2021 Could Establish this “New Normal” for Social Security

From Birch Gold Group

social security new normal

Thanks to a combination of economic factors that have been years (and decades) in the making, there isn’t much doubt that the Social Security program has been put in serious jeopardy.

To add fuel to the fire, some potential changes coming to SSA in 2021 might create a somewhat “new normal”.

Here’s what we mean…

First, the potential for a cost of living adjustment (COLA) still exists, although thanks to energy inflation being down 11.2%, any increase for 2021 could be negligible.

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THIS DAY IN HISTORY – FDR signs Social Security Act – 1935

Via History.com

President Franklin D. Roosevelt signs into law the Social Security Act on August 14, 1935. Press photographers snapped pictures as FDR, flanked by ranking members of Congress, signed into law the historic act, which guaranteed an income for the unemployed and retirees. FDR commended Congress for what he considered to be a “patriotic” act.

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Coronavirus Just Inflicted This Devastating Blow on Social Security

From Birch Gold Group

social security virus

As if Social Security didn’t already have enough challenges ahead, we now have yet another complication. Not surprisingly, it’s a ripple effect from COVID-19.

Before coronavirus hit the scene, most experts agreed that if nothing was done, Social Security would be facing a 21% cut by 2035.

A chart from page 13 of the latest Trustees Report illustrates this prediction:

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Social Security Has a Big COLA Problem (Oh, And It May Be Insolvent in 9 Years)

From Birch Gold Group

social security problem

Back in February, we reported that next year’s Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) from Social Security may get “infected” by coronavirus, thanks mainly to inflation.

We suggested the COLA would not be enough to cover increased prices. And it appears that’s been accurate so far this year, as food inflation almost doubled from March to April, increasing from 1.9% to 3.5%.

That level of inflation hits the pocketbook hard, especially since millions of Americans are still homebound, thanks to government-imposed “stay at home” regulations.

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2021 Social Security COLA Could Be “Infected” by the Coronavirus

From Birch Gold Group

social security coronavirus

It appears that the coronavirus, officially known as COVID-19, could claim a surprising victim: the 2021 COLA from Social Security.

According to official statistics, more than 64 million Americans receive more than $1 trillion in Social Security benefits. It also represents about 33% of total income for the elderly.

So when the “cost-of-living adjustment” comes out each year, a large number of Americans are paying attention. For 2020, that adjustment resulted in an increase of 1.6%. Not a huge increase – and not quite enough to keep pace with the official rate of inflation – but certainly better than nothing.

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Social Security COLA Lags Behind Federal Reserve’s Inflation Target

From Birch Gold Group

social security

Since 1975, the Social Security Administration (SSA) has provided automatic Cost-of-Living Adjustments (COLAs), which increase Social Security benefit payouts. For 2020, the adjustment officially ended up at 1.6%.

According to the SSA, this adjustment is “enacted by legislation that ties COLAs to the annual increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI-W). The change means that inflation no longer drains value from Social Security benefits.”

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Social Security Administration Proposes 2 Much-Needed Changes, But There’s 1 Big Problem

From Birch Gold Group

social security

There’s no doubt, Social Security has problems that urgently need to be resolved. If they aren’t addressed in a meaningful way, and soon, those problems could turn catastrophic.

Changes could be coming as soon as January. The recently appointed Social Security Commissioner, Andrew Saul, wants to do two things in an attempt to make the SSA “better,” according to MarketWatch:

  1. Reopen field offices nationwide on Wednesday afternoons, restoring closings that were put in place in 2012.
  2. Hire 1,100 new employees to provide service on the national 800 number and in its processing centers, where paperwork is handled.

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Rising Inflation May Absorb Your Social Security Raise

From Birch Gold Group

social security and inflation

Long-term Social Security has a shortfall of $43 trillion (officially reported by the Board of Trustees), and an imminent benefit cut of 25% by 2034.

Despite these sobering facts, Social Security raised benefits for 8 million recipients by 2.8%, effective January of this year. On average, this means recipients will receive $39 more with each check.

On the surface, this cost-of-living-adjustment sounds good. And if the cost of energy, food, and other commodities remained the same (or declined), this would be a nice raise.

But those costs don’t stay the same. Inflation plays a critical role in determining how much of that “raise” you get to keep.

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How U.S. Government Debt May Impact Social Security

From Birch Gold Group

us government debt and social security

Fiscal year 2018 wasn’t a good one for U.S. Government net-worth. While that may hardly be surprising, it’s possible we’re reaching a “tipping point.”

