The F-35’s “Multi-Role” Failure

Guest Post by Duane Norman

F-35B-VTOL-On-Carrier

The “multi-role” F-35, and its multiple, expensive failures are so big that they will set the Department of Defense back for the next fifty yearsIts unsurprisingly behind schedule, way over budget price tag is sucking dollars away from every other DoD program, and it can’t even beat its replacements in many of their primary roles.  Designed to replace many legacy aircraft nearing the end of their life cycles, it is the biggest weapons program ever, at $1.5 trillion dollars.  The price tag could run the ENTIRE DoD for over two years, which makes the aircraft the poster boy for a military-industrial complex with no accountability.  And, it just looks ugly, which as the best aircraft designers know, makes it likely to fly ugly.  Why hasn’t it been cancelled yet?

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Update On “My ACA Experience”

Guest Post by Duane Norman

Ben Garrison Obamacare

The prior article, “My ACA Experience”, for context

I recently received several letters from my insurance company in regards to my policy.  They informed me that I can keep my coverage through the end of next year.  One letter said that I would need to contact them to keep my policy.  Another said the following, in this exact formatting: “We are required to provide you with the enclosed communication prepared by the Department of Health & Human Services.  It suggests you contact us to keep your current plan, but that is not necessary.”  And in yet another letter, I was informed of my “mastectomy benefits”.

In a state of confusion, I called the insurance company and asked what was going on.  A representative seemed even more confused than I was, asked me information about the letters, and was unsuccessful in attempts to locate copies of what they sent to me.  After promising to take action within the company internally so that this situation doesn’t happen again, I was (finally) assured that I wouldn’t need to take any action to keep my policy beyond continuing to pay my premiums.  She made it clear to me that this confusion would not happen again, and that any further updates to my policy would be very clearly communicated.

A few takeaways I had from my experience:

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It’s Time to Turn Out the Lights in Illinois

If decreasing your long-term pension return assumption from 7.5% to 7.0% creates a financial crisis, imagine what happens when their actual returns are 1%.

Guest Post by Martin Armstrong

Illinois Road Tax

The roads in Illinois are in decay. This may be the first state to go bankrupt. The question is not if, but when. State unions are so greedy that they are destroying the very state. This is exactly how Rome fell — government employees against the people.

Seven states have constitutional provisions that state employee pensions must come BEFORE everything, including debt payments. Since the legislature in New Jersey was Democrat, they fought Governor Christie on pension reform. Their solution? On the ballot in November, there will be a provision to amend the state Constitution to put employee pensions before everything else. The people are generally kept ignorant of what that means to property taxes and the future of the state. Therefore, the average person will say, “Sure, I should get my pension, so they should also.”

Turn out Lights

Illinois should declare bankruptcy. It is simply inevitable. There is absolutely no hope for Illinois whatsoever. Every year they will have to pay more and more. If the state who manages the pension money loses, well, the taxpayers have to cover those losses as well. The governor tried to stop the downgrade of expectations for earnings in the pension fund from 7.5% to 7%, which means they have to raise taxes and/or cut service by almost a half-billion.

It’s time to just turnout the lights in Illinois. Welcome to the Sovereign Debt Crisis. This is the contagion you will finally start to hear about, but only after the elections. Why spoil the party?

Is Obamacare “Collapse” Just a Ploy?

Hat tip Paul T.

Via CCHF

Is Obamacare actually failing? Some parts, like the 16 failed co-ops, are. But when it comes to health plans dropping out of Obamacare exchanges, it’s a legitimate question. HMOs have a disturbing history of dropping enrollees – until Congress meets their payment demands.

This pattern began after Congress embraced managed-care in 1982. Nine years after the HMO Act of 1973 became law, Medicare added HMOs, described as “risk-based private health plans, or those plans that accept full responsibility (i.e. risk) for the costs of their enrollees’ care in exchange for a prospective, monthly, per-enrollee payment.”

Everything went swimmingly for HMOs until Congress enacted the Medicare+Choice HMO program in 1997 and cut payments. The GAO says nearly 100 plans either terminated contracts with the federal government or fully or partially withdrew as a result. Health Care Financing Review reported HMOs dropped more than 1.6 million Medicare recipients over three years.

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As Predicted, Obamacare Is Absolutely Killing The Middle Class

Submitted by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,

The critics of Obamacare have been proven right.  The Obama administration promised that health insurance premiums would go down.  Instead, they have absolutely skyrocketed.  The Obama administration promised that Obamacare would not kill jobs.  Instead, firms are hiring fewer workers because of suffocating health care costs.  As you will see below, even the Federal Reserve is admitting this.  The Obama administration also promised that the big health insurance companies would love the new Obamacare plans and would eagerly compete with one another to win customers in the new health insurance marketplaces.  Instead, many of the big health insurance companies are now dropping Obamacare plans altogether.

We witnessed the latest stunning example of this phenomenon just a few days ago.  It turns out that Aetna has been losing hundreds of millions of dollars on plans sold through the health exchanges, and now they plan to pull out of the program almost entirely

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Obamacare On “Verge Of Collapse” As Premiums Set To Soar Again In 2017

Tyler Durden's picture

If Obamacare enrollments continue their current trend and insurers continue to hike premiums at alarming rates then Republicans may not have to worry about “repealing and replacing Obamacare” as it might just work itself out “naturally”.  The 4th open enrollment period for Obamacare begins on November 1, 2016 and industry experts are warning that another year of tepid demand from “young and healthy” Americans could force more insurers out of the exchanges effectively marking the end of Obamacare as we know it.  According to a story published by The Hill, 11 million people bought health insurance through the exchanges for 2016 which was drastically below the Congressional Budget Office’s initial projection of 21 million.

