state.  I’m not going to bother cataloging all the recent behavior, authoritative use of violence, lying rhetoric, or even to define what is a police state.  The line of events, from the patriot acts, the department of homeland security, the groping of children and senior citizens at airports, the wiretaps, rendition and torture, the expansion of wars and assassinations, up to the suppression of Occupation Wall Street protests, are part of the historic record.  As is the blatant serial betrayal and misuse of trust, granted the political leaders and perversely twisted against us, most obviously with wars and bailouts, as prequel to the inevitable misuse of trust in the police state the public had granted, and will have used against them down the future line.  No police state in history has ever acted otherwise, and the American one will not be the first.

A police state in the USA can only take hold with the acquiescence of the people.  That prerequisite has been met. Most recently reconfirmed with the acceptance of police violence in several cities, inflicted upon OWS protesters.  Acceptance being the absence of tens of thousands of citizens in the streets, demanding arrest and prosecution of the police officers who committed violence.  But like the bankers, mortgage brokers and other criminals, these have gone un-investigated and uncharged.  The number of American people demanding justice is miniscule.

My former comfortable conclusion that America could never become a police state did not rest on naiveté or swallowing myths from school days.  It rested on what I saw as I moved from youth into middle age; recurrent, consistent evidence of the American citizen’s love of personal freedom and intolerance for encroachment upon that freedom.

Back when the Clintons were selling their health care run by the insurance industry scheme.  (Btw, where the Clintons failed, the insurance companies won.  They run the show, and pocket billions in profits each quarter.)  Anticipating developing technologies, the government planners hatched a plan for a health care information and coverage card.  It would be like a social security card; it would be your ‘proof of insurance’, provided by the government, and it would a few years later be able to carry all your essential medical history on this credit-card type document.

People hated it.  Overwhelmingly. So rapid and fierce the objection by the masses, the republican opposition didn’t even have time to get in front of the issue for political points.

A couple of pundits recognized the reason this idea was so abhorrent to ordinary Americans.  They saw this would be a de-facto national identity card. Identity papers.  Something routinely carried and produced on demand by authorities in most western democracies.  But not the USA, dammit.

Deep in the gut of the typical American was a rejection of the concept of a national id card.  Despite the ubiquity of the social security number used for identification, how many people actually carry their card?  How often is the card itself demanded?

But that gut feeling has eroded.  Slowly, insidiously.  The zeitgeist of the American people is completely different than just a few years ago, regarding the equation of security and liberty.  (An equation, which as ben franklin promised, never ever balances.)  In the early stages of that change, I thought it impossible to go much further.  But further it did.

Things today are way fucking different.

People are cool with government wiretaps.  People are cool with any and all manner of anti-terrorist action.  Even torture.  People are cool with mass violence and death in the deserts above oil fields far from here.  And now, people are cool with mass numbers of riot police to quash peaceful protest, dissent and free speech.  For complete bullshit reasons (sanitation; curfews and time limits numbered in weeks; hurting small businesses and normal commerce; any other crap Bloomberg’s lawyers come up with).

The tolerance of stupid failed wars, so many historians and philosophers have told us, goes hand-in-glove with acceptance of decreased domestic rights.  Now we are seeing this linkage for ourselves.

We still enjoy a tremendous degree of personal freedom in the United States.  Setting aside the economic aspects of freedom, the necessity for some degree of economic security for personal freedom to have any meaning, we still have it damn good.  If you compare our liberty to that of the rest of the world, today or looking back in history.

But, our standard is our own history.  Our own recent history.  Most of the current government infringements on our free expression and movement are small and subtle.  But the direction is steady, and the movement is gaining momentum.  Not in a good way.  While the quantity of perceived freedom for the masses of Americans has eroded only slightly, even a hurricane announces itself with but a few raindrops and a moderate wind gust.

The riot-gear clad cops are dispatched not just for drug busts.  Not just for ‘riots’.  But for small, peaceful protests.  Frequently for the purpose of intimidation, nothing more or less.  Airport security is engaged in behavior control, ham-handed enforcement of unquestioning obedience, having nothing to do with stopping a terrorist bomb.  Now, tactics of the powers-that-be include centrally planned suppression of the OWS movement. Possibly by the justice department/department of homeland security themselves

But the escalation of police and security acts against the populace is only the symptom.  The sickness is the acceptance of the creeping police state.  The people are cool with it, by and large.

