Tag: El Nino

US Meteorologist Warns: “Winter This Year Going To Be Very Different” As El Nino Ramps Up

Via ZeroHedge

“Winter in the US this year is going to be very different. El Nino is ramping up in the Pacific. Sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean are still off the charts, and we’re going to have an amplified southern jet stream,” US meteorological analyst and YouTuber Ryan Hall said in a video published on Saturday. He said the El Nino weather phenomenon will “affect how much snow we get and how often we see it, but it’s also going to change when the snow starts.”

Hall constructed a map of the US regions that usually see the first measurable snowfall:

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Converting El Niño into Climate Change to Further the Agenda 2030

Guest Post by Martin Armstrong

El Niño and La Niña are climate patterns in the Pacific Ocean that have impacted weather worldwide for centuries. This very intense cycle will increase the risk of famine in parts of the world from 2024 to 2025. Here is a chart of the temperatures back to 1950. Look closely, and you will see that the cycle is very violent. It goes from hot and then plunges into a Panic Cycle type move immediately thereafter.

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This Is The “Big Weather Pattern Change” That Is Sparking NatGas’ Massive Rally

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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/29/2015 12:00 -0500

Having collapsed to record lows last week, NatGas futures have soared almost 40% as record warm temperatures in the Northeast (and a record glut) have given way to forecasts of a “big weather pattern change” in January.

As The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts notes, January will see a huge flip in temperatures compared to December…

From ‘Hot’ to ‘Not’ 

h/t @DanLeonard_wx

And it appears February Nattie is pricing that demand in…

 

In fact, as WLKY reports, in past El Ninos that peaked early like this year and had the core the warm water in the Pacific out in the central part of the ocean… like this year…  the last half of winter was much colder than the first half of winter 90% of the time.

Bye Bye Q1 GDP!!


“It’s Hot Out There” – Here’s Why In One Visualization

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Submitted by Tyler Durden on 12/18/2015 21:00 -0500

“It’s not just warm, but very warm,” exclaims one east coast ski resort owner, adding “I can’t remember it ever being like this here.” But why? As WSJ reports, two weather occurrences – the Arctic Oscillation and El Niño – are combining to shake up temperatures from coast to coast in the U.S., bringing springlike conditions to the Northeast for much of this month and leaving parts of the West colder and wetter than usual.

Typically this time of year, Arctic Oscillation would bring cold air to the Eastern U.S., bringing temperatures down. But so far this year, the oscillation has stayed much farther north, allowing warm air from the south to fill the void, said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s climate prediction center.

 

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California – A Deluge Followed by Mega Drought?

Guest Post by Bruce Krasting

 

Both NOAA and the Australian Meteorologists issued El Nino updates in the past 24 hours. The weekly numbers that were released confirm that an historic event is taking place. It now is (nearly) certain that the most significant El Nino in recorded history will be with us over the next five months. From the Aussie weather geeks:

The 2015 El Niño is now the strongest El Niño since 1997–98.

The last time we were close to the current El Nino conditions was the fall/winter of 1997/1998. National Geographic has this to say of the 1997 El Nino:

It rose out of the tropical Pacific in late 1997, bearing more energy than a million Hiroshima bombs. By the time it had run its course eight months later, the giant El Niño of 1997-98 had deranged weather patterns around the world, killed an estimated 2,100 people, and caused at least 33 billion [U.S.] dollars in property damage.

At its peak, the 1997 El Nino index reached a record high of 2.3. This extreme level was nearly reached over the past week, there is every indication that it will move higher in the coming months.

The 1997-98 results:

Screen Shot 2015-09-01 at 7.35.29 AM

Continue reading “California – A Deluge Followed by Mega Drought?”