Well we’re shocked!  Turns out that whole “adverse selection bias” was a real thing.  So you’re telling us that young, healthy people don’t want to pay for insurance they know they’ll never use?  We guess America’s youth can actually do basic math, after all.  Apparently they were able to figure out they would rather take the lower tax associated with Obamacare penalties than the larger tax associated with buying a healthcare policy they’ll never use.  We guess Millennials are a little less enthusiastic about embracing socialism when the costs are coming out of their pockets.

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About That Upcoming “Fiscal Stimulus” – It Is Already Running Full Blast

Tyler Durden's picture

Even as policy wonks are calling for the U.S. federal government to turn away from monetary policy and “austerity”, Treasury debt outstanding has already seen massive annual increases since 2007, and not just in the US but around the entire world, Bloomberg market strategist Chris Maloney writes.

Which brings us to this week’s report on the U.S. federal government’s monthly budget statement. As Maloney puts it, “for eight-plus years now the U.S. federal government’s fiscal policy has been one of unprecedented deficit spending, pushing total debt to $15.3t from $6.1t (a 153% increase); this excludes ~$5.1t intra-govt debt holdings.

Yet GDP since the end of Jan. 2008-June 2009 recession has averaged just 2.1%, below the 2.7% average seen from 2000-2007 while the last five quarters have seen a steady drop from 3.3% to 1.2%.

Meanwhile, debt has continued its relentless rise higher, pushing the ratio of US government debt/GDP to an all time post World War II high of 105%.

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Illinois Obamacare Co-Op Goes Bust Leaving Tens of Thousands At Risk

Submitted by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,

The fact that Obamacare is a gigantic train wreck barreling uncontrollably into a brick wall is pretty much undeniable at this point. I’ve covered this reality from several angles in 2016, with one of the more popular posts being, The Health Insurance Scam – “Coverage” Doesn’t Mean Affordability or Access, in which I noted: 

Politicians, particularly those of the Democratic persuasion, love to throw around statistics about how many additional people have healthcare coverage without ever talking about the cost of such coverage, or whether it actually translates into actual access in the real world.

 

While a greater number of Americans having health insurance is a good thing when it comes to protecting against unexpected catastrophic events or extended hospital stays, it doesn’t tell you anything about two very important variables: 1) How much does it cost? 2) What kind of access does it provide? As usual, the devil is in the details.

 

We’ve all seen headlines about higher monthly premiums, but that’s just the tip of iceberg. Once you’ve paid your premium, you’re far from off the hook. Another one-two punch of deductibles, copays and out of pocket maximums appear which can collectively run into the thousands if not tens of thousands of dollars for families.

In my opinion, the above situation represents the number one failure of Obamacare, but there are others. Today’s piece focuses in on the state of Obamacare co-ops, which were “created under the federal health law to provide cost-effective coverage and competition in state insurance markets.”

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Venezuela’s democratic façade has completely crumbled

A national guard member patrols a supermarket in Caracas in February of last year. (Juan Barreto/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/Getty Images)

Moisés Naim is a distinguished fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and served as Venezuela’s minister of trade and industry from 1989 to 1990. Francisco Toro is the founder and editor in chief of the Caracas Chronicles news site.

Today, Venezuela is the sick man of Latin America, buckling under chronic shortages of everything from food and toilet paper to medicine and freedom. Riots and looting have become commonplace, as hungry people vent their despair while the revolutionary elite lives in luxury, pausing now and then to order recruits to fire more tear gas into crowds desperate for food.

Surveillance camera footage shows violent looting take over a bakery in the Venezuelan capital of Caracas as the country battles widespread shortages of basic goods amid a reeling economic crisis. (Reuters)

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Blackouts Loom With California In Power Grid Emergency: “All Customers Should Expect 14 Days Without Power”

Submitted by Mac Slavo via SHTFPlan.com,

The entire Los Angeles metropolitan area and most of Southern California can expect blackouts this summer.

The power grid is under direct threat as a result of the unprecedented, but little reported, massive natural gas leaks at Alisco Canyon that was ongoing for  four months as an intense summer heat wave sets in.

According to Reuters:

California will have its first test of plans to keep the lights on this summer…

With record-setting heat and air conditioning demand expected in Southern California, the state’s power grid operator issued a so-called “flex alert,” urging consumers to conserve energy to help prevent rotating power outages – which could occur regardless.

Electricity demand is expected to rise during the unseasonable heatwave on Monday and Tuesday, with forecast system-wide use expected to top 45,000 megawatts, said the California Independent System Operator (ISO), which manages electricity flow through the state. That compares with a peak demand of 47,358 MW last year and the all-time high of 50,270 MW set in July 2006.

That could put stress on the power grid, particularly with the shut-in of Aliso Canyon, following a massive leak at the underground storage facility in October [Editor’s Note: which was not stopped fully until mid-February 2016].

The large-scale natural gas disaster – which curiously escaped media frenzy and widespread environmental concern – has resulted in the shutdown of key storage facilities that supply most of the power for the southern portion of the state.

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It’s Time To Blame Obamacare For Losing So Many Full-Time Jobs

Submitted by Edward Morrissey via The Fiscal Times,

Had a sinking feeling about the economy of late? It may not be your imagination. Economic indicators have flashed yellow for much of 2016, and the latest jobs report shows further depletion of the work force and a dearth of job creation. That trend, says one major bank, may be attributable to President Barack Obama’s signature legislation.

Last Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the worst jobs report in almost six years. The US economy only added 38,000 jobs, less than a tenth of the estimated 458,000 Americans who left the workforce. In fact, thanks to revisions made to the March and April reports, that exceeds the number of jobs created in the past three months (348,000) by more than 100,000. The workforce participation rate dropped back to 62.6 percent, near a 40-year low, and more than three full points below its level at the start of the recovery in June 2009 (65.7 percent).

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