How to Get Rich in the Swamp

Guest Post by Bill Bonner

YOUGHAL, IRELAND – Today, we take a look at the Swamp.

Slimy, slippery, slithery – the Swamp stretches out from the banks of the Potomac and beyond.

It is home to the government, of course, but also to whole industries…

The “defense” industry, for example, lies on the Virginia side of the great river…

The huge complex of health, education, and welfare is headquartered on the other side, in the Maryland suburbs…

And the financial industry, too, is in a swamp of its own, centered in the low-lying areas of Manhattan.

Deep State Home

The Swamp is where they write the laws (such as the 2,000-plus pages of Obamacare… or the 1,000-plus pages of the recent tax cuts). And it is where the deals are made (What will be subject to The Donald’s new trade taxes? What won’t?).

The Swamp is the pudding in which the rich plums are hid.

It is also home to the Deep State, the loose confederation of special interests, insiders, and cronies that controls the government.

This is the same Swamp that now casts its dark shadow over the future of the U.S., its economy, and its empire.

Federal debt is increasing two to three times faster than revenues; by 2028, given reasonable assumptions, the national debt will reach $40 trillion.

Assuming a 4% rate, that would mean $1.6 trillion a year in interest – equivalent to about half of this year’s tax receipts.

Obviously, that can’t happen. The U.S. will go to Hell or bankruptcy – maybe both – long before that.

This disaster would be easy to avoid: simply cut spending.

But the military/security/surveillance faction of the Deep State swamp prevents cuts to its budget. And the health/education/welfare/retirement faction stops any significant cuts to those outlays.

And guess where most new candidates for Congress come from…

From honest business or noble professions?

Nope… The largest groups running for Congress for the first time, aspiring to Swamp glory, are teachers and ex-military men.

They have never satisfied a customer and now represent the two biggest wings of the Deep State.

Damp Spots

We look at the Swamp because we find ourselves in one of those (mercifully rare) occasions when politics cannot be avoided. Soon, it may not matter which stock you pick… or how much your house has increased in value… or who’s a part of the Supreme Court. The whole shebang could blow up.

But how did the Swamp come to be?

Of course, there were always some damp spots near the Capitol Building. That’s what government is for – to steal from the public in order to reward the elite.

But never before were Swamp politics so ghastly that they could overrule any president or block any reform… forcing the nation into a disastrous crisis with its eyes wide open.

This week, we will look back… and then ahead. But first, let’s cast a cynical eye to the side… at what is going on right now.

Here’s Gail Collins in The New York Times:

Take the case of former Representative Billy Tauzin, who was the chairman of the Energy and Commerce Committee in the early 2000s. He worked very hard to expand Medicare to include prescription drugs. (Say thank you to Billy.) He also worked very, very, very hard to make sure the government couldn’t use its massive new negotiating power to bring drug prices down – the way most sane countries do. (Say what, Billy?) Then, after announcing his retirement in 2004, Tauzin became head of the drug manufacturers’ lobbying arm, PhRMA, at an annual salary of $2 million.

Guiding Deep-Staters

Ms. Collins only brought up one Swamp critter to criticize another: Jon Kyl, recently chosen as an interim senator to replace another fallen Swamp denizen, John McCain.

Mr. Kyl left the Senate in 2013. What did he get up to? Naturally, he went the way of the Swamp… right into one of the biggest law firms in Washington – Covington & Burling.

The company website explained his role:

He advises companies on domestic and international policies that influence U.S. and multinational businesses and assists corporate clients on tax, healthcare, defense, national security, and intellectual property matters, among others.

Ms. Collins clarified:

[He] became a lobbyist for the American Automotive Policy Council, Anheuser-Busch, H&R Block, JW Aluminum, Wal-Mart Stores, and others too numerous to mention.

And who is Louis Freeh? The name came up after it was revealed that he paid Rudolph Giuliani to help a rich American beat a corruption rap in Romania. Again, we consult the company website:

Freeh Group International Solutions, LLC (“FGIS”) is a global risk management firm serving in the areas of business integrity and compliance, safety and security, and investigations and due diligence. FGIS was founded by Louis J. Freeh, former director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and former federal judge.