There is exactly one force and one force alone that can stop or reverse the erosion of freedom by authorities.  The people.  The masses of people.  Because left to their own devices, those in power will always choose control over freedom.  And they have been left to their own devices too much for too long.

The suckers who still vote had no trouble re-electing all the clowns who extended the patriot act.  Even so-called ‘tea party’ candidates who liked the idea of government security powers, voted ‘yes’ and got returned to congress.  The percentage of people who are not troubled by squads of riot-gear clad thugs swinging batons on peaceful protesters.  That is what counts.  That is the one and only way the police state growing and festering in the United States of America can possibly continue.

If the American people allow it.

Well, the American people are doing far worse than passively allowing the police state to grow.  They are actively approving the suppression of OWS.  Not just a few Americans.  Millions.  Fucking millions.  Maybe even a majority.

Approving the use of riot cops.  Applauding.  Happy with the fact, while befuddled why anyone (like me,) would be disturbed, would think bulldozing the encampments are a big deal.

I never thought Americans would nod approvingly at the things that are commonplace today.  I don’t understand why this change in the American psyche came about, even though I have closely and carefully watch it happen.  It makes me sad.

I suppose comfort and freedom from troubling thoughts has become so necessary to my fellow citizens, that rampant consumer consumption wasn’t enough to satisfy the need for comfort.  Order, routine and security from discomfort became more important than rights long ago taken for granted.  Quaint rights like freedom of assembly, of speech, of religion (if you are a Muslim in downtown new york and own a building), to carry a gun, to not be stopped and frisked, rights that people delusionally believe will only be infringed upon for ‘other people’; the criminal, the ‘terrorist’, the political loon or extremist.  Rights people cannot imagine being denied for them.  Completely disconnected in their mind from a little feel-up at the airport, or having to show ID papers to walk down a particular street.

People are more infatuated with stomping on the rights of ‘others’ who are deemed undesirable, than they are in love with rights for everybody.  They think their personal rights are immune.

Heh.  They got a nasty surprise coming.

So many people wonder how the civilized, politically aware German population allowed the change in their society ushered in by the Nazis from 1933-’39.  Fuck, we Americans of 2011 are so much worse than the German people.  So much worse.  Empty of any common sense or insight regarding the freedom that is the lifeblood of our nation.

By 1933, Germany had suffered humiliating defeat in 1918; economic privation as a result of the peace treaty; a crippling hyperinflation and currency failure in 1923; ten years of economic depression before The Great Depression even started, and things went from horrible to much worse; a decade of escalating political violence, deadly violence, on the streets of major cities, political assassinations numbering in the tens of thousands.  And that violence was not monopolized by the rising brown shirts; communists, socialists, monarchists, police forces, private militias, public militias were all shooting and killing one another in the streets.

Hard to blame a people drained by fifteen years of unemployment, economic depression, a failed money system, and blood literally running in the streets, that they were willing to trade a few freedoms in return for some long-denied security.

What’s our fucking excuse?

Traffic was backed up on one day for a big protest march?  Those dirty hippies have taken over one of a hundred parks in your city?  Shit, the cost of police overtime is at least a rational concern when your city is already borrowing to pay pensions and salaries and keep services operating.  And you can be forgiven asking the next question, ‘are so many cops working overtime really needed to watch those OWS campers, after a few weeks of peacefully just sitting there’?

Exactly what are you getting in return for allowing (or cheering) the violent suppression of protest by riot cops?

Comfort.  Routine.  Not having your normal evening news entertainment 22 minutes punctuated with people saying and doing weird things and drumming.  That’s all.

Bad trade, America.  There hasn’t even been a real riot.  A few broken windows in Oakland; one cop in NYC gets hit in the hand with a piece of glass, and three others are splashed in the face with vinegar.  That is it.  And crass attempts to crush dissent, completely illegally, in complete violation of the letter and the spirit of the bill of rights and hundreds of court rulings over the year, all cool.  No problem, in fact, I’m glad my mayor put things back to normal.

Heh.  The turning upside down of the rule of law in the USA had been just some people are immune to the law, and can steal billions. While the rest of us suffer irrational punishment for petty theft of possession of a joint.  Now, people completely in compliance with the law, and following police commands are arrested and charged.  Not just upside down, but completely twisted and distorted.  Of course a police captain is not charged with assault when he pepper-sprays two women doing exactly as they are told; but they are charged with resisting, disturbing, hell, they’ll probably have to pay for the pepper spray.

