Global Population Set To Fall For First Time In 700 Years

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,

A major study published in scientific journal The Lancet has found that the global population will start to fall within decades due to vastly reduced fertility rates and may never recover.

The study, funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, found that by the year 2050, 155 of 204 countries are on course to have birth rates lower than required to sustain the population level.

It notes that as of 2021, the “total fertility rate” worldwide was 2.23, hovering only just above the 2.1 children per woman needed to maintain population growth.

That figure has fallen from 4.84 in 1950, with researchers predicting it will decrease to 1.83 in 2050 and go as low as 1.59 by 2100.

The study notes that by that time only 26 countries will have birth rates that outpace the number of people dying, with “most of the world transitioning into natural population decline”.

A fall in population would mark the first time in seven centuries such an occurrence has taken place.

The last time it happened was after the Black Death bubonic plague pandemic killed as many as 50 million people in the mid-1300s, reducing the global population from 400 million to 350 million.

Commenting on the study, it’s co-author Dr Natalia Bhattacharjee said declining fertility rates “will completely reconfigure the global economy and the international balance of power and will necessitate reorganising societies”.

Bhattacharjee, lead research scientist at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, also noted that a major consequence will be increased immigration from countries where there is still a “baby boom,” such as sub-Saharan Africa, in order to make up workforce shortages in nations with aging populations.

Professor Stein Emil Vollset, senior author from IHME, also noted that the world is “facing staggering social change through the 21st century” due to population decline.

The findings are exactly what the likes of Elon Musk have been warning of for years, describing population decline as a ‘civilisational threat’ and urging that humanity is literally going to disappear if something is not done to reverse the trend.

While Eco loons rage about ‘moral issues’ with having children, the potential causes of fertility decline, such as plastics and chemical shrinking penises and sperm counts, are relatively ignored.

The stark reality is that birth rates globally are collapsing and almost every country is on course to have shrinking populations by the end of the century.

In countries like South Korea and Japan, there are twice as many people are dying as there are being born. You don’t have to be a mathematic genius to do the calculations on what’s going to happen very soon.

These countries are already considering embracing mass migration, with South Korea’s Justice Minister recently declaring the country faces a “demographic catastrophe” and potential extinction otherwise.

Despite this horrifying reality, it is now commonplace in modern culture for young people to genuinely believe they need to abandon their human instincts to reproduce, all for the greater good:

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37 Comments
A cruel accountant
A cruel accountant
March 22, 2024 8:59 am

What don’t these people get. The cause of a declining population is birth control.

Period end of story!!

These blue pills beta bux cucks are too afraid of women to say it.

A cruel accountant
A cruel accountant
  A cruel accountant
March 22, 2024 9:02 am

However if these people want to commit genetic suicide let them.

The people who care about families and children will continue to grow and flourish.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  A cruel accountant
March 22, 2024 9:32 am

“The people who care about families and children will continue to grow and flourish.”
The last 60 or more years seem to say otherwise.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  A cruel accountant
March 22, 2024 1:11 pm

Or all die off old age. 60,70 and 80 year olds already did their job. They won’t be having kids now. Especially the ladies,you know real biology.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  A cruel accountant
March 23, 2024 2:00 pm

Yipee! Lets continue bringing more slaves to the farm!

pyrrhus
pyrrhus
  A cruel accountant
March 22, 2024 1:33 pm

Don’t forget the mRNA “vaccine” which also causes spontaneous abortion and infertility…..

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
March 22, 2024 9:00 am

Is this some sort of statistical trick?

So birth rates have been in decline all over the world since 1960, but in that time the global population has tripled?

How does that work?

A cruel accountant
A cruel accountant
  hardscrabble farmer
March 22, 2024 9:06 am

Replacement rate is 2.1 children per woman. Prior to birth control the rate was over 4 children per woman worldwide. Now in the USA the baby rate is under 2.1. If it wasn’t for immigration our population would be declining.

Glock-N-Load
Glock-N-Load
  A cruel accountant
March 22, 2024 11:15 am

That doesn’t answer HSFs question.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Glock-N-Load
March 22, 2024 12:46 pm

What they lose on each unrealized birth, they make up for in volume.

};^D

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Glock-N-Load
March 22, 2024 8:33 pm

it did answer the stupid question.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  hardscrabble farmer
March 22, 2024 11:39 am

A normal population growth curve is sigmoid.

Knothing
Knothing
  Anonymous
March 22, 2024 4:17 pm

Downed for Old Think. “Normal” smells or rationality and civilized order.
Collapsing hockey-stick curve is what Our Masters prefer, as in : Human farmed populations pump-and-dump.

kfg
kfg
  hardscrabble farmer
March 22, 2024 12:12 pm

The rate of decline has not been evenly distributed around the world and some areas started out at double, or even triple 2.1, all being preceded by an anomalous baby boom in some areas of the world.

So yes, fertility rates can decline while population rises . . . for a time.

Addendum: I note that when that time is over and the math catches up what follows is not a decline, but a crash.

