The Not-So-Safe Self-Driving Car

Guest Post by Eric Peters

Obeying the law can sometimes get you killed. Humans – those not asleep at the proverbial wheel – know this.Google self-driving car

Self-driving cars don’t.

They are programmed to be obey every law, all the time – regardless of circumstances. This is creating problems.

Potentially, fatalities.

Example: Up ahead, there’s a red light. Your autonomous Google car is coming to a stop because its sensors can tell the light’s red. But your Google car hasn’t got a brain, so it can’t override its Prime Directive – obey the red – in order to deal with the big rig coming up behind you that’s locked up its brakes and is clearly going to crush you to death in about three seconds if you don’t run the red light and get out of the truck’s way.

You’d mash the accelerator pedal, blow the light. But the Google car won’t. That would be illegal.

So now, you’re dead.

Or, you’re trying to make your way home in a blizzard. If it’s you controlling the car, you know that coming to a full stop for a stop sign at the crest of a steep hill is probably going to result in your car sliding back down the hill and into the cars behind you.truck wreck

So, you California Stop the sign. It’s technically illegal – but it’s the right thing to do, in order to not lose momentum – and to avoid losing control.

The Google car would stop. And you’d roll back down the hill.

Evasive/emergency maneuvers are almost always technically illegal. But they are often the only way to avoid an accident.

Humans can process this – and are capable of choosing the lesser of two evils. A driverless car cannot. It only knows what the sign (and law) says and is programmed to obey as doggedly as Arnold’s T800 in the Terminator movies.

Nuance is not yet a machine thing.

And that’s a real problem, not a hypothetical one. Prototype driverless cars that are in circulation have twice the crash rate of cars with human drivers, according to a just-released study by the University of Michigan’s Transportation Research Institute (see here).Hal 9000

Apparently, Bobo (human drivers) not so stupid after all.

It’s not that autonomous cars are stupid. It’s that they lack the uniquely (so far) human attribute of judgment. They cannot weigh alternatives. It is either – or. Black – or white. Parameters are programmed in – and the computer executes those parameters without deviation.

Because that’s what it was programmed to do.

Human drivers, on the other hand, can foresee the consequences of a developing situation and take action based on intangibles no computer can (yet) grok. Humans know that most traffic laws are, as they teach in law school, malum prohibitum (i.e., technical fouls, violations of a statute, certainly, but not moral violations) rather than malum in se (morally wrong, like stealing things).self driving car pic

Computers cannot appreciate the distinction. They defer to the law – even if it means that eighteen wheeler bearing down on you isn’t going to stop, regardless of the law about running red lights.   

Humans also know when a law is ridiculous – and (provided no cop is around) will ignore it outright. And here we come to a possibly happy unintended consequence.

Autonomous cars may end up highlighting the ridiculousness of certain traffic laws; most posted speed limits, for instance. By obeying them. The old man in a Buick will be replaced by the autonomous Corvette doing exactly 65 with everyone else running 70-75 (at least).

The machine Mind Cloverized Corvette will never move over.

He – it – is “doing the limit,” after all.

old cootThere are only a few old men in Buicks out on the highway. But there could be millions of autonomous cars. All programmed to do the speed limit – no matter how dumbed-down and preposterous for conditions, road… or car.

How about right on red? Forget it!

Even if it’s obviously clear – and safe – to proceed. The law is the law.

Merging and yielding? Better leave ten minutes early.

If a deer runs in front of the car, will the autonomous car swerve briefly (and illegally) into the other lane – and break the law forbidding crossing over the double yellow – in order to avoid the deer?

Probably not.

So, you wreck the car.

And if there’s a wreck, who gets the blame … and the bill? If the human inside is just a passenger, it’s hard to write him a ticket (or sue him for damages). But computers don’t care about DMV “points,” you can’t send them to driving school and they haven’t got any wages that can be garnished to pay your medical bills.sharks

Ironically, these autonomously driven vehicles were touted as being more competently driven than cars driven by humans. One of the claimed benefits being that we’ll be able to get where we’re going going faster. But unless speed limits are raised dramatically – to reflect the speeds people are already driving, the law be damned – it’ll take us longer to get where we’re headed.

No more hammer time. Instead, a conga line of self-driving cars driving extra, extra cautiously – at the “safe” pace of the least common denominator. Which is what almost all traffic laws presume.

Imagine your car controlled by your fearful, hesitant and rigidly law-abiding mother-in-law. That’s the Autonomous Future looming in the rearview.