Whether OWS fades away (I doubt it) or grows and thrives (I think likely for several months, but the suppressors will just ramp up their violence and bullshit) is not what I am talking about.  Irrelevant.

The quiet acceptance by millions of Americans (and active approval by millions more Americans) of the suppression of political dissent, with violence, has convinced me.  The decay into a police state is not gonna stop.  A done deal.  I’m crying ‘uncle’; throwing in the fucking towel; invoking the mercy rule; no mas, por favor.

It doesn’t matter what your personal definition of a ‘police state’ may be.  A reasonable definition can be applied today and has been by some friends and pundits.  Doesn’t matter.

Even if the economic catastrophe hits this Monday morning, and causes the slumbering masses of America to wake up and smell the reality, it is too late.  The mentality of the American people has already allowed the advancement on the road to a police state to go too far.   The trend toward sacrificing freedom for the (bullshit) promise of security can’t be reversed or undone by anything short of millions of people in the street in opposition.  And those millions ain’t gonna take to the streets until they are starving; and that battle will be unnecessarily more difficult and more bloody because we let the enemy arm themselves so well (on our dime).  And gave them ample time to practice.

Sure, I can still write this, without risking arrest and punishment today.  We ain’t there yet by my definition.  But that dude who the other day said out loud what a Molotov cocktail can do to a crowded Macy’s store wouldn’t have been arrested and punished for those exact words in the exact same context ten years ago.  A 2004 protest of a hundred thousand people in New York City against the Iraq war or the republican convention was met with less violence than an encampment of 200 people in 2011.  Shit has changed significantly, rapidly, and irreversibly.  Until people wake up.

And folks are still sound asleep.

Campus police lieutenant pepper sprays students who he is supposed to protect

this occurred at u.c. davis.  davis, california is my home town.  i own our family house there, i have family and dozens of friends in this college town of 50,000 or so.  i attended college there for two years.  it is still home to me.

this video made me ill.  then it made me proud, of the conduct of the students.  i wanted to cry, so proud i am of these young adults who remained peaceful and strong.

the system is broken. a lot broken.

this is a post on my blog from a week ago.  a couple of folks thought it would be appropriate here.  i’m not sure this is anything new to the burning platform crowd, but here goes.  maybe spark some discussion at least.  or some good insult throwing.

the system is broken. a lot broken.

10/8/2011

17:05

if you need a simple, focused message, you’re welcome.

this simple, focused message that the folks downtown at Occupy Wall Street offer to the nation is clear and obvious.  except to the people who will not, or can not, accept either the message, or the reality.

and Occupy Wall Street is a success.  a smashing success.  after only three weeks.  sure, the success may be temporary.  but they are Winning-Duh!

the fact that the system is broken is now part of the conversation.  it was not a month ago.  now it is, on the tee vee, in the new york times, even occasionally on the murdoch (including the occupied wall street journal;   while the street proper is still safe from the mobs, for the moment they got into dey heads.)

that is a success without a single demand. or a list of demands.  i’m sorry, i missed that part of the revolutionary cookbook–that demands must be produced, err, on demand.  there was an old term from the 60s and before.  consciousness raising.  still counts.

on the demand front, another way of looking at it i read earlier in the week.  when there is a single injustice–we’ll have a single demand.  when there is a simple, uncomplicated injustice, we’ll have a simple, uncomplicated demand.

see me; hear me; even mace me and arrest me; those are the demands of the day.  and the success–being seen, being heard.  that only took a matter of days.  well done, OWS.

like i said, it may be temporary.  very likely, it will be dust and memories by winter.  temporary success is not failure.  from small things mama, big things one day come.

enough about the messengers.  let me hammer the message yet again.

the system is broken.  a lot broken.  to the point of failure.  requiring massive overhaul, including replacement or rebuilding of many key components.  possibly requiring junking and replacement, which becomes more likely the longer the crippled system is driven w/o the necessary overhaul.

the political component of the system has failed; it no longer performs its democratic function.  Obama and his administration has functioned 100% in the best interests of the banks, the lobbyists, the huge corporations.  not one single action, regarding war, economy, health care policy, has failed to supply those interests with everything they demand, at the expense of the population at large.

we have three years of historic record to serve as proof of this claim.

the party or individual identity of the president has ceased to matter.  red/blue, democrat/republican makes zero difference in the day to day and year to year policies and actions of the federal government.