Welcome to the Mouse Utopia.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  kfg
March 22, 2024 1:19 pm

I’m thinking the boom after WW2 in 1945 allowed for lower children per woman but still growth. Then a mini boom of the boomers chidlren did that again, but each following boom will get smaller leading to faster decline. Along with the pill, legal abortion, career over family and pure selfishness. Also as infant survival rates go up, family size goes down. Why third world shitholes continue to grow population.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
  kfg
March 22, 2024 2:30 pm

For a time? 1960-2024 is more than three generations and the population has risen- allegedly- from 3 billion to just over 8 billion.

It would appear that declining birth rates make for more people. Not sure what any of this is supposed to mean.

Seriously though, is there anyone who can explain this without talking about sigmoid curves, just a straight answer as to why, despite declining birth rates, there have never been more people?

kfg
kfg
  hardscrabble farmer
March 22, 2024 3:20 pm

1960 is when the Baby Boom went into decline. It was a reduction in fertility, but fertility was well above replacement. In other words, population increased, at a slower rate.

The fertility rate in Asia and Africa had not yet begun to decline.

In parts of northwestern Africa the rate is still at least double replacement.

hardscrabble farmer
hardscrabble farmer
  kfg
March 23, 2024 8:03 am

I still have no idea why this is in any way material to the discussion.

If fertility rates were higher what kind of population numbers would we be talking about? What’s the magic number we’re shooting for?

pyrrhus
pyrrhus
  hardscrabble farmer
March 22, 2024 1:39 pm

It hasn’t increased as rapidly as it would have, based on 1960 customs and drugs…

RiNS
RiNS
  hardscrabble farmer
March 22, 2024 1:43 pm

Well because the declines take awhile to echo thru the turning.

Anonymous
Anonymous
  hardscrabble farmer
March 22, 2024 2:44 pm

That means if birth rates stayed near the same the global population would be 7, 8 or even 9 times the size it is today. My dad had 12 kids. We had in total 13 and if we did what dad did we should have 144.

RiNS
RiNS
  Anonymous
March 22, 2024 3:22 pm

My Dad has over 200 first cousins

Anonymous
Anonymous
  RiNS
March 22, 2024 4:29 pm

I knew a lot of kids with aunts and uncles younger than them. Women just kept having kids until they couldn’t whether they wanted them or not. Now kids are a choice. The pill, tying tubes, vasectomies, and even legal abortion. But to the lower classes on AFDC more kids means more money, so that is where the growth comes from.

The Central Scrutinizer
The Central Scrutinizer
  hardscrabble farmer
March 23, 2024 10:36 am

“Study Finds…”

Gets ya every time, don’t it?

Anonymous
Anonymous
March 22, 2024 9:23 am

“The study, funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation”….Seems legit…

As did this….
” Gates’s marquee Covid-19 initiative started relatively small. Two days before the WHO declared a pandemic on March 11, 2020, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation announced something called the Therapeutics Accelerator, a joint initiative with Mastercard and the charity group the Wellcome Trust to identify and develop potential treatments for the novel coronavirus.”

Anonymous
Anonymous
  Anonymous
March 22, 2024 9:31 am

The study is basically, ‘we’re gonna meet all our 2030 goals’

Balbinus
Balbinus
March 22, 2024 9:26 am

Population decline? YES! It is called the tribulation and it appears to be at our door. The left’s population goals will be met but not in the way they are planning. God will not be mocked! Repent and put your faith and trust in Christ.

kfg
kfg
  Balbinus
March 22, 2024 12:18 pm

” It is called the tribulation . . .”

Having watched world population triple within my lifetime I call it the expected regression to the mean.

But that doesn’t mean it won’t be a bumpy ride.

Svarga Loka
Svarga Loka
March 22, 2024 9:40 am

God help us.

Archie, get to it!

Notice around 1900, lasted for about…. 1 year or so.

B_MC
B_MC
  Svarga Loka
March 22, 2024 12:38 pm

The period from 1925 on shows how effective the “World Wars” were in reducing the European numbers.

BabbleOn
BabbleOn
March 22, 2024 9:51 am

On a long enough timeline, everything goes to zero.

overthecliff
overthecliff
March 22, 2024 10:39 am

God always has some people who serve him that are set aside.

Walter
Walter
March 22, 2024 11:51 am

The last people left will be 60 IQ jungle bunnies living under rocks… as they have for tens of thousands of years. They were on to something. It sucks but it’s something.

pyrrhus
pyrrhus
March 22, 2024 1:37 pm

The 3d world populations will decline for the obvious reason that they can’t feed themselves now, and as these maniacs shut down the few countries with surplus food, they will starve…Our population will decline because of the poisons being given the population and the fact that young women are encouraged not to have babies…

pyrrhus
pyrrhus
March 22, 2024 1:41 pm

Anyone who was alive during the 1950s when the population was 150 million knows that the US was a much better country then than it is now….so bring it on

Anonymouse
Anonymouse
March 22, 2024 6:02 pm

I have a feeling Feminism is partly to blame…how do you get it up when faced with a blue haired porker. I guess it just means more pussy for the porch monkeys and Mussy rapists…they’ll hit anything.

Anonymous
Anonymous
March 22, 2024 8:31 pm

the bill and melinda gates foundation were simply studying the effectiveness of their depopulation tools. next.