From an official report released by the U.S. Treasury, Sovereign Man pulled out a few key highlights:

  • In Fiscal Year 2018, the government’s total net loss was $1.16 TRILLION.
  • … they spent over $4.5 trillion.
  • … nearly HALF went to Social Security and Medicare.
  • … spent a record $523 billion just on interest payments on the national debt!

But one official estimate from the Treasury report stood out primarily because it appears potentially catastrophic (see red arrows below):

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Retirement Isn’t Happening

Guest Post by John Mauldin

Image result for Retirement Isn’t Happening

I have long said I don’t want to retire. I enjoy my work. It’s not too physical, other than the travel (which is finally beginning to wear on me). Also, my savings are not yet sufficient to sustain the retirement lifestyle Shane and I want. I could retire now but would rather wait.

Fortunately, I have the choice of continuing to work and adding to those savings. I realize many Americans don’t have that luxury. Some have to retire because of illness, or because their work requires more physical ability than their age allows. Many others don’t retire because they just can’t afford to.

TV commercials suggest a financial advisor is key to a leisurely retirement. A good one certainly can help, but only to the extent you’ve saved enough cash to give them something to invest. And as we’ll see, many Americans haven’t.

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THE FOURTH TURNING & WAR OF THE WORLDS

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“In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a chain reaction of unyielding responses and further emergencies. The core elements of these scenarios (debt, civic decay, global disorder) will matter more than the details, which the catalyst will juxtapose and connect in some unknowable way. If foreign societies are also entering a Fourth Turning, this could accelerate the chain reaction. At home and abroad, these events will reflect the tearing of the civic fabric at points of extreme vulnerability – problem areas where America will have neglected, denied, or delayed needed action.” – The Fourth Turning – Strauss & Howe

The paragraph above captures everything that has happened, is happening, and will happen during this Fourth Turning. It was written over two decades ago, but no one can deny its accuracy regarding our present situation. The spark was a financial crash. The response to the financial crash by the financial and governmental entities, along with their Deep State co-conspirators who created the financial collapse due to their greed and malfeasance, led to the incomprehensible election of Donald Trump, as the deplorables in flyover country evoked revenge upon the corrupt establishment.

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Is Social Security Worth Its Cost?

Via The Heritage Foundation

Americans would be better off keeping their payroll tax contributions and saving them in private retirement accounts than having to contribute to the government’s broken Social Security system. Social Security’s design has, over the decades, presumed that many Americans are too incompetent to make informed decisions for themselves, but few Americans believe that the government knows better than they do what is best for them and their families. Moreover, Social Security’s financial structure effectively guarantees that workers will receive extremely low—or even negative returns—on their payroll taxes.

Social Security began as an anti-poverty insurance program, aimed at preventing workers from outliving their savings when they were no longer physically able to work. As such, Social Security was limited in nature, beginning as only a 2 percent payroll tax—and promising to never take more than 6 percent of workers’ pay. Today, Social Security’s Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) retirement program takes 10.6 percent of workers’ pay, and its Disability Insurance (DI) program takes another 1.8 percent, for a combined total of 12.4 percent. This is more than most Americans pay in income taxes.

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LIES, LIES & OMG MORE LIES

“There are three types of lies — lies, damn lies, and statistics.” – Benjamin Disraeli

Every month the government apparatchiks at the Bureau of Lies and Scams (BLS) dutifully announces inflation is still running below 2%. Janet Yellen then gives a speech where she notes her concern inflation is too low and she needs to keep interest rates near zero to save humanity from the scourge of too low inflation. I don’t know how I could survive without 2% inflation reducing my purchasing power.

This week they reported year over year inflation of 1.9%. Just right to keep Janet from raising rates and keeping the stock market on track for new record highs. According to our beloved bureaucrats, after they have sliced, diced, massaged and manipulated the data, you’ve experienced annual inflation of 2.1% since 2000. If you believe that, I’ve got a great real estate deal for you in North Korea on the border with South Korea.

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SWINDLING FUTURITY

“The principle of spending money to be paid by posterity, under the name of funding, is but swindling futurity on a large scale.”Thomas Jefferson

Yesterday the government reported a “modest” August budget deficit of $108 billion. That’s one month folks. This is another example of how the government and their mainstream media mouthpieces portray horrifically bad, extremely abnormal financial data as normal and expected. They pretend everything that has happened since 2008 is just standard operating procedure. They follow the Big Lie theory to the extreme. The masses have been so dumbed down, desensitized, and taught to believe delusions, they can’t distinguish the abnormal from the normal.

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Of course Donald Trump’s tax cuts are in trouble

 

Older Americans don’t want benefits slashed — and they vote