And this time, we’ll do the clarifying ourselves: Freeh is a Swamp critter – a fixer.

Freeh cleared out his desk at the FBI in 2001. Since then, he’s gotten rich by helping other Deep-Staters make their way through the Swamp.

Journalist Mike Lofgren, writing in Washington Monthly, offers more detail:

Freeh was also a lawyer for Prevezon, a money-laundering Russian company caught up in Robert Mueller’s investigation of Russian interference in the 2016 election. Prevezon is also represented by Natalia Veselnitskaya, the Russian lawyer who notoriously participated in the infamous June 2016 Trump Tower meeting between Russian operatives and Paul Manafort, Donald Trump, Jr., and Jared Kushner to discuss supposed “dirt” on Hillary Clinton.

How much can you make doing that kind of work? A lot more than you can get on a G-man’s pension. Lofgren continues:

Presumably, Freeh has been well compensated by them. In May 2017, he was reported to have paid $9.38 million for a house in Palm Beach boasting a view of the ocean.

Ripe fruit hangs from every tree in the Swamp. How it got there will be our subject for tomorrow.

Stay tuned…

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17 Comments
Maggie
Maggie
September 18, 2018 2:10 pm

A little Bot told me to grab first spot on this one.

I’m glad it did now that I’ve read through the piece.

Of course the Beltway is rolling in the dough. The swamp is full of all sorts of things that bubble and churn, awash with fungal and fecal matter to nourish the bottom feeding congress critters and their ilk.

So, Bill, what do we do about it?

Here’s what I did: When I saw what Congress handed to those rotten filthy thieves on Wall Street in 2007 and 2008, my husband and I set our feet on a path to be in a community of people who think we have a good way of life and plan to keep it.

Either you did the same or you are just bitching about it.

Bilco
Bilco
  Maggie
September 18, 2018 2:51 pm

That is about the time I did the same exact thing….

BB
BB
  Bilco
September 18, 2018 3:02 pm

Harder than you think. Staying put maybe the best option for people with an kind of illness.

Agnes
Agnes
  BB
September 18, 2018 3:24 pm

Just do the best you can, bb. The Good Lord will take care of the rest.

Mark
Mark
  Agnes
September 18, 2018 6:46 pm

Roger that

Anon
Anon
  Bilco
September 18, 2018 3:30 pm

What is it that they say insanity is? Doing the same thing again and again and again and expecting different outcome?

Oh, you lost money in a Ponzi scheme. Damn. Look, there goes Bernie Madoff. Shit. Oh, look, a Bernankster thief trained by the Greenspanner who took over from, well, who?

And you expect the financial industry to clean up its act because you pointed it out? Hell no… get yourself debt free and grasp what freedom really is.

You only need enough. Enough is a LOT LESS than most people think it is.

Boat Guy
Boat Guy
September 18, 2018 6:35 pm

Unable to abandon my position , I stand ready to defend against the coming wave of starving paracites that are eventually going to bleed the host dry . It started decades ago and far too many see all this as the way thing are supposed to be . True it’s corrupt beyond belief , honor and integrity have been replaced by selfish gain and obscene desire at the expense of others . Until a true SHTF wave of circumstances like a Tsunami that knocks the legs out from under the powers that be and all those dependent sorry souls nothing will change . There will need to be serious blood sheed not unlike our civil war . God help us as a nation and please give me the wisdom to govern myself accordingly .
Forget Me Not !

pyrrhus
pyrrhus
September 18, 2018 10:31 pm

“Obviously, that can’t happen. The U.S. will go to Hell or bankruptcy – maybe both – long before that.”

On the contrary, it most certainly will happen, and $40 trillion is the low end of where this spiral is going. But no politician since Warren Harding put a serious dent in Federal spending…

Mark
Mark
September 18, 2018 11:28 pm

ORGANIZATION AND COMMUNICATION STRUCTURE OF THE SWAMP UNCOVERED

Organization and Communication Structure of the Swamp Uncovered

AMERICAN INTELLIGENCE MEDIA

‘The American Intelligence Media is more than an alternative news site or a cutting-edge news aggregator. Citizens are rewriting history–real time, based on truth, not on the lies of the main stream media and government controlled propaganda. The mission of AIM4Truth is to archive the progress we are making as we find out who we really are and where we really came from and are headed.’

