Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
President Donald Trump Letter- April 13-RF
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Tag: Martin Armstrong
Vigilante of Democracy – Martin Armstrong – TED Talk
Martin Armstrong: “Gold’s Rising Because Its Protects Us Against Government”
Via Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com,
Legendary geopolitical and financial analyst Martin Armstrong continues to be bullish on America. Armstrong contends, “The U.S. economy has been the only thing holding up the world…”
“People do not realize what is the difference between the U.S. vs. the rest of the world? China respects it, and they are starting to move in the proper direction…
The United States has the biggest consumer market, which is why everybody wants to sell here. China now realizes the mistake. China is going to turn inward and try and develop its own consumer market.”
Continue reading “Martin Armstrong: “Gold’s Rising Because Its Protects Us Against Government””
Deep State Told Obama to Prevent Trump from Ending Cold War with Russia
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
The Obama Administration has deliberately created a cold war with Russia – it was not Russia who instigated this new cold war and I am not alone in saying this is far worse than the cold war John F. Kennedy faced. Obama has deliberated acted with sanctions and has the press hounding Trump so that if Trump tries to end the cold war and restore cooperation with Russia, they will say see, he is a Putin Manchurian Candidate. The press is in the came of Democrats and they are deliberately trying to assist those in the Obama Administration who were deliberately trying to create World War III. Remember detente? If you have to look up that word it means the easing of hostility or strained relations – not increasing tensions. What about Nixon opening up China to divide Russia from China? Obama has resurrected the China-Russia alliance. Remember Ronald Reagan – trust by verify? What happened to the idea of world peace?
Continue reading “Deep State Told Obama to Prevent Trump from Ending Cold War with Russia”
2017 is Looking More Optimistic Than Ever
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
The only thing about international trade is that someone cannot have a trade surplus without another experiencing a trade deficit. We all cannot have trade surpluses simultaneously and we have to begin understanding this reality. The net capital movements around the world are showing clear signs that things will be intensifying and the net capital movement is headed for the dollar – but that does not mean day one. Sure, many will point the finger at Trump and blame him for a trade war etc., but in reality, the net capital movements are intensifying for reasons that have nothing to do with trade. Ushering in Trump will also have a profound impact upon Europe and now Merkel’s greatest challenge will be to hold the EU together for its core design was to enhance German trade by eliminating currency risk.
Continue reading “2017 is Looking More Optimistic Than Ever”
The Future is Not as Dark As it Seems
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
I took this picture at the beach. At first glance, it is hard to tell if it is a sunrise or a sunset. For the record, it was a sunrise – the dawn of a new day. What we face can be disastrous but it also can be the dawn of a new era. Government is our worst enemy because it refuses to relinquish power to save society. Like Hillary – it’s always just about them.
This Presidential election has exposed the tremendous deep divide of the nation and the world for that matter. We are headed into the eye of the storm in this battle between left and right. The left is all about punishing people who have more. They are really the people who would break into your house and rob you under the pretense that they deserve it because you have cheated them in some way. This uprising always comes from the left; i.e. China, Russia, and Europe. The uprisings that spring from the general population are directed at government and not the rich class warfare stuff. Those are the revolutions such as the American and French of the 18th century.
Pacific Ring of Fire – New Zealand now Japan
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
A major quake has hit New Zealand and days later Japan. Unfortunately, this is in line with our model as we head toward our destiny with a crash in the energy output of the sun. The Pacific Ring of Fire is a horseshoe-shaped band of fault lines that circles the Pacific Basin. This is known as the Ring of Fire for it is populated with both fault lines and volcanoes. It is historically prone to frequent earthquakes and volcanic eruptions because it is the most seismically active zone on the planet. Our models show we are headed into a much greater period of activity as we get closer to 2040. This is when we should see the peak in activity and this should help create the coming Mini Ice Age correlating with the decline in the energy output of the sun.
Continue reading “Pacific Ring of Fire – New Zealand now Japan”
Have the Democrats Unleashed a New Age Communist Revolution?
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
Understand one thing: revolutions emerge from the youth. With all the rhetoric hurled during the campaign, and Bernie Sanders promising free everything at the expense of anyone who works for a living, the youth have become an increasingly communistic generation. Typically, candidates promise everything and nobody really expects them to deliver. This election has hit a nerve simply because it came at the wrong time. The protesters are growing in number with signs that advocate anarchy, “Not My President.” However, they are now staging sit-ins at Chuck Schumer’s office, asking him to step aside as senate minority leader in favor of Bernie Sanders. They are singing this song: “We are standing for our future, we are hearing what is wrong, we are standing for our future, and together we are strong.”
Continue reading “Have the Democrats Unleashed a New Age Communist Revolution?”
The Coming Dark Age
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
Hillary is just corrupt and rotten to the core. She represents everything that is wrong with our political economy. Politicians no longer care about the people. Every election promises “change” in some variation. That is admitting something is broken, but it always comes down to the same thing – it’s just about them.
Opinion Infected by Bias
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
Experience is everything. You cannot forecast something you have never seen, but opinion is fallible because we are all infected with that human trait of being fallible. I have learned so much from the computer. This is the importance of real cognitive adaptive computer systems. They have no emotion or bias so they are objective. In a way, they are like the character Spock from “Star Trek.” If someone believes that paper money is the great evil, then they will be blind to all other influence and look no further. Concluding that the evil is paper money, means they consider nothing else when in fact it is the fiscal mismanagement of the monetary system irrespective of what society uses for money. This is why a gold standard would not work and has failed historically every time just like Bretton Woods. It has nothing to do with the medium of exchange. It is always about those in charge. Milton Friedman said if you put the government in charge of the Sahara Desert, there would be a shortage of sand in no time. Investigating the truth requires abandoning all bias.