Oh, we’re gonna have some fun!

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9 Comments
kokoda
kokoda
December 23, 2015 8:30 am

Wife gets naked and asks hubby: “What turns you onmore, my pretty face or my sexy body?” Hubby looks her up and down and replies: “Your sense of humor!”
(Hospital visiting hours are 5:00 to 6:00.)

phoolish
phoolish
December 23, 2015 8:36 am

Well, “their” solution will be make us use the technology so there won’t be any “humans” to screw-up their nirvana.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
December 23, 2015 8:59 am

What a handsome vehicle. That will be a chick magnet for sure.

Tucci78
Tucci78
December 23, 2015 9:59 am

Hm. Mr. Peters has read Mencken’s “The Malevolent Jobholder” (1924).

Fine essay.

========================
“I announce without further ado that such a system, after due prayer, I have devised. It is simple, it is unhackneyed, and I believe that it would work. It is divided into two halves. The first half takes the detection and punishment of the crimes of [government] jobholders away from courts of impeachment, congressional smelling committees, and all the other existing agencies — i.e., away from other jobholders — and vests it in the whole body of free citizens, male and female. The second half provides that any member of that body, having looked into the acts of a jobholder and found him delinquent, may punish him instantly and on the spot, and in any manner that seems appropriate and convenient — and that, in case this punishment involves physical damage to the jobholder, the ensuing inquiry by a grand jury or coroner shall confine itself strictly to the question of whether the jobholder deserved what he got. In other words, I propose that it shall be no longer malum in se for a citizen to pummel, cowhide, kick, gouge, cut, wound, bruise, maim, burn, club, bastinado, flay, or even lynch a [government] jobholder, and that it shall be malum prohibitum only to the extent that the punishment exceeds the jobholder’s deserts.”

http://www.mencken.org/text/txt001/mencken.h-l.1924.the-malevolent-jobholder.htm

Bea Lever
Bea Lever
December 23, 2015 11:46 am

Just another cog in the wheel to separate humans from reality. Let me explain…….

Fifteen years ago I read a article about self-driving cars as I am a car nut and generally keep up with the trends and things to come. This article stated that the purpose of said cars was to allow people to do other things in lieu of wasting hours in the car. For example, people on long interstate highway trips could watch a movie or take a long nap, maybe do some work on their laptop.

Anything to keep you stuck to a electronic device, really sad if the technology fails and you are killed. But hey, that is a win/win for TPTB as they want to help you out of here as soon as possible.They will bring this about in the future, I am not a fan as the joy of driving a car will be lost. Read a piece just yesterday that the future of cars will be (pay per use) and ownership will go by the wayside.

nkit
nkit
December 23, 2015 1:30 pm

All that lost revenue generated by issuing traffic citations. Not to worry, we’ve got a tax for that.

robert h siddell jr
robert h siddell jr
December 23, 2015 3:46 pm

BS. Look at all the rules, efforts and expense of keeping trains and planes with two operators from bonking each other and how often it happens anyway. Driver-less cars will become like bugs on semis; they will have to put car-catchers on the front.

iconoclast421
iconoclast421
December 23, 2015 5:13 pm

I’ve studied and argued about this in some depth. A lot of people my age have a cornucopian view of technology. Sadly they are misguided in this case. Human drivers are actually incredibly efficient at maximizing traffic flows. We are not good at conserving gas. We tend to race toward stops that are inevitable 500 feet down the road. We are hugely wasteful of fuel in our driving habits. But we are very good at maximizing the number of vehicles that are able to fit onto a highway. And when it comes right down to it, that is the most important factor when it comes to commuting on crowded roadways. When even just 5% of the fleet becomes autonomous, it will totally destroy traffic flows resulting in longer commute times for EVERYONE. This will necessitate increase spending on roads. Any increases in safety overall will be offset by hacking episodes that will be catastrophic. Do we really need to be reading headlines about muslim hackers and vehicular terrorism 15 years from now? What possible financial incentive do we have for making these kinds of choices? I argue there is none. It is simply a blind cornucopian push towards automation of everything, at the expense of everyone, for the profit of a few.

Westcoaster
Westcoaster
December 23, 2015 6:36 pm

Here’s my question: Who is creating demand for driver-less cars and trucks? Sure as hell doesn’t seem to be “we the people”. And wouldn’t you just love to be a passenger in one of these death-coffins during heavy fog?