I PREFER PEACE. BUT IF TROUBLE MUST COME, LET IT COME IN MY TIME, SO THAT MY CHILDREN CAN LIVE IN PEACE.

THOMAS PAINE

Agnes
Agnes
  Mark
September 18, 2018 11:43 pm

Nice link. I’m taking a closer look at this one, Mark. Thanks.

I’ve skimmed through it and got to tell you that the enormous thought and design someone put into those diagrams shows some real grasp of how the bureaucracy’s tentacles tangle into everything in that place.

Mark
Mark
  Agnes
September 19, 2018 12:17 am

Maggie,

Yeah…it is a powerful site and revealing…I’m still exploring myself.

As per Fleas’ suggestion if you want to partner I can write a detailed explanation on my contrarian 401k cash-in and becoming my own bank with loans from two others to homestead. They weren’t complicated moves and the macro timing worked out well.

Let me know, if Admin sends me your e-mail or sends you mine…I’ll write it up and you can package it?

Agnes
Agnes
  Mark
September 19, 2018 9:36 am

I would love to co-author with you, providing all the information about my cashout as well as Nick’s borrowing to purchase the land/building supplies. I will ask Admin to send you my email, as I do others. Then, if I get an email from you I will see you and we will be in business.

I will warn you that my husband STILL gets upset about paying that huge penalty for cashing out, so his input will be the bitter skewed point of view.

Admin… the exede email is the best one. The other email addys pop up onscreen as the botz notify them to.

Mark
Mark
  Agnes
September 19, 2018 11:13 am

Great…it was a 15 year plan, with risk but it worked out well and allowed us to go around the Banksters I despise so passionately.

Because of it I avoided two major (predicted by some contrarian experts) stock market crashes that would have decimated two 401s and a Self Directed IRA.

Give me some time, I have a cousin hit by Florence and as soon as the roads open (waiting to hear) I will be driving there to help in his clean up.

Agnes
Agnes
  Mark
September 19, 2018 11:21 am

Jim has asked that he not be my email addy courier, so I apologize to him for asking. I think you and I will be able to put together a really interesting piece. I am going to give you a gmail addy I use on occasion when fishing for data.

[email protected] if you email me there with proof you are “mark” of 401K topic fame, I will reply with me “real” email addy.

Mark
Mark
  Agnes
September 19, 2018 1:53 pm

Got It

Agnes
Agnes
  Mark
September 19, 2018 2:03 pm

I’ll go check now. Be in touch soon.