the finance industry component of the system has failed.  despite being given every support and every dollar they demanded after their failure was obvious to the world in 2008, they again are on the brink of an extinction event.  they cannot even maintain their stock prices, as boa, morgan and goldman shares tumble over the past year.

the larger economic component of the system has failed.  in our system, economic prosperity requires growth.  growth used to come from savings and investment; those inputs were replaced by debt.  debt (and credit) is by definition based on confidence–a reasonable expectation that the debt will be repaid.

when debt grows beyond a certain point, the confidence fails, and debt growth stops.  and economic growth, and prosperity, stops.

the problem appears to be how to replace/restore debt growth.  the problem in actuality is too much debt.  adding more debt only breaks the system more, compounds the failure.

all the efforts to feed the failed system serves only to foster more failure.  more “stimulus” only stimulates 1) more money in the pockets of the rich, the corporate and banking heads; 2) more jobs to china and higher unemployment here; 3) more debt that will never be repaid. (paraphrased/stolen from Jessé at his blog today, Jessé’s Cafe Américain

the further myriad failures–education, health care delivery and profit taking, infrastructure, government bureaucracy–merely outcomes of and symptoms of the above component failures.

simple, really.  the system, that we have all participated in and enjoyed our entire lives is broken.  really really badly broken.  no republican or democratic president or group of congressmen is going to fix it.  because all they will do is a tune up–change the oil, new spark plugs, maybe wheels and a coat of paint.  that is all they know how to do.

the bad news–that is the good news.  that only a small percentage of americans are willing or able to accept the fact that the system is severely crippled is grim.  but OWS has chipped away at that, if only for a short while.

the really bad news–we are not gonna overhaul and repair the system until it seizes up.  not until a catastrophic full-stop failure.  despite the opportunities, the multiple clear warnings, the wake up calls.  it looks like we may be blessed with yet another opportunity, to watch it happen in europe, with maybe time to avoid it here.  (i doubt it; i think when europe blows, we will have about three minutes before the first bank failure here, then its party on garth.)

i try my best not to fall in love with and commit to my forecasts and predictions (i don’t limit that to women.)  most of the time, i don’t even like my predictions.  including these two today.  that Occupy Wall Street will fade away; either by co-option by the entrenched left or the labor movement or the Democratic Party; or alternatively in a spasm of violent suppression, orchestrated or not.  and that america will not wake up to the severity of the failures of politics, finance and economy and demand overhaul until after the broken system is totaled.

as usual, i hope i’m wrong.

Mr. Obama’s War For Oil

Remember, folks: the causes and reasons for war are often remembered far differently than as stated or widely understood at the beginning of the conflict.

 This has been the case over and over.  Sure, Libya is ‘different’.  Actually, it is quite remarkable that a coalition of Arab states is welcoming this US intervention (sure, the French and Danes would’ve gone ahead had we decided to sit on the sidelines), as are the people of eastern Libya.

But rest assured.  In short order, the Muslim world and beyond will soon be saying, “sure, Gaadafi was bad, but they had no business invading Arab North Africa.”  And that is if Libya comes to a swift, happy conclusion, with Gaadafi gone, rebels in charge and committed to popular democratic rule.  And oil continues to flow to Italy and elsewhere in the EU.

Anything goes wrong, and the ire of the world at yet another American intervention will grow.  Again.

The obvious hypocrisy of Yemen and Bahrain, where the US government and military are on the side of the dictators literally shooting their own people, while we assist the people of Libya rebelling against another dictator who this year we don’t like.  A dictator who was a pariah, but then he paid a big bribe to the west, gave up some uranium, and was off our shit list, from 2003-2011.  A horrible terrorist murderer, who six months ago was an ok guy, allowing Halliburton and other western companies profit from that oil trade.

There are two huge forces at work, as I see it.  First is the obvious geopolitics of oil.  Keep the oil flowing is the overwhelming factor in all American policy, regardless of refusal to state the obvious by almost everyone.  China has developed a similar addiction to Middle East oil.  Inevitably they will gradually get more and more involved in this region.  Eventually with military force, by proxies or directly.  So far their actions have been small, subtle and non-military.  India, and thus Pakistan, will get into this mess too.