WHY 2017 is The Threshold to Chaos
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
I have been warning that 2017 was the Year of Political Hell with four major referendums/elections that would undermine the confidence in government – BREXIT, US Presidential Elections, French Elections, and Germany Elections. These four events hold the potential to overturn the expectations of the future. Whatever the general public felt about government would flip. The key to a shift from Public confidence to Private lies within the scope of these four elections. This is what our computer has been forecasting – political instability on the rise. This is the age of anti-establishment (3rd party) rising globally.
However, I have also warned that Social Security and Medicare go NEGATIVE next year in the United States, which of course mainstream media is not bothering to report for fear that would add fuel to the bonfire of political corruption. But what is also not explained by mainstream media, is that Obamacare is crumbling from within. The entire structural design of Obamacare was the perpetual Ponzi Scheme they used for Social Security.
Socialism Has Destroyed the Social Structure
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
Once upon a time, couples would have three to five children for that was their retirement. Family was everything. Then came Marx who effectively replaced the family with politicians. The family structure has declined steadily since the introduction of socialism. Children no longer save to take care of their parents for that is government’s job.
While some still tout that we are becoming over-populated, the number of children has been dropping remarkably. In China they implemented the one-child rule. That resulted in couples only wanting boys to carry on the family name. But daughters are typically those who take care of their parents zealously. China passed rules that the only child had to visit their parents. Now, the government is stepping in again and reducing the credit of adult children who do not visit their parents.
In the West, family size has fallen by about 50% from World War II. In Eastern Europe, the family structure remains intact only because people learned under communism not to count on the state for anything. In the West, people are living the dream — and that is all it is. They actually think government cares about them. This is why there is a new awakening we are watching with the manifestation of an new anti-establishment era.
Socialism has drastically altered the family structure. Government claimed it would replace the parents, and as a result, they succeeded in altering the very foundation of humanity that supported the family for centuries.
The Road Ahead
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
I am receiving tons of emails from amazed readers who are congratulating me on our model that forecast a rise in third party activity from Europe to Asia. This rise is becoming obvious everywhere around the globe as a new era of anti-establishment. I showed this chart of the number of European separatist movements back at our 2012 Berlin conference. What you have to understand is that this is BY NO MEANS my personal revelation or opinion. No person can simply spout out such forecasts on an “I think” perspective. Sure, someone can say that and then claim they are brilliant, but even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
Are Central Bankers Coming to a Bitter End?
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
Central bankers these days are seriously trapped. They cannot now reverse their policies for that means they have to admit that they have failed. That is far more serious than you might imagine. To even entertain backing down from negative interest rates means they have to admit that Keynesian/Marxist economics has failed and therein socialism, which is based upon the very principle that government CAN and is CAPABLE of managing the economy. This is the real question presented in the American presidential elections, yet nobody will articulate it in this manner. Hillary still preaches the same failed socialist agenda as if government can even do anything other than attack people who earn more money as did Emperor Maximinus of Rome.
Just before Paul Volcker became Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker, who served (August 6, 1979 – August 11, 1987), he delivered his Rediscovery of the Business Cycle in 1978 (published on May 3, 1979). If you Google this book, you will see our site comes up first. You can find used copies around $500. Why is this book so rare? Because before Volcker became Fed Chairman, he told the truth.
“The Rediscovery of the Business Cycle – is a sign of the times. Not much more than a decade ago, in what now seems a more innocent age, the ‘New Economics’ had become orthodoxy. Its basic tenet, repeated in similar words in speech after speech, in article after article, was described by one of its leaders as ‘the conviction that business cycles were not inevitable, that government policy could and should keep the economy close to a path of steady real growth at a constant target rate of unemployment.”
Continue reading “Are Central Bankers Coming to a Bitter End?”
Cycle of War & Climate Change – A Lethal Combination
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
Historically, crops fail during periods when the weather turns sharply colder. Rising food shortages coincide with rising aggression. This seems to be a link back into ancient times. The way the climate is now turning colder is in direct harmony with the war cycle. Switzerland began recording temperatures in 1864, which provide a good European database. World War I was a profound turning point for it actually brought together war, climate, and disease.
In 1916, the climate turned down dramatically when it rained extensively during the summer, snowed in June, and this trend persisted into the following year. In fact, March and April 1917 were the coldest months since 1764, based upon the Swiss data. By no means was this climate change confined to Europe. North America also witnessed crop failures that helped prices rise in addition to the war factor. It was also colder in Argentina where crops failed due to a severe drought. So in the northern hemisphere there was cold and excessive rain, and in the southern hemisphere, there were droughts and the lack of rain.
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Can Hillary Win?
Guest Post by Martin Armstrong
Our model is not unanimous for Trump. There is technically a 25% chance that Hillary could win, which one of our four models projects a Democratic victory. However, if you look at the mainstream channels from CNN, CBS, ABC, and NBC, it is very clear they have an agenda to defeat Trump. Just like in Britain, they are starting to manipulate the polls already. I would not expect the polls to be fair or honest this year as was proven in the BREXIT vote. The elites are desperate to kill Trump and they will manipulate the polls just as they forced the head of Fox News out on the very day Trump was to deliver his acceptance speech. They rig and coordinate absolutely everything to prevent a Trump victory. This is all out political war. Make no mistake about that. Even the Republican elites like Paul Ryan and John McCain want to defeat Trump and will hail Hillary behind the curtain. Neither one wants an outsider who might expose their corruption. McCain voted to put a sales tax on the internet and then denied he voted for a tax increase claiming he was voting only to force collection of what was owed to the States. He is a two-face liar with a nasty temper who berates even a waitress for the slightest mistake. Continue reading “Can Hillary Win?”