Agnes
Agnes
September 19, 2018 2:01 pm

Bill has a compelling follow-on article
How Politics Poisoned the Earth
Bill Bonner
YOUGHAL, IRELAND – Yesterday, we looked at what the U.S. republic has become: a vast swamp of idlers, chislers, cronies, and insiders… all angling for the meat in someone else’s burger.
Politicians and public servants no longer retire to their hamlets and farms once their tour of duty is over. Instead, they sign up for a post-career money-grab as consultants and lobbyists… scheming with the feds to get favors for their clients.
But how come? Aren’t the insiders always eager to take advantage of the outsiders? What’s new?
Seeping Into the Groundwater
Politics is usually best ignored. But there are times when, like a rusty gas tank at an abandoned garage, it seeps into the groundwater and poisons the earth.
One of those times, we believe, is at hand. Because, the Swamp has become so deep… so wide… and so toxic… that it endangers everything.
How this came to be is our subject today.
We begin with staggering news from our fellow kibitzer, David Stockman: The average working person in America has made zero wage gains in the entire 47-year period since the new money was introduced in 1971.
It is well known that real hourly wages are no higher than they were in the mid-’70s.
But now, the figures show that the stretch of zero growth reaches back to 1971… and – in the fraudulently precise figures of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) – annual real wage gains of 0.01%.
That’s not 1%. That’s not even one-tenth of a percent. It’s one-hundredth of a percent! Nothing, in other words.
And that overstates progress. Most people have only one real asset – their time. They sell it by the hour or by the week. The figures show that their time is worth no more today than it was nearly half a century ago.
We stop in our tracks. We hold our breath. How could that possibly be?
How could eight centuries of progress, from the depths of the Dark Ages to the end of the Johnson administration, suddenly come to an end… just when it seemed most promising?
Today, there are far more people with PhDs, more engineers, more patents, more technology, and more people all over the world striving, straining, and stressing out over how to make their time more valuable.
How could they fail so spectacularly?
Same Truck
But it’s worse than the numbers suggest. First, these are averages. So high wages for a few pull up the average for the low-wage many.
Second, instead of looking at the money, with the phony-baloney BLS adjustments, let’s look at the time.
In 1971, you could buy a new Ford F-150 for $2,500. At $4 an hour, it took 625 hours to buy the truck.
Today’s model costs $30,000, and the average hourly wage is $26. So the wage earner has to work for 1,154 hours to get a standard F-150. Put another way, he has to sell almost twice as much of his time to get a set of wheels.
But wait, say the feds. The truck today is not the same as the one from 1971. Technology has improved. This new one has GPS, Bluetooth, and seat warmers. Therefore, you’re getting twice as much truck.
Yes, we agree, technology has improved. But the truck is not twice as good as it was back then. And the fundamental task of the truck is the same. It still moves stuff from here to there.
It doesn’t matter anyway. The guy needs a truck. It now costs $30,000.
Third, since the feds have discouraged saving with artificially low interest rates, he’s not likely to have $30,000 on hand.
So he’s forced to borrow. His loan, with interest, then becomes part of the financialized economy, to be sliced and diced, leveraged, and hypothecated, until the money shufflers earn more on the loan than Ford did on the truck.
And now… the poor working man is not only forced to sell twice as much time to buy a truck… his time is now the asset “underlying” not only Motor City, but Wall Street, too.
And there’s the weak link in the whole claptrap system: It rests on a limited asset of declining value.
No Progress
The finance industry loans to the working man at 5.5%. On a loan for a $30,000 F-150, this gives the lender a gross profit of $5,290.
And it leaves the poor man paying $490 a month – equal to 19 hours of work – for six years. Altogether, the fellow works 1,356 hours over a six-year term to get, more or less, the same pickup he would have had for 625 hours of his time in 1971.
You can do the same calculation for housing. An average man paid about $24,000 for the average house in 1971. Today, he pays $371,000. Priced in time, the house cost 6,000 hours in 1971 and 14,269 hours today.
Is that progress? Not in our book. Time is life. It’s all we have. It takes more than seven years of work for the average guy to buy the average house today – four years more than it took in 1971.
So what happened?
The simple answer: A huge supply of time flooded the market.
Approximately one billion people from China, India, and Southeast Asia – willing to work for $1 to $5 a day – entered the world economy. Naturally, the competition sank the raw cost of time.
And it set the stage for Donald J. Trump, who argues that we need to “build a wall” and set up tariffs to keep these people and their products out.
But wait. It’s not that simple. You don’t get richer by shutting out people who can produce goods faster, cheaper, or better than you can.
You get richer by doing what you do better… and trading for what you don’t do.
Also, cheap foreign labor should have dragged down the cost of goods and services imported from overseas.
Even if his own wages went nowhere, the average American working man should have seen an increase in his real standard of living. Adjusted for negative inflation (deflation)… his real wages should have gone up.
But they didn’t… because something else was going on…
The Swamp was growing. The U.S. economy was becoming less productive and more “financialized”… and chockablock with cronies, zombies, and win-lose hustlers.
The insiders and the rich navigated through the Swamp and continued to make money. But the typical working stiff in the Main Street economy sank.
More on how that happened… tomorrow.
Regards,

Bill

http://www.silverbearcafe.com/private/09.18/poison.html