Second is the Sunni-Shia division in the Arab Muslim world.  They love fighting one another only slightly less than they hate killing Jews.  The first shot of the coming battle along this religious schism has been fired with the Saudi invasion of Bahrain.  On behalf of the Bahrain (Sunni) royals; against the Bahrain (Shia) majority population, up until this week protesting peacefully for democratic reforms.

Throw into the mix Iran: sitting on one of the larger pools of oil, a nation on the Shia side of Islam; a longtime enemy of the Saudi Kingdom.  And an active supporter of any Arab, Sunni, Shia, Druze or whatthefuckever who wants to kill Jews in Israel.

I can’t help to draw parallels to the late summer of 1914.  Yeah, I know, a tired metaphor, a ragtag group of Serbian anarchic rebels assassinate the heir to the occupying kingdom throne, the Archduke of Austria-Hungary.  But I see the multiple sparks ultimately resulting in these two large forces dictating how leaders and nations line up and fight a big hanging hairy conflict.  Foreign powers that need oil–America and our baby brothers in Western Europe, India and China.  And Arab Muslim states that have that oil, but some of them hate each other on strong religious terms.

Exactly how the nation-states line up into sides will be determined.  The Saudi’s have the biggest pool of oil, and they will only accept dollars if you want to buy some.  The Chinese are tightly tied to the US dollar.  Those two dollar facts are subject to change.

I will guess that Sunni will line up against Shia, China against the US and the West, Pakistan against India.  Pakistan is 80% sunni (according to the wiki); Iran is 92% shia, and officially a Shia State, the Ayatollahs and all.

Yep.  US, Europe, India and Iran on one side; China, Pakistan and Sunni Arabia on the other.  of course Israel with the West team.  Despite the rhetoric of the current monkey in Iran, who remember lost his election in 2009, the people there and ultimately the old men in clerical robes that call the shots could give a crap about Israel.  They are much more concerned with what happens in next door Iraq, whose leader killed a couple of million Persians not all that long ago.  They were quite happy to see Mr. Saadam go; they are cool with Iraq as long as their Shia brethren get a fair shake, and they probably have more control over events there than the Obama administration, as we withdraw many of our ground troops.

Iran, to oversimplify, despite all the blab blab you hear, hate the Sunni and Saudi much more than they hate the US and Israel.  But they don’t hate China at all yet.

A lot of my thinking is influenced by John Xenakis and his work at his Generational Dynamics website.
Which in turn is based on a foundation of Strauss/Howe and their Fourth Turning explanations of major historic events based on the turning of four generations.

Obama’s action here is typically incoherent, hypocritical, illegal and likely to be counterproductive.  I think it is folly for the US to start another military action, with the stupid Iraq and Afghan actions continuing, with the covert Pakistan and Yemen actions against Al Qaada (i don’t know if i support or oppose those two, if they are smart or stupid, because my leaders don’t trust me to tell me what they are doing and who they are killing).  Without clear, discussed objectives, without any clue as to what is likely to happen next or how we may be drawn further into a post-Gaadafi situation.  In the context of rebellion in Yemen and protest suppression in Baharain. Without Congressional debate, much less constitutionally mandated declaration.  Yeah, I know, how quaint, the fucking constitution.  I’m just old fashioned.

And even if I concede for a moment that it truly is in the vital interests of the USA to act to support the Libyan rebels, against Gaadafi.  Why today?  Did that vital interest not exist one week ago?  two weeks ago?  When Gaadafi could’ve been toppled with a feather, and with minimal bloodshed?

Even if this is a good idea, it was a much much better idea two weeks ago.  And obviously, Obama was ignorantly hoping events would play out as they did in Tunisia and Egypt, without strong decisive action by the US.  That just a few speeches would turn the trick.  Despite the long history of rebellions against brutal dictators generally being protracted, bloody affairs.  Being fooled by these two outliers in Tunis and Cairo.  Didn’t these fuckers ever read a history book at Harvard or Yale?

Regardless of the rhetoric of the moment, or the excuses that will follow, about being forced by events or by the looming shadow of humanitarian crisis, this is Obama’s war of choice.  For oil.  For Italy’s oil. Against a nation that bears zero threat to the United States.  Without congressional approval, much less a declaration of war.  Even if this goes perfect, and is over in a few weeks, it is wrong beyond what I imagined possible a couple of years ago.

“The President does not have power under the Constitution to unilaterally authorize a military attack in a situation that does not involve stopping an actual or imminent threat to the nation…”

~Senator Barack Obama, quoted by the Boston Globe, December 20, 2007